In this paper, we present an online reinforcement learning algorithm, called Renewal Monte Carlo (RMC), for infinite horizon Markov decision processes with a designated start state. RMC is a Monte Carlo algorithm and retains the advantages of Monte Carlo methods including low bias, simplicity, and ease of implementation while, at the same time, circumvents their key drawbacks of high variance and delayed (end of episode) updates. The key ideas behind RMC are as follows. First, under any reasonable policy, the reward process is ergodic. So, by renewal theory, the performance of a policy is equal to the ratio of expected discounted reward to the expected discounted time over a regenerative cycle. Second, by carefully examining the expression for performance gradient, we propose a stochastic approximation algorithm that only requires estimates of the expected discounted reward and discounted time over a regenerative cycle and their gradients. We propose two unbiased estimators for evaluating performance gradients---a likelihood ratio based estimator and a simultaneous perturbation based estimator---and show that for both estimators, RMC converges to a locally optimal policy. We generalize the RMC algorithm to post-decision state models and also present a variant that converges faster to an approximately optimal policy. We conclude by presenting numerical experiments on a randomly generated MDP, event-triggered communication, and inventory management.

Through the power of deep and machine learning, faster CPUs, and new types of sensors, computers can now see, hear, feel, smell, taste, and speak. All these senses take the form of some kind of sensor (like a camera) and some kind of mathematical algorithm, usually a supervised machine learning algorithm and a model. Here is what is available. Recent research into image and facial recognition lets computers not only detect object presence but detect multiple instances of similar objects. Facebook and Google have really been leading the way here, with multiple open source releases.

This paper studies the recovery and state compression of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber divergence and the $\ell_2$ risk between the estimator and the true transition matrix. The estimator reveals a compressed state space of the Markov chain. We also develop a novel DC (difference of convex function) programming algorithm to tackle the rank-constrained non-smooth optimization problem. Convergence results are established. Experiments with taxi trip data show that the estimator is able to identify the zoning of Manhattan city.

ABSTRACT Although voice conversion (VC) algorithms have achieved remarkable success along with the development of machine learning, superior performance is still difficult to achieve when using nonparallel data. In this paper, we propose using a cycle-consistent adversarial network (CycleGAN) for nonparallel data-based VC training. A CycleGAN is a generative adversarial network (GAN) originally developed for unpaired image-to-image translation. A subjective evaluation of inter-gender conversion demonstrated that the proposed method significantly outperformed a method based on the Merlin open source neural network speech synthesis system (a parallel VC system adapted for our setup) and a GAN-based parallel VC system. This is the first research to show that the performance of a nonparallel VC method can exceed that of state-of-the-art parallel VC methods. Index Terms-- Voice conversion, deep learning, cycle-consistent adversarial network, generative adversarial network 1. INTRODUCTION Voice conversion (VC) is a technique for modifying the speech signals of a source speaker to match those of a target speaker so that it sounds as if the target speaker had spoken while keeping the linguistic information unchanged [1, 2].

We consider the task of interpolating and forecasting a time series in the presence of noise and missing data. As the main contribution of this work, we introduce an algorithm that transforms the observed time series into a matrix, utilizes singular value thresholding to simultaneously recover missing values and de-noise observed entries, and performs linear regression to make predictions. We argue that this method provides meaningful imputation and forecasting for a large class of models: finite sum of harmonics (which approximate stationary processes), non-stationary sublinear trends, Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) systems, and their additive mixtures. In general, our algorithm recovers the hidden state of dynamics based on its noisy observations, like that of a Hidden Markov Model (HMM), provided the dynamics obey the above stated models. We demonstrate on synthetic and real-world datasets that our algorithm outperforms standard software packages not only in the presence of significantly missing data with high levels of noise, but also when the packages are given the underlying model while our algorithm remains oblivious.

