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 Learning Graphical Models


Emotion Detection From Social Media Posts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Over the last few years, social media has evolved into a medium for expressing personal views, emotions, and even business and political proposals, recommendations, and advertisements. We address the topic of identifying emotions from text data obtained from social media posts like Twitter in this research. We have deployed different traditional machine learning techniques such as Support Vector Machines (SVM), Naive Bayes, Decision Trees, and Random Forest, as well as deep neural network models such as LSTM, CNN, GRU, BiLSTM, BiGRU to classify these tweets into four emotion categories (Fear, Anger, Joy, and Sadness). Furthermore, we have constructed a BiLSTM and BiGRU ensemble model. The evaluation result shows that the deep neural network models(BiGRU, to be specific) produce the most promising results compared to traditional machine learning models, with an 87.53 % accuracy rate. The ensemble model performs even better (87.66 %), albeit the difference is not significant. This result will aid in the development of a decision-making tool that visualizes emotional fluctuations.


Machine Learning: Concepts and Applications

#artificialintelligence

This course gives you a comprehensive introduction to both the theory and practice of machine learning. You will learn to use Python along with industry-standard libraries and tools, including Pandas, Scikit-learn, and Tensorflow, to ingest, explore, and prepare data for modeling and then train and evaluate models using a wide variety of techniques. Those techniques include linear regression with ordinary least squares, logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees and ensembles, clustering, principal component analysis, hidden Markov models, and deep learning. A key feature of this course is that you not only learn how to apply these techniques, you also learn the conceptual basis underlying them so that you understand how they work, why you are doing what you are doing, and what your results mean. The course also features real-world datasets, drawn primarily from the realm of public policy.


Virtual Reality via Object Pose Estimation and Active Learning: Realizing Telepresence Robots with Aerial Manipulation Capabilities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article presents a novel telepresence system for advancing aerial manipulation in dynamic and unstructured environments. The proposed system not only features a haptic device, but also a virtual reality (VR) interface that provides real-time 3D displays of the robot's workspace as well as a haptic guidance to its remotely located operator. To realize this, multiple sensors namely a LiDAR, cameras and IMUs are utilized. For processing of the acquired sensory data, pose estimation pipelines are devised for industrial objects of both known and unknown geometries. We further propose an active learning pipeline in order to increase the sample efficiency of a pipeline component that relies on Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) based object detection. All these algorithms jointly address various challenges encountered during the execution of perception tasks in industrial scenarios. In the experiments, exhaustive ablation studies are provided to validate the proposed pipelines. Methodologically, these results commonly suggest how an awareness of the algorithms' own failures and uncertainty (`introspection') can be used tackle the encountered problems. Moreover, outdoor experiments are conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of the overall system in enhancing aerial manipulation capabilities. In particular, with flight campaigns over days and nights, from spring to winter, and with different users and locations, we demonstrate over 70 robust executions of pick-and-place, force application and peg-in-hole tasks with the DLR cable-Suspended Aerial Manipulator (SAM). As a result, we show the viability of the proposed system in future industrial applications.


MSDC: Exploiting Multi-State Power Consumption in Non-intrusive Load Monitoring based on A Dual-CNN Model

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Non-intrusive load monitoring (NILM) aims to decompose aggregated electrical usage signal into appliance-specific power consumption and it amounts to a classical example of blind source separation tasks. Leveraging recent progress on deep learning techniques, we design a new neural NILM model Multi-State Dual CNN (MSDC). Different from previous models, MSDC explicitly extracts information about the appliance's multiple states and state transitions, which in turn regulates the prediction of signals for appliances. More specifically, we employ a dual-CNN architecture: one CNN for outputting state distributions and the other for predicting the power of each state. A new technique is invented that utilizes conditional random fields (CRF) to capture state transitions. Experiments on two real-world datasets REDD and UK-DALE demonstrate that our model significantly outperform state-of-the-art models while having good generalization capacity, achieving 6%-10% MAE gain and 33%-51% SAE gain to unseen appliances.


On the Interventional Kullback-Leibler Divergence

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Modern machine learning approaches excel in static settings where a large amount of i.i.d. training data are available for a given task. In a dynamic environment, though, an intelligent agent needs to be able to transfer knowledge and re-use learned components across domains. It has been argued that this may be possible through causal models, aiming to mirror the modularity of the real world in terms of independent causal mechanisms. However, the true causal structure underlying a given set of data is generally not identifiable, so it is desirable to have means to quantify differences between models (e.g., between the ground truth and an estimate), on both the observational and interventional level. In the present work, we introduce the Interventional Kullback-Leibler (IKL) divergence to quantify both structural and distributional differences between models based on a finite set of multi-environment distributions generated by interventions from the ground truth. Since we generally cannot quantify all differences between causal models for every finite set of interventional distributions, we propose a sufficient condition on the intervention targets to identify subsets of observed variables on which the models provably agree or disagree.


