Modeling interaction dynamics to generate robot trajectories that enable a robot to adapt and react to a human's actions and intentions is critical for efficient and effective collaborative Human-Robot Interactions (HRI). Learning from Demonstration (LfD) methods from Human-Human Interactions (HHI) have shown promising results, especially when coupled with representation learning techniques. However, such methods for learning HRI either do not scale well to high dimensional data or cannot accurately adapt to changing via-poses of the interacting partner. We propose Multimodal Interactive Latent Dynamics (MILD), a method that couples deep representation learning and probabilistic machine learning to address the problem of two-party physical HRIs. We learn the interaction dynamics from demonstrations, using Hidden Semi-Markov Models (HSMMs) to model the joint distribution of the interacting agents in the latent space of a Variational Autoencoder (VAE). Our experimental evaluations for learning HRI from HHI demonstrations show that MILD effectively captures the multimodality in the latent representations of HRI tasks, allowing us to decode the varying dynamics occurring in such tasks. Compared to related work, MILD generates more accurate trajectories for the controlled agent (robot) when conditioned on the observed agent's (human) trajectory. Notably, MILD can learn directly from camera-based pose estimations to generate trajectories, which we then map to a humanoid robot without the need for any additional training.

Strategic Decision-Making is always challenging because it is inherently uncertain, ambiguous, risky, and complex. It is the art of possibility. We develop a systematic taxonomy of decision-making frames that consists of 6 bases, 18 categorical, and 54 frames. We aim to lay out the computational foundation that is possible to capture a comprehensive landscape view of a strategic problem. Compared with traditional models, it covers irrational, non-rational and rational frames c dealing with certainty, uncertainty, complexity, ambiguity, chaos, and ignorance.

Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) offer a promising world representation for autonomous agents, as they can model both transitional and perceptual uncertainties. Calculating the optimal solution to POMDP problems can be computationally expensive as they require reasoning over the (possibly infinite) space of beliefs. Several approaches have been proposed to overcome this difficulty, such as discretizing the belief space, point-based belief sampling, and Monte Carlo tree search. The Real-Time Dynamic Programming approach of the RTDP-Bel algorithm approximates the value function by storing it in a hashtable with discretized belief keys. We propose an extension to the RTDP-Bel algorithm which we call Belief Branch and Bound RTDP (B$^3$RTDP). Our algorithm uses a bounded value function representation and takes advantage of this in two novel ways: a search-bounding technique based on action selection convergence probabilities, and a method for leveraging early action convergence called the \textit{Convergence Frontier}. Lastly, we empirically demonstrate that B$^3$RTDP can achieve greater returns in less time than the state-of-the-art SARSOP solver on known POMDP problems.

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is the predominant algorithm for training text generation models. This paradigm relies on direct supervision examples, which is not applicable to many emerging applications, such as generating adversarial attacks or generating prompts to control language models. Reinforcement learning (RL) on the other hand offers a more flexible solution by allowing users to plug in arbitrary task metrics as reward. Yet previous RL algorithms for text generation, such as policy gradient (on-policy RL) and Q-learning (off-policy RL), are often notoriously inefficient or unstable to train due to the large sequence space and the sparse reward received only at the end of sequences. In this paper, we introduce a new RL formulation for text generation from the soft Q-learning (SQL) perspective. It enables us to draw from the latest RL advances, such as path consistency learning, to combine the best of on-/off-policy updates, and learn effectively from sparse reward. We apply the approach to a wide range of novel text generation tasks, including learning from noisy/negative examples, adversarial attacks, and prompt generation. Experiments show our approach consistently outperforms both task-specialized algorithms and the previous RL methods.

We investigate nonlinear instrumental variable (IV) regression given high-dimensional instruments. We propose a simple algorithm which combines kernelized IV methods and an arbitrary, adaptive regression algorithm, accessed as a black box. Our algorithm enjoys faster-rate convergence and adapts to the dimensionality of informative latent features, while avoiding an expensive minimax optimization procedure, which has been necessary to establish similar guarantees. It further brings the benefit of flexible machine learning models to quasi-Bayesian uncertainty quantification, likelihood-based model selection, and model averaging. Simulation studies demonstrate the competitive performance of our method.

