Bayesian Learning
Teacher Improves Learning by Selecting a Training Subset
Ma, Yuzhe, Nowak, Robert, Rigollet, Philippe, Zhang, Xuezhou, Zhu, Xiaojin
We call a learner super-teachable if a teacher can trim down an iid training set while making the learner learn even better. We provide sharp super-teaching guarantees on two learners: the maximum likelihood estimator for the mean of a Gaussian, and the large margin classifier in 1D. For general learners, we provide a mixed-integer nonlinear programming-based algorithm to find a super teaching set. Empirical experiments show that our algorithm is able to find good super-teaching sets for both regression and classification problems.
Kernel Recursive ABC: Point Estimation with Intractable Likelihood
Kajihara, Takafumi, Yamazaki, Keisuke, Kanagawa, Motonobu, Fukumizu, Kenji
We propose a novel approach to parameter estimation for simulator-based statistical models with intractable likelihoods. The proposed method is recursive application of kernel ABC and kernel herding to the same observed data. We provide a theoretical explanation regarding why this approach works, showing (for the population setting) that the point estimate obtained with this method converges to the true parameter as recursion proceeds, under a certain assumption. We conduct a variety of numerical experiments, including parameter estimation for a real-world pedestrian flow simulator, and show that our method outperforms existing approaches in most cases.
Inference Suboptimality in Variational Autoencoders
Cremer, Chris, Li, Xuechen, Duvenaud, David
Amortized inference allows latent-variable models trained via variational learning to scale to large datasets. The quality of approximate inference is determined by two factors: a) the capacity of the variational distribution to match the true posterior and b) the ability of the recognition network to produce good variational parameters for each datapoint. We examine approximate inference in variational autoencoders in terms of these factors. We find that divergence from the true posterior is often due to imperfect recognition networks, rather than the limited complexity of the approximating distribution. We show that this is due partly to the generator learning to accommodate the choice of approximation. Furthermore, we show that the parameters used to increase the expressiveness of the approximation play a role in generalizing inference rather than simply improving the complexity of the approximation.
Kernel Implicit Variational Inference
Shi, Jiaxin, Sun, Shengyang, Zhu, Jun
Recent progress in variational inference has paid much attention to the flexibility of variational posteriors. One promising direction is to use implicit distributions, i.e., distributions without tractable densities as the variational posterior. However, existing methods on implicit posteriors still face challenges of noisy estimation and computational infeasibility when applied to models with high-dimensional latent variables. In this paper, we present a new approach named Kernel Implicit Variational Inference that addresses these challenges. As far as we know, for the first time implicit variational inference is successfully applied to Bayesian neural networks, which shows promising results on both regression and classification tasks.
Gradient Estimators for Implicit Models
Li, Yingzhen, Turner, Richard E.
Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include data simulators that are widely used in engineering and scientific research, generative adversarial networks (GANs) for image synthesis, and hot-off-the-press approximate inference techniques relying on implicit distributions. The majority of existing approaches to learning implicit models rely on approximating the intractable distribution or optimisation objective for gradient-based optimisation, which is liable to produce inaccurate updates and thus poor models. This paper alleviates the need for such approximations by proposing the Stein gradient estimator, which directly estimates the score function of the implicitly defined distribution. The efficacy of the proposed estimator is empirically demonstrated by examples that include meta-learning for approximate inference, and entropy regularised GANs that provide improved sample diversity.
The State of the Art in Integrating Machine Learning into Visual Analytics
Endert, A., Ribarsky, W., Turkay, C., Wong, W, Nabney, I., Blanco, I Dรญaz, Rossi, Fabrice
Visual analytics systems combine machine learning or other analytic techniques with interactive data visualization to promote sensemaking and analytical reasoning. It is through such techniques that people can make sense of large, complex data. While progress has been made, the tactful combination of machine learning and data visualization is still under-explored. This state-of-the-art report presents a summary of the progress that has been made by highlighting and synthesizing select research advances. Further, it presents opportunities and challenges to enhance the synergy between machine learning and visual analytics for impactful future research directions.
Graph Convolutional Networks for Classification with a Structured Label Space
Chen, Meihao, Lin, Zhuoru, Cho, Kyunghyun
It is a usual practice to ignore any structural information underlying classes in multi-class classification. In this paper, we propose a graph convolutional network (GCN) augmented neural network classifier to exploit a known, underlying graph structure of labels. The proposed approach resembles an (approximate) inference procedure in, for instance, a conditional random field (CRF). We evaluate the proposed approach on document classification and object recognition and report both accuracies and graph-theoretic metrics that correspond to the consistency of the model's prediction. The experiment results reveal that the proposed model outperforms a baseline method which ignores the graph structures of a label space in terms of graph-theoretic metrics.
Truncated Variational Sampling for "Black Box" Optimization of Generative Models
Lรผcke, Jรถrg, Dai, Zhenwen, Exarchakis, Georgios
We investigate the optimization of two probabilistic generative models with binary latent variables using a novel variational EM approach. The approach distinguishes itself from previous variational approaches by using latent states as variational parameters. Here we use efficient and general purpose sampling procedures to vary the latent states, and investigate the "black box" applicability of the resulting optimization procedure. For general purpose applicability, samples are drawn from approximate marginal distributions of the considered generative model as well as from the model's prior distribution. As such, variational sampling is defined in a generic form, and is directly executable for a given model. As a proof of concept, we then apply the novel procedure (A) to Binary Sparse Coding (a model with continuous observables), and (B) to basic Sigmoid Belief Networks (which are models with binary observables). Numerical experiments verify that the investigated approach efficiently as well as effectively increases a variational free energy objective without requiring any additional analytical steps.
Learning causal Bayes networks using interventional path queries in polynomial time and sample complexity
Causal discovery from empirical data is a fundamental problem in many scientific domains. Observational data allows for identifiability only up to Markov equivalence class. In this paper we first propose a polynomial time algorithm for learning the exact correctly-oriented structure of the transitive reduction of any causal Bayesian networks with high probability, by using interventional path queries. Each path query takes as input an origin node and a target node, and answers whether there is a directed path from the origin to the target. This is done by intervening the origin node and observing samples from the target node. We theoretically show the logarithmic sample complexity for the size of interventional data per path query, for continuous and discrete networks. We further extend our work to learn the transitive edges using logarithmic sample complexity (albeit in time exponential in the maximum number of parents for discrete networks). This allows us to learn the full network. We also provide an analysis of imperfect interventions.
Bayesian Approaches to Distribution Regression
Law, Ho Chung Leon, Sutherland, Dougal J., Sejdinovic, Dino, Flaxman, Seth
Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not propagate the uncertainty in observations due to sampling variability in the groups. This effectively assumes that small and large groups are estimated equally well, and should have equal weight in the final regression. We account for this uncertainty with a Bayesian distribution regression formalism, improving the robustness and performance of the model when group sizes vary. We frame our models in a neural network style, allowing for simple MAP inference using backpropagation to learn the parameters, as well as MCMC-based inference which can fully propagate uncertainty. We demonstrate our approach on illustrative toy datasets, as well as on a challenging problem of predicting age from images.