Recently, spam on online social networks has attracted attention in the research and business world. Twitter has become the preferred medium to spread spam content. Many research efforts attempted to encounter social networks spam. Twitter brought extra challenges represented by the feature space size, and imbalanced data distributions. Usually, the related research works focus on part of these main challenges or produce black-box models. In this paper, we propose a modified genetic algorithm for simultaneous dimensionality reduction and hyper parameter optimization over imbalanced datasets. The algorithm initialized an eXtreme Gradient Boosting classifier and reduced the features space of tweets dataset; to generate a spam prediction model. The model is validated using a 50 times repeated 10-fold stratified cross-validation, and analyzed using nonparametric statistical tests. The resulted prediction model attains on average 82.32\% and 92.67\% in terms of geometric mean and accuracy respectively, utilizing less than 10\% of the total feature space. The empirical results show that the modified genetic algorithm outperforms $Chi^2$ and $PCA$ feature selection methods. In addition, eXtreme Gradient Boosting outperforms many machine learning algorithms, including BERT-based deep learning model, in spam prediction. Furthermore, the proposed approach is applied to SMS spam modeling and compared to related works.

This work focuses on the analysis of Chess 960, also known as Fischer Random Chess, a variant of traditional chess where the starting positions of the pieces are randomized. The study aims to predict the game outcome using machine learning techniques and develop an opening theme for each starting position. The first part of the analysis utilizes machine learning models to predict the game result based on certain moves in each position. The methodology involves segregating raw data from .pgn files into usable formats and creating datasets comprising approximately 500 games for each starting position. Three machine learning algorithms -- KNN Clustering, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosted Trees -- have been used to predict the game outcome. To establish an opening theme, the board is divided into five regions: center, white kingside, white queenside, black kingside, and black queenside. The data from games played by top engines in all 960 positions is used to track the movement of pieces in the opening. By analysing the change in the number of pieces in each region at specific moves, the report predicts the region towards which the game is developing. These models provide valuable insights into predicting game outcomes and understanding the opening theme in Chess 960.

The property and casualty (P&C) insurance industry faces challenges in developing claim predictive models due to the highly right-skewed distribution of positive claims with excess zeros. To address this, actuarial science researchers have employed "zero-inflated" models that combine a traditional count model and a binary model. This paper investigates the use of boosting algorithms to process insurance claim data, including zero-inflated telematics data, to construct claim frequency models. Three popular gradient boosting libraries - XGBoost, LightGBM, and CatBoost - are evaluated and compared to determine the most suitable library for training insurance claim data and fitting actuarial frequency models. Through a comprehensive analysis of two distinct datasets, it is determined that CatBoost is the best for developing auto claim frequency models based on predictive performance. Furthermore, we propose a new zero-inflated Poisson boosted tree model, with variation in the assumption about the relationship between inflation probability $p$ and distribution mean $\mu$, and find that it outperforms others depending on data characteristics. This model enables us to take advantage of particular CatBoost tools, which makes it easier and more convenient to investigate the effects and interactions of various risk features on the frequency model when using telematics data.

We establish stability of random forests under the mild condition that the squared response ($Y^2$) does not have a heavy tail. In particular, our analysis holds for the practical version of random forests that is implemented in popular packages like \texttt{randomForest} in \texttt{R}. Empirical results show that stability may persist even beyond our assumption and hold for heavy-tailed $Y^2$. Using the stability property, we prove a non-asymptotic lower bound for the coverage probability of prediction intervals constructed from the out-of-bag error of random forests. With another mild condition that is typically satisfied when $Y$ is continuous, we also establish a complementary upper bound, which can be similarly established for the jackknife prediction interval constructed from an arbitrary stable algorithm. We also discuss the asymptotic coverage probability under assumptions weaker than those considered in previous literature. Our work implies that random forests, with its stability property, is an effective machine learning method that can provide not only satisfactory point prediction but also justified interval prediction at almost no extra computational cost.

Joint feature selection and tree ensemble learning is a challenging task. Popular tree ensemble toolkits e.g., Gradient Boosted Trees and Random Forests support feature selection post-training based on feature importances, which are known to be misleading, and can significantly hurt performance. We propose Skinny Trees: a toolkit for feature selection in tree ensembles, such that feature selection and tree ensemble learning occurs simultaneously. It is based on an end-to-end optimization approach that considers feature selection in differentiable trees with Group $\ell_0 - \ell_2$ regularization. We optimize with a first-order proximal method and present convergence guarantees for a non-convex and non-smooth objective. Interestingly, dense-to-sparse regularization scheduling can lead to more expressive and sparser tree ensembles than vanilla proximal method. On 15 synthetic and real-world datasets, Skinny Trees can achieve $1.5\times$ - $620\times$ feature compression rates, leading up to $10\times$ faster inference over dense trees, without any loss in performance. Skinny Trees lead to superior feature selection than many existing toolkits e.g., in terms of AUC performance for $25\%$ feature budget, Skinny Trees outperforms LightGBM by $10.2\%$ (up to $37.7\%$), and Random Forests by $3\%$ (up to $12.5\%$).

