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Proactive Intention Recognition for Joint Human-Robot Search and Rescue Missions through Monte-Carlo Planning in POMDP Environments

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Proactively perceiving others' intentions is a crucial skill to effectively interact in unstructured, dynamic and novel environments. This work proposes a first step towards embedding this skill in support robots for search and rescue missions. Predicting the responders' intentions, indeed, will enable exploration approaches which will identify and prioritise areas that are more relevant for the responder and, thus, for the task, leading to the development of safer, more robust and efficient joint exploration strategies. More specifically, this paper presents an active intention recognition paradigm to perceive, even under sensory constraints, not only the target's position but also the first responder's movements, which can provide information on his/her intentions (e.g. reaching the position where he/she expects the target to be). This mechanism is implemented by employing an extension of Monte-Carlo-based planning techniques for partially observable environments, where the reward function is augmented with an entropy reduction bonus. We test in simulation several configurations of reward augmentation, both information theoretic and not, as well as belief state approximations and obtain substantial improvements over the basic approach.


Task-assisted Motion Planning in Partially Observable Domains

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Antony Thomas and Sunny Amatya † and Fulvio Mastrogiovanni and Marco Baglietto Abstract -- We present an integrated T ask-Motion Planning framework for robot navigation in belief space. Autonomous robots operating in real world complex scenarios require planning in the discrete (task) space and the continuous (motion) space. T o this end, we propose a framework for integrating belief space reasoning within a hybrid task planner . The expressive power of PDDL combined with heuristic-driven semantic attachments performs the propagated and posterior belief estimates while planning. The underlying methodology for the development of the combined hybrid planner is discussed, providing suggestions for improvements and future work. I NTRODUCTION Autonomous robots operating in complex real world scenarios require different levels of planning to execute their tasks. High-level (task) planning helps break down a given set of tasks into a sequence of sub-tasks, actual execution of each of these sub-tasks would require low-level control actions to generate appropriate robot motions. In fact, the dependency between logical and geometrical aspects is pervasive in both task planning and execution. Hence, planning should be performed in the task-motion or the discrete-continuous space. In recent years, combining high-level task planning with low-level motion planning has been a subject of great interest among the Robotics and Artificial Intelligence (AI) community.


Urban flows prediction from spatial-temporal data using machine learning: A survey

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Urban spatial-temporal flows prediction is of great importance to traffic management, land use, public safety, etc. Urban flows are affected by several complex and dynamic factors, such as patterns of human activities, weather, events and holidays. Datasets evaluated the flows come from various sources in different domains, e.g. mobile phone data, taxi trajectories data, metro/bus swiping data, bike-sharing data and so on. To summarize these methodologies of urban flows prediction, in this paper, we first introduce four main factors affecting urban flows. Second, in order to further analysis urban flows, a preparation process of multi-sources spatial-temporal data related with urban flows is partitioned into three groups. Third, we choose the spatial-temporal dynamic data as a case study for the urban flows prediction task. Fourth, we analyze and compare some well-known and state-of-the-art flows prediction methods in detail, classifying them into five categories: statistics-based, traditional machine learning-based, deep learning-based, reinforcement learning-based and transfer learning-based methods. Finally, we give open challenges of urban flows prediction and an outlook in the future of this field. This paper will facilitate researchers find suitable methods and open datasets for addressing urban spatial-temporal flows forecast problems.


Automatic Language Identification in Texts: A Survey

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Language identification ("LI") is the problem of determining the natural language that a document or part thereof is written in. Automatic LI has been extensively researched for over fifty years. Today, LI is a key part of many text processing pipelines, as text processing techniques generally assume that the language of the input text is known. Research in this area has recently been especially active. This article provides a brief history of LI research, and an extensive survey of the features and methods used in the LI literature. We describe the features and methods using a unified notation, to make the relationships between methods clearer. We discuss evaluation methods, applications of LI, as well as off-the-shelf LI systems that do not require training by the end user. Finally, we identify open issues, survey the work to date on each issue, and propose future directions for research in LI.


Tutorial and Survey on Probabilistic Graphical Model and Variational Inference in Deep Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Probabilistic Graphical Modeling and Variational Inference play an important role in recent advances in Deep Reinforcement Learning. Aiming at a self-consistent tutorial survey, this article illustrates basic concepts of reinforcement learning with Probabilistic Graphical Models, as well as derivation of some basic formula as a recap. Reviews and comparisons on recent advances in deep reinforcement learning with different research directions are made from various aspects. We offer Probabilistic Graphical Models, detailed explanation and derivation to several use cases of Variational Inference, which serve as a complementary material on top of the original contributions.


