Developing efficient solutions for inference problems in intelligent sensor networks is crucial for the next generation of location, tracking, and mapping services. This paper develops a scalable distributed probabilistic inference algorithm that applies to continuous variables, intractable posteriors and large-scale real-time data in sensor networks. In a centralized setting, variational inference is a fundamental technique for performing approximate Bayesian estimation, in which an intractable posterior density is approximated with a parametric density. Our key contribution lies in the derivation of a separable lower bound on the centralized estimation objective, which enables distributed variational inference with one-hop communication in a sensor network. Our distributed evidence lower bound (DELBO) consists of a weighted sum of observation likelihood and divergence to prior densities, and its gap to the measurement evidence is due to consensus and modeling errors. To solve binary classification and regression problems while handling streaming data, we design an online distributed algorithm that maximizes DELBO, and specialize it to Gaussian variational densities with non-linear likelihoods. The resulting distributed Gaussian variational inference (DGVI) efficiently inverts a $1$-rank correction to the covariance matrix. Finally, we derive a diagonalized version for online distributed inference in high-dimensional models, and apply it to multi-robot probabilistic mapping using indoor LiDAR data.

We establish the first mathematically rigorous link between Bayesian, variational Bayesian, and ensemble methods. A key step towards this it to reformulate the non-convex optimisation problem typically encountered in deep learning as a convex optimisation in the space of probability measures. On a technical level, our contribution amounts to studying generalised variational inference through the lense of Wasserstein gradient flows. The result is a unified theory of various seemingly disconnected approaches that are commonly used for uncertainty quantification in deep learning -- including deep ensembles and (variational) Bayesian methods. This offers a fresh perspective on the reasons behind the success of deep ensembles over procedures based on parameterised variational inference, and allows the derivation of new ensembling schemes with convergence guarantees. We showcase this by proposing a family of interacting deep ensembles with direct parallels to the interactions of particle systems in thermodynamics, and use our theory to prove the convergence of these algorithms to a well-defined global minimiser on the space of probability measures.

The deep learning recipe of casting real-world problems as mathematical optimisation and tackling the optimisation by training deep neural networks using gradient-based optimisation has undoubtedly proven to be a fruitful one. The understanding behind why deep learning works, however, has lagged behind its practical significance. We aim to make steps towards an improved understanding of deep learning with a focus on optimisation and model regularisation. We start by investigating gradient descent (GD), a discrete-time algorithm at the basis of most popular deep learning optimisation algorithms. Understanding the dynamics of GD has been hindered by the presence of discretisation drift, the numerical integration error between GD and its often studied continuous-time counterpart, the negative gradient flow (NGF). To add to the toolkit available to study GD, we derive novel continuous-time flows that account for discretisation drift. Unlike the NGF, these new flows can be used to describe learning rate specific behaviours of GD, such as training instabilities observed in supervised learning and two-player games. We then translate insights from continuous time into mitigation strategies for unstable GD dynamics, by constructing novel learning rate schedules and regularisers that do not require additional hyperparameters. Like optimisation, smoothness regularisation is another pillar of deep learning's success with wide use in supervised learning and generative modelling. Despite their individual significance, the interactions between smoothness regularisation and optimisation have yet to be explored. We find that smoothness regularisation affects optimisation across multiple deep learning domains, and that incorporating smoothness regularisation in reinforcement learning leads to a performance boost that can be recovered using adaptions to optimisation methods.

Empirical risk minimization can lead to poor generalization behavior on unseen environments if the learned model does not capture invariant feature representations. Invariant risk minimization (IRM) is a recent proposal for discovering environment-invariant representations. IRM was introduced by Arjovsky et al. (2019) and extended by Ahuja et al. (2020). IRM assumes that all environments are available to the learning system at the same time. With this work, we generalize the concept of IRM to scenarios where environments are observed sequentially. We show that existing approaches, including those designed for continual learning, fail to identify the invariant features and models across sequentially presented environments. We extend IRM under a variational Bayesian and bilevel framework, creating a general approach to continual invariant risk minimization. We also describe a strategy to solve the optimization problems using a variant of the alternating direction method of multiplier (ADMM). We show empirically using multiple datasets and with multiple sequential environments that the proposed methods outperform or is competitive with prior approaches.

The graphical structure of Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs) represents the conditional independence (CI) relations that hold in the modeled distribution. Every separator in the graph represents a conditional independence relation in the distribution, making them the vehicle through which new conditional independencies are inferred and verified. The notion of separation in graphs depends on whether the graph is directed (i.e., a Bayesian Network), or undirected (i.e., a Markov Network). The premise of all current systems-of-inference for deriving CIs in PGMs, is that the set of CIs used for the construction of the PGM hold exactly. In practice, algorithms for extracting the structure of PGMs from data discover approximate CIs that do not hold exactly in the distribution. In this paper, we ask how the error in this set propagates to the inferred CIs read off the graphical structure. More precisely, what guarantee can we provide on the inferred CI when the set of CIs that entailed it hold only approximately? It has recently been shown that in the general case, no such guarantee can be provided. In this work, we prove new negative and positive results concerning this problem. We prove that separators in undirected PGMs do not necessarily represent approximate CIs. That is, no guarantee can be provided for CIs inferred from the structure of undirected graphs. We prove that such a guarantee exists for the set of CIs inferred in directed graphical models, making the $d$-separation algorithm a sound and complete system for inferring approximate CIs. We also establish improved approximation guarantees for independence relations derived from marginal and saturated CIs.

