Learning Graphical Models
SLR: Learning Quadruped Locomotion without Privileged Information
Chen, Shiyi, Wan, Zeyu, Yan, Shiyang, Zhang, Chun, Zhang, Weiyi, Li, Qiang, Zhang, Debing, Farrukh, Fasih Ud Din
Traditional reinforcement learning control for quadruped robots often relies on privileged information, demanding meticulous selection and precise estimation, thereby imposing constraints on the development process. This work proposes a Self-learning Latent Representation (SLR) method, which achieves high-performance control policy learning without the need for privileged information. To enhance the credibility of our proposed method's evaluation, SLR is compared with open-source code repositories of state-of-the-art algorithms, retaining the original authors' configuration parameters. Across four repositories, SLR consistently outperforms the reference results. Ultimately, the trained policy and encoder empower the quadruped robot to navigate steps, climb stairs, ascend rocks, and traverse various challenging terrains. Robot experiment videos are at https://11chens.github.io/SLR/
Probabilistic and Causal Satisfiability: the Impact of Marginalization
Dörfler, Julian, van der Zander, Benito, Bläser, Markus, Liskiewicz, Maciej
The framework of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy (PCH) formalizes three types of reasoning: observational, interventional, and counterfactual, that reflect the progressive sophistication of human thought regarding causation. We investigate the computational complexity aspects of reasoning in this framework focusing mainly on satisfiability problems expressed in probabilistic and causal languages across the PCH. That is, given a system of formulas in the standard probabilistic and causal languages, does there exist a model satisfying the formulas? The resulting complexity changes depending on the level of the hierarchy as well as the operators allowed in the formulas (addition, multiplication, or marginalization). We focus on formulas involving marginalization that are widely used in probabilistic and causal inference, but whose complexity issues are still little explored. Our main contribution are the exact computational complexity results showing that linear languages (allowing addition and marginalization) yield NP^PP-, PSPACE-, and NEXP-complete satisfiability problems, depending on the level of the PCH. Moreover, we prove that the problem for the full language (allowing additionally multiplication) is complete for the class succ$\exists$R for languages on the highest, counterfactual level, which extends previous results for the lower levels of the PCH. Finally, we consider constrained models that are restricted to a given Bayesian network, a Directed Acyclic Graph structure, or a small polynomial size. The complexity of languages on the interventional level is increased to the complexity of counterfactual languages without such a constraint, that is, linear languages become NEXP-complete. On the other hand, the complexity on the counterfactual level does not change. The constraint on the size reduces the complexity of the interventional and counterfactual languages to NEXP-complete.
S$^2$GSL: Incorporating Segment to Syntactic Enhanced Graph Structure Learning for Aspect-based Sentiment Analysis
Chen, Bingfeng, Ouyang, Qihan, Luo, Yongqi, Xu, Boyan, Cai, Ruichu, Hao, Zhifeng
Previous graph-based approaches in Aspect based Sentiment Analysis(ABSA) have demonstrated impressive performance by utilizing graph neural networks and attention mechanisms to learn structures of static dependency trees and dynamic latent trees. However, incorporating both semantic and syntactic information simultaneously within complex global structures can introduce irrelevant contexts and syntactic dependencies during the process of graph structure learning, potentially resulting in inaccurate predictions. In order to address the issues above, we propose S$^2$GSL, incorporating Segment to Syntactic enhanced Graph Structure Learning for ABSA. Specifically,S$^2$GSL is featured with a segment-aware semantic graph learning and a syntax-based latent graph learning enabling the removal of irrelevant contexts and dependencies, respectively. We further propose a self-adaptive aggregation network that facilitates the fusion of two graph learning branches, thereby achieving complementarity across diverse structures. Experimental results on four benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our framework.