Reinforcement Learning in Healthcare: A Survey

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As a subfield of machine learning, \emph{reinforcement learning} (RL) aims at empowering one's capabilities in behavioural decision making by using interaction experience with the world and an evaluative feedback. Unlike traditional supervised learning methods that usually rely on one-shot, exhaustive and supervised reward signals, RL tackles with sequential decision making problems with sampled, evaluative and delayed feedback simultaneously. Such distinctive features make RL technique a suitable candidate for developing powerful solutions in a variety of healthcare domains, where diagnosing decisions or treatment regimes are usually characterized by a prolonged and sequential procedure. This survey will discuss the broad applications of RL techniques in healthcare domains, in order to provide the research community with systematic understanding of theoretical foundations, enabling methods and techniques, existing challenges, and new insights of this emerging paradigm. By first briefly examining theoretical foundations and key techniques in RL research from efficient and representational directions, we then provide an overview of RL applications in a variety of healthcare domains, ranging from dynamic treatment regimes in chronic diseases and critical care, automated medical diagnosis from both unstructured and structured clinical data, as well as many other control or scheduling domains that have infiltrated many aspects of a healthcare system. Finally, we summarize the challenges and open issues in current research, and point out some potential solutions and directions for future research.


Practical Risk Measures in Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Practical application of Reinforcement Learning (RL) often involves risk considerations. We study a generalized approximation scheme for risk measures, based on Monte-Carlo simulations, where the risk measures need not necessarily be \emph{coherent}. We demonstrate that, even in simple problems, measures such as the variance of the reward-to-go do not capture the risk in a satisfactory manner. In addition, we show how a risk measure can be derived from model's realizations. We propose a neural architecture for estimating the risk and suggest the risk critic architecture that can be use to optimize a policy under general risk measures. We conclude our work with experiments that demonstrate the efficacy of our approach.


Opponent Aware Reinforcement Learning

arXiv.org Machine Learning

In several reinforcement learning (RL) scenarios such as security settings, there may be adversaries trying to interfere with the reward generating process for their own benefit. We introduce Threatened Markov Decision Processes (TMDPs) as a framework to support an agent against potential opponents in a RL context. We also propose a level-k thinking scheme resulting in a novel learning approach to deal with TMDPs. After introducing our framework and deriving theoretical results, relevant empirical evidence is given via extensive experiments, showing the benefits of accounting for adversaries in RL while the agent learns


Double Reinforcement Learning for Efficient Off-Policy Evaluation in Markov Decision Processes

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Off-policy evaluation (OPE) in reinforcement learning allows one to evaluate novel decision policies without needing to conduct exploration, which is often costly or otherwise infeasible. We consider for the first time the semiparametric efficiency limits of OPE in Markov decision processes (MDPs), where actions, rewards, and states are memoryless. We show existing OPE estimators may fail to be efficient in this setting. We develop a new estimator based on cross-fold estimation of $q$-functions and marginalized density ratios, which we term double reinforcement learning (DRL). We show that DRL is efficient when both components are estimated at fourth-root rates and is also doubly robust when only one component is consistent. We investigate these properties empirically and demonstrate the performance benefits due to harnessing memorylessness efficiently.


Design Space of Behaviour Planning for Autonomous Driving

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

--We explore the complex design space of behaviour planning for autonomous driving. Design choices that successfully address one aspect of behaviour planning can critically constrain others. T o aid the design process, in this work we decompose the design space with respect to important choices arising from the current state of the art approaches, and describe the resulting tradeoffs. In doing this, we also identify interesting directions of future work. In this work we consider the design space [1] of behaviour planning--high level decision making--for autonomous driving. To simplify the design process, we decompose the design space into three principal axes of design choices, based on our practical experience [2] and with reference to the current state of the art. Within each axis, we discuss the inevitable qualitative tradeoffs that exist and review the relevant literature. We illustrate our decomposition using feature diagrams [3]. In doing this, we identify potentially interesting areas of research within the behaviour planning design space. The motivation of our decomposition is as follows. Human driver control actions are continuous, yet driving also contains discrete episodes, arising from road connectivity, signs, signals, road-user interactions, etc. The vehicle must nevertheless follow a smooth continuous trajectory on the road.