Ensemble Learning
Orchestrate XGBoost ML Pipelines with Amazon Managed Workflows for Apache Airflow
The ability to scale machine learning operations (MLOps) at an enterprise is quickly becoming a competitive advantage in the modern economy. When firms started dabbling in ML, only the highest priority use cases were the focus. Businesses are now demanding more from ML practitioners: more intelligent features, delivered faster, and continually maintained over time. An effective MLOps strategy requires a unified platform that can orchestrate and automate complex data processing and ML tasks, and integrates with the latest tooling to best complete those tasks. This post demonstrates the value of using Amazon Managed Workflows for Apache Airflow (Amazon MWAA) to orchestrate an ML pipeline using the popular XGBoost (eXtreme Gradient Boosting) algorithm.
Restaurant Revenue Prediction
Restaurants are an essential part of a country's economy and society. Whether it may be for social gatherings or a quick bite, most of us have experienced at least one visit. With the recent rise in pop up restaurants and food trucks, it's imperative for the business owner to figure out when and where to open new restaurants since it takes up a lot of time, effort, and capital to do so. This brings up the problem of finding the best optimal time and place to open a new restaurant. TFI which owns many giant restaurant chains has provided demographic, real estate, and commercial data in their restaurant revenue prediction on Kaggle.
Decision Trees, Random Forests, AdaBoost & XGBoost in Python
In this section we will learn - What does Machine Learning mean. What are the meanings or different terms associated with machine learning? You will see some examples so that you understand what machine learning actually is. It also contains steps involved in building a machine learning model, not just linear models, any machine learning model.
Time series forecasting with random forest
Benjamin Franklin said that only two things are certain in life: death and taxes. That explains why my colleagues at STATWORX were less than excited when they told me about their plans for the weekend a few weeks back: doing their income tax declaration. Man, I thought, that sucks, I'd rather spend this time outdoors. And then an idea was born. What could taxes and the outdoors possibly have in common?
Inter and Intra-Annual Spatio-Temporal Variability of Habitat Suitability for Asian Elephants in India: A Random Forest Model-based Analysis
Anjali, P., Subramani, Deepak N.
We develop a Random Forest model to estimate the species distribution of Asian elephants in India and study the inter and intra-annual spatiotemporal variability of habitats suitable for them. Climatic, topographic variables and satellite-derived Land Use/Land Cover (LULC), Net Primary Productivity (NPP), Leaf Area Index (LAI), and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) are used as predictors, and the species sighting data of Asian elephants from Global Biodiversity Information Reserve is used to develop the Random Forest model. A careful hyper-parameter tuning and training-validation-testing cycle are completed to identify the significant predictors and develop a final model that gives precision and recall of 0.78 and 0.77. The model is applied to estimate the spatial and temporal variability of suitable habitats. We observe that seasonal reduction in the suitable habitat may explain the migration patterns of Asian elephants and the increasing human-elephant conflict. Further, the total available suitable habitat area is observed to have reduced, which exacerbates the problem. This machine learning model is intended to serve as an input to the Agent-Based Model that we are building as part of our Artificial Intelligence-driven decision support tool to reduce human-wildlife conflict.
What is Machine Learning? A Primer for the Epidemiologist
Machine learning is a branch of computer science that has the potential to transform epidemiologic sciences. Amid a growing focus on "Big Data," it offers epidemiologists new tools to tackle problems for which classical methods are not well-suited. In order to critically evaluate the value of integrating machine learning algorithms and existing methods, however, it is essential to address language and technical barriers between the two fields that can make it difficult for epidemiologists to read and assess machine learning studies. Here, we provide an overview of the concepts and terminology used in machine learning literature, which encompasses a diverse set of tools with goals ranging from prediction to classification to clustering. We provide a brief introduction to 5 common machine learning algorithms and 4 ensemble-based approaches. We then summarize epidemiologic applications of machine learning techniques in the published literature. We recommend approaches to incorporate machine learning in epidemiologic research and discuss opportunities and challenges for integrating machine learning and existing epidemiologic research methods. Machine learning is a branch of computer science that broadly aims to enable computers to "learn" without being directly programmed (1). It has origins in the artificial intelligence movement of the 1950s and emphasizes practical objectives and applications, particularly prediction and optimization. Computers "learn" in machine learning by improving their performance at tasks through "experience" (2, p. xv). In practice, "experience" usually means fitting to data; hence, there is not a clear boundary between machine learning and statistical approaches. Indeed, whether a given methodology is considered "machine learning" or "statistical" often reflects its history as much as genuine differences, and many algorithms (e.g., least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), stepwise regression) may or may not be considered machine learning depending on who you ask. Still, despite methodological similarities, machine learning is philosophically and practically distinguishable. At the liberty of (considerable) oversimplification, machine learning generally emphasizes predictive accuracy over hypothesis-driven inference, usually focusing on large, high-dimensional (i.e., having many covariates) data sets (3, 4). Regardless of the precise distinction between approaches, in practice, machine learning offers epidemiologists important tools. In particular, a growing focus on "Big Data" emphasizes problems and data sets for which machine learning algorithms excel while more commonly used statistical approaches struggle. This primer provides a basic introduction to machine learning with the aim of providing readers a foundation for critically reading studies based on these methods and a jumping-off point for those interested in using machine learning techniques in epidemiologic research.
