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 Bayesian Learning


Combinatorial Gaussian Process Bandits in Bayesian Settings: Theory and Application for Energy-Efficient Navigation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We consider a combinatorial Gaussian process semi-bandit problem with time-varying arm availability. Each round, an agent is provided a set of available base arms and must select a subset of them to maximize the long-term cumulative reward. Assuming the expected rewards are sampled from a Gaussian process (GP) over the arm space, the agent can efficiently learn. We study the Bayesian setting and provide novel Bayesian regret bounds for three GP-based algorithms: GP-UCB, Bayes-GP-UCB and GP-TS. Our bounds extend previous results for GP-UCB and GP-TS to a combinatorial setting with varying arm availability and to the best of our knowledge, we provide the first Bayesian regret bound for Bayes-GP-UCB. Time-varying arm availability encompasses other widely considered bandit problems such as contextual bandits. We formulate the online energy-efficient navigation problem as a combinatorial and contextual bandit and provide a comprehensive experimental study on synthetic and real-world road networks with detailed simulations. The contextual GP model obtains lower regret and is less dependent on the informativeness of the prior compared to the non-contextual Bayesian inference model. In addition, Thompson sampling obtains lower regret than Bayes-UCB for both the contextual and non-contextual model.


Studying the Practices of Testing Machine Learning Software in the Wild

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Background: We are witnessing an increasing adoption of machine learning (ML), especially deep learning (DL) algorithms in many software systems, including safety-critical systems such as health care systems or autonomous driving vehicles. Ensuring the software quality of these systems is yet an open challenge for the research community, mainly due to the inductive nature of ML software systems. Traditionally, software systems were constructed deductively, by writing down the rules that govern the behavior of the system as program code. However, for ML software, these rules are inferred from training data. Few recent research advances in the quality assurance of ML systems have adapted different concepts from traditional software testing, such as mutation testing, to help improve the reliability of ML software systems. However, it is unclear if any of these proposed testing techniques from research are adopted in practice. There is little empirical evidence about the testing strategies of ML engineers. Aims: To fill this gap, we perform the first fine-grained empirical study on ML testing practices in the wild, to identify the ML properties being tested, the followed testing strategies, and their implementation throughout the ML workflow. Method: First, we systematically summarized the different testing strategies (e.g., Oracle Approximation), the tested ML properties (e.g., Correctness, Bias, and Fairness), and the testing methods (e.g., Unit test) from the literature. Then, we conducted a study to understand the practices of testing ML software. Results: In our findings: 1) we identified four (4) major categories of testing strategy including Grey-box, White-box, Black-box, and Heuristic-based techniques that are used by the ML engineers to find software bugs. 2) We identified 16 ML properties that are tested in the ML workflow.


Observation-Augmented Contextual Multi-Armed Bandits for Robotic Exploration with Uncertain Semantic Data

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

For robotic decision-making under uncertainty, the balance between exploitation and exploration of available options must be carefully taken into account. In this study, we introduce a new variant of contextual multi-armed bandits called observation-augmented CMABs (OA-CMABs) wherein a decision-making agent can utilize extra outcome observations from an external information source. CMABs model the expected option outcomes as a function of context features and hidden parameters, which are inferred from previous option outcomes. In OA-CMABs, external observations are also a function of context features and thus provide additional evidence about the hidden parameters. Yet, if an external information source is error-prone, the resulting posterior updates can harm decision-making performance unless the presence of errors is considered. To this end, we propose a robust Bayesian inference process for OA-CMABs that is based on the concept of probabilistic data validation. Our approach handles complex mixture model parameter priors and hybrid observation likelihoods for semantic data sources, allowing us to develop validation algorithms based on recently develop probabilistic semantic data association techniques. Furthermore, to more effectively cope with the combined sources of uncertainty in OA-CMABs, we derive a new active inference algorithm for option selection based on expected free energy minimization. This generalizes previous work on active inference for bandit-based robotic decision-making by accounting for faulty observations and non-Gaussian inference. Our approaches are demonstrated on a simulated asynchronous search site selection problem for space exploration. The results show that even if incorrect observations are provided by external information sources, efficient decision-making and robust parameter inference are still achieved in a wide variety of experimental conditions.


