Learning Graphical Models
Implicit Density Estimation by Local Moment Matching to Sample from Auto-Encoders
Bengio, Yoshua, Alain, Guillaume, Rifai, Salah
Recent work suggests that some auto-encoder variants do a good job of capturing the local manifold structure of the unknown data generating density. This paper contributes to the mathematical understanding of this phenomenon and helps define better justified sampling algorithms for deep learning based on auto-encoder variants. We consider an MCMC where each step samples from a Gaussian whose mean and covariance matrix depend on the previous state, defines through its asymptotic distribution a target density. First, we show that good choices (in the sense of consistency) for these mean and covariance functions are the local expected value and local covariance under that target density. Then we show that an auto-encoder with a contractive penalty captures estimators of these local moments in its reconstruction function and its Jacobian. A contribution of this work is thus a novel alternative to maximum-likelihood density estimation, which we call local moment matching. It also justifies a recently proposed sampling algorithm for the Contractive Auto-Encoder and extends it to the Denoising Auto-Encoder.
Markov Chains on Orbits of Permutation Groups
We present a novel approach to detecting and utilizing symmetries in probabilistic graphical models with two main contributions. First, we present a scalable approach to computing generating sets of permutation groups representing the symmetries of graphical models. Second, we introduce orbital Markov chains, a novel family of Markov chains leveraging model symmetries to reduce mixing times. We establish an insightful connection between model symmetries and rapid mixing of orbital Markov chains. Thus, we present the first lifted MCMC algorithm for probabilistic graphical models. Both analytical and empirical results demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of the approach.
Decentralized Data Fusion and Active Sensing with Mobile Sensors for Modeling and Predicting Spatiotemporal Traffic Phenomena
Chen, Jie, Low, Kian Hsiang, Tan, Colin Keng-Yan, Oran, Ali, Jaillet, Patrick, Dolan, John M., Sukhatme, Gaurav S.
The problem of modeling and predicting spatiotemporal traffic phenomena over an urban road network is important to many traffic applications such as detecting and forecasting congestion hotspots. This paper presents a decentralized data fusion and active sensing (D2FAS) algorithm for mobile sensors to actively explore the road network to gather and assimilate the most informative data for predicting the traffic phenomenon. We analyze the time and communication complexity of D2FAS and demonstrate that it can scale well with a large number of observations and sensors. We provide a theoretical guarantee on its predictive performance to be equivalent to that of a sophisticated centralized sparse approximation for the Gaussian process (GP) model: The computation of such a sparse approximate GP model can thus be parallelized and distributed among the mobile sensors (in a Google-like MapReduce paradigm), thereby achieving efficient and scalable prediction. We also theoretically guarantee its active sensing performance that improves under various practical environmental conditions. Empirical evaluation on real-world urban road network data shows that our D2FAS algorithm is significantly more time-efficient and scalable than state-of-the-art centralized algorithms while achieving comparable predictive performance.
Large Scale Variational Bayesian Inference for Structured Scale Mixture Models
Ko, Young Jun, Seeger, Matthias
Natural image statistics exhibit hierarchical dependencies across multiple scales. Representing such prior knowledge in non-factorial latent tree models can boost performance of image denoising, inpainting, deconvolution or reconstruction substantially, beyond standard factorial "sparse" methodology. We derive a large scale approximate Bayesian inference algorithm for linear models with non-factorial (latent tree-structured) scale mixture priors. Experimental results on a range of denoising and inpainting problems demonstrate substantially improved performance compared to MAP estimation or to inference with factorial priors.
Communications Inspired Linear Discriminant Analysis
Chen, Minhua, Carson, William, Rodrigues, Miguel, Calderbank, Robert, Carin, Lawrence
We study the problem of supervised linear dimensionality reduction, taking an information-theoretic viewpoint. The linear projection matrix is designed by maximizing the mutual information between the projected signal and the class label (based on a Shannon entropy measure). By harnessing a recent theoretical result on the gradient of mutual information, the above optimization problem can be solved directly using gradient descent, without requiring simplification of the objective function. Theoretical analysis and empirical comparison are made between the proposed method and two closely related methods (Linear Discriminant Analysis and Information Discriminant Analysis), and comparisons are also made with a method in which Renyi entropy is used to define the mutual information (in this case the gradient may be computed simply, under a special parameter setting). Relative to these alternative approaches, the proposed method achieves promising results on real datasets.