We develop a novel deep learning method for uncertainty quantification in stochastic partial differential equations based on Bayesian neural network (BNN) and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC). A BNN efficiently learns the posterior distribution of the parameters in deep neural networks by performing Bayesian inference on the network parameters. The posterior distribution is efficiently sampled using HMC to quantify uncertainties in the system. Several numerical examples are shown for both forward and inverse problems in high dimension to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method for uncertainty quantification. These also show promising results that the computational cost is almost independent of the dimension of the problem demonstrating the potential of the method for tackling the so-called curse of dimensionality.

One stream of reinforcement learning research is exploring biologically plausible models and algorithms to simulate biological intelligence and fit neuromorphic hardware. Among them, reward-modulated spike-timing-dependent plasticity (R-STDP) is a recent branch with good potential in energy efficiency. However, current R-STDP methods rely on heuristic designs of local learning rules, thus requiring task-specific expert knowledge. In this paper, we consider a spiking recurrent winner-take-all network, and propose a new R-STDP method, spiking variational policy gradient (SVPG), whose local learning rules are derived from the global policy gradient and thus eliminate the need for heuristic designs. In experiments of MNIST classification and Gym InvertedPendulum, our SVPG achieves good training performance, and also presents better robustness to various kinds of noises than conventional methods.

Most supervised machine learning tasks are subject to irreducible prediction errors. Probabilistic predictive models address this limitation by providing probability distributions that represent a belief over plausible targets, rather than point estimates. Such models can be a valuable tool in decision-making under uncertainty, provided that the model output is meaningful and interpretable. Calibrated models guarantee that the probabilistic predictions are neither over- nor under-confident. In the machine learning literature, different measures and statistical tests have been proposed and studied for evaluating the calibration of classification models. For regression problems, however, research has been focused on a weaker condition of calibration based on predicted quantiles for real-valued targets. In this paper, we propose the first framework that unifies calibration evaluation and tests for general probabilistic predictive models. It applies to any such model, including classification and regression models of arbitrary dimension. Furthermore, the framework generalizes existing measures and provides a more intuitive reformulation of a recently proposed framework for calibration in multi-class classification. In particular, we reformulate and generalize the kernel calibration error, its estimators, and hypothesis tests using scalar-valued kernels, and evaluate the calibration of real-valued regression problems.

Successful coordination in Dec-POMDPs requires agents to adopt robust strategies and interpretable styles of play for their partner. A common failure mode is symmetry breaking, when agents arbitrarily converge on one out of many equivalent but mutually incompatible policies. Commonly these examples include partial observability, e.g. waving your right hand vs. left hand to convey a covert message. In this paper, we present a novel equivariant network architecture for use in Dec-POMDPs that prevents the agent from learning policies which break symmetries, doing so more effectively than prior methods. Our method also acts as a "coordination-improvement operator" for generic, pre-trained policies, and thus may be applied at test-time in conjunction with any self-play algorithm. We provide theoretical guarantees of our work and test on the AI benchmark task of Hanabi, where we demonstrate our methods outperforming other symmetry-aware baselines in zero-shot coordination, as well as able to improve the coordination ability of a variety of pre-trained policies. In particular, we show our method can be used to improve on the state of the art for zero-shot coordination on the Hanabi benchmark.

A fundamental task in science is to design experiments that yield valuable insights about the system under study. Mathematically, these insights can be represented as a utility or risk function that shapes the value of conducting each experiment. We present PDBAL, a targeted active learning method that adaptively designs experiments to maximize scientific utility. PDBAL takes a user-specified risk function and combines it with a probabilistic model of the experimental outcomes to choose designs that rapidly converge on a high-utility model. We prove theoretical bounds on the label complexity of PDBAL and provide fast closed-form solutions for designing experiments with common exponential family likelihoods. In simulation studies, PDBAL consistently outperforms standard untargeted approaches that focus on maximizing expected information gain over the design space. Finally, we demonstrate the scientific potential of PDBAL through a study on a large cancer drug screen dataset where PDBAL quickly recovers the most efficacious drugs with a small fraction of the total number of experiments.