Learning Graphical Models
Automatic crack detection and classification by exploiting statistical event descriptors for Deep Learning
Siracusano, Giulio, La Corte, Aurelio, Tomasello, Riccardo, Lamonaca, Francesco, Scuro, Carmelo, Garescì, Francesca, Carpentieri, Mario, Finocchio, Giovanni
In modern building infrastructures, the chance to devise adaptive and unsupervised data-driven health monitoring systems is gaining in popularity due to the large availability of data from low-cost sensors with internetworking capabilities. In particular, deep learning provides the tools for processing and analyzing this unprecedented amount of data efficiently. The main purpose of this paper is to combine the recent advances of Deep Learning (DL) and statistical analysis on structural health monitoring (SHM) to develop an accurate classification tool able to discriminate among different acoustic emission events (cracks) by means of the identification of tensile, shear and mixed modes. The applications of DL in SHM systems is described by using the concept of Bidirectional Long Short Term Memory. We investigated on effective event descriptors to capture the unique characteristics from the different types of modes. Among them, Spectral Kurtosis and Spectral L2/L1 Norm exhibit distinctive behavior and effectively contributed to the learning process. This classification will contribute to unambiguously detect incipient damages, which is advantageous to realize predictive maintenance. Tests on experimental results confirm that this method achieves accurate classification (92%) capabilities of crack events and can impact on the design of future SHM technologies.
The Virtual Patch Clamp: Imputing C. elegans Membrane Potentials from Calcium Imaging
Warrington, Andrew, Spencer, Arthur, Wood, Frank
We develop a stochastic whole-brain and body simulator of the nematode roundworm Caenorhabditis elegans (C. elegans) and show that it is sufficiently regularizing to allow imputation of latent membrane potentials from partial calcium fluorescence imaging observations. This is the first attempt we know of to "complete the circle," where an anatomically grounded whole-connectome simulator is used to impute a time-varying "brain" state at single-cell fidelity from covariates that are measurable in practice. The sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) method we employ not only enables imputation of said latent states but also presents a strategy for learning simulator parameters via variational optimization of the noisy model evidence approximation provided by SMC. Our imputation and parameter estimation experiments were conducted on distributed systems using novel implementations of the aforementioned techniques applied to synthetic data of dimension and type representative of that which are measured in laboratories currently.
Music Recommendations in Hyperbolic Space: An Application of Empirical Bayes and Hierarchical Poincar\'e Embeddings
Schmeier, Tim, Garrett, Sam, Chisari, Joseph, Vintch, Brett
Matrix Factorization (MF) is a common method for generating recommendations, where the proximity of entities like users or items in the embedded space indicates their similarity to one another. Though almost all applications implicitly use a Euclidean embedding space to represent two entity types, recent work has suggested that a hyperbolic Poincar\'e ball may be more well suited to representing multiple entity types, and in particular, hierarchies. We describe a novel method to embed a hierarchy of related music entities in hyperbolic space. We also describe how a parametric empirical Bayes approach can be used to estimate link reliability between entities in the hierarchy. Applying these methods together to build personalized playlists for users in a digital music service yielded a large and statistically significant increase in performance during an A/B test, as compared to the Euclidean model.
On the relationship between variational inference and adaptive importance sampling
Finke, Axel, Thiery, Alexandre H.
The importance weighted autoencoder (IWAE) (Burda et al., 2016) and reweighted wake-sleep (RWS) algorithm (Bornschein and Bengio, 2015) are popular approaches which employ multiple samples to achieve bias reductions compared to standard variational methods. However, their relationship has hitherto been unclear. We introduce a simple, unified framework for multi-sample variational inference termed adaptive importance sampling for learning (AISLE) and show that it admits IWAE and RWS as special cases. Through a principled application of a variance-reduction technique from Tucker et al. (2019), we also show that the sticking-the-landing (STL) gradient from Roeder et al. (2017), which previously lacked theoretical justification, can be recovered as a special case of RWS (and hence of AISLE). In particular, this indicates that the breakdown of RWS -- but not of STL -- observed in Tucker et al. (2019) may not be attributable to the lack of a joint objective for the generative-model and inference-network parameters as previously conjectured. Finally, we argue that our adaptive-importance-sampling interpretation of variational inference leads to more natural and principled extensions to sequential Monte Carlo methods than the IWAE-type multi-sample objective interpretation.
Classified Regression for Bayesian Optimization: Robot Learning with Unknown Penalties
Marco, Alonso, Baumann, Dominik, Hennig, Philipp, Trimpe, Sebastian
Learning robot controllers by minimizing a black-box objective cost using Bayesian optimization (BO) can be time-consuming and challenging. It is very often the case that some roll-outs result in failure behaviors, causing premature experiment detention. In such cases, the designer is forced to decide on heuristic cost penalties because the acquired data is often scarce, or not comparable with that of the stable policies. To overcome this, we propose a Bayesian model that captures exactly what we know about the cost of unstable controllers prior to data collection: Nothing, except that it should be a somewhat large number. The resulting Bayesian model, approximated with a Gaussian process, predicts high cost values in regions where failures are likely to occur. In this way, the model guides the BO exploration toward regions of stability. We demonstrate the benefits of the proposed model in several illustrative and statistical synthetic benchmarks, and also in experiments on a real robotic platform. In addition, we propose and experimentally validate a new BO method to account for unknown constraints. Such method is an extension of Max-Value Entropy Search, a recent information-theoretic method, to solve unconstrained global optimization problems.