Sim-to-real Transfer of Deep Reinforcement Learning Agents for Online Coverage Path Planning
Jonnarth, Arvi, Johansson, Ola, Felsberg, Michael
Sim-to-real transfer presents a difficult challenge, where models trained in simulation are to be deployed in the real world. The distribution shift between the two settings leads to biased representations of the perceived real-world environment, and thus to suboptimal predictions. In this work, we tackle the challenge of sim-to-real transfer of reinforcement learning (RL) agents for coverage path planning (CPP). In CPP, the task is for a robot to find a path that visits every point of a confined area. Specifically, we consider the case where the environment is unknown, and the agent needs to plan the path online while mapping the environment. We bridge the sim-to-real gap through a semi-virtual environment with a simulated sensor and obstacles, while including real robot kinematics and real-time aspects. We investigate what level of fine-tuning is needed for adapting to a realistic setting, comparing to an agent trained solely in simulation. We find that a high model inference frequency is sufficient for reducing the sim-to-real gap, while fine-tuning degrades performance initially. By training the model in simulation and deploying it at a high inference frequency, we transfer state-of-the-art results from simulation to the real domain, where direct learning would take in the order of weeks with manual interaction, i.e., would be completely infeasible.
Probabilistic Perspectives on Error Minimization in Adversarial Reinforcement Learning
Belaire, Roman, Sinha, Arunesh, Varakantham, Pradeep
Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) policies are critically vulnerable to adversarial noise in observations, posing severe risks in safety-critical scenarios. For example, a self-driving car receiving manipulated sensory inputs about traffic signs could lead to catastrophic outcomes. Existing strategies to fortify RL algorithms against such adversarial perturbations generally fall into two categories: (a) using regularization methods that enhance robustness by incorporating adversarial loss terms into the value objectives, and (b) adopting "maximin" principles, which focus on maximizing the minimum value to ensure robustness. While regularization methods reduce the likelihood of successful attacks, their effectiveness drops significantly if an attack does succeed. On the other hand, maximin objectives, although robust, tend to be overly conservative. To address this challenge, we introduce a novel objective called Adversarial Counterfactual Error (ACoE), which naturally balances optimizing value and robustness against adversarial attacks. To optimize ACoE in a scalable manner in model-free settings, we propose a theoretically justified surrogate objective known as Cumulative-ACoE (C-ACoE). The core idea of optimizing C-ACoE is utilizing the belief about the underlying true state given the adversarially perturbed observation. Our empirical evaluations demonstrate that our method outperforms current state-of-the-art approaches for addressing adversarial RL problems across all established benchmarks (MuJoCo, Atari, and Highway) used in the literature.
Robust Reward Design for Markov Decision Processes
Wu, Shuo, Ma, Haoxiang, Fu, Jie, Han, Shuo
The problem of reward design examines the interaction between a leader and a follower, where the leader aims to shape the follower's behavior to maximize the leader's payoff by modifying the follower's reward function. Current approaches to reward design rely on an accurate model of how the follower responds to reward modifications, which can be sensitive to modeling inaccuracies. To address this issue of sensitivity, we present a solution that offers robustness against uncertainties in modeling the follower, including 1) how the follower breaks ties in the presence of nonunique best responses, 2) inexact knowledge of how the follower perceives reward modifications, and 3) bounded rationality of the follower. Our robust solution is guaranteed to exist under mild conditions and can be obtained numerically by solving a mixed-integer linear program. Numerical experiments on multiple test cases demonstrate that our solution improves robustness compared to the standard approach without incurring significant additional computing costs.
In-Context Freeze-Thaw Bayesian Optimization for Hyperparameter Optimization
Rakotoarison, Herilalaina, Adriaensen, Steven, Mallik, Neeratyoy, Garibov, Samir, Bergman, Edward, Hutter, Frank
With the increasing computational costs associated with deep learning, automated hyperparameter optimization methods, strongly relying on black-box Bayesian optimization (BO), face limitations. Freeze-thaw BO offers a promising grey-box alternative, strategically allocating scarce resources incrementally to different configurations. However, the frequent surrogate model updates inherent to this approach pose challenges for existing methods, requiring retraining or fine-tuning their neural network surrogates online, introducing overhead, instability, and hyper-hyperparameters. In this work, we propose FT-PFN, a novel surrogate for Freeze-thaw style BO. FT-PFN is a prior-data fitted network (PFN) that leverages the transformers' in-context learning ability to efficiently and reliably do Bayesian learning curve extrapolation in a single forward pass. Our empirical analysis across three benchmark suites shows that the predictions made by FT-PFN are more accurate and 10-100 times faster than those of the deep Gaussian process and deep ensemble surrogates used in previous work. Furthermore, we show that, when combined with our novel acquisition mechanism (MFPI-random), the resulting in-context freeze-thaw BO method (ifBO), yields new state-of-the-art performance in the same three families of deep learning HPO benchmarks considered in prior work.
