Graphical models, used to express conditional dependence between random variables observed at various nodes, are used extensively in many fields such as genetics, neuroscience, and social network analysis. While most current statistical methods for estimating graphical models focus on scalar data, there is interest in estimating analogous dependence structures when the data observed at each node are functional, such as signals or images. In this paper, we propose a fully Bayesian regularization scheme for estimating functional graphical models. We first consider a direct Bayesian analog of the functional graphical lasso proposed by Qiao et al. (2019). We then propose a regularization strategy via the graphical horseshoe. We compare these approaches via simulation study and apply our proposed functional graphical horseshoe to two motivating applications, electroencephalography data for comparing brain activation between an alcoholic group and controls, as well as changes in structural connectivity in the presence of traumatic brain injury (TBI). Our results yield insight into how the brain attempts to compensate for disconnected networks after injury.

Our goal is to recover time-delayed latent causal variables and identify their relations from measured temporal data. Estimating causally-related latent variables from observations is particularly challenging as the latent variables are not uniquely recoverable in the most general case. In this work, we consider both a nonparametric, nonstationary setting and a parametric setting for the latent processes and propose two provable conditions under which temporally causal latent processes can be identified from their nonlinear mixtures. We propose LEAP, a theoretically-grounded architecture that extends Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) by enforcing our conditions through proper constraints in causal process prior. Experimental results on various data sets demonstrate that temporally causal latent processes are reliably identified from observed variables under different dependency structures and that our approach considerably outperforms baselines that do not leverage history or nonstationarity information. This is one of the first works that successfully recover time-delayed latent processes from nonlinear mixtures without using sparsity or minimality assumptions.

Surface roughness is primary measure of pavement performance that has been associated with ride quality and vehicle operating costs. Of all the surface roughness indicators, the International Roughness Index (IRI) is the most widely used. However, it is costly to measure IRI, and for this reason, certain road classes are excluded from IRI measurements at a network level. Higher levels of distresses are generally associated with higher roughness. However, for a given roughness level, pavement data typically exhibits a great deal of variability in the distress types, density, and severity. It is hypothesized that it is feasible to estimate the IRI of a pavement section given its distress types and their respective densities and severities. To investigate this hypothesis, this paper uses data from in-service pavements and machine learning methods to ascertain the extent to which IRI can be predicted given a set of pavement attributes. The results suggest that machine learning can be used reliably to estimate IRI based on the measured distress types and their respective densities and severities. The analysis also showed that IRI estimated this way depends on the pavement type and functional class. The paper also includes an exploratory section that addresses the reverse situation, that is, estimating the probability of pavement distress type distribution and occurrence severity/extent based on a given roughness level.

Urban autonomous driving in the presence of pedestrians as vulnerable road users is still a challenging and less examined research problem. This work formulates navigation in urban environments as a multi objective reinforcement learning problem. A deep learning variant of thresholded lexicographic Q-learning is presented for autonomous navigation amongst pedestrians. The multi objective DQN agent is trained on a custom urban environment developed in CARLA simulator. The proposed method is evaluated by comparing it with a single objective DQN variant on known and unknown environments. Evaluation results show that the proposed method outperforms the single objective DQN variant with respect to all aspects.

Stochastic differential equations provide a rich class of flexible generative models, capable of describing a wide range of spatio-temporal processes. A host of recent work looks to learn data-representing SDEs, using neural networks and other flexible function approximators. Despite these advances, learning remains computationally expensive due to the sequential nature of SDE integrators. In this work, we propose an importance-sampling estimator for probabilities of observations of SDEs for the purposes of learning. Crucially, the approach we suggest does not rely on such integrators. The proposed method produces lower-variance gradient estimates compared to algorithms based on SDE integrators and has the added advantage of being embarrassingly parallelizable. Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a natural extension to ordinary differential equations which allows modelling of noisy and uncertain driving forces. These models are particularly appealing due to their flexibility in expressing highly complex relationships with simple equations, while retaining a high degree of interpretability. Much work has been done over the last century focussing on understanding and modelling with SDEs, particularly in dynamical systems and quantitative finance (Pavliotis, 2014; Malliavin & Thalmaier, 2006).

We present a geometrically enhanced Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler for networks based on a discrete curvature measure defined on graphs. Specifically, we incorporate the concept of graph Forman curvature into sampling procedures on both the nodes and edges of a network explicitly, via the transition probability of the Markov chain, as well as implicitly, via the target stationary distribution, which gives a novel, curved Markov chain Monte Carlo approach to learning networks. We show that integrating curvature into the sampler results in faster convergence to a wide range of network statistics demonstrated on deterministic networks drawn from real-world data.

This year, the controversy about AI industrialization has become a hot topic. There are not only negative phenomena such as criticism of AI "research results are hard to break through in academia, and also difficult to commercialize in industry" from academia, AI scientists leaving the industry and returning to academia, but also positive encouragement from the successful listing of a number of AI unicorns.So, is there an opportunity for AI industrialization? And where are the opportunities? On these industry hot topics, Yuan Jinhui, the founder of OneFlow, launched a systematic elaboration in the QbitAI live. In previous years, society was crazy about AI. For example, there were discussions about the coming singularity, AI replacing humans, and fully automated driving by 2020.

Greedy algorithms have long been a workhorse for learning graphical models, and more broadly for learning statistical models with sparse structure. In the context of learning directed acyclic graphs, greedy algorithms are popular despite their worst-case exponential runtime. In practice, however, they are very efficient. We provide new insight into this phenomenon by studying a general greedy score-based algorithm for learning DAGs. Unlike edge-greedy algorithms such as the popular GES and hill-climbing algorithms, our approach is vertex-greedy and requires at most a polynomial number of score evaluations. We then show how recent polynomial-time algorithms for learning DAG models are a special case of this algorithm, thereby illustrating how these order-based algorithms can be rigourously interpreted as score-based algorithms. This observation suggests new score functions and optimality conditions based on the duality between Bregman divergences and exponential families, which we explore in detail. Explicit sample and computational complexity bounds are derived. Finally, we provide extensive experiments suggesting that this algorithm indeed optimizes the score in a variety of settings.

Traditional methods for unsupervised learning of finite mixture models require to evaluate the likelihood of all components of the mixture. This becomes computationally prohibitive when the number of components is large, as it is, for example, in the sum-product (transform) networks. Therefore, we propose to apply a combination of the expectation maximization and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to evaluate only a small number of, stochastically sampled, components, thus substantially reducing the computational cost. The Markov chain of component assignments is sequentially generated across the algorithm's iterations, having a non-stationary target distribution whose parameters vary via a gradient-descent scheme. We put emphasis on generality of our method, equipping it with the ability to train both shallow and deep mixture models which involve complex, and possibly nonlinear, transformations. The performance of our method is illustrated in a variety of synthetic and real-data contexts, considering deep models, such as mixtures of normalizing flows and sum-product (transform) networks.

Restricted Boltzmann Machine is used to detect patterns in data, in an unsupervised way. If you haven't read the previous posts yet, you can read them by clicking the below links. RBMs are self-learning shallow neural networks that learn to reassemble data. They're significant models because they can extract meaningful features from a given input without having to identify them. Let's start with the fact that we have access to a matrix of viewer ratings for a specific number of Netflix movies, where each row represents a movie and each column represents a user's rating.