MAPTree: Beating "Optimal" Decision Trees with Bayesian Decision Trees

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decision trees remain one of the most popular machine learning models today, largely due to their out-of-the-box performance and interpretability. In this work, we present a Bayesian approach to decision tree induction via maximum a posteriori inference of a posterior distribution over trees. We first demonstrate a connection between maximum a posteriori inference of decision trees and AND/OR search. Using this connection, we propose an AND/OR search algorithm, dubbed MAPTree, which is able to recover the maximum a posteriori tree. Lastly, we demonstrate the empirical performance of the maximum a posteriori tree both on synthetic data and in real world settings. On 16 real world datasets, MAPTree either outperforms baselines or demonstrates comparable performance but with much smaller trees. On a synthetic dataset, MAPTree also demonstrates greater robustness to noise and better generalization than existing approaches. Finally, MAPTree recovers the maxiumum a posteriori tree faster than existing sampling approaches and, in contrast with those algorithms, is able to provide a certificate of optimality. The code for our experiments is available at https://github.com/ThrunGroup/maptree.


Label-Efficient Deep Learning in Medical Image Analysis: Challenges and Future Directions

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Deep learning has seen rapid growth in recent years and achieved state-of-the-art performance in a wide range of applications. However, training models typically requires expensive and time-consuming collection of large quantities of labeled data. This is particularly true within the scope of medical imaging analysis (MIA), where data are limited and labels are expensive to be acquired. Thus, label-efficient deep learning methods are developed to make comprehensive use of the labeled data as well as the abundance of unlabeled and weak-labeled data. In this survey, we extensively investigated over 300 recent papers to provide a comprehensive overview of recent progress on label-efficient learning strategies in MIA. We first present the background of label-efficient learning and categorize the approaches into different schemes. Next, we examine the current state-of-the-art methods in detail through each scheme. Specifically, we provide an in-depth investigation, covering not only canonical semi-supervised, self-supervised, and multi-instance learning schemes, but also recently emerged active and annotation-efficient learning strategies. Moreover, as a comprehensive contribution to the field, this survey not only elucidates the commonalities and unique features of the surveyed methods but also presents a detailed analysis of the current challenges in the field and suggests potential avenues for future research.


Gaussian process learning of nonlinear dynamics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly available and can be approximated conventionally by finite differences. However, the discrete approximations of time derivatives may result in a poor estimation when state data are scarce and/or corrupted by noise, thus compromising the predictiveness of the learned dynamical models. To overcome this technical hurdle, we propose a new method that learns nonlinear dynamics through a Bayesian inference of characterizing model parameters. This method leverages a Gaussian process representation of states, and constructs a likelihood function using the correlation between state data and their derivatives, yet prevents explicit evaluations of time derivatives. Through a Bayesian scheme, a probabilistic estimate of the model parameters is given by the posterior distribution, and thus a quantification is facilitated for uncertainties from noisy state data and the learning process. Specifically, we will discuss the applicability of the proposed method to two typical scenarios for dynamical systems: parameter identification and estimation with an affine structure of the system, and nonlinear parametric approximation without prior knowledge.


Social Learning in Community Structured Graphs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Traditional social learning frameworks consider environments with a homogeneous state, where each agent receives observations conditioned on that true state of nature. In this work, we relax this assumption and study the distributed hypothesis testing problem in a heterogeneous environment, where each agent can receive observations conditioned on their own personalized state of nature (or truth). This situation arises in many scenarios, such as when sensors are spatially distributed, or when individuals in a social network have differing views or opinions. In these heterogeneous contexts, the graph topology admits a block structure. We study social learning under personalized (or multitask) models and examine their convergence behavior.


