The importance of these seed stocks is underscored by the critical need for timely fulfillment of seed orders to meet specific planting windows, often mandated by the seasonal growth cycles of different crops. Failure to meet these strict timelines can lead to a host of downstream issues, including suboptimal crop yields and financial loss [1]. Figure 1: Overview of the centralized seed fulfillment process. The process begins with the arrival of seed stocks from multiple sites with stochastic, a priori unknown arrival distributions and ends with the fulfillment of orders with different deadlines and quantities. Our proposed adaptive adaptive hybrid tree search approach provides an efficient solution to the wave scheduling problem, optimizing the process of order fulfillment. Order fulfillment in industries such as e-commerce [2] and retail [3] often involve centralized fulfillment centers that simultaneously process arriving inventory and fulfill orders based on their deadlines. The fulfillment process with large catalogs often handle a batch of orders, hereinafter referred to as wave, together using automated sortation systems [4]. The supply chain in these sectors is typically well-established, with known inventory quantities and deterministic restock times. The problem of optimally scheduling waves to maximize fulfillment efficiency is addressed using traditional operations research and optimization techniques [5], [6] as order deadlines and inventory levels are known a priori or can be forecasted with low uncertainty.

Many application areas rely on models that can be readily simulated but lack a closed-form likelihood, or an accurate approximation under arbitrary parameter values. Existing parameter estimation approaches in this setting are generally approximate. Recent work on using neural network models to reconstruct the mapping from the data space to the parameters from a set of synthetic parameter-data pairs suffers from the curse of dimensionality, resulting in inaccurate estimation as the data size grows. We propose a dimension-reduced approach to likelihood-free estimation which combines the ideas of reconstruction map estimation with dimension-reduction approaches based on subject-specific knowledge. We examine the properties of reconstruction map estimation with and without dimension reduction and explore the trade-off between approximation error due to information loss from reducing the data dimension and approximation error. Numerical examples show that the proposed approach compares favorably with reconstruction map estimation, approximate Bayesian computation, and synthetic likelihood estimation.

This paper proposes two split-and-conquer (SC) learning estimators for finite mixture models that are tolerant to Byzantine failures. In SC learning, individual machines obtain local estimates, which are then transmitted to a central server for aggregation. During this communication, the server may receive malicious or incorrect information from some local machines, a scenario known as Byzantine failures. While SC learning approaches have been devised to mitigate Byzantine failures in statistical models with Euclidean parameters, developing Byzantine-tolerant methods for finite mixture models with non-Euclidean parameters requires a distinct strategy. Our proposed distance-based methods are hyperparameter tuning free, unlike existing methods, and are resilient to Byzantine failures while achieving high statistical efficiency. We validate the effectiveness of our methods both theoretically and empirically via experiments on simulated and real data from machine learning applications for digit recognition. The code for the experiment can be found at https://github.com/SarahQiong/RobustSCGMM.

State of the art methods for target tracking with sensor management (or controlled sensing) are model-based and are obtained through solutions to Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP) formulations. In this paper a Reinforcement Learning (RL) approach to the problem is explored for the setting where the motion model for the object/target to be tracked is unknown to the observer. It is assumed that the target dynamics are stationary in time, the state space and the observation space are discrete, and there is complete observability of the location of the target under certain (a priori unknown) sensor control actions. Then, a novel Markov Decision Process (MDP) rather than POMDP formulation is proposed for the tracking problem with controlled sensing, which is termed as Track-MDP. In contrast to the POMDP formulation, the Track-MDP formulation is amenable to an RL based solution. It is shown that the optimal policy for the Track-MDP formulation, which is approximated through RL, is guaranteed to track all significant target paths with certainty. The Track-MDP method is then compared with the optimal POMDP policy, and it is shown that the infinite horizon tracking reward of the optimal Track-MDP policy is the same as that of the optimal POMDP policy. In simulations it is demonstrated that Track-MDP based RL leads to a policy that can track the target with high accuracy.

Domain generalization achieves fault diagnosis on unseen modes. In process industrial systems, fault samples are limited, and only single-mode fault data can be obtained. Extracting domain-invariant fault features from single-mode data for unseen mode fault diagnosis poses challenges. Existing methods utilize a generator module to simulate samples of unseen modes. However, multi-mode samples contain complex spatiotemporal information, which brings significant difficulties to accurate sample generation. Therefore, double gradient reversal network (DGRN) is proposed. First, the model is pre-trained to acquire fault knowledge from the single seen mode. Then, pseudo-fault feature generation strategy is designed by Adaptive instance normalization, to simulate fault features of unseen mode. The dual adversarial training strategy is created to enhance the diversity of pseudo-fault features, which models unseen modes with significant distribution differences. Subsequently, domain-invariant feature extraction strategy is constructed by contrastive learning and adversarial learning. This strategy extracts common features of faults and helps multi-mode fault diagnosis. Finally, the experiments were conducted on Tennessee Eastman process and continuous stirred-tank reactor. The experiments demonstrate that DGRN achieves high classification accuracy on unseen modes while maintaining a small model size.