Incorporating Expert Opinion on Observable Quantities into Statistical Models -- A General Framework

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This article describes an approach to incorporate expert opinion on observable quantities through the use of a loss function which updates a prior belief as opposed to specifying parameters on the priors. Eliciting information on observable quantities allows experts to provide meaningful information on a quantity familiar to them, in contrast to elicitation on model parameters, which may be subject to interactions with other parameters or non-linear transformations before obtaining an observable quantity. The approach to incorporating expert opinion described in this paper is distinctive in that we do not specify a prior to match an expert's opinion on observed quantity, rather we obtain a posterior by updating the model parameters through a loss function. This loss function contains the observable quantity, expressed a function of the parameters, and is related to the expert's opinion which is typically operationalized as a statistical distribution. Parameters which generate observable quantities which are further from the expert's opinion incur a higher loss, allowing for the model parameters to be estimated based on their fidelity to both the data and expert opinion, with the relative strength determined by the number of observations and precision of the elicited belief. Including expert opinion in this fashion allows for a flexible specification of the opinion and in many situations is straightforward to implement with commonly used probabilistic programming software. We highlight this using three worked examples of varying model complexity including survival models, a multivariate normal distribution and a regression problem.


Online Planning of Uncertain MDPs under Temporal Tasks and Safe-Return Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper addresses the online motion planning problem of mobile robots under complex high-level tasks. The robot motion is modeled as an uncertain Markov Decision Process (MDP) due to limited initial knowledge, while the task is specified as Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) formulas. The proposed framework enables the robot to explore and update the system model in a Bayesian way, while simultaneously optimizing the asymptotic costs of satisfying the complex temporal task. Theoretical guarantees are provided for the synthesized outgoing policy and safety policy. More importantly, instead of greedy exploration under the classic ergodicity assumption, a safe-return requirement is enforced such that the robot can always return to home states with a high probability. The overall methods are validated by numerical simulations.


Efficient and Accurate Learning of Mixtures of Plackett-Luce Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Mixture models of Plackett-Luce (PL) -- one of the most fundamental ranking models -- are an active research area of both theoretical and practical significance. Most previously proposed parameter estimation algorithms instantiate the EM algorithm, often with random initialization. However, such an initialization scheme may not yield a good initial estimate and the algorithms require multiple restarts, incurring a large time complexity. As for the EM procedure, while the E-step can be performed efficiently, maximizing the log-likelihood in the M-step is difficult due to the combinatorial nature of the PL likelihood function (Gormley and Murphy 2008). Therefore, previous authors favor algorithms that maximize surrogate likelihood functions (Zhao et al. 2018, 2020). However, the final estimate may deviate from the true maximum likelihood estimate as a consequence. In this paper, we address these known limitations. We propose an initialization algorithm that can provide a provably accurate initial estimate and an EM algorithm that maximizes the true log-likelihood function efficiently. Experiments on both synthetic and real datasets show that our algorithm is competitive in terms of accuracy and speed to baseline algorithms, especially on datasets with a large number of items.


Hierarchical Motion Planning under Probabilistic Temporal Tasks and Safe-Return Constraints

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Safety is crucial for robotic missions within an uncertain environment. Common safety requirements such as collision avoidance are only state-dependent, which can be restrictive for complex missions. In this work, we address a more general formulation as safe-return constraints, which require the existence of a return-policy to drive the system back to a set of safe states with high probability. The robot motion is modeled as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) with probabilistic labels, which can be highly non-ergodic. The robotic task is specified as Linear Temporal Logic (LTL) formulas over these labels, such as surveillance and transportation. We first provide theoretical guarantees on the re-formulation of such safe-return constraints, and a baseline solution based on computing two complete product automata. Furthermore, to tackle the computational complexity, we propose a hierarchical planning algorithm that combines the feature-based symbolic and temporal abstraction with constrained optimization. It synthesizes simultaneously two dependent motion policies: the outbound policy minimizes the overall cost of satisfying the task with a high probability, while the return policy ensures the safe-return constraints. The problem formulation is versatile regarding the robot model, task specifications and safety constraints. The proposed hierarchical algorithm is more efficient and can solve much larger problems than the baseline solution, with only a slight loss of optimality. Numerical validations include simulations and hardware experiments of a search-and-rescue mission and a planetary exploration mission over various system sizes.


Selective In-Context Data Augmentation for Intent Detection using Pointwise V-Information

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work focuses on in-context data augmentation for intent detection. Having found that augmentation via in-context prompting of large pre-trained language models (PLMs) alone does not improve performance, we introduce a novel approach based on PLMs and pointwise V-information (PVI), a metric that can measure the usefulness of a datapoint for training a model. Our method first fine-tunes a PLM on a small seed of training data and then synthesizes new datapoints - utterances that correspond to given intents. It then employs intent-aware filtering, based on PVI, to remove datapoints that are not helpful to the downstream intent classifier. Our method is thus able to leverage the expressive power of large language models to produce diverse training data. Empirical results demonstrate that our method can produce synthetic training data that achieve state-of-the-art performance on three challenging intent detection datasets under few-shot settings (1.28% absolute improvement in 5-shot and 1.18% absolute in 10-shot, on average) and perform on par with the state-of-the-art in full-shot settings (within 0.01% absolute, on average).