We propose a generative model for the spatio-temporal distribution of high dimensional categorical observations. These are commonly produced by robots equipped with an imaging sensor such as a camera, paired with an image classifier, potentially producing observations over thousands of categories. The proposed approach combines the use of Dirichlet distributions to model sparse co-occurrence relations between the observed categories using a latent variable, and Gaussian processes to model the latent variable's spatio-temporal distribution. Experiments in this paper show that the resulting model is able to efficiently and accurately approximate the temporal distribution of high dimensional categorical measurements such as taxonomic observations of microscopic organisms in the ocean, even in unobserved (held out) locations, far from other samples. This work's primary motivation is to enable deployment of informative path planning techniques over high dimensional categorical fields, which until now have been limited to scalar or low dimensional vector observations.

Unsupervised distribution alignment has many applications in deep learning, including domain adaptation and unsupervised image-to-image translation. Most prior work on unsupervised distribution alignment relies either on minimizing simple non-parametric statistical distances such as maximum mean discrepancy, or on adversarial alignment. However, the former fails to capture the structure of complex real-world distributions, while the latter is difficult to train and does not provide any universal convergence guarantees or automatic quantitative validation procedures. In this paper we propose a new distribution alignment method based on a log-likelihood ratio statistic and normalizing flows. We show that, under certain assumptions, this combination yields a deep neural likelihood-based minimization objective that attains a known lower bound upon convergence. We experimentally verify that minimizing the resulting objective results in domain alignment that preserves the local structure of input domains.

In many applications, there is a need to predict the effect of an intervention on different individuals from data. For example, which customers are persuadable by a product promotion? which groups would benefit from a new policy? These are typical causal classification questions involving the effect or the change in outcomes made by an intervention. The questions cannot be answered with traditional classification methods as they only deal with static outcomes. In marketing research these questions are often answered with uplift modelling, using experimental data. Some machine learning methods have been proposed for heterogeneous causal effect estimation using either experimental or observational data. In principle these methods can be used for causal classification, but a limited number of methods, mainly tree based, on causal heterogeneity modelling, are inadequate for various real world applications. In this paper, we propose a general framework for causal classification, as a generalisation of both uplift modelling and causal heterogeneity modelling. When developing the framework, we have identified the conditions where causal classification in both observational and experimental data can be resolved by a naive solution using off-the-shelf classification methods, which supports flexible implementations for various applications. This result not only enables a practical way to solve the causal classification problem by using any existing classification method in the proposed framework, but also makes it possible to cross use the methods developed in both uplift modelling and causal heterogeneity modelling areas when the conditions are satisfied. Experiments have shown that our framework with off-the-shelf classification methods is as competitive as the tailor-designed uplift modelling and heterogeneous causal effect modelling methods.

Estimating the parameters of mathematical models is a common problem in almost all branches of science. However, this problem can prove notably difficult when processes and model descriptions become increasingly complex and an explicit likelihood function is not available. With this work, we propose a novel method for globally amortized Bayesian inference based on invertible neural networks which we call BayesFlow. The method uses simulation to learn a global estimator for the probabilistic mapping from observed data to underlying model parameters. A neural network pre-trained in this way can then, without additional training or optimization, infer full posteriors on arbitrary many real data sets involving the same model family. In addition, our method incorporates a summary network trained to embed the observed data into maximally informative summary statistics. Learning summary statistics from data makes the method applicable to modeling scenarios where standard inference techniques with hand-crafted summary statistics fail. We demonstrate the utility of BayesFlow on challenging intractable models from population dynamics, epidemiology, cognitive science and ecology. We argue that BayesFlow provides a general framework for building reusable Bayesian parameter estimation machines for any process model from which data can be simulated.