Convolutional Dictionary Learning in Hierarchical Networks
Zazo, Javier, Tolooshams, Bahareh, Ba, Demba
Filter banks are a popular tool for the analysis of piecewise smooth signals such as natural images. Motivated by the empirically observed properties of scale and detail coefficients of images in the wavelet domain, we propose a hierarchical deep generative model of piecewise smooth signals that is a recursion across scales: the low pass scale coefficients at one layer are obtained by filtering the scale coefficients at the next layer, and adding a high pass detail innovation obtained by filtering a sparse vector. This recursion describes a linear dynamic system that is a non-Gaussian Markov process across scales and is closely related to multilayer-convolutional sparse coding (ML-CSC) generative model for deep networks, except that our model allows for deeper architectures, and combines sparse and non-sparse signal representations. We propose an alternating minimization algorithm for learning the filters in this hierarchical model given observations at layer zero, e.g., natural images. The algorithm alternates between a coefficient-estimation step and a filter update step. The coefficient update step performs sparse (detail) and smooth (scale) coding and, when unfolded, leads to a deep neural network. We use MNIST to demonstrate the representation capabilities of the model, and its derived features (coefficients) for classification.
A Deep Learning System for Predicting Size and Fit in Fashion E-Commerce
Sheikh, Abdul-Saboor, Guigoures, Romain, Koriagin, Evgenii, Ho, Yuen King, Shirvany, Reza, Vollgraf, Roland, Bergmann, Urs
Personalized size and fit recommendations bear crucial significance for any fashion e-commerce platform. Predicting the correct fit drives customer satisfaction and benefits the business by reducing costs incurred due to size-related returns. Traditional collaborative filtering algorithms seek to model customer preferences based on their previous orders. A typical challenge for such methods stems from extreme sparsity of customer-article orders. To alleviate this problem, we propose a deep learning based content-collaborative methodology for personalized size and fit recommendation. Our proposed method can ingest arbitrary customer and article data and can model multiple individuals or intents behind a single account. The method optimizes a global set of parameters to learn population-level abstractions of size and fit relevant information from observed customer-article interactions. It further employs customer and article specific embedding variables to learn their properties. Together with learned entity embeddings, the method maps additional customer and article attributes into a latent space to derive personalized recommendations. Application of our method to two publicly available datasets demonstrate an improvement over the state-of-the-art published results. On two proprietary datasets, one containing fit feedback from fashion experts and the other involving customer purchases, we further outperform comparable methodologies, including a recent Bayesian approach for size recommendation.
Generic Prediction Architecture Considering both Rational and Irrational Driving Behaviors
Hu, Yeping, Sun, Liting, Tomizuka, Masayoshi
Accurately predicting future behaviors of surrounding vehicles is an essential capability for autonomous vehicles in order to plan safe and feasible trajectories. The behaviors of others, however, are full of uncertainties. Both rational and irrational behaviors exist, and the autonomous vehicles need to be aware of this in their prediction module. The prediction module is also expected to generate reasonable results in the presence of unseen and corner scenarios. Two types of prediction models are typically used to solve the prediction problem: learning-based model and planning-based model. Learning-based model utilizes real driving data to model the human behaviors. Depending on the structure of the data, learning-based models can predict both rational and irrational behaviors. But the balance between them cannot be customized, which creates challenges in generalizing the prediction results. Planning-based model, on the other hand, usually assumes human as a rational agent, i.e., it anticipates only rational behavior of human drivers. In this paper, a generic prediction architecture is proposed to address various rationalities in human behavior. We leverage the advantages from both learning-based and planning-based prediction models. The proposed approach is able to predict continuous trajectories that well-reflect possible future situations of other drivers. Moreover, the prediction performance remains stable under various unseen driving scenarios. A case study under a real-world roundabout scenario is provided to demonstrate the performance and capability of the proposed prediction architecture.
Hidden Markov Models derived from Behavior Trees
These BTs assume that units of intelligent behavior (such as decisions or units of action) can be described such that they perform a piece of an overall task/behavior, and that they can determine and return a 1-bit result indicating success or failure. These units are the leaves of BTs. The level of abstraction of BT leaves is not specified by the BT formalism and may vary from one application to another or within a single BT. But BTs are deterministic and do not have well established tools for tracking with noisy data, or parameter identification. In medical robotics, researchers are turning attention to augmentation of the purely teleoperated existing systems such as the daVinci TM surgical robotic system (Intuitive Surgical, Sunnyvale, CA) with intelligent functions [18, 19].
Artificial Intelligence Powers Trading for GO Market Investors
GO Market has made the decision to include a-Quant's trading signals to selected clients. This means clients can use artificial intelligence (AI) to forecast the movement of their asset portfolios. AI has been utilized in the financial trading world for a while but has only recently seen more traction in the retail industry due to the demands of traders wanting tools to maximize their gains. GO Market has promoted this recent change to the public and state that they are happy that their clients can quickly deploy the signals a-Quant services provide, by using this cutting-edge technology. GO Market made the headlines earlier this year by adding stocks from the Australian Stock Exchange to be traded on MT5.