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 Bayesian Learning


Priors for symbolic regression

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When choosing between competing symbolic models for a data set, a human will naturally prefer the "simpler" expression or the one which more closely resembles equations previously seen in a similar context. This suggests a non-uniform prior on functions, which is, however, rarely considered within a symbolic regression (SR) framework. In this paper we develop methods to incorporate detailed prior information on both functions and their parameters into SR. Our prior on the structure of a function is based on a $n$-gram language model, which is sensitive to the arrangement of operators relative to one another in addition to the frequency of occurrence of each operator. We also develop a formalism based on the Fractional Bayes Factor to treat numerical parameter priors in such a way that models may be fairly compared though the Bayesian evidence, and explicitly compare Bayesian, Minimum Description Length and heuristic methods for model selection. We demonstrate the performance of our priors relative to literature standards on benchmarks and a real-world dataset from the field of cosmology.


Differentiable Multi-Target Causal Bayesian Experimental Design

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We introduce a gradient-based approach for the problem of Bayesian optimal experimental design to learn causal models in a batch setting -- a critical component for causal discovery from finite data where interventions can be costly or risky. Existing methods rely on greedy approximations to construct a batch of experiments while using black-box methods to optimize over a single target-state pair to intervene with. In this work, we completely dispose of the black-box optimization techniques and greedy heuristics and instead propose a conceptually simple end-to-end gradient-based optimization procedure to acquire a set of optimal intervention target-state pairs. Such a procedure enables parameterization of the design space to efficiently optimize over a batch of multi-target-state interventions, a setting which has hitherto not been explored due to its complexity. We demonstrate that our proposed method outperforms baselines and existing acquisition strategies in both single-target and multi-target settings across a number of synthetic datasets.


Bayes-optimal limits in structured PCA, and how to reach them

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

How do statistical dependencies in measurement noise influence high-dimensional inference? To answer this, we study the paradigmatic spiked matrix model of principal components analysis (PCA), where a rank-one matrix is corrupted by additive noise. We go beyond the usual independence assumption on the noise entries, by drawing the noise from a low-order polynomial orthogonal matrix ensemble. The resulting noise correlations make the setting relevant for applications but analytically challenging. We provide the first characterization of the Bayes-optimal limits of inference in this model. If the spike is rotation-invariant, we show that standard spectral PCA is optimal. However, for more general priors, both PCA and the existing approximate message passing algorithm (AMP) fall short of achieving the information-theoretic limits, which we compute using the replica method from statistical mechanics. We thus propose a novel AMP, inspired by the theory of Adaptive Thouless-Anderson-Palmer equations, which saturates the theoretical limit. This AMP comes with a rigorous state evolution analysis tracking its performance. Although we focus on specific noise distributions, our methodology can be generalized to a wide class of trace matrix ensembles at the cost of more involved expressions. Finally, despite the seemingly strong assumption of rotation-invariant noise, our theory empirically predicts algorithmic performance on real data, pointing at remarkable universality properties.


Bayesian Active Learning for Discrete Latent Variable Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Active learning seeks to reduce the amount of data required to fit the parameters of a model, thus forming an important class of techniques in modern machine learning. However, past work on active learning has largely overlooked latent variable models, which play a vital role in neuroscience, psychology, and a variety of other engineering and scientific disciplines. Here we address this gap by proposing a novel framework for maximum-mutual-information input selection for discrete latent variable regression models. We first apply our method to a class of models known as "mixtures of linear regressions" (MLR). While it is well known that active learning confers no advantage for linear-Gaussian regression models, we use Fisher information to show analytically that active learning can nevertheless achieve large gains for mixtures of such models, and we validate this improvement using both simulations and real-world data. We then consider a powerful class of temporally structured latent variable models given by a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with generalized linear model (GLM) observations, which has recently been used to identify discrete states from animal decision-making data. We show that our method substantially reduces the amount of data needed to fit GLM-HMM, and outperforms a variety of approximate methods based on variational and amortized inference. Infomax learning for latent variable models thus offers a powerful for characterizing temporally structured latent states, with a wide variety of applications in neuroscience and beyond.


Automatically Marginalized MCMC in Probabilistic Programming

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a powerful algorithm to sample latent variables from Bayesian models. The advent of probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) frees users from writing inference algorithms and lets users focus on modeling. However, many models are difficult for HMC to solve directly, and often require tricks like model reparameterization. We are motivated by the fact that many of those models could be simplified by marginalization. We propose to use automatic marginalization as part of the sampling process using HMC in a graphical model extracted from a PPL, which substantially improves sampling from real-world hierarchical models.


