Learning Graphical Models
Natural Building Blocks for Structured World Models: Theory, Evidence, and Scaling
Da Costa, Lancelot, Namjoshi, Sanjeev, Ansari, Mohammed Abbas, Schölkopf, Bernhard
The field of world modeling is fragmented, with researchers developing bespoke architectures that rarely build upon each other. We propose a framework that specifies the natural building blocks for structured world models based on the fundamental stochastic processes that any world model must capture: discrete processes (logic, symbols) and continuous processes (physics, dynamics); the world model is then defined by the hierarchical composition of these building blocks. We examine Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) and switching linear dynamical systems (sLDS) as natural building blocks for discrete and continuous modeling--which become partially-observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) and controlled sLDS when augmented with actions. This modular approach supports both passive modeling (generation, forecasting) and active control (planning, decision-making) within the same architecture. We avoid the combinatorial explosion of traditional structure learning by largely fixing the causal architecture and searching over only four depth parameters. We review practical expressiveness through multimodal generative modeling (passive) and planning from pixels (active), with performance competitive to neural approaches while maintaining interpretability. The core outstanding challenge is scalable joint structure-parameter learning; current methods finesse this by cleverly growing structure and parameters incrementally, but are limited in their scalability. If solved, these natural building blocks could provide foundational infrastructure for world modeling, analogous to how standardized layers enabled progress in deep learning.
Stability of mixed-state phases under weak decoherence
Zhang, Yifan F., Gopalakrishnan, Sarang
In equilibrium statistical mechanics, phases are parameter regions in which the free energy evolves smoothly. This equilibrium perspective is well suited to to conventional solid-state experiments, in which the system of interest (e.g., the electron fluid in a metal) is well coupled to a heat bath. Present-day experiments in quantum devices necessitate a more general concept of phases: in these devices, systems are driven far from thermal equilibrium and are either isolated from the environment or coupled to engineered dissipative environments. A key step toward this general concept came from the development of quasi-adiabatic continuation [1], for pure quantum states at zero temperature. According to this definition, phases are equivalence classes of quantum states such that two states in the same phase can be prepared from one another by an efficient process--specifically, a finite-depth local unitary (FDLU) circuit. This concept of pure-state phases (called FDLU-equivalence) reduces to the conventional one for ground states of gapped local Hamiltonians, but extends to any quantum state, and connects naturally to questions in computational complexity thoery [2-5]. So far, this "preparability" perspective is only fully developed for pure quantum states and strictly unitary evolutions; thus, a natural task, which has seen intense recent activity, is its generalization to more general classes of mixed states and evolutions involving noise, measurement, and feedback [6-14]. As an important special case, a classification of mixed states from the perspective of preparability would naturally extend to general classical probability distributions, of the type that routinely arise in machine learning, and that also seem to exhibit phase transitions [15].
Addressing prior dependence in hierarchical Bayesian modeling for PTA data analysis II: Noise and SGWB inference through parameter decorrelation
Villa, Eleonora, D'Amico, Luigi, Barca, Aldo, Bittordo, Fatima Modica, Alì, Francesco, Meneghetti, Massimo, Naso, Luca
Pulsar Timing Arrays provide a powerful framework to measure low-frequency gravitational waves, but accuracy and robustness of the results are challenged by complex noise processes that must be accurately modeled. Standard PTA analyses assign fixed uniform noise priors to each pulsar, an approach that can introduce systematic biases when combining the array. To overcome this limitation, we adopt a hierarchical Bayesian modeling strategy in which noise priors are parametrized by higher-level hyperparameters. We further address the challenge posed by the correlations between hyperparameters and physical noise parameters, focusing on those describing red noise and dispersion measure variations. To decorrelate these quantities, we introduce an orthogonal reparametrization of the hierarchical model implemented with Normalizing Flows. We also employ i-nessai, a flow-guided nested sampler, to efficiently explore the resulting higher-dimensional parameter space. We apply our method to a minimal 3-pulsar case study, performing a simultaneous inference of noise and SGWB parameters. Despite the limited dataset, the results consistently show that the hierarchical treatment constrains the noise parameters more tightly and partially alleviates the red-noise-SGWB degeneracy, while the orthogonal reparametrization further enhances parameter independence without affecting the correlations intrinsic to the power-law modeling of the physical processes involved.
