Bayesian Learning
Active Preference Learning for Ordering Items In- and Out-of-sample
Bergström, Herman, Carlsson, Emil, Dubhashi, Devdatt, Johansson, Fredrik D.
Learning an ordering of items based on noisy pairwise comparisons is useful when item-specific labels are difficult to assign, for example, when annotators have to make subjective assessments. Algorithms have been proposed for actively sampling comparisons of items to minimize the number of annotations necessary for learning an accurate ordering. However, many ignore shared structure between items, treating them as unrelated, limiting sample efficiency and precluding generalization to new items. In this work, we study active learning with pairwise preference feedback for ordering items with contextual attributes, both in- and out-of-sample. We give an upper bound on the expected ordering error incurred by active learning strategies under a logistic preference model, in terms of the aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty in comparisons, and propose two algorithms designed to greedily minimize this bound. We evaluate these algorithms in two realistic image ordering tasks, including one with comparisons made by human annotators, and demonstrate superior sample efficiency compared to non-contextual ranking approaches and active preference learning baselines.
Systematic Review: Anomaly Detection in Connected and Autonomous Vehicles
Solaas, J. R. V., Tuptuk, N., Mariconti, E.
This systematic review focuses on anomaly detection for connected and autonomous vehicles. The initial database search identified 2160 articles, of which 203 were included in this review after rigorous screening and assessment. This study revealed that the most commonly used Artificial Intelligence (AI) algorithms employed in anomaly detection are neural networks like LSTM, CNN, and autoencoders, alongside one-class SVM. Most anomaly-based models were trained using real-world operational vehicle data, although anomalies, such as attacks and faults, were often injected artificially into the datasets. These models were evaluated mostly using five key evaluation metrics: recall, accuracy, precision, F1-score, and false positive rate. The most frequently used selection of evaluation metrics used for anomaly detection models were accuracy, precision, recall, and F1-score. This systematic review presents several recommendations. First, there is a need to incorporate multiple evaluation metrics to provide a comprehensive assessment of the anomaly detection models. Second, only a small proportion of the studies have made their models open source, indicating a need to share models publicly to facilitate collaboration within the research community, and to validate and compare findings effectively. Third, there is a need for benchmarking datasets with predefined anomalies or cyberattacks to test and improve the effectiveness of the proposed anomaly-based detection models. Furthermore, there is a need for future research to investigate the deployment of anomaly detection to a vehicle to assess its performance on the road. There is a notable lack of research done on intrusion detection systems using different protocols to CAN, such as Ethernet and FlexRay.
Mathematics of statistical sequential decision-making: concentration, risk-awareness and modelling in stochastic bandits, with applications to bariatric surgery
This thesis aims to study some of the mathematical challenges that arise in the analysis of statistical sequential decision-making algorithms for postoperative patients follow-up. Stochastic bandits (multiarmed, contextual) model the learning of a sequence of actions (policy) by an agent in an uncertain environment in order to maximise observed rewards. To learn optimal policies, bandit algorithms have to balance the exploitation of current knowledge and the exploration of uncertain actions. Such algorithms have largely been studied and deployed in industrial applications with large datasets, low-risk decisions and clear modelling assumptions, such as clickthrough rate maximisation in online advertising. By contrast, digital health recommendations call for a whole new paradigm of small samples, risk-averse agents and complex, nonparametric modelling. To this end, we developed new safe, anytime-valid concentration bounds, (Bregman, empirical Chernoff), introduced a new framework for risk-aware contextual bandits (with elicitable risk measures) and analysed a novel class of nonparametric bandit algorithms under weak assumptions (Dirichlet sampling). In addition to the theoretical guarantees, these results are supported by in-depth empirical evidence. Finally, as a first step towards personalised postoperative follow-up recommendations, we developed with medical doctors and surgeons an interpretable machine learning model to predict the long-term weight trajectories of patients after bariatric surgery.
Combining X-Vectors and Bayesian Batch Active Learning: Two-Stage Active Learning Pipeline for Speech Recognition
Kundacina, Ognjen, Vincan, Vladimir, Miskovic, Dragisa
Emphasizing a data-centric AI approach, this paper introduces a novel two-stage active learning (AL) pipeline for automatic speech recognition (ASR), combining unsupervised and supervised AL methods. The first stage utilizes unsupervised AL by using x-vectors clustering for diverse sample selection from unlabeled speech data, thus establishing a robust initial dataset for the subsequent supervised AL. The second stage incorporates a supervised AL strategy, with a batch AL method specifically developed for ASR, aimed at selecting diverse and informative batches of samples. Here, sample diversity is also achieved using x-vectors clustering, while the most informative samples are identified using a Bayesian AL method tailored for ASR with an adaptation of Monte Carlo dropout to approximate Bayesian inference. This approach enables precise uncertainty estimation, thereby enhancing ASR model training with significantly reduced data requirements. Our method has shown superior performance compared to competing methods on homogeneous, heterogeneous, and OOD test sets, demonstrating that strategic sample selection and innovative Bayesian modeling can substantially optimize both labeling effort and data utilization in deep learning-based ASR applications.
Exposing and Explaining Fake News On-the-Fly
de Arriba-Pérez, Francisco, García-Méndez, Silvia, Leal, Fátima, Malheiro, Benedita, Burguillo, Juan Carlos
The negative consequence of this openness of social media platforms is the spread of false information disguised as truth, i.e., fake news. Fake news can be defined as deceptive posts with an intention to mislead consumers in their purchase or approaching the context of misinformation and disinformation (Xiao et al, 2020). Specifically, while misinformation is an inadvertent action, disinformation is a deliberate creation/sharing of false information. The authenticity and intention can be distinguished as: (i) non-factual and mislead, i.e., deceptive news and disinformation; (ii) factual and mislead (cherry-picking); (iii) undefined and mislead (click-bait); and (iv) non-factual and undefined, i.e., misinformation. Misinformation and fake news are characterized by their big volume, uncertainty, and short-lived nature. Furthermore, they disseminate faster and further on social media sites causing serious impact on politics and economics (Tandoc, 2019). Accordingly, the report on digital transformation of media and the rise of disinformation/fake news of the European Union (EU) (Martens et al, 2018) reinforces the need to strengthen trust in digital media.
