Due to recent empirical successes, the options framework for hierarchical reinforcement learning is gaining increasing popularity. Rather than learning from rewards which suffers from the curse of dimensionality, we consider learning an options-type hierarchical policy from expert demonstrations. Such a problem is referred to as hierarchical imitation learning. Converting this problem to parameter inference in a latent variable model, we theoretically characterize the EM approach proposed by Daniel et al. (2016). The population level algorithm is analyzed as an intermediate step, which is nontrivial due to the samples being correlated. If the expert policy can be parameterized by a variant of the options framework, then under regularity conditions, we prove that the proposed algorithm converges with high probability to a norm ball around the true parameter. To our knowledge, this is the first performance guarantee for an hierarchical imitation learning algorithm that only observes primitive state-action pairs.

Distance weighted discrimination (DWD) is a linear discrimination method that is particularly well-suited for classification tasks with high-dimensional data. The DWD coefficients minimize an intuitive objective function, which can solved very efficiently using state-of-the-art optimization techniques. However, DWD has not yet been cast into a model-based framework for statistical inference. In this article we show that DWD identifies the mode of a proper Bayesian posterior distribution, that results from a particular link function for the class probabilities and a shrinkage-inducing proper prior distribution on the coefficients. We describe a relatively efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm to simulate from the true posterior under this Bayesian framework. We show that the posterior is asymptotically normal and derive the mean and covariance matrix of its limiting distribution. Through several simulation studies and an application to breast cancer genomics we demonstrate how the Bayesian approach to DWD can be used to (1) compute well-calibrated posterior class probabilities, (2) assess uncertainty in the DWD coefficients and resulting sample scores, (3) improve power via semi-supervised analysis when not all class labels are available, and (4) automatically determine a penalty tuning parameter within the model-based framework. R code to perform Bayesian DWD is available at https://github.com/lockEF/BayesianDWD .

Approximate Bayesian methods can mitigate overconfidence in ReLU networks. However, far away from the training data, even Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) can still underestimate uncertainty and thus be overconfident. We suggest to fix this by considering an infinite number of ReLU features over the input domain that are never part of the training process and thus remain at prior values. Perhaps surprisingly, we show that this model leads to a tractable Gaussian process (GP) term that can be added to a pre-trained BNN's posterior at test time with negligible cost overhead. The BNN then yields structured uncertainty in the proximity of training data, while the GP prior calibrates uncertainty far away from them. As a key contribution, we prove that the added uncertainty yields cubic predictive variance growth, and thus the ideal uniform (maximum entropy) confidence in multi-class classification far from the training data. Calibrated uncertainty is crucial for safety-critical decision making by neural networks (NNs) (Amodei et al., 2016). Standard training methods of NNs yield point estimates that, even if they are highly accurate, can still be severely overconfident (Guo et al., 2017).

Discriminative deep neural networks (DNNs) do well at classifying input associated with the classes they have been trained on. However, out-of-distribution (OOD) input poses a great challenge to such models and consequently represents a major risk when these models are used in safety-critical systems. In the last two years, extensive research has been performed in the domain of OOD detection. This research has relied mainly on training the model with OOD data or requiring additional computation for OOD detection. Such methods may not be applicable in many real world use cases. In this paper, we propose GLOD -- Gaussian likelihood out of distribution detector -- an extended DNN classifier capable of efficiently detecting OOD samples with no additional runtime overhead and without auxiliary training data. GLOD uses a layer that models the Gaussian density function of the trained classes. The layer outputs are used to estimate a Log-Likelihood Ratio which is employed to detect OOD samples. We evaluate GLOD's detection performance on SVHN, CIFAR-10 and CIFAR-100.

We introduce a framework for online changepoint detection and simultaneous model learning which is applicable to highly parametrized models, such as deep neural networks. It is based on detecting changepoints across time by sequentially performing generalized likelihood ratio tests that require only evaluations of simple prediction score functions. This procedure makes use of checkpoints, consisting of early versions of the actual model parameters, that allow to detect distributional changes by performing predictions on future data. We define an algorithm that bounds the Type I error in the sequential testing procedure. We demonstrate the efficiency of our method in challenging continual learning applications with unknown task changepoints, and show improved performance compared to online Bayesian changepoint detection.

Sequence classification is the task of predicting a class label given a sequence of observations. In many applications such as healthcare monitoring or intrusion detection, early classification is crucial to prompt intervention. In this work, we learn sequence classifiers that favour early classification from an evolving observation trace. While many state-of-the-art sequence classifiers are neural networks, and in particular LSTMs, our classifiers take the form of finite state automata and are learned via discrete optimization. Our automata-based classifiers are interpretable---supporting explanation, counterfactual reasoning, and human-in-the-loop modification---and have strong empirical performance. Experiments over a suite of goal recognition and behaviour classification datasets show our learned automata-based classifiers to have comparable test performance to LSTM-based classifiers, with the added advantage of being interpretable.

