Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) [37, 47] offer a probabilistic interpretation for deep learning models by imposing a prior distribution on the weight parameters and aim to obtain a posterior distribution instead of only point estimates. By marginalizing over this posterior for prediction, BNNs perform a procedure of ensemble learning. These principles facilitate the model to improve generalization, robustness and allow for uncertainty quantification. However, computing exactly the posterior of non-linear Bayesian networks is infeasible and approximate inference has been devised. The core challenge is how to construct an expressive approximation for the true posterior while maintaining computational efficiency and scalability, especially for modern deep learning architectures. Variational inference is a popular deterministic approximation approach to to deal with this challenge. The first practical methods are proposed in [15, 5, 28], in which, the approximate posterior is assumed to be a fully factorized distribution, also called mean-field variational inference. Generally, the mean-field approximation family encourages some advantages in inference including computational tractability and effective optimization with the stochastic gradient-based methods. However, it will ignore strong statistical dependencies among random weights of the neural networks, which leads to an inability to capture the complicated structure of the true posterior and to estimate true model uncertainty.

Analysis of heterogeneous patterns in complex spatio-temporal data finds usage across various domains in applied science and engineering, including training autonomous vehicles to navigate in complex traffic scenarios. Motivated by applications arising in the transportation domain, in this paper we develop a model for learning heterogeneous and dynamic patterns of velocity field data. We draw from basic nonparameric Bayesian modeling elements such as hierarchical Dirichlet process and infinite hidden Markov model, while the smoothness of each homogeneous velocity field element is captured with a Gaussian process prior. Of particular focus is a scalable approximate inference method for the proposed model; this is achieved by employing sequential MAP estimates from the infinite HMM model and an efficient sequential GP posterior computation technique, which is shown to work effectively on simulated data sets. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our techniques to the NGSIM dataset of complex multi-vehicle interactions.

Reinforcement learning in complex environments may require supervision to prevent the agent from attempting dangerous actions. As a result of supervisor intervention, the executed action may differ from the action specified by the policy. How does this affect learning? We present the Modified-Action Markov Decision Process, an extension of the MDP model that allows actions to differ from the policy. We analyze the asymptotic behaviours of common reinforcement learning algorithms in this setting and show that they adapt in different ways: some completely ignore modifications while others go to various lengths in trying to avoid action modifications that decrease reward. By choosing the right algorithm, developers can prevent their agents from learning to circumvent interruptions or constraints, and better control agent responses to other kinds of action modification, like self-damage.

Attention-based encoder-decoder (AED) models have achieved promising performance in speech recognition. However, because the decoder predicts text tokens (such as characters or words) in an autoregressive manner, it is difficult for an AED model to predict all tokens in parallel. This makes the inference speed relatively slow. We believe that because the encoder already captures the whole speech utterance, which has the token-level relationship implicitly, we can predict a token without explicitly autoregressive language modeling. When the prediction of a token does not rely on other tokens, the parallel prediction of all tokens in the sequence is realizable. Based on this idea, we propose a non-autoregressive speech recognition model called LASO (Listen Attentively, and Spell Once). The model consists of an encoder, a decoder, and a position dependent summarizer (PDS). The three modules are based on basic attention blocks. The encoder extracts high-level representations from the speech. The PDS uses positional encodings corresponding to tokens to convert the acoustic representations into token-level representations. The decoder further captures token-level relationships with the self-attention mechanism. At last, the probability distribution on the vocabulary is computed for each token position. Therefore, speech recognition is re-formulated as a position-wise classification problem. Further, we propose a cross-modal transfer learning method to refine semantics from a large-scale pre-trained language model BERT for improving the performance.

