"Family discovery" is the task of learning the dimension and structure ofa parameterized family of stochastic models. It is especially appropriatewhen the training examples are partitioned into "episodes" of samples drawn from a single parameter value. We present three family discovery algorithms based on surface learning andshow that they significantly improve performance over two alternatives on a parameterized classification task. 1 INTRODUCTION Human listeners improve their ability to recognize speech by identifying the accent of the speaker. "Might" in an American accent is similar to "mate" in an Australian accent. By first identifying the accent, discrimination between these two words is improved.

The Bayesian analysis of neural networks is difficult because a simple priorover weights implies a complex prior distribution over functions. In this paper we investigate the use of Gaussian process priors over functions, which permit the predictive Bayesian analysis forfixed values of hyperparameters to be carried out exactly using matrix operations. Two methods, using optimization and averaging (viaHybrid Monte Carlo) over hyperparameters have been tested on a number of challenging problems and have produced excellent results. 1 INTRODUCTION In the Bayesian approach to neural networks a prior distribution over the weights induces a prior distribution over functions. This prior is combined with a noise model, which specifies the probability of observing the targets t given function values y, to yield a posterior over functions which can then be used for predictions. For neural networks the prior over functions has a complex form which means that implementations must either make approximations (e.g.

Learning long-term dependencies is not as difficult with NARX recurrent neural networks.

We have developed a foveated gesture recognition system that runs in an unconstrained office environment with an active camera. Using visionroutines previously implemented for an interactive environment, wedetermine the spatial location of salient body parts of a user and guide an active camera to obtain images of gestures or expressions. A hidden-state reinforcement learning paradigm is used to implement visual attention. The attention module selects targets to foveate based on the goal of successful recognition, and uses a new multiple-model Q-Iearning formulation. Given a set of target and distractor gestures, our system can learn where to foveate to maximally discriminate a particular gesture. 1 INTRODUCTION Vision has numerous uses in the natural world.

The additive clustering (ADCL US) model (Shepard & Arabie, 1979) treats the similarity of two stimuli as a weighted additive measure of their common features. Inspired by recent work in unsupervised learning with multiple cause models, we propose anew, statistically well-motivated algorithm for discovering the structure of natural stimulus classes using the ADCLUS model, which promises substantial gainsin conceptual simplicity, practical efficiency, and solution quality over earlier efforts.

A practical method for Bayesian training of feed-forward neural networks using sophisticated Monte Carlo methods is presented and evaluated. In reasonably small amounts of computer time this approach outperforms other state-of-the-art methods on 5 datalimited tasksfrom real world domains. 1 INTRODUCTION Bayesian learning uses a prior on model parameters, combines this with information from a training set, and then integrates over the resulting posterior to make predictions. Withthis approach, we can use large networks without fear of overfitting, allowing us to capture more structure in the data, thus improving prediction accuracy andeliminating the tedious search (often performed using cross validation) for the model complexity that optimises the bias/variance tradeoff. In this approach the size of the model is limited only by computational considerations. The application of Bayesian learning to neural networks has been pioneered by MacKay (1992), who uses a Gaussian approximation to the posterior weight distribution.

Due to the simplicity and efficiency of its parameter estimation algorithm, the hidden Markov model (HMM) has emerged as one of the basic statistical tools for modeling discrete time series, finding widespread application in the areas of speech recognition (Rabinerand Juang, 1986) and computational molecular biology (Baldi et al., 1994). An HMM is essentially a mixture model, encoding information about the history of a time series in the value of a single multinomial variable (the hidden state). This multinomial assumption allows an efficient parameter estimation algorithm tobe derived (the Baum-Welch algorithm). However, it also severely limits the representational capacity of HMMs.

There is currently considerable interest in developing general nonlinear densitymodels based on latent, or hidden, variables. Such models have the ability to discover the presence of a relatively small number of underlying'causes' which, acting in combination, give rise to the apparent complexity of the observed data set. Unfortunately, totrain such models generally requires large computational effort. In this paper we introduce a novel latent variable algorithm which retains the general nonlinear capabilities of previous models but which uses a training procedure based on the EM algorithm. We demonstrate the performance of the model on a toy problem and on data from flow diagnostics for a multiphase oil pipeline.

Often the parameters used in these networks needto be learned from examples. Unfortunately, estimating the parameters via exact probabilistic calculations (i.e, the EMalgorithm) is intractable even for networks with fairly small numbers of hidden units. We propose to avoid the infeasibility of the E step by bounding likelihoods instead of computing them exactly. Weintroduce extended and complementary representations for these networks and show that the estimation of the network parameters can be made fast (reduced to quadratic optimization) by performing the estimation in either of the alternative domains. The complementary networks can be used for continuous density estimation as well. 1 Introduction The appeal of probabilistic networks for knowledge representation, inference, and learning (Pearl, 1988) derives both from the sound Bayesian framework and from the explicit representation of dependencies among the network variables which allows readyincorporation of prior information into the design of the network.

This paper describes the training of a recurrent neural network as the letter posterior probability estimator for a hidden Markov model, off-line handwriting recognition system. The network estimates posteriordistributions for each of a series of frames representing sectionsof a handwritten word. The supervised training algorithm, backpropagation through time, requires target outputs to be provided for each frame. Three methods for deriving these targets are presented. A novel method based upon the forwardbackward algorithmis found to result in the recognizer with the lowest error rate. 1 Introduction In the field of off-line handwriting recognition, the goal is to read a handwritten document and produce a machine transcription.