Experimental Investigation and Evaluation of Model-based Hyperparameter Optimization
Bartz, Eva, Zaefferer, Martin, Mersmann, Olaf, Bartz-Beielstein, Thomas
Machine learning algorithms such as random forests or xgboost are gaining more importance and are increasingly incorporated into production processes in order to enable comprehensive digitization and, if possible, automation of processes. Hyperparameters of these algorithms used have to be set appropriately, which can be referred to as hyperparameter tuning or optimization. Based on the concept of tunability, this article presents an overview of theoretical and practical results for popular machine learning algorithms. This overview is accompanied by an experimental analysis of 30 hyperparameters from six relevant machine learning algorithms. In particular, it provides (i) a survey of important hyperparameters, (ii) two parameter tuning studies, and (iii) one extensive global parameter tuning study, as well as (iv) a new way, based on consensus ranking, to analyze results from multiple algorithms. The R package mlr is used as a uniform interface to the machine learning models. The R package SPOT is used to perform the actual tuning (optimization). All additional code is provided together with this paper.
Elastic Distributed Training with XGBoost on Ray
Introduction Since we productionized distributed XGBoost on Apache Spark™ at Uber in 2017, XGBoost has powered a wide spectrum of machine learning (ML) use cases at Uber, spanning from optimizing marketplace dynamic pricing policies for Freight, improving times of arrival (ETA) estimation, fraud detection and prevention, to content discovery and recommendation for Uber Eats. However, as Uber has scaled, we have started to run distributed training jobs with more data and workers, and more complex distributed training patterns have become increasingly common. As such, we have observed a number of challenges for doing distributed machine learning and deep learning at
Mastering XGBoost
In the case of XGBoost, it is more useful to discuss hyperparameter tuning than the underlying mathematics because hyperparameter tuning is unusually complex, time-consuming, and necessary for deployment, whereas the mathematics are already embedded in the code libraries. While manual hyperparameter tuning is essential and time-consuming in many machine learning algorithms or models, it is especially so in XGBoost. Therefore, while this section focuses on identifying a key element to deploying XGBoost -- in our case study and example here to predict new fashions ("fast fashion") to gain competitive advantage in online apparel sales -- these hyperparameter tuning lessons are valid for all applications of XGBoost, and many other machine learning model applications herein also. The distinction and roles of parameters and hyperparameters is critical to affordable, timely, and accurate machine learning deployments. A core benefit to machine learning is its ability to discover and identify patterns and regularities in Big Data by automatically tuning many thousands or millions of "learnable" parameters. For example, in tree-based models like XGBoost (and decision trees and random forests), these learnable parameters are how many decision variables are at each node.
Generative and reproducible benchmarks for comprehensive evaluation of machine learning classifiers
Orzechowski, Patryk, Moore, Jason H.
Understanding the strengths and weaknesses of machine learning (ML) algorithms is crucial for determine their scope of application. Here, we introduce the DIverse and GENerative ML Benchmark (DIGEN) - a collection of synthetic datasets for comprehensive, reproducible, and interpretable benchmarking of machine learning algorithms for classification of binary outcomes. The DIGEN resource consists of 40 mathematical functions which map continuous features to discrete endpoints for creating synthetic datasets. These 40 functions were discovered using a heuristic algorithm designed to maximize the diversity of performance among multiple popular machine learning algorithms thus providing a useful test suite for evaluating and comparing new methods. Access to the generative functions facilitates understanding of why a method performs poorly compared to other algorithms thus providing ideas for improvement. The resource with extensive documentation and analyses is open-source and available on GitHub.