Local vs. Global Interpretability: A Computational Complexity Perspective
Bassan, Shahaf, Amir, Guy, Katz, Guy
The local and global interpretability of various ML models has been studied extensively in recent years. However, despite significant progress in the field, many known results remain informal or lack sufficient mathematical rigor. We propose a framework for bridging this gap, by using computational complexity theory to assess local and global perspectives of interpreting ML models. We begin by proposing proofs for two novel insights that are essential for our analysis: (1) a duality between local and global forms of explanations; and (2) the inherent uniqueness of certain global explanation forms. We then use these insights to evaluate the complexity of computing explanations, across three model types representing the extremes of the interpretability spectrum: (1) linear models; (2) decision trees; and (3) neural networks. Our findings offer insights into both the local and global interpretability of these models. For instance, under standard complexity assumptions such as P != NP, we prove that selecting global sufficient subsets in linear models is computationally harder than selecting local subsets. Interestingly, with neural networks and decision trees, the opposite is true: it is harder to carry out this task locally than globally. We believe that our findings demonstrate how examining explainability through a computational complexity lens can help us develop a more rigorous grasp of the inherent interpretability of ML models.
When and How: Learning Identifiable Latent States for Nonstationary Time Series Forecasting
Li, Zijian, Cai, Ruichu, Yang, Zhenhui, Huang, Haiqin, Chen, Guangyi, Shen, Yifan, Chen, Zhengming, Song, Xiangchen, Zhang, Kun
Temporal distribution shifts are ubiquitous in time series data. One of the most popular methods assumes that the temporal distribution shift occurs uniformly to disentangle the stationary and nonstationary dependencies. But this assumption is difficult to meet, as we do not know when the distribution shifts occur. To solve this problem, we propose to learn IDentifiable latEnt stAtes (IDEA) to detect when the distribution shifts occur. Beyond that, we further disentangle the stationary and nonstationary latent states via sufficient observation assumption to learn how the latent states change. Specifically, we formalize the causal process with environment-irrelated stationary and environment-related nonstationary variables. Under mild conditions, we show that latent environments and stationary/nonstationary variables are identifiable. Based on these theories, we devise the IDEA model, which incorporates an autoregressive hidden Markov model to estimate latent environments and modular prior networks to identify latent states. The IDEA model outperforms several latest nonstationary forecasting methods on various benchmark datasets, highlighting its advantages in real-world scenarios.
On Subjective Uncertainty Quantification and Calibration in Natural Language Generation
An example of this is question answering (QA): given a question from the user, the model may provide a brief answer, but it may also follow with supporting facts and explanations, which can vary in form and detail. The user can be satisfied by a wide variety of responses, irrespective of their style or (to some extent) the choice of supporting facts included. Free-form NLG poses significant challenges to uncertainty quantification: some aspects of generation are irrelevant to the task's purpose and best excluded from uncertainty quantification, but it often appears that we are unable to characterize them precisely. If left unaddressed, however, the model's variation in the irrelevant aspects may dominate in standard uncertainty measures such as token-level entropy (Kuhn et al., 2023), making them uninformative about the model's actual performance on the task. Starting from Kuhn et al. (2023), a recent line of work (Kuhn et al., 2023; Lin et al., 2024; Zhang et al., 2023; Aichberger et al., 2024) studied this issue and proposed measuring the "semantic uncertainty" of generation; "semantics" is defined as the equivalence class of textual responses that logically entail one another. Empirical improvements in downstream tasks evidenced their contributions and highlighted the importance of task-specific uncertainty quantification, but important conceptual and practical issues remain. From a practical perspective, semantic equivalence is estimated using machine learning models, resulting in imprecise estimates that do not necessarily define an equivalence relation.