Stuttering Detection Using Speaker Representations and Self-supervised Contextual Embeddings

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Studies show that persons who stutter (PWS) encounter several hardships in social and professional interactions (Kehoe and Contributors 2006). In addition, more people are progressively interacting with voice assistants, but they ignore and fail to recognize stuttered speech (Sheikh et al. 2021a), and the stuttering detection (SD) can be exploited to improve automatic speech recognition (ASR) for PWS to access voice assistants such as Alexa, Siri, etc. Usually, SD is addressed by various listening and brain scan tests (Ingham et al. 1996; Smith and Weber 2017; Sheikh et al. 2021a). However, this method of SD is high-priced and requires a demanding effort from speech therapists. The presence of uncontrolled utterances is reflected in the acoustic domain, which helps to discriminate them in various stuttering types. Based on the acoustic cues present in stuttered speech, several people employed a machine learning paradigm for SD. Some of the current state-of-the-art stuttering detection deep learning modelling techniques include: ResNet+BiLSTM (Kourkounakis et al. 2020; Jouaiti and Dautenhahn), FluentNet (Kourkounakis et al. 2021), StutterNet (Sheikh et al. 2021b, 2023).


Neural Architecture Search for Energy Efficient Always-on Audio Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Mobile and edge computing devices for always-on classification tasks require energy-efficient neural network architectures. In this paper we present several changes to neural architecture searches (NAS) that improve the chance of success in practical situations. Our search simultaneously optimizes for network accuracy, energy efficiency and memory usage. We benchmark the performance of our search on real hardware, but since running thousands of tests with real hardware is difficult we use a random forest model to roughly predict the energy usage of a candidate network. We present a search strategy that uses both Bayesian and regularized evolutionary search with particle swarms, and employs early-stopping to reduce the computational burden. Our search, evaluated on a sound-event classification dataset based upon AudioSet, results in an order of magnitude less energy per inference and a much smaller memory footprint than our baseline MobileNetV1/V2 implementations while slightly improving task accuracy. We also demonstrate how combining a 2D spectrogram with a convolution with many filters causes a computational bottleneck for audio classification and that alternative approaches reduce the computational burden but sacrifice task accuracy.


Linear Time GPs for Inferring Latent Trajectories from Neural Spike Trains

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Latent Gaussian process (GP) models are widely used in neuroscience to uncover hidden state evolutions from sequential observations, mainly in neural activity recordings. While latent GP models provide a principled and powerful solution in theory, the intractable posterior in non-conjugate settings necessitates approximate inference schemes, which may lack scalability. In this work, we propose cvHM, a general inference framework for latent GP models leveraging Hida-Mat\'ern kernels and conjugate computation variational inference (CVI). With cvHM, we are able to perform variational inference of latent neural trajectories with linear time complexity for arbitrary likelihoods. The reparameterization of stationary kernels using Hida-Mat\'ern GPs helps us connect the latent variable models that encode prior assumptions through dynamical systems to those that encode trajectory assumptions through GPs. In contrast to previous work, we use bidirectional information filtering, leading to a more concise implementation. Furthermore, we employ the Whittle approximate likelihood to achieve highly efficient hyperparameter learning.


On the Convergence of Coordinate Ascent Variational Inference

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As a computational alternative to Markov chain Monte Carlo approaches, variational inference (VI) is becoming more and more popular for approximating intractable posterior distributions in large-scale Bayesian models due to its comparable efficacy and superior efficiency. Several recent works provide theoretical justifications of VI by proving its statistical optimality for parameter estimation under various settings; meanwhile, formal analysis on the algorithmic convergence aspects of VI is still largely lacking. In this paper, we consider the common coordinate ascent variational inference (CAVI) algorithm for implementing the mean-field (MF) VI towards optimizing a Kullback--Leibler divergence objective functional over the space of all factorized distributions. Focusing on the two-block case, we analyze the convergence of CAVI by leveraging the extensive toolbox from functional analysis and optimization. We provide general conditions for certifying global or local exponential convergence of CAVI. Specifically, a new notion of generalized correlation for characterizing the interaction between the constituting blocks in influencing the VI objective functional is introduced, which according to the theory, quantifies the algorithmic contraction rate of two-block CAVI. As illustrations, we apply the developed theory to a number of examples, and derive explicit problem-dependent upper bounds on the algorithmic contraction rate.


Adversarial learning of neural user simulators for dialogue policy optimisation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Reinforcement learning based dialogue policies are typically trained in interaction with a user simulator. To obtain an effective and robust policy, this simulator should generate user behaviour that is both realistic and varied. Current data-driven simulators are trained to accurately model the user behaviour in a dialogue corpus. We propose an alternative method using adversarial learning, with the aim to simulate realistic user behaviour with more variation. We train and evaluate several simulators on a corpus of restaurant search dialogues, and then use them to train dialogue system policies. In policy cross-evaluation experiments we demonstrate that an adversarially trained simulator produces policies with 8.3% higher success rate than those trained with a maximum likelihood simulator. Subjective results from a crowd-sourced dialogue system user evaluation confirm the effectiveness of adversarially training user simulators.