We consider the classical problem of learning, with arbitrary accuracy, the natural parameters of a $k$-parameter truncated \textit{minimal} exponential family from i.i.d. samples in a computationally and statistically efficient manner. We focus on the setting where the support as well as the natural parameters are appropriately bounded. While the traditional maximum likelihood estimator for this class of exponential family is consistent, asymptotically normal, and asymptotically efficient, evaluating it is computationally hard. In this work, we propose a novel loss function and a computationally efficient estimator that is consistent as well as asymptotically normal under mild conditions. We show that, at the population level, our method can be viewed as the maximum likelihood estimation of a re-parameterized distribution belonging to the same class of exponential family. Further, we show that our estimator can be interpreted as a solution to minimizing a particular Bregman score as well as an instance of minimizing the \textit{surrogate} likelihood. We also provide finite sample guarantees to achieve an error (in $\ell_2$-norm) of $\alpha$ in the parameter estimation with sample complexity $O({\sf poly}(k)/\alpha^2)$. Our method achives the order-optimal sample complexity of $O({\sf log}(k)/\alpha^2)$ when tailored for node-wise-sparse Markov random fields. Finally, we demonstrate the performance of our estimator via numerical experiments.

Training energy-based models (EBMs) with maximum likelihood estimation on high-dimensional data can be both challenging and time-consuming. As a result, there a noticeable gap in sample quality between EBMs and other generative frameworks like GANs and diffusion models. To close this gap, inspired by the recent efforts of learning EBMs by maximimizing diffusion recovery likelihood (DRL), we propose cooperative diffusion recovery likelihood (CDRL), an effective approach to tractably learn and sample from a series of EBMs defined on increasingly noisy versons of a dataset, paired with an initializer model for each EBM. At each noise level, the initializer model learns to amortize the sampling process of the EBM, and the two models are jointly estimated within a cooperative training framework. Samples from the initializer serve as starting points that are refined by a few sampling steps from the EBM. With the refined samples, the EBM is optimized by maximizing recovery likelihood, while the initializer is optimized by learning from the difference between the refined samples and the initial samples. We develop a new noise schedule and a variance reduction technique to further improve the sample quality. Combining these advances, we significantly boost the FID scores compared to existing EBM methods on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet 32x32, with a 2x speedup over DRL. In addition, we extend our method to compositional generation and image inpainting tasks, and showcase the compatibility of CDRL with classifier-free guidance for conditional generation, achieving similar trade-offs between sample quality and sample diversity as in diffusion models.

Robust Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) are receiving much attention in learning a robust policy which is less sensitive to environment changes. There are an increasing number of works analyzing sample-efficiency of robust MDPs. However, there are two major barriers to applying robust MDPs in practice. First, most works study robust MDPs in a model-based regime, where the transition probability needs to be estimated and requires a large amount of memories $\mathcal{O}(|\mathcal{S}|^2|\mathcal{A}|)$. Second, prior work typically assumes a strong oracle to obtain the optimal solution as an intermediate step to solve robust MDPs. However, in practice, such an oracle does not exist usually. To remove the oracle, we transform the original robust MDPs into an alternative form, which allows us to use stochastic gradient methods to solve the robust MDPs. Moreover, we prove the alternative form still plays a similar role as the original form. With this new formulation, we devise a sample-efficient algorithm to solve the robust MDPs in a model-free regime, which does not require an oracle and trades off a lower storage requirement $\mathcal{O}(|\mathcal{S}||\mathcal{A}|)$ with being able to generate samples from a generative model or Markovian chain. Finally, we validate our theoretical findings via numerical experiments, showing the efficiency with the alternative form of robust MDPs.

This paper presents a novel hybrid Automatic Speech Recognition (ASR) system designed specifically for resource-constrained robots. The proposed approach combines Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) with deep learning models and leverages socket programming to distribute processing tasks effectively. In this architecture, the HMM-based processing takes place within the robot, while a separate PC handles the deep learning model. This synergy between HMMs and deep learning enhances speech recognition accuracy significantly. We conducted experiments across various robotic platforms, demonstrating real-time and precise speech recognition capabilities. Notably, the system exhibits adaptability to changing acoustic conditions and compatibility with low-power hardware, making it highly effective in environments with limited computational resources. This hybrid ASR paradigm opens up promising possibilities for seamless human-robot interaction. In conclusion, our research introduces a pioneering dimension to ASR techniques tailored for robotics. By employing socket programming to distribute processing tasks across distinct devices and strategically combining HMMs with deep learning models, our hybrid ASR system showcases its potential to enable robots to comprehend and respond to spoken language adeptly, even in environments with restricted computational resources. This paradigm sets a innovative course for enhancing human-robot interaction across a wide range of real-world scenarios.

