We present a probabilistic latent-variable framework for data visualisation, a key feature of which is its applicability to binary and categorical data types for which few established methods exist. A variational approximation to the likelihood is exploited to derive a fast algorithm for determining the model parameters. Illustrations of application to real and synthetic binary data sets are given.

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (pO "MOPs) constitute an important class of reinforcement learning problems which present unique theoretical and computational difficulties. In the absence of the Markov property, popular reinforcement learning algorithms such as Q-Iearning may no longer be effective, and memory-based methods which remove partial observability via state-estimation are notoriously expensive. An alternative approach is to seek a stochastic memoryless policy which for each observation of the environment prescribes a probability distribution over available actions that maximizes the average reward per timestep. A reinforcement learning algorithm which learns a locally optimal stochastic memoryless policy has been proposed by Jaakkola, Singh and Jordan, but not empirically verified. We present a variation of this algorithm, discuss its implementation, and demonstrate its viability using four test problems.

Yule-Walker) are available for learning Auto-Regressive process models of simple, directly observable, dynamical processes. When sensor noise means that dynamics are observed only approximately, learning can still been achieved via Expectation-Maximisation (EM) together with Kalman Filtering. However, this does not handle more complex dynamics, involving multiple classes of motion.

Humans demonstrate a remarkable ability to generate accurate and appropriate motor behavior under many different and oftpn uncprtain environmental conditions. This paper describes a new modular approach to human motor learning and control, baspd on multiple pairs of inverse (controller) and forward (prpdictor) models. This architecture simultaneously learns the multiple inverse models necessary for control as well as how to select the inverse models appropriate for a given em'ironm0nt. Simulations of object manipulation demonstrates the ability to learn mUltiple objects, appropriate generalization to novel objects and the inappropriate activation of motor programs based on visual cues, followed by online correction, seen in the "size-weight illusion".

There has been much recent work on measuring image statistics and on learning probability distributions on images. We observe that the mapping from images to statistics is many-to-one and show it can be quantified by a phase space factor. This phase space approach throws light on the Minimax Entropy technique for learning Gibbs distributions on images with potentials derived from image statistics and elucidates the ambiguities that are inherent to determining the potentials. In addition, it shows that if the phase factor can be approximated by an analytic distribution then this approximation yields a swift "Minutemax" algorithm that vastly reduces the computation time for Minimax entropy learning. An illustration of this concept, using a Gaussian to approximate the phase factor, gives a good approximation to the results of Zhu and Mumford (1997) in just seconds of CPU time. The phase space approach also gives insight into the multi-scale potentials found by Zhu and Mumford (1997) and suggests that the forms of the potentials are influenced greatly by phase space considerations. Finally, we prove that probability distributions learned in feature space alone are equivalent to Minimax Entropy learning with a multinomial approximation of the phase factor. 1 Introduction Bayesian probability theory gives a powerful framework for visual perception (Knill and Richards 1996). This approach, however, requires specifying prior probabilities and likelihood functions. Learning these probabilities is difficult because it requires estimating distributions on random variables of very high dimensions (for example, images with 200 x 200 pixels, or shape curves of length 400 pixels).

In supervised learning, we have a set of explicative variables x from which we wish to predict a response variable y.

Fraud causes substantial losses to telecommunication carriers. Detection systems which automatically detect illegal use of the network can be used to alleviate the problem. Previous approaches worked on features derived from the call patterns of individual users. In this paper we present a call-based detection system based on a hierarchical regime-switching model. The detection problem is formulated as an inference problem on the regime probabilities.

Agents acting in the real world are confronted with the problem of making good decisions with limited knowledge of the environment. Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) model decision problems in which an agent tries to maximize its reward in the face of limited sensor feedback. Recent work has shown empirically that a reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm called Sarsa(A) can efficiently find optimal memoryless policies, which map current observations to actions, for POMDP problems (Loch and Singh 1998). The Sarsa(A) algorithm uses a form of short-term memory called an eligibility trace, which distributes temporally delayed rewards to observation-action pairs which lead up to the reward. This paper explores the effect of eligibility traces on the ability of the Sarsa(A) algorithm to find optimal memoryless policies.

We seek the scene interpretation that best explains image data. For example, we may want to infer the projected velocities (scene) which best explain two consecutive image frames (image).

The Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is an iterative procedure for maximum likelihood parameter estimation from data sets with missing or hidden variables [2]. It has been applied to system identification in linear stochastic state-space models, where the state variables are hidden from the observer and both the state and the parameters of the model have to be estimated simultaneously [9]. We present a generalization of the EM algorithm for parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamical systems. The "expectation" step makes use of Extended Kalman Smoothing to estimate the state, while the "maximization" step re-estimates the parameters using these uncertain state estimates. In general, the nonlinear maximization step is difficult because it requires integrating out the uncertainty in the states.