Anonymizing Speech: Evaluating and Designing Speaker Anonymization Techniques

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The growing use of voice user interfaces has led to a surge in the collection and storage of speech data. While data collection allows for the development of efficient tools powering most speech services, it also poses serious privacy issues for users as centralized storage makes private personal speech data vulnerable to cyber threats. With the increasing use of voice-based digital assistants like Amazon's Alexa, Google's Home, and Apple's Siri, and with the increasing ease with which personal speech data can be collected, the risk of malicious use of voice-cloning and speaker/gender/pathological/etc. recognition has increased. This thesis proposes solutions for anonymizing speech and evaluating the degree of the anonymization. In this work, anonymization refers to making personal speech data unlinkable to an identity while maintaining the usefulness (utility) of the speech signal (e.g., access to linguistic content). We start by identifying several challenges that evaluation protocols need to consider to evaluate the degree of privacy protection properly. We clarify how anonymization systems must be configured for evaluation purposes and highlight that many practical deployment configurations do not permit privacy evaluation. Furthermore, we study and examine the most common voice conversion-based anonymization system and identify its weak points before suggesting new methods to overcome some limitations. We isolate all components of the anonymization system to evaluate the degree of speaker PPI associated with each of them. Then, we propose several transformation methods for each component to reduce as much as possible speaker PPI while maintaining utility. We promote anonymization algorithms based on quantization-based transformation as an alternative to the most-used and well-known noise-based approach. Finally, we endeavor a new attack method to invert anonymization.


Learning to Simulate Tree-Branch Dynamics for Manipulation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose to use a simulation driven inverse inference approach to model the dynamics of tree branches under manipulation. Learning branch dynamics and gaining the ability to manipulate deformable vegetation can help with occlusion-prone tasks, such as fruit picking in dense foliage, as well as moving overhanging vines and branches for navigation in dense vegetation. The underlying deformable tree geometry is encapsulated as coarse spring abstractions executed on parallel, non-differentiable simulators. The implicit statistical model defined by the simulator, reference trajectories obtained by actively probing the ground truth, and the Bayesian formalism, together guide the spring parameter posterior density estimation. Our non-parametric inference algorithm, based on Stein Variational Gradient Descent, incorporates biologically motivated assumptions into the inference process as neural network driven learnt joint priors; moreover, it leverages the finite difference scheme for gradient approximations. Real and simulated experiments confirm that our model can predict deformation trajectories, quantify the estimation uncertainty, and it can perform better when base-lined against other inference algorithms, particularly from the Monte Carlo family. The model displays strong robustness properties in the presence of heteroscedastic sensor noise; furthermore, it can generalise to unseen grasp locations.


Polar Encoding: A Simple Baseline Approach for Classification with Missing Values

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

We propose polar encoding, a representation of categorical and numerical $[0,1]$-valued attributes with missing values to be used in a classification context. We argue that this is a good baseline approach, because it can be used with any classification algorithm, preserves missingness information, is very simple to apply and offers good performance. In particular, unlike the existing missing-indicator approach, it does not require imputation, ensures that missing values are equidistant from non-missing values, and lets decision tree algorithms choose how to split missing values, thereby providing a practical realisation of the "missingness incorporated in attributes" (MIA) proposal. Furthermore, we show that categorical and $[0,1]$-valued attributes can be viewed as special cases of a single attribute type, corresponding to the classical concept of barycentric coordinates, and that this offers a natural interpretation of polar encoding as a fuzzified form of one-hot encoding. With an experiment based on twenty real-life datasets with missing values, we show that, in terms of the resulting classification performance, polar encoding performs better than the state-of-the-art strategies \e{multiple imputation by chained equations} (MICE) and \e{multiple imputation with denoising autoencoders} (MIDAS) and -- depending on the classifier -- about as well or better than mean/mode imputation with missing-indicators.