Learning Graphical Models
Semantic-Aware Remote Estimation of Multiple Markov Sources Under Constraints
This paper studies semantic-aware communication for remote estimation of multiple Markov sources over a lossy and rate-constrained channel. Unlike most existing studies that treat all source states equally, we exploit the semantics of information and consider that the remote actuator has different tolerances for the estimation errors of different states. We aim to find an optimal scheduling policy that minimizes the long-term state-dependent costs of estimation errors under a transmission frequency constraint. We theoretically show the structure of the optimal policy by leveraging the average-cost Constrained Markov Decision Process (CMDP) theory and the Lagrangian dynamic programming. By exploiting the optimal structural results, we develop a novel policy search algorithm, termed intersection search plus relative value iteration (Insec-RVI), that can find the optimal policy using only a few iterations. To avoid the ``curse of dimensionality'' of MDPs, we propose an online low-complexity drift-plus-penalty (DPP) scheduling algorithm based on the Lyapunov optimization theorem. We also design an efficient average-cost Q-learning algorithm to estimate the optimal policy without knowing a priori the channel and source statistics. Numerical results show that continuous transmission is inefficient, and remarkably, our semantic-aware policies can attain the optimum by strategically utilizing fewer transmissions by exploiting the timing of the important information.
The Solution for the ICCV 2023 1st Scientific Figure Captioning Challenge
Chao, Dian, Song, Xin, Zhong, Shupeng, Wang, Boyuan, Wu, Xiangyu, Zhu, Chen, Yang, Yang
In this paper, we propose a solution for improving the quality of captions generated for figures in papers. We adopt the approach of summarizing the textual content in the paper to generate image captions. Throughout our study, we encounter discrepancies in the OCR information provided in the official dataset. To rectify this, we employ the PaddleOCR toolkit to extract OCR information from all images. Moreover, we observe that certain textual content in the official paper pertains to images that are not relevant for captioning, thereby introducing noise during caption generation. To mitigate this issue, we leverage LLaMA to extract image-specific information by querying the textual content based on image mentions, effectively filtering out extraneous information. Additionally, we recognize a discrepancy between the primary use of maximum likelihood estimation during text generation and the evaluation metrics such as ROUGE employed to assess the quality of generated captions. To bridge this gap, we integrate the BRIO model framework, enabling a more coherent alignment between the generation and evaluation processes. Our approach ranked first in the final test with a score of 4.49.
Bayesian Methods for Trust in Collaborative Multi-Agent Autonomy
Hallyburton, R. Spencer, Pajic, Miroslav
Multi-agent, collaborative sensor fusion is a vital component of a multi-national intelligence toolkit. In safety-critical and/or contested environments, adversaries may infiltrate and compromise a number of agents. We analyze state of the art multi-target tracking algorithms under this compromised agent threat model. We prove that the track existence probability test ("track score") is significantly vulnerable to even small numbers of adversaries. To add security awareness, we design a trust estimation framework using hierarchical Bayesian updating. Our framework builds beliefs of trust on tracks and agents by mapping sensor measurements to trust pseudomeasurements (PSMs) and incorporating prior trust beliefs in a Bayesian context. In case studies, our trust estimation algorithm accurately estimates the trustworthiness of tracks/agents, subject to observability limitations.
Multiple-Source Localization from a Single-Snapshot Observation Using Graph Bayesian Optimization
Zhang, Zonghan, Zhang, Zijian, Chen, Zhiqian
Due to the significance of its various applications, source localization has garnered considerable attention as one of the most important means to confront diffusion hazards. Multi-source localization from a single-snapshot observation is especially relevant due to its prevalence. However, the inherent complexities of this problem, such as limited information, interactions among sources, and dependence on diffusion models, pose challenges to resolution. Current methods typically utilize heuristics and greedy selection, and they are usually bonded with one diffusion model. Consequently, their effectiveness is constrained. To address these limitations, we propose a simulation-based method termed BOSouL. Bayesian optimization (BO) is adopted to approximate the results for its sample efficiency. A surrogate function models uncertainty from the limited information. It takes sets of nodes as the input instead of individual nodes. BOSouL can incorporate any diffusion model in the data acquisition process through simulations. Empirical studies demonstrate that its performance is robust across graph structures and diffusion models. The code is available at https://github.com/XGraph-Team/BOSouL.
Addressing Myopic Constrained POMDP Planning with Recursive Dual Ascent
Stocco, Paula, Chundi, Suhas, Jamgochian, Arec, Kochenderfer, Mykel J.
Lagrangian-guided Monte Carlo tree search with global dual ascent has been applied to solve large constrained partially observable Markov decision processes (CPOMDPs) online. In this work, we demonstrate that these global dual parameters can lead to myopic action selection during exploration, ultimately leading to suboptimal decision making. To address this, we introduce history-dependent dual variables that guide local action selection and are optimized with recursive dual ascent. We empirically compare the performance of our approach on a motivating toy example and two large CPOMDPs, demonstrating improved exploration, and ultimately, safer outcomes.
Reinforcement Learning with Options and State Representation
Ghriss, Ayoub, Sugiyama, Masashi, Lazaric, Alessandro
The current thesis aims to explore the reinforcement learning field and build on existing methods to produce improved ones to tackle the problem of learning in high-dimensional and complex environments. It addresses such goals by decomposing learning tasks in a hierarchical fashion known as Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning. We start in the first chapter by getting familiar with the Markov Decision Process framework and presenting some of its recent techniques that the following chapters use. We then proceed to build our Hierarchical Policy learning as an answer to the limitations of a single primitive policy. The hierarchy is composed of a manager agent at the top and employee agents at the lower level. In the last chapter, which is the core of this thesis, we attempt to learn lower-level elements of the hierarchy independently of the manager level in what is known as the "Eigenoption". Based on the graph structure of the environment, Eigenoptions allow us to build agents that are aware of the geometric and dynamic properties of the environment. Their decision-making has a special property: it is invariant to symmetric transformations of the environment, allowing as a consequence to greatly reduce the complexity of the learning task.
