Learning Graphical Models
Sparse Canonical Correlation Analysis via Concave Minimization
Solari, Omid S., Brown, James B., Bickel, Peter J.
A new approach to the sparse Canonical Correlation Analysis (sCCA)is proposed with the aim of discovering interpretable associations in very high-dimensional multi-view, i.e.observations of multiple sets of variables on the same subjects, problems. Inspired by the sparse PCA approach of Journee et al. (2010), we also show that the sparse CCA formulation, while non-convex, is equivalent to a maximization program of a convex objective over a compact set for which we propose a first-order gradient method. This result helps us reduce the search space drastically to the boundaries of the set. Consequently, we propose a two-step algorithm, where we first infer the sparsity pattern of the canonical directions using our fast algorithm, then we shrink each view, i.e. observations of a set of covariates, to contain observations on the sets of covariates selected in the previous step, and compute their canonical directions via any CCA algorithm. We also introduceDirected Sparse CCA, which is able to find associations which are aligned with a specified experiment design, andMulti-View sCCA which is used to discover associations between multiple sets of covariates. Our simulations establish the superior convergence properties and computational efficiency of our algorithm as well as accuracy in terms of the canonical correlation and its ability to recover the supports of the canonical directions. We study the associations between metabolomics, trasncriptomics and microbiomics in a multi-omic study usingMuLe, which is an R-package that implements our approach, in order to form hypotheses on mechanisms of adaptations of Drosophila Melanogaster to high doses of environmental toxicants, specifically Atrazine, which is a commonly used chemical fertilizer.
Ranking metrics on non-shuffled traffic
Ranking metrics are a family of metrics largely used to evaluate recommender systems. However they typically suffer from the fact the reward is affected by the order in which recommended items are displayed to the user. A classical way to overcome this position bias is to uniformly shuffle a proportion of the recommendations, but this method may result in a bad user experience. It is nevertheless common to use a stochastic policy to generate the recommendations, and we suggest a new method to overcome the position bias, by leveraging the stochasticity of the policy used to collect the dataset.
A Review of Tracking, Prediction and Decision Making Methods for Autonomous Driving
Leon, Florin, Gavrilescu, Marius
This literature review focuses on three important aspects of an autonomous car system: tracking (assessing the identity of the actors such as cars, pedestrians or obstacles in a sequence of observations), prediction (predicting the future motion of surrounding vehicles in order to navigate through various traffic scenarios) and decision making (analyzing the available actions of the ego car and their consequences to the entire driving context). For tracking and prediction, approaches based on (deep) neural networks and other, especially stochastic techniques, are reported. For decision making, deep reinforcement learning algorithms are presented, together with methods used to explore different alternative actions, such as Monte Carlo Tree Search.
Prediction of rare feature combinations in population synthesis: Application of deep generative modelling
Garrido, Sergio, Borysov, Stanislav S., Pereira, Francisco C., Rich, Jeppe
In population synthesis applications, when considering populations with many attributes, a fundamental problem is the estimation of rare combinations of feature attributes. Unsurprisingly, it is notably more difficult to reliably representthe sparser regions of such multivariate distributions and in particular combinations of attributes which are absent from the original sample. In the literature this is commonly known as sampling zeros for which no systematic solution has been proposed so far. In this paper, two machine learning algorithms, from the family of deep generative models,are proposed for the problem of population synthesis and with particular attention to the problem of sampling zeros. Specifically, we introduce the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN) and the Variational Autoencoder(VAE), and adapt these algorithms for a large-scale population synthesis application. The models are implemented on a Danish travel survey with a feature-space of more than 60 variables. The models are validated in a cross-validation scheme and a set of new metrics for the evaluation of the sampling-zero problem is proposed. Results show how these models are able to recover sampling zeros while keeping the estimation of truly impossible combinations, the structural zeros, at a comparatively low level. Particularly, for a low dimensional experiment, the VAE, the marginal sampler and the fully random sampler generate 5%, 21% and 26%, respectively, more structural zeros per sampling zero generated by the WGAN, while for a high dimensional case, these figures escalate to 44%, 2217% and 170440%, respectively. This research directly supports the development of agent-based systems and in particular cases where detailed socio-economic or geographical representations are required.
Vehicle routing by learning from historical solutions
The goal of this paper is to investigate a decision support system for vehicle routing, where the routing engine learns from the subjective decisions that human planners have made in the past, rather than optimizing a distance-based objective criterion. This is an alternative to the practice of formulating a custom VRP for every company with its own routing requirements. Instead, we assume the presence of past vehicle routing solutions over similar sets of customers, and learn to make similar choices. The approach is based on the concept of learning a first-order Markov model, which corresponds to a probabilistic transition matrix, rather than a deterministic distance matrix. This nevertheless allows us to use existing arc routing VRP software in creating the actual route plans. For the learning, we explore different schemes to construct the probabilistic transition matrix. Our results on a use-case with a small transportation company show that our method is able to generate results that are close to the manually created solutions, without needing to characterize all constraints and sub-objectives explicitly. Even in the case of changes in the client sets, our method is able to find solutions that are closer to the actual route plans than when using distances, and hence, solutions that would require fewer manual changes to transform into the actual route plan.