One of the common obstacles for learning causal models from data is that high-order conditional independence (CI) relationships between random variables are difficult to estimate. Since CI tests with conditioning sets of low order can be performed accurately even for a small number of observations, a reasonable approach to determine casual structures is to base merely on the low-order CIs. Recent research has confirmed that, e.g. in the case of sparse true causal models, structures learned even from zero- and first-order conditional independencies yield good approximations of the models. However, a challenging task here is to provide methods that faithfully explain a given set of low-order CIs. In this paper, we propose an algorithm which, for a given set of conditional independencies of order less or equal to $k$, where $k$ is a small fixed number, computes a faithful graphical representation of the given set. Our results complete and generalize the previous work on learning from pairwise marginal independencies. Moreover, they enable to improve upon the 0-1 graph model which, e.g. is heavily used in the estimation of genome networks.

Reinforcement learning in heterogeneous multi-agent scenarios is important for real-world applications but presents challenges beyond those seen in homogeneous settings and simple benchmarks. In this work, we present an actor-critic algorithm that allows a team of heterogeneous agents to learn decentralized control policies for covering an unknown environment. This task is of interest to national security and emergency response organizations that would like to enhance situational awareness in hazardous areas by deploying teams of unmanned aerial vehicles. To solve this multi-agent coverage path planning problem in unknown environments, we augment a multi-agent actor-critic architecture with a new state encoding structure and triplet learning loss to support heterogeneous agent learning. We developed a simulation environment that includes real-world environmental factors such as turbulence, delayed communication, and agent loss, to train teams of agents as well as probe their robustness and flexibility to such disturbances.

Creating bilingual dictionary is the first crucial step in enriching low-resource languages. Especially for the closely-related ones, it has been shown that the constraint-based approach is useful for inducing bilingual lexicons from two bilingual dictionaries via the pivot language. However, if there are no available machine-readable dictionaries as input, we need to consider manual creation by bilingual native speakers. To reach a goal of comprehensively create multiple bilingual dictionaries, even if we already have several existing machine-readable bilingual dictionaries, it is still difficult to determine the execution order of the constraint-based approach to reducing the total cost. Plan optimization is crucial in composing the order of bilingual dictionaries creation with the consideration of the methods and their costs. We formalize the plan optimization for creating bilingual dictionaries by utilizing Markov Decision Process (MDP) with the goal to get a more accurate estimation of the most feasible optimal plan with the least total cost before fully implementing the constraint-based bilingual lexicon induction. We model a prior beta distribution of bilingual lexicon induction precision with language similarity and polysemy of the topology as $\alpha$ and $\beta$ parameters. It is further used to model cost function and state transition probability. We estimated the cost of all investment plan as a baseline for evaluating the proposed MDP-based approach with total cost as an evaluation metric. After utilizing the posterior beta distribution in the first batch of experiments to construct the prior beta distribution in the second batch of experiments, the result shows 61.5\% of cost reduction compared to the estimated all investment plan and 39.4\% of cost reduction compared to the estimated MDP optimal plan. The MDP-based proposal outperformed the baseline on the total cost.

The training of autonomous agents often requires expensive and unsafe trial-and-error interactions with the environment. Nowadays several data sets containing recorded experiences of intelligent agents performing various tasks, spanning from the control of unmanned vehicles to human-robot interaction and medical applications are accessible on the internet. With the intention of limiting the costs of the learning procedure it is convenient to exploit the information that is already available rather than collecting new data. Nevertheless, the incapability to augment the batch can lead the autonomous agents to develop far from optimal behaviours when the sampled experiences do not allow for a good estimate of the true distribution of the environment. Offline learning is the area of machine learning concerned with efficiently obtaining an optimal policy with a batch of previously collected experiences without further interaction with the environment. In this paper we adumbrate the ideas motivating the development of the state-of-the-art offline learning baselines. The listed methods consist in the introduction of epistemic uncertainty dependent constraints during the classical resolution of a Markov Decision Process, with and without function approximators, that aims to alleviate the bad effects of the distributional mismatch between the available samples and real world. We provide comments on the practical utility of the theoretical bounds that justify the application of these algorithms and suggest the utilization of Generative Adversarial Networks to estimate the distributional shift that affects all of the proposed model-free and model-based approaches.