Learning Graphical Models
Co-Creative Level Design via Machine Learning
Guzdial, Matthew, Liao, Nicholas, Riedl, Mark
Procedural Level Generation via Machine Learning (PLGML), the study of generating game levels with machine learning, has received a large amount of recent academic attention. For certain measures these approaches have shown success at replicating the quality of existing game levels. However, it is unclear the extent to which they might benefit human designers. In this paper we present a framework for co-creative level design with a PLGML agent.
Supervised Neural Models Revitalize the Open Relation Extraction
Jia, Shengbin, Xiang, Yang, Chen, Xiaojun
Open relation extraction (ORE) remains a challenge to obtain a semantic representation by discovering arbitrary relation tuples from the un-structured text. However, perhaps due to limited data, previous extractors use unsupervised or semi-supervised methods based on pattern matching, which heavily depend on manual work or syntactic parsers and are inefficient or error-cascading. Their development has encountered bottlenecks. Although a few people try to use neural network based models to improve the ORE task performance recently, it is always intractable for ORE to produce supervised systems based on various neural architectures. We analyze and review the neural ORE methods. Further, we construct a large-scale automatically tagging training set and design a tagging scheme to frame ORE as a supervised sequence tagging task. A hybrid neural sequence tagging model (NST) is proposed which combines BiLSTM, CNN and CRF to capture the contextual temporal information, local spatial information, and sentence level tag information of the sequence by using the word and part-of-speech embeddings. Experiments on multiple datasets show that our method is better than most of the existing pattern-based methods and other neural networks based models.
A Survey of Learning Causality with Data: Problems and Methods
Guo, Ruocheng, Cheng, Lu, Li, Jundong, Hahn, P. Richard, Liu, Huan
The era of big data provides researchers with convenient access to copious data. However, people often have little knowledge about it. The increasing prevalence of big data is challenging the traditional methods of learning causality because they are developed for the cases with limited amount of data and solid prior causal knowledge. This survey aims to close the gap between big data and learning causality with a comprehensive and structured review of traditional and frontier methods and a discussion about some open problems of learning causality. We begin with preliminaries of learning causality. Then we categorize and revisit methods of learning causality for the typical problems and data types. After that, we discuss the connections between learning causality and machine learning. At the end, some open problems are presented to show the great potential of learning causality with data.
Flexible Mixture Modeling on Constrained Spaces
Sudyanti, Putu Ayu, Rao, Vinayak
This paper addresses challenges in flexibly modeling multimodal data that lie on constrained spaces. Applications include climate or crime measurements in a geographical area, or flow-cytometry experiments, where unsuitable recordings are discarded. A simple approach to modeling such data is through the use of mixture models, with each component following an appropriate truncated distribution. Problems arise when the truncation involves complicated constraints, leading to difficulties in specifying the component distributions, and in evaluating their normalization constants. Bayesian inference over the parameters of these models results in posterior distributions that are doubly-intractable. We address this problem via an algorithm based on rejection sampling and data augmentation. We view samples from a truncated distribution as outcomes of a rejection sampling scheme, where proposals are made from a simple mixture model, and are rejected if they violate the constraints. Our scheme proceeds by imputing the rejected samples given mixture parameters, and then resampling parameters given all samples. We study two modeling approaches: mixtures of truncated components and truncated mixtures of components. In both situations, we describe exact Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling algorithms, as well as approximations that bound the number of rejected samples, achieving computational efficiency and lower variance at the cost of asymptotic bias. Overall, our methodology only requires practitioners to provide an indicator function for the set of interest. We present results on simulated data and apply our algorithm to two problems, one involving flow-cytometry data, and the other, crime recorded in the city of Chicago.
Text Summarization as Tree Transduction by Top-Down TreeLSTM
Bacciu, Davide, Bruno, Antonio
Extractive compression is a challenging natural language processing problem. This work contributes by formulating neural extractive compression as a parse tree transduction problem, rather than a sequence transduction task. Motivated by this, we introduce a deep neural model for learning structure-to-substructure tree transductions by extending the standard Long Short-Term Memory, considering the parent-child relationships in the structural recursion. The proposed model can achieve state of the art performance on sentence compression benchmarks, both in terms of accuracy and compression rate.
Hidden Markov Model Estimation-Based Q-learning for Partially Observable Markov Decision Process
Yoon, Hyung-Jin, Lee, Donghwan, Hovakimyan, Naira
Abstract-- The objective is to study an online Hidden Markov model (HMM) estimation-based Q-learning algorithm for partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) on finite state and action sets. When the full state observation is available, Q-learning finds the optimal action-value function given the current action (Q-function). However, Q-learning can perform poorly when the full state observation is not available. In this paper, we formulate the POMDP estimation into a HMM estimation problem and propose a recursive algorithm to estimate both the POMDP parameter and Q-function concurrently. Also, we show that the POMDP estimation converges to a set of stationary points for the maximum likelihood estimate, and the Q-function estimation converges to a fixed point that satisfies the Bellman optimality equation weighted on the invariant distribution of the state belief determined by the HMM estimation process.