Weak Convergence Analysis of Online Neural Actor-Critic Algorithms
Lam, Samuel Chun-Hei, Sirignano, Justin, Wang, Ziheng
Neural network actor-critic algorithms are one of the most popular methods in deep reinforcement learning. A neural network model is trained to select the policy (the "actor") while another neural network (the "critic") is simultaneously trained to learn the value function given the actor's policy. Specifically, the actor selects an action and, given the action, a new state transition occurs according to a Markov stochastic process and a reward (a measurement of the success/failure) is observed. The critic must learn to approximate the value function - the solution to the Bellman equation - given the actor's policy. Given the critic's estimate for the value function of the current policy, the actor must be updated to improve the value function (i.e., increase the expected reward). Actor-critic algorithms are well-established methods in reinforcement learning [17, 15]; the key recent advance is using (deep) neural networks as the actor/critic and training their parameters using gradient descent methods [26, 10, 25, 2, 29]. Analysis of neural network actor-critic algorithms is challenging due to: (1) the non-convexity of the neural networks, (2) the complex feedback loop between the actor and critic (the actor determines the sequence of data samples which are used to train the critic and the critic is used to train the actor), and (3) the simultaneous online updates of both the actor and critic which lead to (3A) the distribution of the data, which depends upon the actor, constantly evolving in time and (3B) the actor being updated with a noisy, biased estimate of the value function.
Causal Discovery from Poisson Branching Structural Causal Model Using High-Order Cumulant with Path Analysis
Qiao, Jie, Xiang, Yu, Chen, Zhengming, Cai, Ruichu, Hao, Zhifeng
Count data naturally arise in many fields, such as finance, neuroscience, and epidemiology, and discovering causal structure among count data is a crucial task in various scientific and industrial scenarios. One of the most common characteristics of count data is the inherent branching structure described by a binomial thinning operator and an independent Poisson distribution that captures both branching and noise. For instance, in a population count scenario, mortality and immigration contribute to the count, where survival follows a Bernoulli distribution, and immigration follows a Poisson distribution. However, causal discovery from such data is challenging due to the non-identifiability issue: a single causal pair is Markov equivalent, i.e., $X\rightarrow Y$ and $Y\rightarrow X$ are distributed equivalent. Fortunately, in this work, we found that the causal order from $X$ to its child $Y$ is identifiable if $X$ is a root vertex and has at least two directed paths to $Y$, or the ancestor of $X$ with the most directed path to $X$ has a directed path to $Y$ without passing $X$. Specifically, we propose a Poisson Branching Structure Causal Model (PB-SCM) and perform a path analysis on PB-SCM using high-order cumulants. Theoretical results establish the connection between the path and cumulant and demonstrate that the path information can be obtained from the cumulant. With the path information, causal order is identifiable under some graphical conditions. A practical algorithm for learning causal structure under PB-SCM is proposed and the experiments demonstrate and verify the effectiveness of the proposed method.
Partially Blinded Unlearning: Class Unlearning for Deep Networks a Bayesian Perspective
Panda, Subhodip, Sourav, Shashwat, P, Prathosh A.
In order to adhere to regulatory standards governing individual data privacy and safety, machine learning models must systematically eliminate information derived from specific subsets of a user's training data that can no longer be utilized. The emerging discipline of Machine Unlearning has arisen as a pivotal area of research, facilitating the process of selectively discarding information designated to specific sets or classes of data from a pre-trained model, thereby eliminating the necessity for extensive retraining from scratch. The principal aim of this study is to formulate a methodology tailored for the purposeful elimination of information linked to a specific class of data from a pre-trained classification network. This intentional removal is crafted to degrade the model's performance specifically concerning the unlearned data class while concurrently minimizing any detrimental impacts on the model's performance in other classes. To achieve this goal, we frame the class unlearning problem from a Bayesian perspective, which yields a loss function that minimizes the log-likelihood associated with the unlearned data with a stability regularization in parameter space. This stability regularization incorporates Mohalanobis distance with respect to the Fisher Information matrix and $l_2$ distance from the pre-trained model parameters. Our novel approach, termed \textbf{Partially-Blinded Unlearning (PBU)}, surpasses existing state-of-the-art class unlearning methods, demonstrating superior effectiveness. Notably, PBU achieves this efficacy without requiring awareness of the entire training dataset but only to the unlearned data points, marking a distinctive feature of its performance.
Markov chain models for inspecting response dynamics in psychological testing
The importance of considering contextual probabilities in shaping response patterns within psychological testing is underscored, despite the ubiquitous nature of order effects discussed extensively in methodological literature. Drawing from concepts such as path-dependency, first-order autocorrelation, state-dependency, and hysteresis, the present study is an attempt to address how earlier responses serve as an anchor for subsequent answers in tests, surveys, and questionnaires. Introducing the notion of non-commuting observables derived from quantum physics, I highlight their role in characterizing psychological processes and the impact of measurement instruments on participants' responses. We advocate for the utilization of first-order Markov chain modeling to capture and forecast sequential dependencies in survey and test responses. The employment of the first-order Markov chain model lies in individuals' propensity to exhibit partial focus to preceding responses, with recent items most likely exerting a substantial influence on subsequent response selection. This study contributes to advancing our understanding of the dynamics inherent in sequential data within psychological research and provides a methodological framework for conducting longitudinal analyses of response patterns of test and questionnaire.