Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction is one of the most important and challenging in calculating advertisements and recommendation systems. To build a machine learning system with these data, it is important to properly model the interaction among features. However, many current works calculate the feature interactions in a simple way such as inner product and element-wise product. This paper aims to fully utilize the information between features and improve the performance of deep neural networks in the CTR prediction task. In this paper, we propose a Feature Interaction based Neural Network (FINN) which is able to model feature interaction via a 3-dimention relation tensor. FINN provides representations for the feature interactions on the the bottom layer and the non-linearity of neural network in modelling higher-order feature interactions. We evaluate our models on CTR prediction tasks compared with classical baselines and show that our deep FINN model outperforms other state-of-the-art deep models such as PNN and DeepFM. Evaluation results demonstrate that feature interaction contains significant information for better CTR prediction. It also indicates that our models can effectively learn the feature interactions, and achieve better performances in real-world datasets.

In this paper, we introduce proximal gradient temporal difference learning, which provides a principled way of designing and analyzing true stochastic gradient temporal difference learning algorithms. We show how gradient TD (GTD) reinforcement learning methods can be formally derived, not by starting from their original objective functions, as previously attempted, but rather from a primal-dual saddle-point objective function. We also conduct a saddle-point error analysis to obtain finite-sample bounds on their performance. Previous analyses of this class of algorithms use stochastic approximation techniques to prove asymptotic convergence, and do not provide any finite-sample analysis. We also propose an accelerated algorithm, called GTD2-MP, that uses proximal ``mirror maps'' to yield an improved convergence rate. The results of our theoretical analysis imply that the GTD family of algorithms are comparable and may indeed be preferred over existing least squares TD methods for off-policy learning, due to their linear complexity. We provide experimental results showing the improved performance of our accelerated gradient TD methods.

We study the reinforcement learning problem in the setting of finite-horizon episodic Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) with $S$ states, $A$ actions, and episode length $H$. We propose a model-free algorithm UCB-Advantage and prove that it achieves $\tilde{O}(\sqrt{H^2SAT})$ regret where $T = KH$ and $K$ is the number of episodes to play. Our regret bound improves upon the results of [Jin et al., 2018] and matches the best known model-based algorithms as well as the information theoretic lower bound up to logarithmic factors. We also show that UCB-Advantage achieves low local switching cost and applies to concurrent reinforcement learning, improving upon the recent results of [Bai et al., 2019].

The identification of nonlinear dynamics from observations is essential for the alignment of the theoretical ideas and experimental data. The last, in turn, is often corrupted by the side effects and noise of different natures, so probabilistic approaches could give a more general picture of the process. At the same time, high-dimensional probabilities modeling is a challenging and data-intensive task. In this paper, we establish a parallel between the dynamical systems modeling and language modeling tasks. We propose a transformer-based model that incorporates geometrical properties of the data and provide an iterative training algorithm allowing the fine-grid approximation of the conditional probabilities of high-dimensional dynamical systems.

Calcium imaging is a critical tool for measuring the activity of large neural populations. Much effort has been devoted to developing "pre-processing" tools for calcium video data, addressing the important issues of e.g., motion correction, denoising, compression, demixing, and deconvolution. However, statistical modeling of deconvolved calcium signals (i.e., the estimated activity extracted by a pre-processing pipeline) is just as critical for interpreting calcium measurements, and for incorporating these observations into downstream probabilistic encoding and decoding models. Surprisingly, these issues have to date received significantly less attention. In this work we examine the statistical properties of the deconvolved activity estimates, and compare probabilistic models for these random signals. In particular, we propose a zero-inflated gamma (ZIG) model, which characterizes the calcium responses as a mixture of a gamma distribution and a point mass that serves to model zero responses. We apply the resulting models to neural encoding and decoding problems. We find that the ZIG model outperforms simpler models (e.g., Poisson or Bernoulli models) in the context of both simulated and real neural data, and can therefore play a useful role in bridging calcium imaging analysis methods with tools for analyzing activity in large neural populations.

Most prior work on task-oriented dialogue systems are restricted to a limited coverage of domain APIs, while users oftentimes have domain related requests that are not covered by the APIs. In this paper, we propose to expand coverage of task-oriented dialogue systems by incorporating external unstructured knowledge sources. We define three sub-tasks: knowledge-seeking turn detection, knowledge selection, and knowledge-grounded response generation, which can be modeled individually or jointly. We introduce an augmented version of MultiWOZ 2.1, which includes new out-of-API-coverage turns and responses grounded on external knowledge sources. We present baselines for each sub-task using both conventional and neural approaches. Our experimental results demonstrate the need for further research in this direction to enable more informative conversational systems.