Ranking by Dependence - A Fair Criteria
Estimating the dependences between random variables, and ranking them accordingly, is a prevalent problem in machine learning. Pursuing frequentist and information-theoretic approaches, we first show that the p-value and the mutual information can fail even in simplistic situations. We then propose two conditions for regularizing an estimator of dependence, which leads to a simple yet effective new measure. We discuss its advantages and compare it to well-established model-selection criteria. Apart from that, we derive a simple constraint for regularizing parameter estimates in a graphical model. This results in an analytical approximation for the optimal value of the equivalent sample size, which agrees very well with the more involved Bayesian approach in our experiments.
Convergence of the EM Algorithm for Gaussian Mixtures with Unbalanced Mixing Coefficients
Naim, Iftekhar, Gildea, Daniel
The speed of convergence of the Expectation Maximization (EM) algorithm for Gaussian mixture model fitting is known to be dependent on the amount of overlap among the mixture components. In this paper, we study the impact of mixing coefficients on the convergence of EM. We show that when the mixture components exhibit some overlap, the convergence of EM becomes slower as the dynamic range among the mixing coefficients increases. We propose a deterministic anti-annealing algorithm, that significantly improves the speed of convergence of EM for such mixtures with unbalanced mixing coefficients. The proposed algorithm is compared against other standard optimization techniques like BFGS, Conjugate Gradient, and the traditional EM algorithm. Finally, we propose a similar deterministic anti-annealing based algorithm for the Dirichlet process mixture model and demonstrate its advantages over the conventional variational Bayesian approach.
Learning Object Arrangements in 3D Scenes using Human Context
Jiang, Yun, Lim, Marcus, Saxena, Ashutosh
We consider the problem of learning object arrangements in a 3D scene. The key idea here is to learn how objects relate to human poses based on their affordances, ease of use and reachability. In contrast to modeling object-object relationships, modeling human-object relationships scales linearly in the number of objects. We design appropriate density functions based on 3D spatial features to capture this. We learn the distribution of human poses in a scene using a variant of the Dirichlet process mixture model that allows sharing of the density function parameters across the same object types. Then we can reason about arrangements of the objects in the room based on these meaningful human poses. In our extensive experiments on 20 different rooms with a total of 47 objects, our algorithm predicted correct placements with an average error of 1.6 meters from ground truth. In arranging five real scenes, it received a score of 4.3/5 compared to 3.7 for the best baseline method.
Improved Estimation in Time Varying Models
Precup, Doina, Bachman, Philip
Locally adapted parameterizations of a model (such as locally weighted regression) are expressive but often suffer from high variance. We describe an approach for reducing the variance, based on the idea of estimating simultaneously a transformed space for the model, as well as locally adapted parameterizations in this new space. We present a new problem formulation that captures this idea and illustrate it in the important context of time varying models. We develop an algorithm for learning a set of bases for approximating a time varying sparse network; each learned basis constitutes an archetypal sparse network structure. We also provide an extension for learning task-driven bases. We present empirical results on synthetic data sets, as well as on a BCI EEG classification task.
On the Sample Complexity of Reinforcement Learning with a Generative Model
Azar, Mohammad Gheshlaghi, Munos, Remi, Kappen, Bert
We consider the problem of learning the optimal action-value function in the discounted-reward Markov decision processes (MDPs). We prove a new PAC bound on the sample-complexity of model-based value iteration algorithm in the presence of the generative model, which indicates that for an MDP with N state-action pairs and the discount factor \gamma\in[0,1) only O(N\log(N/\delta)/((1-\gamma)^3\epsilon^2)) samples are required to find an \epsilon-optimal estimation of the action-value function with the probability 1-\delta. We also prove a matching lower bound of \Theta (N\log(N/\delta)/((1-\gamma)^3\epsilon^2)) on the sample complexity of estimating the optimal action-value function by every RL algorithm. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first matching result on the sample complexity of estimating the optimal (action-) value function in which the upper bound matches the lower bound of RL in terms of N, \epsilon, \delta and 1/(1-\gamma). Also, both our lower bound and our upper bound significantly improve on the state-of-the-art in terms of 1/(1-\gamma).