A crucial design decision for any robot learning pipeline is the choice of policy representation: what type of model should be used to generate the next set of robot actions? Owing to the inherent multi-modal nature of many robotic tasks, combined with the recent successes in generative modeling, researchers have turned to state-of-the-art probabilistic models such as diffusion models for policy representation. In this work, we revisit the choice of energy-based models (EBM) as a policy class. We show that the prevailing folklore -- that energy models in high dimensional continuous spaces are impractical to train -- is false. We develop a practical training objective and algorithm for energy models which combines several key ingredients: (i) ranking noise contrastive estimation (R-NCE), (ii) learnable negative samplers, and (iii) non-adversarial joint training. We prove that our proposed objective function is asymptotically consistent and quantify its limiting variance. On the other hand, we show that the Implicit Behavior Cloning (IBC) objective is actually biased even at the population level, providing a mathematical explanation for the poor performance of IBC trained energy policies in several independent follow-up works. We further extend our algorithm to learn a continuous stochastic process that bridges noise and data, modeling this process with a family of EBMs indexed by scale variable. In doing so, we demonstrate that the core idea behind recent progress in generative modeling is actually compatible with EBMs. Altogether, our proposed training algorithms enable us to train energy-based models as policies which compete with -- and even outperform -- diffusion models and other state-of-the-art approaches in several challenging multi-modal benchmarks: obstacle avoidance path planning and contact-rich block pushing.

Whether and how data scientists, statisticians and modellers should be accountable for the AI systems they develop remains a controversial and highly debated topic, especially given the complexity of AI systems and the difficulties in comparing and synthesising competing claims arising from their deployment for data analysis. This paper proposes to address this issue by decreasing the opacity and heightening the accountability of decision making using AI systems, through the explicit acknowledgement of the statistical foundations that underpin their development and the ways in which these dictate how their results should be interpreted and acted upon by users. In turn, this enhances (1) the responsiveness of the models to feedback, (2) the quality and meaning of uncertainty on their outputs and (3) their transparency to evaluation. To exemplify this approach, we extend Posterior Belief Assessment to offer a route to belief ownership from complex and competing AI structures. We argue that this is a significant way to bring ethical considerations into mathematical reasoning, and to implement ethical AI in statistical practice. We demonstrate these ideas within the context of competing models used to advise the UK government on the spread of the Omicron variant of COVID-19 during December 2021.

Pool-based active learning (AL) is a promising technology for increasing data-efficiency of machine learning models. However, surveys show that performance of recent AL methods is very sensitive to the choice of dataset and training setting, making them unsuitable for general application. In order to tackle this problem, the field Learning Active Learning (LAL) suggests to learn the active learning strategy itself, allowing it to adapt to the given setting. In this work, we propose a novel LAL method for classification that exploits symmetry and independence properties of the active learning problem with an Attentive Conditional Neural Process model. Our approach is based on learning from a myopic oracle, which gives our model the ability to adapt to non-standard objectives, such as those that do not equally weight the error on all data points. We experimentally verify that our Neural Process model outperforms a variety of baselines in these settings. Finally, our experiments show that our model exhibits a tendency towards improved stability to changing datasets. However, performance is sensitive to choice of classifier and more work is necessary to reduce the performance the gap with the myopic oracle and to improve scalability. We present our work as a proof-of-concept for LAL on nonstandard objectives and hope our analysis and modelling considerations inspire future LAL work.

This study explores the potential of reinforcement learning algorithms to enhance career planning processes. Leveraging data from Randstad The Netherlands, the study simulates the Dutch job market and develops strategies to optimize employees' long-term income. By formulating career planning as a Markov Decision Process (MDP) and utilizing machine learning algorithms such as Sarsa, Q-Learning, and A2C, we learn optimal policies that recommend career paths with high-income occupations and industries. The results demonstrate significant improvements in employees' income trajectories, with RL models, particularly Q-Learning and Sarsa, achieving an average increase of 5% compared to observed career paths. The study acknowledges limitations, including narrow job filtering, simplifications in the environment formulation, and assumptions regarding employment continuity and zero application costs. Future research can explore additional objectives beyond income optimization and address these limitations to further enhance career planning processes.

In this paper, we present a transformer architecture for predicting student performance on standardized tests. Specifically, we leverage students historical data, including their past test scores, study habits, and other relevant information, to create a personalized model for each student. We then use these models to predict their future performance on a given test. Applying this model to the RIIID dataset, we demonstrate that using multiple granularities for temporal features as the decoder input significantly improve model performance. Our results also show the effectiveness of our approach, with substantial improvements over the LightGBM method. Our work contributes to the growing field of AI in education, providing a scalable and accurate tool for predicting student outcomes.

While representation learning has been central to the rise of machine learning and artificial intelligence, a key problem remains in making the learnt representations meaningful. For this the typical approach is to regularize the learned representation through prior probability distributions. However such priors are usually unavailable or ad hoc. To deal with this, we propose a dynamics-constrained representation learning framework. Instead of using predefined probabilities, we restrict the latent representation to follow specific dynamics, which is a more natural constraint for representation learning in dynamical systems. Our belief stems from a fundamental observation in physics that though different systems can have different marginalized probability distributions, they typically obey the same dynamics, such as Newton's and Schrodinger's equations. We validate our framework for different systems including a real-world fluorescent DNA movie dataset. We show that our algorithm can uniquely identify an uncorrelated, isometric and meaningful latent representation.