!MDP Playground: Meta-Features in Reinforcement Learning
Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms usually assume their environment to be a Markov Decision Process (MDP). Additionally, they do not try to identify specific features of environments which could help them perform better. Here, we present a few key meta-features of environments: delayed rewards, specific reward sequences, sparsity of rewards, and stochasticity of environments, which may violate the MDP assumptions and adapting to which should help RL agents perform better. While it is very time consuming to run RL algorithms on standard benchmarks, we define a parameterised collection of fast-to-run toy benchmarks in OpenAI Gym by varying these meta-features. Despite their toy nature and low compute requirements, we show that these benchmarks present substantial difficulties to current RL algorithms. Furthermore, since we can generate environments with a desired value for each of the meta-features, we have fine-grained control over the environments' difficulty and also have the ground truth available for evaluating algorithms. We believe that devising algorithms that can detect such meta-features of environments and adapt to them will be key to creating robust RL algorithms that work in a variety of different real-world problems.
Inference for multiple object tracking: A Bayesian nonparametric approach
In recent years, multi object tracking (MOT) problem has drawn attention to it and has been studied in various research areas. However, some of the challenging problems including time dependent cardinality, unordered measurement set, and object labeling remain unclear. In this paper, we propose robust nonparametric methods to model the state prior for MOT problem. These models are shown to be more flexible and robust compared to existing methods. In particular, the overall approach estimates time dependent object cardinality, provides object labeling, and identifies object associated measurements. Moreover, our proposed framework dynamically contends with the birth/death and survival of the objects through dependent nonparametric processes. We present Inference algorithms that demonstrate the utility of the dependent nonparametric models for tracking. We employ Monte Carlo sampling methods to demonstrate the proposed algorithms efficiently learn the trajectory of objects from noisy measurements. The computational results display the performance of the proposed algorithms and comparison not only between one another, but also between proposed algorithms and labeled multi Bernoulli tracker.
Band-Limited Gaussian Processes: The Sinc Kernel
We propose a novel class of Gaussian processes (GPs) whose spectra have compact support, meaning that their sample trajectories are almost-surely band limited. As a complement to the growing literature on spectral design of covariance kernels, the core of our proposal is to model power spectral densities through a rectangular function, which results in a kernel based on the sinc function with straightforward extensions to non-centred (around zero frequency) and frequency-varying cases. In addition to its use in regression, the relationship between the sinc kernel and the classic theory is illuminated, in particular, the Shannon-Nyquist theorem is interpreted as posterior reconstruction under the proposed kernel. Additionally, we show that the sinc kernel is instrumental in two fundamental signal processing applications: first, in stereo amplitude modulation, where the non-centred sinc kernel arises naturally. Second, for band-pass filtering, where the proposed kernel allows for a Bayesian treatment that is robust to observation noise and missing data. The developed theory is complemented with illustrative graphic examples and validated experimentally using real-world data.
Learning to Benchmark: Determining Best Achievable Misclassification Error from Training Data
Noshad, Morteza, Xu, Li, Hero, Alfred
We address the problem of learning to benchmark the best achievable classifier performance. In this problem the objective is to establish statistically consistent estimates of the Bayes misclassification error rate without having to learn a Bayes-optimal classifier. Our learning to benchmark framework improves on previous work on learning bounds on Bayes misclassification rate since it learns the {\it exact} Bayes error rate instead of a bound on error rate. We propose a benchmark learner based on an ensemble of $\epsilon$-ball estimators and Chebyshev approximation. Under a smoothness assumption on the class densities we show that our estimator achieves an optimal (parametric) mean squared error (MSE) rate of $O(N^{-1})$, where $N$ is the number of samples. Experiments on both simulated and real datasets establish that our proposed benchmark learning algorithm produces estimates of the Bayes error that are more accurate than previous approaches for learning bounds on Bayes error probability.
Distance Assessment and Hypothesis Testing of High-Dimensional Samples using Variational Autoencoders
Inácio, Marco Henrique de Almeida, Izbicki, Rafael, Gyires-Tóth, Bálint
Given two distinct datasets, an important question is if they have arisen from the the same data generating function or alternatively how their data generating functions diverge from one another. In this paper, we introduce an approach for measuring the distance between two datasets with high dimensionality using variational autoencoders. This approach is augmented by a permutation hypothesis test in order to check the hypothesis that the data generating distributions are the same within a significance level. We evaluate both the distance measurement and hypothesis testing approaches on generated and on public datasets. According to the results the proposed approach can be used for data exploration (e.g. by quantifying the discrepancy/separability between categories of images), which can be particularly useful in the early phases of the pipeline of most machine learning projects.