Reinforcement Learning (RL) based methods have seen their paramount successes in solving serial decision-making and control problems in recent years. For conventional RL formulations, Markov Decision Process (MDP) and state-action-value function are the basis for the problem modeling and policy evaluation. However, several challenging issues still remain. Among most cited issues, the enormity of state/action space is an important factor that causes inefficiency in accurately approximating the state-action-value function. We observe that although actions directly define the agents' behaviors, for many problems the next state after a state transition matters more than the action taken, in determining the return of such a state transition. In this regard, we propose a new learning paradigm, State Action Separable Reinforcement Learning (sasRL), wherein the action space is decoupled from the value function learning process for higher efficiency. Then, a light-weight transition model is learned to assist the agent to determine the action that triggers the associated state transition. In addition, our convergence analysis reveals that under certain conditions, the convergence time of sasRL is $O(T^{1/k})$, where $T$ is the convergence time for updating the value function in the MDP-based formulation and $k$ is a weighting factor. Experiments on several gaming scenarios show that sasRL outperforms state-of-the-art MDP-based RL algorithms by up to $75\%$.

Reinforcement learners are agents that learn to pick actions that lead to high reward. Ideally, the value of a reinforcement learner's policy approaches optimality--where the optimal informed policy is the one which maximizes reward. Unfortunately, we show that if an agent is guaranteed to be "asymptotically optimal" in any (stochastically computable) environment, then subject to an assumption about the true environment, this agent will be either destroyed or incapacitated with probability 1; both of these are forms of traps as understood in the Markov Decision Process literature. Environments with traps pose a well-known problem for agents, but we are unaware of other work which shows that traps are not only a risk, but a certainty, for agents of a certain caliber. Much work in reinforcement learning uses an ergodicity assumption to avoid this problem. Often, doing theoretical research under simplifying assumptions prepares us to provide practical solutions even in the absence of those assumptions, but the ergodicity assumption in reinforcement learning may have led us entirely astray in preparing safe and effective exploration strategies for agents in dangerous environments. Rather than assuming away the problem, we present an agent with the modest guarantee of approaching the performance of a mentor, doing safe exploration instead of reckless exploration.

Prognostics is concerned with predicting the future health of the equipment and any potential failures. With the advances in the Internet of Things (IoT), data-driven approaches for prognostics that leverage the power of machine learning models are gaining popularity. One of the most important categories of data-driven approaches relies on a predefined or learned health indicator to characterize the equipment condition up to the present time and make inference on how it is likely to evolve in the future. In these approaches, health indicator forecasting that constructs the health indicator curve over the lifespan using partially observed measurements (i.e., health indicator values within an initial period) plays a key role. Existing health indicator forecasting algorithms, such as the functional Empirical Bayesian approach, the regression-based formulation, a naive scenario matching based on the nearest neighbor, have certain limitations. In this paper, we propose a new `generative + scenario matching' algorithm for health indicator forecasting. The key idea behind the proposed approach is to first non-parametrically fit the underlying health indicator curve with a continuous Gaussian Process using a sample of run-to-failure health indicator curves. The proposed approach then generates a rich set of random curves from the learned distribution, attempting to obtain all possible variations of the target health condition evolution process over the system's lifespan. The health indicator extrapolation for a piece of functioning equipment is inferred as the generated curve that has the highest matching level within the observed period. Our experimental results show the superiority of our algorithm over the other state-of-the-art methods.

Gaussian processes are powerful models for probabilistic machine learning, but are limited in application by their $O(N^3)$ inference complexity. We propose a method for deriving parametric families of kernel functions with compact spatial support, which yield naturally sparse kernel matrices and enable fast Gaussian process inference via sparse linear algebra. These families generalize known compactly-supported kernel functions, such as the Wendland polynomials. The parameters of this family of kernels can be learned from data using maximum likelihood estimation. Alternatively, we can quickly compute compact approximations of a target kernel using convex optimization. We demonstrate that these approximations incur minimal error over the exact models when modeling data drawn directly from a target GP, and can out-perform the traditional GP kernels on real-world signal reconstruction tasks, while exhibiting sub-quadratic inference complexity.