Adaptive monitoring of a large population of dynamic processes is critical for the timely detection of abnormal events under limited resources in many healthcare and engineering systems. Examples include the risk-based disease screening and condition-based process monitoring. However, existing adaptive monitoring models either ignore the dependency among processes or overlook the uncertainty in process modeling. To design an optimal monitoring strategy that accurately monitors the processes with poor health conditions and actively collects information for uncertainty reduction, a novel online collaborative learning method is proposed in this study. The proposed method designs a collaborative learning-based upper confidence bound (CL-UCB) algorithm to optimally balance the exploitation and exploration of dependent processes under limited resources. Efficiency of the proposed method is demonstrated through theoretical analysis, simulation studies and an empirical study of adaptive cognitive monitoring in Alzheimer's disease.

A particularly successful class of approaches for few-shot learning combines language models with prompts -- hand-crafted task descriptions that complement data samples. However, designing prompts by hand for each task commonly requires domain knowledge and substantial guesswork. We observe, in the context of classification tasks, that instruction finetuned language models exhibit remarkable prompt robustness, and we subsequently propose a simple method to eliminate the need for handcrafted prompts, named AuT-Few. This approach consists of (i) a prompt retrieval module that selects suitable task instructions from the instruction-tuning knowledge base, and (ii) the generation of two distinct, semantically meaningful, class descriptions and a selection mechanism via cross-validation. Over $12$ datasets, spanning $8$ classification tasks, we show that AuT-Few outperforms current state-of-the-art few-shot learning methods. Moreover, AuT-Few is the best ranking method across datasets on the RAFT few-shot benchmark. Notably, these results are achieved without task-specific handcrafted prompts on unseen tasks.

With the recent advances in natural language processing (NLP), a vast number of applications have emerged across various use cases. Among the plethora of NLP applications, many academic researchers are motivated to do work that has a positive social impact, in line with the recent initiatives of NLP for Social Good (NLP4SG). However, it is not always obvious to researchers how their research efforts are tackling today's big social problems. Thus, in this paper, we introduce NLP4SG Papers, a scientific dataset with three associated tasks that can help identify NLP4SG papers and characterize the NLP4SG landscape by: (1) identifying the papers that address a social problem, (2) mapping them to the corresponding UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), and (3) identifying the task they are solving and the methods they are using. Using state-of-the-art NLP models, we address each of these tasks and use them on the entire ACL Anthology, resulting in a visualization workspace that gives researchers a comprehensive overview of the field of NLP4SG. Our website is available at https://nlp4sg.vercel.app. We released our data at https://huggingface.co/datasets/feradauto/NLP4SGPapers and code at https://github.com/feradauto/nlp4sg

Profile hidden Markov models (pHMMs) are widely employed in various bioinformatics applications to identify similarities between biological sequences, such as DNA or protein sequences. In pHMMs, sequences are represented as graph structures. These probabilities are subsequently used to compute the similarity score between a sequence and a pHMM graph. The Baum-Welch algorithm, a prevalent and highly accurate method, utilizes these probabilities to optimize and compute similarity scores. However, the Baum-Welch algorithm is computationally intensive, and existing solutions offer either software-only or hardware-only approaches with fixed pHMM designs. We identify an urgent need for a flexible, high-performance, and energy-efficient HW/SW co-design to address the major inefficiencies in the Baum-Welch algorithm for pHMMs. We introduce ApHMM, the first flexible acceleration framework designed to significantly reduce both computational and energy overheads associated with the Baum-Welch algorithm for pHMMs. ApHMM tackles the major inefficiencies in the Baum-Welch algorithm by 1) designing flexible hardware to accommodate various pHMM designs, 2) exploiting predictable data dependency patterns through on-chip memory with memoization techniques, 3) rapidly filtering out negligible computations using a hardware-based filter, and 4) minimizing redundant computations. ApHMM achieves substantial speedups of 15.55x - 260.03x, 1.83x - 5.34x, and 27.97x when compared to CPU, GPU, and FPGA implementations of the Baum-Welch algorithm, respectively. ApHMM outperforms state-of-the-art CPU implementations in three key bioinformatics applications: 1) error correction, 2) protein family search, and 3) multiple sequence alignment, by 1.29x - 59.94x, 1.03x - 1.75x, and 1.03x - 1.95x, respectively, while improving their energy efficiency by 64.24x - 115.46x, 1.75x, 1.96x.

Novice pilots find it difficult to operate and land unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), due to the complex UAV dynamics, challenges in depth perception, lack of expertise with the control interface and additional disturbances from the ground effect. Therefore we propose a shared autonomy approach to assist pilots in safely landing a UAV under conditions where depth perception is difficult and safe landing zones are limited. Our approach comprises of two modules: a perception module that encodes information onto a compressed latent representation using two RGB-D cameras and a policy module that is trained with the reinforcement learning algorithm TD3 to discern the pilot's intent and to provide control inputs that augment the user's input to safely land the UAV. The policy module is trained in simulation using a population of simulated users. Simulated users are sampled from a parametric model with four parameters, which model a pilot's tendency to conform to the assistant, proficiency, aggressiveness and speed. We conduct a user study (n = 28) where human participants were tasked with landing a physical UAV on one of several platforms under challenging viewing conditions. The assistant, trained with only simulated user data, improved task success rate from 51.4% to 98.2% despite being unaware of the human participants' goal or the structure of the environment a priori. With the proposed assistant, regardless of prior piloting experience, participants performed with a proficiency greater than the most experienced unassisted participants.