We present a unified likelihood ratio-based confidence sequence (CS) for any (self-concordant) generalized linear models (GLMs) that is guaranteed to be convex and numerically tight. We show that this is on par or improves upon known CSs for various GLMs, including Gaussian, Bernoulli, and Poisson. In particular, for the first time, our CS for Bernoulli has a poly(S)-free radius where S is the norm of the unknown parameter. Our first technical novelty is its derivation, which utilizes a time-uniform PAC-Bayesian bound with a uniform prior/posterior, despite the latter being a rather unpopular choice for deriving CSs. As a direct application of our new CS, we propose a simple and natural optimistic algorithm called OFUGLB applicable to any generalized linear bandits (GLB; Filippi et al. (2010)). Our analysis shows that the celebrated optimistic approach simultaneously attains state-of-the-art regrets for various self-concordant (not necessarily bounded) GLBs, and even poly(S)-free for bounded GLBs, including logistic bandits. The regret analysis, our second technical novelty, follows from combining our new CS with a new proof technique that completely avoids the previously widely used self-concordant control lemma (Faury et al., 2020, Lemma 9). Finally, we verify numerically that OFUGLB significantly outperforms the prior state-of-the-art (Lee et al., 2024) for logistic bandits.

Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) has become a widely used training method for the instruction fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs). In this work, we explore an under-investigated aspect of DPO - its dependency on the reference model or policy. Such reference policies, typically instantiated as the model to be further fine-tuned, are important since they can impose an upper limit on DPO's effectiveness. Therefore, we address three related research questions in this work. First, we explore the optimal strength of the KL-divergence constraint in DPO, which penalizes deviations from the reference policy, and find that DPO is sensitive to this strength. Next, we examine the necessity of reference policies for instruction fine-tuning by providing both theoretical and empirical comparisons between DPO and related learning objectives, demonstrating DPO's superiority. Additionally, we investigate whether DPO benefits from stronger reference policies, finding that a stronger reference policy can lead to improved performance, but only when it is similar to the model being fine-tuned. Our findings highlight the confounding role of reference policies in DPO and offer insights for best practices, while also identifying open research questions for future studies.

Task Parametrized Gaussian Mixture Models (TP-GMM) are a sample-efficient method for learning object-centric robot manipulation tasks. However, there are several open challenges to applying TP-GMMs in the wild. In this work, we tackle three crucial challenges synergistically. First, end-effector velocities are non-Euclidean and thus hard to model using standard GMMs. We thus propose to factorize the robot's end-effector velocity into its direction and magnitude, and model them using Riemannian GMMs. Second, we leverage the factorized velocities to segment and sequence skills from complex demonstration trajectories. Through the segmentation, we further align skill trajectories and hence leverage time as a powerful inductive bias. Third, we present a method to automatically detect relevant task parameters per skill from visual observations. Our approach enables learning complex manipulation tasks from just five demonstrations while using only RGB-D observations. Extensive experimental evaluations on RLBench demonstrate that our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance with 20-fold improved sample efficiency. Our policies generalize across different environments, object instances, and object positions, while the learned skills are reusable.

This article proposes two new algorithms tailored to discrete-time deterministic finite-horizon nonlinear optimal control problems or so-called trajectory optimization problems. Both algorithms are inspired by a novel theoretical paradigm known as probabilistic optimal control, that reformulates optimal control as an equivalent probabilistic inference problem. This perspective allows to address the problem using the Expectation-Maximization algorithm. We show that the application of this algorithm results in a fixed point iteration of probabilistic policies that converge to the deterministic optimal policy. Two strategies for policy evaluation are discussed, using state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods resulting into two distinct algorithms. The algorithms are structurally closest related to the differential dynamic programming algorithm and related methods that use sigma-point methods to avoid direct gradient evaluations. The main advantage of our work is an improved balance between exploration and exploitation over the iterations, leading to improved numerical stability and accelerated convergence. These properties are demonstrated on different nonlinear systems.

We present an optimistic Q-learning algorithm for regret minimization in average reward reinforcement learning under an additional assumption on the underlying MDP that for all policies, the expected time to visit some frequent state $s_0$ is finite and upper bounded by $H$. Our setting strictly generalizes the episodic setting and is significantly less restrictive than the assumption of bounded hitting time {\it for all states} made by most previous literature on model-free algorithms in average reward settings. We demonstrate a regret bound of $\tilde{O}(H^5 S\sqrt{AT})$, where $S$ and $A$ are the numbers of states and actions, and $T$ is the horizon. A key technical novelty of our work is to introduce an $\overline{L}$ operator defined as $\overline{L} v = \frac{1}{H} \sum_{h=1}^H L^h v$ where $L$ denotes the Bellman operator. We show that under the given assumption, the $\overline{L}$ operator has a strict contraction (in span) even in the average reward setting. Our algorithm design then uses ideas from episodic Q-learning to estimate and apply this operator iteratively. Therefore, we provide a unified view of regret minimization in episodic and non-episodic settings that may be of independent interest.