Artificial intelligence (AI) is entering medical imaging, mainly enhancing image reconstruction. Nevertheless, improvements throughout the entire processing, from signal detection to computation, potentially offer significant benefits. This work presents a novel and versatile approach to detector optimization using machine learning (ML) and residual physics. We apply the concept to positron emission tomography (PET), intending to improve the coincidence time resolution (CTR). PET visualizes metabolic processes in the body by detecting photons with scintillation detectors. Improved CTR performance offers the advantage of reducing radioactive dose exposure for patients. Modern PET detectors with sophisticated concepts and read-out topologies represent complex physical and electronic systems requiring dedicated calibration techniques. Traditional methods primarily depend on analytical formulations successfully describing the main detector characteristics. However, when accounting for higher-order effects, additional complexities arise matching theoretical models to experimental reality. Our work addresses this challenge by combining traditional calibration with AI and residual physics, presenting a highly promising approach. We present a residual physics-based strategy using gradient tree boosting and physics-guided data generation. The explainable AI framework SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to identify known physical effects with learned patterns. In addition, the models were tested against basic physical laws. We were able to improve the CTR significantly (more than 20%) for clinically relevant detectors of 19 mm height, reaching CTRs of 185 ps (450-550 keV).

In recent years, XAI researchers have been formalizing proposals and developing new methods to explain black box models, with no general consensus in the community on which method to use to explain these models, with this choice being almost directly linked to the popularity of a specific method. Methods such as Ciu, Dalex, Eli5, Lofo, Shap and Skater emerged with the proposal to explain black box models through global rankings of feature relevance, which based on different methodologies, generate global explanations that indicate how the model's inputs explain its predictions. In this context, 41 datasets, 4 tree-ensemble algorithms (Light Gradient Boosting, CatBoost, Random Forest, and Gradient Boosting), and 6 XAI methods were used to support the launch of a new XAI method, called eXirt, based on Item Response Theory - IRT and aimed at tree-ensemble black box models that use tabular data referring to binary classification problems. In the first set of analyses, the 164 global feature relevance ranks of the eXirt were compared with 984 ranks of the other XAI methods present in the literature, seeking to highlight their similarities and differences. In a second analysis, exclusive explanations of the eXirt based on Explanation-by-example were presented that help in understanding the model trust. Thus, it was verified that eXirt is able to generate global explanations of tree-ensemble models and also local explanations of instances of models through IRT, showing how this consolidated theory can be used in machine learning in order to obtain explainable and reliable models.

Stroke prediction plays a crucial role in preventing and managing this debilitating condition. In this study, we address the challenge of stroke prediction using a comprehensive dataset, and propose an ensemble model that combines the power of XGBoost and xDeepFM algorithms. Our work aims to improve upon existing stroke prediction models by achieving higher accuracy and robustness. Through rigorous experimentation, we validate the effectiveness of our ensemble model using the AUC metric. Through comparing our findings with those of other models in the field, we gain valuable insights into the merits and drawbacks of various approaches. This, in turn, contributes significantly to the progress of machine learning and deep learning techniques specifically in the domain of stroke prediction.

As the importance of eco-friendly transportation increases, providing an efficient approach for marine vessel operation is essential. Methods for status monitoring with consideration to the weather condition and forecasting with the use of in-service data from ships requires accurate and complete models for predicting the energy efficiency of a ship. The models need to effectively process all the operational data in real-time. This paper presents models that can predict fuel consumption using in-service data collected from a passenger ship. Statistical and domain-knowledge methods were used to select the proper input variables for the models. These methods prevent over-fitting, missing data, and multicollinearity while providing practical applicability. Prediction models that were investigated include multiple linear regression (MLR), decision tree approach (DT), an artificial neural network (ANN), and ensemble methods. The best predictive performance was from a model developed using the XGboost technique which is a boosting ensemble approach. \rvv{Our code is available on GitHub at \url{https://github.com/pagand/model_optimze_vessel/tree/OE} for future research.

Vertical federated learning (VFL) enables multiple parties with disjoint features of a common user set to train a machine learning model without sharing their private data. Tree-based models have become prevalent in VFL due to their interpretability and efficiency. However, the vulnerability of tree-based VFL has not been sufficiently investigated. In this study, we first introduce a novel label inference attack, ID2Graph, which utilizes the sets of record IDs assigned to each node (i.e., instance space)to deduce private training labels. ID2Graph attack generates a graph structure from training samples, extracts communities from the graph, and clusters the local dataset using community information. To counteract label leakage from the instance space, we propose two effective defense mechanisms, Grafting-LDP, which improves the utility of label differential privacy with post-processing, and andID-LMID, which focuses on mutual information regularization. Comprehensive experiments on various datasets reveal that ID2Graph presents significant risks to tree-based models such as RandomForest and XGBoost. Further evaluations of these benchmarks demonstrate that our defense methods effectively mitigate label leakage in such instances