Better Safe than Sorry: Evidence Accumulation Allows for Safe Reinforcement Learning
Agarwal, Akshat, Kumar, Abhinau V, Dunovan, Kyle, Peterson, Erik, Verstynen, Timothy, Sycara, Katia
In the real world, agents often have to operate in situations with incomplete information, limited sensing capabilities, and inherently stochastic environments, making individual observations incomplete and unreliable. Moreover, in many situations it is preferable to delay a decision rather than run the risk of making a bad decision. In such situations it is necessary to aggregate information before taking an action; however, most state of the art reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms are biased towards taking actions \textit{at every time step}, even if the agent is not particularly confident in its chosen action. This lack of caution can lead the agent to make critical mistakes, regardless of prior experience and acclimation to the environment. Motivated by theories of dynamic resolution of uncertainty during decision making in biological brains, we propose a simple accumulator module which accumulates evidence in favor of each possible decision, encodes uncertainty as a dynamic competition between actions, and acts on the environment only when it is sufficiently confident in the chosen action. The agent makes no decision by default, and the burden of proof to make a decision falls on the policy to accrue evidence strongly in favor of a single decision. Our results show that this accumulator module achieves near-optimal performance on a simple guessing game, far outperforming deep recurrent networks using traditional, forced action selection policies.
Statistical Estimation of Malware Detection Metrics in the Absence of Ground Truth
Du, Pang, Sun, Zheyuan, Chen, Huashan, Cho, Jin-Hee, Xu, Shouhuai
The accurate measurement of security metrics is a critical research problem because an improper or inaccurate measurement process can ruin the usefulness of the metrics, no matter how well they are defined. This is a highly challenging problem particularly when the ground truth is unknown or noisy. In contrast to the well perceived importance of defining security metrics, the measurement of security metrics has been little understood in the literature. In this paper, we measure five malware detection metrics in the {\em absence} of ground truth, which is a realistic setting that imposes many technical challenges. The ultimate goal is to develop principled, automated methods for measuring these metrics at the maximum accuracy possible. The problem naturally calls for investigations into statistical estimators by casting the measurement problem as a {\em statistical estimation} problem. We propose statistical estimators for these five malware detection metrics. By investigating the statistical properties of these estimators, we are able to characterize when the estimators are accurate, and what adjustments can be made to improve them under what circumstances. We use synthetic data with known ground truth to validate these statistical estimators. Then, we employ these estimators to measure five metrics with respect to a large dataset collected from VirusTotal. We believe our study touches upon a vital problem that has not been paid due attention and will inspire many future investigations.
Streaming dynamic and distributed inference of latent geometric structures
Yurochkin, Mikhail, Fan, Zhiwei, Guha, Aritra, Koutris, Paraschos, Nguyen, XuanLong
The topic or population polytope (Nguyen, 2015; Tang et al., 2014) is a fundamental geometric object that underlies the presence of latent topic variables in topic and admixture models (Blei et al., 2003; Pritchard et al., 2000). When data and the associated topics are indexed by time dimension, it is of interest to study the temporal dynamics of such latent geometric structures. In this paper, we will study the modeling and algorithms for learning the temporal dynamics of topic polytope that arises in the analysis of text corpora. The convex geometry of topic models provides the theoretical basis for posterior contraction analysis of latent topics (Nguyen, 2015; Tang et al., 2014). Furthermore, Yurochkin & Nguyen (2016); Yurochkin et al. (2017) exploited convex geometry to develop fast and quite accurate inference algorithms in a number of parametric and nonparametric settings.
On the Behavior of the Expectation-Maximization Algorithm for Mixture Models
Barazandeh, Babak, Razaviyayn, Meisam
Finite mixture models are among the most popular statistical models used in different data science disciplines. Despite their broad applicability, inference under these models typically leads to computationally challenging non-convex problems. While the Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithm is the most popular approach for solving these non-convex problems, the behavior of this algorithm is not well understood. In this work, we focus on the case of mixture of Laplacian (or Gaussian) distribution. We start by analyzing a simple equally weighted mixture of two single dimensional Laplacian distributions and show that every local optimum of the population maximum likelihood estimation problem is globally optimal. Then, we prove that the EM algorithm converges to the ground truth parameters almost surely with random initialization. Our result extends the existing results for Gaussian distribution to Laplacian distribution. Then we numerically study the behavior of mixture models with more than two components. Motivated by our extensive numerical experiments, we propose a novel stochastic method for estimating the mean of components of a mixture model. Our numerical experiments show that our algorithm outperforms the Naive EM algorithm in almost all scenarios.