In this paper, we introduce the first large vocabulary speech recognition system (LVSR) for the Central Kurdish language, named Jira. The Kurdish language is an Indo-European language spoken by more than 30 million people in several countries, but due to the lack of speech and text resources, there is no speech recognition system for this language. To fill this gap, we introduce the first speech corpus and pronunciation lexicon for the Kurdish language. Regarding speech corpus, we designed a sentence collection in which the ratio of di-phones in the collection resembles the real data of the Central Kurdish language. The designed sentences are uttered by 576 speakers in a controlled environment with noise-free microphones (called AsoSoft Speech-Office) and in Telegram social network environment using mobile phones (denoted as AsoSoft Speech-Crowdsourcing), resulted in 43.68 hours of speech. Besides, a test set including 11 different document topics is designed and recorded in two corresponding speech conditions (i.e., Office and Crowdsourcing). Furthermore, a 60K pronunciation lexicon is prepared in this research in which we faced several challenges and proposed solutions for them. The Kurdish language has several dialects and sub-dialects that results in many lexical variations. Our methods for script standardization of lexical variations and automatic pronunciation of the lexicon tokens are presented in detail. To setup the recognition engine, we used the Kaldi toolkit. A statistical tri-gram language model that is extracted from the AsoSoft text corpus is used in the system. Several standard recipes including HMM-based models (i.e., mono, tri1, tr2, tri2, tri3), SGMM, and DNN methods are used to generate the acoustic model. These methods are trained with AsoSoft Speech-Office and AsoSoft Speech-Crowdsourcing and a combination of them. The best performance achieved by the SGMM acoustic model which results in 13.9% of the average word error rate (on different document topics) and 4.9% for the general topic.

Providing computer systems with the ability to understand and generate natural language has long been a challenge of engineers. Recent progress in natural language processing (NLP), like the GPT-3 language model released by OpenAI, has made both possible to an extent. In this paper, we explore the possibility of rationalising email communication using GPT-3. First, we demonstrate the technical feasibility of understanding incoming emails and generating responses, drawing on literature from the disciplines of software engineering as well as data science. Second, we apply knowledge from both business studies and, again, software engineering to identify ways to tackle challenges we encountered. Third, we argue for the economic viability of such a solution by analysing costs and market demand. We conclude that applying GPT-3 to rationalising email communication is feasible both technically and economically.

Machine learning (ML) is the study of computer algorithms that improve automatically through experience. It is seen as a subset of artificial intelligence. Machine learning algorithms build a mathematical model based on sample data, known as "training data", in order to make predictions or decisions without being explicitly programmed to do so. Machine learning algorithms are used in a wide variety of applications, such as email filtering and computer vision, where it is difficult or infeasible to develop conventional algorithms to perform the needed tasks. Machine learning is closely related to computational statistics, which focuses on making predictions using computers.

We study the problem of distributed cooperative learning, where a group of agents seek to agree on a set of hypotheses that best describes a sequence of private observations. In the scenario where the set of hypotheses is large, we propose a belief update rule where agents share compressed (either sparse or quantized) beliefs with an arbitrary positive compression rate. Our algorithm leverages a unified and straightforward communication rule that enables agents to access wide-ranging compression operators as black-box modules. We prove the almost sure asymptotic exponential convergence of beliefs around the set of optimal hypotheses. Additionally, we show a non-asymptotic, explicit, and linear concentration rate in probability of the beliefs on the optimal hypothesis set. We provide numerical experiments to illustrate the communication benefits of our method. The simulation results show that the number of transmitted bits can be reduced to 5-10% of the non-compressed method in the studied scenarios.

We study reinforcement learning in an infinite-horizon average-reward setting with linear function approximation, where the transition probability function of the underlying Markov Decision Process (MDP) admits a linear form over a feature mapping of the current state, action, and next state. We propose a new algorithm UCRL2-VTR, which can be seen as an extension of the UCRL2 algorithm with linear function approximation. We show that UCRL2-VTR with Bernstein-type bonus can achieve a regret of $\tilde{O}(d\sqrt{DT})$, where $d$ is the dimension of the feature mapping, $T$ is the horizon, and $\sqrt{D}$ is the diameter of the MDP. We also prove a matching lower bound $\tilde{\Omega}(d\sqrt{DT})$, which suggests that the proposed UCRL2-VTR is minimax optimal up to logarithmic factors. To the best of our knowledge, our algorithm is the first nearly minimax optimal RL algorithm with function approximation in the infinite-horizon average-reward setting.

A fundamental tenet of learning theory is that a trade-off exists between the complexity of a prediction rule and its ability to generalize. The double-decent phenomenon shows that modern machine learning models do not obey this paradigm: beyond the interpolation limit, the test error declines as model complexity increases. We investigate over-parameterization in linear regression using the recently proposed predictive normalized maximum likelihood (pNML) learner which is the min-max regret solution for individual data. We derive an upper bound of its regret and show that if the test sample lies mostly in a subspace spanned by the eigenvectors associated with the large eigenvalues of the empirical correlation matrix of the training data, the model generalizes despite its over-parameterized nature. We demonstrate the use of the pNML regret as a point-wise learnability measure on synthetic data and that it can successfully predict the double-decent phenomenon using the UCI dataset.