Dynamic Population Distribution Aware Human Trajectory Generation with Diffusion Model
Long, Qingyue, Rong, Can, Li, Tong, Li, Yong
Human trajectory data is crucial in urban planning, traffic engineering, and public health. However, directly using real-world trajectory data often faces challenges such as privacy concerns, data acquisition costs, and data quality. A practical solution to these challenges is trajectory generation, a method developed to simulate human mobility behaviors. Existing trajectory generation methods mainly focus on capturing individual movement patterns but often overlook the influence of population distribution on trajectory generation. In reality, dynamic population distribution reflects changes in population density across different regions, significantly impacting individual mobility behavior. Thus, we propose a novel trajectory generation framework based on a diffusion model, which integrates the dynamic population distribution constraints to guide high-fidelity generation outcomes. Specifically, we construct a spatial graph to enhance the spatial correlation of trajectories. Then, we design a dynamic population distribution aware denoising network to capture the spatiotemporal dependencies of human mobility behavior as well as the impact of population distribution in the denoising process. Extensive experiments show that the trajectories generated by our model can resemble real-world trajectories in terms of some critical statistical metrics, outperforming state-of-the-art algorithms by over 54%.
End-to-End Crop Row Navigation via LiDAR-Based Deep Reinforcement Learning
Mineiro, Ana Luiza, Affonso, Francisco, Becker, Marcelo
Abstract-- Reliable navigation in under-canopy agricultural environments remains a challenge due to GNSS unreliability, cluttered rows, and variable lighting. T o address these limitations, we present an end-to-end learning-based navigation system that maps raw 3D LiDAR data directly to control commands using a deep reinforcement learning policy trained entirely in simulation. Our method includes a voxel-based downsampling strategy that reduces LiDAR input size by 95.83%, enabling efficient policy learning without relying on labeled datasets or manually designed control interfaces. The policy was validated in simulation, achieving a 100% success rate in straight-row plantations and showing a gradual decline in performance as row curvature increased, tested across varying sinusoidal frequencies and amplitudes. Autonomous robots have seen significant growth in modern agriculture, particularly for under-canopy tasks such as plant phenotyping, crop row harvesting, and disease scouting. These applications require platforms that are not only compact and agile but also capable of accurately navigating between dense crop rows (Figure 1) [1]. However, reliable navigation in such environments remains an active area of research due to several challenges, including clutter and occlusions caused by narrow row spacing and the high visual variability introduced by different plant growth stages [2].
Relational Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders
Negro, Matteo, Piras, Andrea, Ahsan, Ragib, Arbour, David, Zheleva, Elena
Estimating causal effects from real-world relational data can be challenging when the underlying causal model and potential confounders are unknown. While several causal discovery algorithms exist for learning causal models with latent confounders from data, they assume that the data is independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) and are not well-suited for learning from relational data. Similarly, existing relational causal discovery algorithms assume causal sufficiency, which is unrealistic for many real-world datasets. To address this gap, we propose RelFCI, a sound and complete causal discovery algorithm for relational data with latent confounders. Our work builds upon the Fast Causal Inference (FCI) and Relational Causal Discovery (RCD) algorithms and it defines new graphical models, necessary to support causal discovery in relational domains. We also establish soundness and completeness guarantees for relational d-separation with latent confounders. We present experimental results demonstrating the effectiveness of RelFCI in identifying the correct causal structure in relational causal models with latent confounders.