Edge intelligence refers to a set of connected systems and devices for data collection, caching, processing, and analysis in locations close to where data is captured based on artificial intelligence. The aim of edge intelligence is to enhance the quality and speed of data processing and protect the privacy and security of the data. Although recently emerged, spanning the period from 2011 to now, this field of research has shown explosive growth over the past five years. In this paper, we present a thorough and comprehensive survey on the literature surrounding edge intelligence. We first identify four fundamental components of edge intelligence, namely edge caching, edge training, edge inference, and edge offloading, based on theoretical and practical results pertaining to proposed and deployed systems. We then aim for a systematic classification of the state of the solutions by examining research results and observations for each of the four components and present a taxonomy that includes practical problems, adopted techniques, and application goals. For each category, we elaborate, compare and analyse the literature from the perspectives of adopted techniques, objectives, performance, advantages and drawbacks, etc. This survey article provides a comprehensive introduction to edge intelligence and its application areas. In addition, we summarise the development of the emerging research field and the current state-of-the-art and discuss the important open issues and possible theoretical and technical solutions.

If you've been learning about data science or machine learning, there's a good chance you've heard the term "Bayes Theorem" before, or a "Bayes classifier". These concepts can be somewhat confusing, especially if you aren't used to thinking of probability from a traditional, frequentist statistics perspective. This article will attempt to explain the principles behind Bayes Theorem and how it's used in machine learning. Bayes Theorem is a method of calculating conditional probability. The traditional method of calculating conditional probability (the probability that one event occurs given the occurrence of a different event) is to use the conditional probability formula, calculating the joint probability of event one and event two occurring at the same time, and then dividing it by the probability of event two occurring.

In this study recently published in Genomics, the author team aimed to characterize molecular mechanisms associated with glioma progression stages by using machine learning and protein-protein interaction networks analysis. Background: Glioma is the most lethal nervous system cancer. Recent studies have made great efforts to study the occurrence and development of glioma, but the molecular mechanisms are still unclear. This study was designed to reveal the molecular mechanisms of glioma based on protein-protein interaction network combined with machine learning methods. Key differentially expressed genes (DEGs) were screened and selected by using the protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks.

Interventions are of fundamental importance in Pearl's probabilistic causality regime. In this paper, we will inspect how interventions influence the interpretation of causation in causal models in specific situation. To this end, we will introduce a priori relationships as non-causal relationships in a causal system. Then, we will proceed to discuss the cases that interventions can lead to spurious causation interpretations. This includes the interventional detection of a priori relationships, and cases where the interventional detection of causality forms structural causal models that are not valid in natural situations. We will also discuss other properties of a priori relations and SCMs that have a priori information in their structural equations.

We propose a fast, non-Bayesian method for producing uncertainty scores in the output of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs) using a data-driven interval propagating network. This interval neural network (INN) has interval valued parameters and propagates its input using interval arithmetic. The INN produces sensible lower and upper bounds encompassing the ground truth. We provide theoretical justification for the validity of these bounds. Furthermore, its asymmetric uncertainty scores offer additional, directional information beyond what Gaussian-based, symmetric variance estimation can provide. We find that noise in the data is adequately captured by the intervals produced with our method. In numerical experiments on an image reconstruction task, we demonstrate the practical utility of INNs as a proxy for the prediction error in comparison to two state-of-the-art uncertainty quantification methods. In summary, INNs produce fast, theoretically justified uncertainty scores for DNNs that are easy to interpret, come with added information and pose as improved error proxies - features that may prove useful in advancing the usability of DNNs especially in sensitive applications such as health care.

Deep neural networks are an integral part of machine learning and data science toolset for practical data-driven problem solving. With continual miniaturization ever more applications can be found in embedded systems. Common embedded applications include on-device image recognition and signal processing. Despite recent advances in generalization and optimization theory specific to deep networks, deploying in actual embedded hardware remains a challenge due to storage, real-time throughput, and arithmetic complexity restrictions [He et al., 2018]. Therefore, compression methods for achieving high model sparsity and numerical efficiency without losing much in performance are especially relevant.