Semantic Scaling: Bayesian Ideal Point Estimates with Large Language Models
This paper introduces "Semantic Scaling," a novel method for ideal point estimation from text. I leverage large language models to classify documents based on their expressed stances and extract survey-like data. I then use item response theory to scale subjects from these data. Semantic Scaling significantly improves on existing text-based scaling methods, and allows researchers to explicitly define the ideological dimensions they measure. This represents the first scaling approach that allows such flexibility outside of survey instruments and opens new avenues of inquiry for populations difficult to survey. Additionally, it works with documents of varying length, and produces valid estimates of both mass and elite ideology. I demonstrate that the method can differentiate between policy preferences and in-group/out-group affect. Among the public, Semantic Scaling out-preforms Tweetscores according to human judgement; in Congress, it recaptures the first dimension DW-NOMINATE while allowing for greater flexibility in resolving construct validity challenges.
A Unified Framework for Human-Allied Learning of Probabilistic Circuits
Karanam, Athresh, Mathur, Saurabh, Sidheekh, Sahil, Natarajan, Sriraam
Probabilistic Circuits (PCs) have emerged as an efficient framework for representing and learning complex probability distributions. Nevertheless, the existing body of research on PCs predominantly concentrates on data-driven parameter learning, often neglecting the potential of knowledge-intensive learning, a particular issue in data-scarce/knowledge-rich domains such as healthcare. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel unified framework that can systematically integrate diverse domain knowledge into the parameter learning process of PCs. Experiments on several benchmarks as well as real world datasets show that our proposed framework can both effectively and efficiently leverage domain knowledge to achieve superior performance compared to purely data-driven learning approaches.
Implicit Neural Representations for Robust Joint Sparse-View CT Reconstruction
Shi, Jiayang, Zhu, Junyi, Pelt, Daniel M., Batenburg, K. Joost, Blaschko, Matthew B.
Computed Tomography (CT) is pivotal in industrial quality control and medical diagnostics. Sparse-view CT, offering reduced ionizing radiation, faces challenges due to its under-sampled nature, leading to ill-posed reconstruction problems. Recent advancements in Implicit Neural Representations (INRs) have shown promise in addressing sparse-view CT reconstruction. Recognizing that CT often involves scanning similar subjects, we propose a novel approach to improve reconstruction quality through joint reconstruction of multiple objects using INRs. This approach can potentially leverage both the strengths of INRs and the statistical regularities across multiple objects. While current INR joint reconstruction techniques primarily focus on accelerating convergence via meta-initialization, they are not specifically tailored to enhance reconstruction quality. To address this gap, we introduce a novel INR-based Bayesian framework integrating latent variables to capture the inter-object relationships. These variables serve as a dynamic reference throughout the optimization, thereby enhancing individual reconstruction fidelity. Our extensive experiments, which assess various key factors such as reconstruction quality, resistance to overfitting, and generalizability, demonstrate significant improvements over baselines in common numerical metrics. This underscores a notable advancement in CT reconstruction methods.
Bayesian and Convolutional Networks for Hierarchical Morphological Classification of Galaxies
Serrano-Pérez, Jonathan, Hernández, Raquel Díaz, Sucar, L. Enrique
This work is focused on the morphological classification of galaxies following the Hubble sequence in which the different classes are arranged in a hierarchy. The proposed method, BCNN, is composed of two main modules. First, a convolutional neural network (CNN) is trained with images of the different classes of galaxies (image augmentation is carried out to balance some classes); the CNN outputs the probability for each class of the hierarchy, and its outputs/predictions feed the second module. The second module consists of a Bayesian network that represents the hierarchy and helps to improve the prediction accuracy by combining the predictions of the first phase while maintaining the hierarchical constraint (in a hierarchy, an instance associated with a node must be associated to all its ancestors), through probabilistic inference over the Bayesian network so that a consistent prediction is obtained. Different images from the Hubble telescope have been collected and labeled by experts, which are used to perform the experiments. The results show that BCNN performed better than several CNNs in multiple evaluation measures, reaching the next scores: 67% in exact match, 78% in accuracy, and 83% in hierarchical F-measure.
A Conditional Independence Test in the Presence of Discretization
Sun, Boyang, Yao, Yu, Hao, Huangyuan, Qiu, Yumou, Zhang, Kun
Testing conditional independence has many applications, such as in Bayesian network learning and causal discovery. Different test methods have been proposed. However, existing methods generally can not work when only discretized observations are available. Specifically, consider $X_1$, $\tilde{X}_2$ and $X_3$ are observed variables, where $\tilde{X}_2$ is a discretization of latent variables $X_2$. Applying existing test methods to the observations of $X_1$, $\tilde{X}_2$ and $X_3$ can lead to a false conclusion about the underlying conditional independence of variables $X_1$, $X_2$ and $X_3$. Motivated by this, we propose a conditional independence test specifically designed to accommodate the presence of such discretization. To achieve this, we design the bridge equations to recover the parameter reflecting the statistical information of the underlying latent continuous variables. An appropriate test statistic and its asymptotic distribution under the null hypothesis of conditional independence have also been derived. Both theoretical results and empirical validation have been provided, demonstrating the effectiveness of our test methods.