Learning Graphical Models
Implementing your own k-nearest neighbour algorithm using Python
In machine learning, you may often wish to build predictors that allows to classify things into categories based on some set of associated values. For example, it is possible to provide a diagnosis to a patient based on data from previous patients. Many algorithms have been developed for automated classification, and common ones include random forests, support vector machines, Naïve Bayes classifiers, and many types of neural networks. To get a feel for how classification works, we take a simple example of a classification algorithm – k-Nearest Neighbours (kNN) – and build it from scratch in Python 2. You can use a mostly imperative style of coding, rather than a declarative/functional one with lambda functions and list comprehensions to keep things simple if you are starting with Python. Here, we will provide an introduction to the latter approach.
24 Uses of Statistical Modeling (Part II)
Check out Part I of this article for background information, and to discover the first 12 uses of statistical modeling. Here we list another 12 popular uses of statistical, data science, machine learning, optimization, graph theory, mathematical and operations research techniques. Monte-Carlo simulations are used in many contexts: to produce high quality pseudo-random numbers, in complex settings such as multi-layer spatio-temporal hierarchical Bayesian models, to estimate parameters (see picture below), to compute statistics associated with very rare events, or even to generate large amount of data (for instance cross and auto-correlated time series) to test and compare various algorithms, especially for stock trading or in engineering. Customer churn analysis helps you identify and focus on higher value customers, determine what actions typically precede a lost customer or sale, and better understand what factors influence customer retention. Statistical techniques involved include survival analysis (see Part I of this article) as well as Markov chains with four states: brand new customer, returning customer, inactive (lost) customer, and re-acquired customer, along with path analysis (including root cause analysis) to understand how customers move from one state to another, to maximize profit.
Tool for Computing Continuous Distributed Representations of Words
Natural language processing (NLP) involves machine learning, artificial intelligence, algorithms and linguistics related to interactions between computers and human languages. One important goal of NLP is to design and build software that will understand and analyze human languages to simplify and optimize human - computer communication. NLP algorithms are usually based on probability theory and machine learning grounded in statistical inference -- to automatically learn rules through analysis of real-world usage. It includes word and sentence tokenization, text classification and sentiment analysis, spelling correction, information extraction, parsing, meaning extraction, question answering and requires both syntactic and semantic analysis at various levels. NLP applications today involve spelling and grammar correction in word processors, machine translation, sentiment analysis and email spam detection.
Is Casual Discovery The Most Interesting Facet Of Machine Learning?
These questions originally appeared on Quora - the knowledge sharing network where compelling questions are answered by people with unique insights. Q: How should one start a career in machine learning? A: There is not just one way. You can start at any age. Some math background (in linear algebra, statistics, and calculus) is recommended, so take classes on these topics, if possible.
Exact Algorithms for MRE Inference
Most Relevant Explanation (MRE) is an inference task in Bayesian networks that finds the most relevant partial instantiation of target variables as an explanation for given evidence by maximizing the Generalized Bayes Factor (GBF). No exact MRE algorithm has been developed previously except exhaustive search. This paper fills the void by introducing two Breadth-First Branch-and-Bound (BFBnB) algorithms for solving MRE based on novel upper bounds of GBF. One upper bound is created by decomposing the computation of GBF using a target blanket decomposition of evidence variables. The other upper bound improves the first bound in two ways. One is to split the target blankets that are too large by converting auxiliary nodes into pseudo-targets so as to scale to large problems. The other is to perform summations instead of maximizations on some of the target variables in each target blanket. Our empirical evaluations show that the proposed BFBnB algorithms make exact MRE inference tractable in Bayesian networks that could not be solved previously.
Patterns of Scalable Bayesian Inference
Angelino, Elaine, Johnson, Matthew James, Adams, Ryan P.
Datasets are growing not just in size but in complexity, creating a demand for rich models and quantification of uncertainty. Bayesian methods are an excellent fit for this demand, but scaling Bayesian inference is a challenge. In response to this challenge, there has been considerable recent work based on varying assumptions about model structure, underlying computational resources, and the importance of asymptotic correctness. As a result, there is a zoo of ideas with few clear overarching principles. In this paper, we seek to identify unifying principles, patterns, and intuitions for scaling Bayesian inference. We review existing work on utilizing modern computing resources with both MCMC and variational approximation techniques. From this taxonomy of ideas, we characterize the general principles that have proven successful for designing scalable inference procedures and comment on the path forward.
Latent Dirichlet Allocation Using Gibbs Sampling
Text clustering is a widely used techniques to automatically draw out patterns from a set of documents. This notion can be extended to customer segmentation in the digital marketing field. As one of its main core is to understand what drives visitors to come, leave and behave on site. One simple way to do this is by reviewing words that they used to arrive on site and what words they used ( what things they searched) once they're on your site. Another usage of text clustering is for document organization or indexing (tagging).
R Users Will Now Inevitably Become Bayesians
There are several reasons why everyone isn't using Bayesian methods for regression modeling. One reason is that Bayesian modeling requires more thought: you need pesky things like priors, and you can't assume that if a procedure runs without throwing an error that the answers are valid. A second reason is that MCMC sampling -- the bedrock of practical Bayesian modeling -- can be slow compared to closed-form or MLE procedures. A third reason is that existing Bayesian solutions have either been highly-specialized (and thus inflexible), or have required knowing how to use a generalized tool like BUGS, JAGS, or Stan. This third reason has recently been shattered in the R world by not one but two packages: brms and rstanarm.
Data Augmentation via Levy Processes
Wager, Stefan, Fithian, William, Liang, Percy
If a document is about travel, we may expect that short snippets of the document should also be about travel. We introduce a general framework for incorporating these types of invariances into a discriminative classifier. The framework imagines data as being drawn from a slice of a Lévy process. If we slice the Lévy process at an earlier point in time, we obtain additional pseudo-examples, which can be used to train the classifier. We show that this scheme has two desirable properties: it preserves the Bayes decision boundary, and it is equivalent to fitting a generative model in the limit where we rewind time back to 0. Our construction captures popular schemes such as Gaussian feature noising and dropout training, as well as admitting new generalizations. Black-box discriminative classifiers such as logistic regression, neural networks, and SVMs are the go-to solution in machine learning: they are simple to apply and often perform well. However, an expert may have additional knowledge to exploit, often taking the form of a certain family of transformations that should usually leave labels fixed. For example, in object recognition, an image of a cat rotated, translated, and peppered with a small amount of noise is probably still a cat.