ABS: Enforcing Constraint Satisfaction On Generated Sequences Via Automata-Guided Beam Search
Collura, Vincenzo, Tit, Karim, Bussi, Laura, Giunchiglia, Eleonora, Cordy, Maxime
Sequence generation and prediction form a cornerstone of modern machine learning, with applications spanning natural language processing, program synthesis, and time-series forecasting. These tasks are typically modeled in an autoregressive fashion, where each token is generated conditional on the preceding ones, and beam search is commonly used to balance exploration and fluency during decoding. While deep learning models and Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at capturing statistical patterns in this setting, they remain ill-equipped to guarantee compliance with formal constraints. In this paper, we introduce ABS: a general and model-agnostic inference-time algorithm that guarantees compliance with any constraint that can be compiled into a Deterministic Finite Automaton (DFA), without requiring retraining. ABS leverages the DFA to guide a constrained variant of beam search: at each decoding step, transitions leading to violations are masked, while remaining paths are dynamically re-ranked according to both the model's probabilities and the automaton's acceptance structure. We formally prove that the resulting sequences are guaranteed to satisfy the given constraints, and we empirically demonstrate that ABS also improves output quality. We validate our approach on three distinct tasks: constrained image-stream classification, controlled text generation, and text infilling. In all settings, ABS achieves perfect constraint satisfaction, while outperforming or matching state-of-the-art baselines on standard quality metrics and efficiency.
Rethinking the Relationship between the Power Law and Hierarchical Structures
Nakaishi, Kai, Yoshida, Ryo, Kajikawa, Kohei, Hukushima, Koji, Oseki, Yohei
Statistical analysis of corpora provides an approach to quantitatively investigate natural languages. This approach has revealed that several power laws consistently emerge across different corpora and languages, suggesting universal mechanisms underlying languages. Particularly, the power-law decay of correlation has been interpreted as evidence for underlying hierarchical structures in syntax, semantics, and discourse. This perspective has also been extended to child speeches and animal signals. However, the argument supporting this interpretation has not been empirically tested in natural languages. To address this problem, the present study examines the validity of the argument for syntactic structures. Specifically, we test whether the statistical properties of parse trees align with the assumptions in the argument. Using English and Japanese corpora, we analyze the mutual information, deviations from probabilistic context-free grammars (PCFGs), and other properties in natural language parse trees, as well as in the PCFG that approximates these parse trees. Our results indicate that the assumptions do not hold for syntactic structures and that it is difficult to apply the proposed argument to child speeches and animal signals, highlighting the need to reconsider the relationship between the power law and hierarchical structures.
Learning CNF formulas from uniform random solutions in the local lemma regime
Feng, Weiming, Yang, Xiongxin, Yu, Yixiao, Zhang, Yiyao
We study the problem of learning a $n$-variables $k$-CNF formula $Φ$ from its i.i.d. uniform random solutions, which is equivalent to learning a Boolean Markov random field (MRF) with $k$-wise hard constraints. Revisiting Valiant's algorithm (Commun. ACM'84), we show that it can exactly learn (1) $k$-CNFs with bounded clause intersection size under Lovász local lemma type conditions, from $O(\log n)$ samples; and (2) random $k$-CNFs near the satisfiability threshold, from $\widetilde{O}(n^{\exp(-\sqrt{k})})$ samples. These results significantly improve the previous $O(n^k)$ sample complexity. We further establish new information-theoretic lower bounds on sample complexity for both exact and approximate learning from i.i.d. uniform random solutions.
A new class of Markov random fields enabling lightweight sampling
Courbot, Jean-Baptiste, Gangloff, Hugo, Colicchio, Bruno
This work addresses the problem of efficient sampling of Markov random fields (MRF). The sampling of Potts or Ising MRF is most often based on Gibbs sampling, and is thus computationally expensive. We consider in this work how to circumvent this bottleneck through a link with Gaussian Markov Random fields. The latter can be sampled in several cost-effective ways, and we introduce a mapping from real-valued GMRF to discrete-valued MRF. The resulting new class of MRF benefits from a few theoretical properties that validate the new model. Numerical results show the drastic performance gain in terms of computational efficiency, as we sample at least 35x faster than Gibbs sampling using at least 37x less energy, all the while exhibiting empirical properties close to classical MRFs.