As wireless networks evolve towards high mobility and providing better support for connected vehicles, a number of new challenges arise due to the resulting high dynamics in vehicular environments and thus motive rethinking of traditional wireless design methodologies. Future intelligent vehicles, which are at the heart of high mobility networks, are increasingly equipped with multiple advanced onboard sensors and keep generating large volumes of data. Machine learning, as an effective approach to artificial intelligence, can provide a rich set of tools to exploit such data for the benefit of the networks. In this article, we first identify the distinctive characteristics of high mobility vehicular networks and motivate the use of machine learning to address the resulting challenges. After a brief introduction of the major concepts of machine learning, we discuss its applications to learn the dynamics of vehicular networks and make informed decisions to optimize network performance. In particular, we discuss in greater detail the application of reinforcement learning in managing network resources as an alternative to the prevalent optimization approach. Finally, some open issues worth further investigation are highlighted.

Despite their great success in practical applications, there is still a lack of theoretical and systematic methods to analyze deep neural networks. In this paper, we illustrate an advanced information theoretic methodology to understand the dynamics of learning and the design of autoencoders, a special type of deep learning architectures that resembles a communication channel. By generalizing the information plane to any cost function, and inspecting the roles and dynamics of different layers using layer-wise information quantities, we emphasize the role that mutual information plays in quantifying learning from data. We further propose and also experimentally validate, for mean square error training, two hypotheses regarding the layer-wise flow of information and intrinsic dimensionality of the bottleneck layer, using respectively the data processing inequality and the identification of a bifurcation point in the information plane that is controlled by the given data. Our observations have direct impact on the optimal design of autoencoders, the design of alternative feedforward training methods, and even in the problem of generalization.

The field of multi-agent system (MAS) is an active area of research within artificial intelligence, with an increasingly important impact in industrial and other real-world applications. In a MAS, autonomous agents interact to pursue personal interests and/or to achieve common objectives. Distributed Constraint Optimization Problems (DCOPs) have emerged as a prominent agent model to govern the agents' autonomous behavior, where both algorithms and communication models are driven by the structure of the specific problem. During the last decade, several extensions to the DCOP model have been proposed to enable support of MAS in complex, real-time, and uncertain environments. This survey provides an overview of the DCOP model, offering a classification of its multiple extensions and addressing both resolution methods and applications that find a natural mapping within each class of DCOPs. The proposed classification suggests several future perspectives for DCOP extensions and identifies challenges in the design of efficient resolution algorithms, possibly through the adaptation of strategies from different areas.

Due to the intractable partition function, the exact likelihood function for a Markov random field (MRF), in many situations, can only be approximated. Major approximation approaches include pseudolikelihood and Laplace approximation. In this paper, we propose a novel way of approximating the likelihood function through first approximating the marginal likelihood functions of individual parameters and then reconstructing the joint likelihood function from these marginal likelihood functions. For approximating the marginal likelihood functions, we derive a particular likelihood function from a modified scenario of coin tossing which is useful for capturing how one parameter interacts with the remaining parameters in the likelihood function. For reconstructing the joint likelihood function, we use an appropriate copula to link up these marginal likelihood functions. Numerical investigation suggests the superior performance of our approach. Especially as the size of the MRF increases, both the numerical performance and the computational cost of our approach remain consistently satisfactory, whereas Laplace approximation deteriorates and pseudolikelihood becomes computationally unbearable.

This paper describes a novel energy-based probabilistic distribution that represents complex-valued data and explains how to apply it to direct feature extraction from complex-valued spectra. The proposed model, the complex-valued restricted Boltzmann machine (CRBM), is designed to deal with complex-valued visible units as an extension of the well-known restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM). Like the RBM, the CRBM learns the relationships between visible and hidden units without having connections between units in the same layer, which dramatically improves training efficiency by using Gibbs sampling or contrastive divergence (CD). Another important characteristic is that the CRBM also has connections between real and imaginary parts of each of the complex-valued visible units that help represent the data distribution in the complex domain. In speech signal processing, classification and generation features are often based on amplitude spectra (e.g., MFCC, cepstra, and mel-cepstra) even if they are calculated from complex spectra, and they ignore phase information. In contrast, the proposed feature extractor using the CRBM directly encodes the complex spectra (or another complex-valued representation of the complex spectra) into binary-valued latent features (hidden units). Since the visible-hidden connections are undirected, we can also recover (decode) the complex spectra from the latent features directly. Our speech coding experiments demonstrated that the CRBM outperformed other speech coding methods, such as methods using the conventional RBM, the mel-log spectrum approximate (MLSA) decoder, etc.