Porosity has been identified as the key indicator of the durability properties of concrete exposed to aggressive environments. This paper applies ensemble learning to predict porosity of high-performance concrete containing supplementary cementitious materials. The concrete samples utilized in this study are characterized by eight composition features including w/b ratio, binder content, fly ash, GGBS, superplasticizer, coarse/fine aggregate ratio, curing condition and curing days. The assembled database consists of 240 data records, featuring 74 unique concrete mixture designs. The proposed machine learning algorithms are trained on 180 observations (75%) chosen randomly from the data set and then tested on the remaining 60 observations (25%). The numerical experiments suggest that the regression tree ensembles can accurately predict the porosity of concrete from its mixture compositions. Gradient boosting trees generally outperforms random forests in terms of prediction accuracy. For random forests, the out-of-bag error based hyperparameter tuning strategy is found to be much more efficient than k-Fold Cross-Validation.

Assessing the effects of the energy transition and liberalization of energy markets on resource adequacy is an increasingly important and demanding task. The rising complexity in energy systems requires adequate methods for energy system modeling leading to increased computational requirements. Furthermore, with complexity, uncertainty increases likewise calling for probabilistic assessments and scenario analyses. To adequately and efficiently address these various requirements, new methods from the field of data science are needed to accelerate current methods. With our systematic literature review, we want to close the gap between the three disciplines (1) assessment of security of electricity supply, (2) artificial intelligence, and (3) design of experiments. For this, we conduct a large-scale quantitative review on selected fields of application and methods and make a synthesis that relates the different disciplines to each other. Among other findings, we identify metamodeling of complex security of electricity supply models using AI methods and applications of AI-based methods for forecasts of storage dispatch and (non-)availabilities as promising fields of application that have not sufficiently been covered, yet. We end with deriving a new methodological pipeline for adequately and efficiently addressing the present and upcoming challenges in the assessment of security of electricity supply.

How confident can we be in the generalization capacity of a predictive model? Of the many devices discussed in the statistical learning literature [1, 2, 3], a simple random split of the original data into training and test sets, and methods of folded cross-validation, stand out as the most common tools used to tackle the generalization issue. Availability of point estimates for the generalization error given by these procedures naturally raises the question of how to quantify the uncertainty involved in these estimates spending a manageable computational cost. Random forests [4] elegantly provide an alternative low cost (almost free) point estimate of the generalization error without requiring splittings of the data, and avoiding the computational burden of retraining the predictive model several times. The bagging mechanism [5] used to construct the ensemble of trees implies that each training data point is not used (stays "out-of-bag") when growing approximately 36.8% of the trees in the forest. This property gives us the so called out-of-bag estimate of the random forest generalization error: for each observation, using a suitable loss function, we compute the predictive error made by the random subforest whose trees didn't include the observation under consideration in its training process; the out-of-bag estimate is the average of these prediction errors over the whole training sample. 1

More and more orgainizations and institutions make efforts on using external data to improve the performance of AI services. To address the data privacy and security concerns, federated learning has attracted increasing attention from both academia and industry to securely construct AI models across multiple isolated data providers. In this paper, we studied the efficiency problem of adapting widely used XGBoost model in real-world applications to vertical federated learning setting. State-of-the-art vertical federated XGBoost frameworks requires large number of encryption operations and ciphertext transmissions, which makes the model training much less efficient than training XGBoost models locally. To bridge this gap, we proposed a novel batch homomorphic encryption method to cut the cost of encryption-related computation and transmission in nearly half. This is achieved by encoding the first-order derivative and the second-order derivative into a single number for encryption, ciphertext transmission, and homomorphic addition operations. The sum of multiple first-order derivatives and second-order derivatives can be simultaneously decoded from the sum of encoded values. We are motivated by the batch idea in the work of BatchCrypt for horizontal federated learning, and design a novel batch method to address the limitations of allowing quite few number of negative numbers. The encode procedure of the proposed batch method consists of four steps, including shifting, truncating, quantizing and batching, while the decoding procedure consists of de-quantization and shifting back. The advantages of our method are demonstrated through theoretical analysis and extensive numerical experiments.

The digital transformation faces tremendous security challenges. In particular, the growing number of cyber-attacks targeting Internet of Things (IoT) systems restates the need for a reliable detection of malicious network activity. This paper presents a comparative analysis of supervised, unsupervised and reinforcement learning techniques on nine malware captures of the IoT-23 dataset, considering both binary and multi-class classification scenarios. The developed models consisted of Support Vector Machine (SVM), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM), Isolation Forest (iForest), Local Outlier Factor (LOF) and a Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) model based on a Double Deep Q-Network (DDQN), adapted to the intrusion detection context. The most reliable performance was achieved by LightGBM. Nonetheless, iForest displayed good anomaly detection results and the DRL model demonstrated the possible benefits of employing this methodology to continuously improve the detection. Overall, the obtained results indicate that the analyzed techniques are well suited for IoT intrusion detection.

More and more orgainizations and institutions make efforts on using external data to improve the performance of AI services. To address the data privacy and security concerns, federated learning has attracted increasing attention from both academia and industry to securely construct AI models across multiple isolated data providers. In this paper, we studied the efficiency problem of adapting widely used XGBoost model in real-world applications to vertical federated learning setting. State-of-the-art vertical federated XGBoost frameworks requires large number of encryption operations and ciphertext transmissions, which makes the model training much less efficient than training XGBoost models locally. To bridge this gap, we proposed a novel batch homomorphic encryption method to cut the cost of encryption-related computation and transmission in nearly half. This is achieved by encoding the first-order derivative and the second-order derivative into a single number for encryption, ciphertext transmission, and homomorphic addition operations. The sum of multiple first-order derivatives and second-order derivatives can be simultaneously decoded from the sum of encoded values. We are motivated by the batch idea in the work of BatchCrypt for horizontal federated learning, and design a novel batch method to address the limitations of allowing quite few number of negative numbers. The encode procedure of the proposed batch method consists of four steps, including shifting, truncating, quantizing and batching, while the decoding procedure consists of de-quantization and shifting back. The advantages of our method are demonstrated through theoretical analysis and extensive numerical experiments.

In the above story, we have used a Fitbit dataset. Based on the EDA, it was found that steps taken and calories are somewhat linearly correlated and together they may be indicative of a lower risk for all-cause mortality. More interestingly, among our data there is one dataset which has not been used yet which is a weight and BMI log. These data have a distinct nature since they are not necessarily machine generated, thereafter they serve the purpose of being'labels'. In simple words, users are collecting data regarding their activity using their Fitbit, and once in a while, they log some body information such as weight, fat and BMI. This creates an optimal scenario for a supervised learning problem, where, for example, we could use the Fitbit activity data to predict the BMI of a user.

In today's blog, we will see that how we can perform Bank Note Authentication or how we can classify Bank Notes into fake or authentic classes based on numeric features like variance, skewness, kurtosis, entropy. This is going to be a very short blog, so without any further due. To explore more Machine Learning, Deep Learning, Computer Vision, NLP, Flask Projects visit my blog.

Recent strides in interpretable machine learning (ML) research reveal that models exploit undesirable patterns in the data to make predictions, which potentially causes harms in deployment. However, it is unclear how we can fix these models. We present our ongoing work, GAM Changer, an open-source interactive system to help data scientists and domain experts easily and responsibly edit their Generalized Additive Models (GAMs). With novel visualization techniques, our tool puts interpretability into action -- empowering human users to analyze, validate, and align model behaviors with their knowledge and values. Built using modern web technologies, our tool runs locally in users' computational notebooks or web browsers without requiring extra compute resources, lowering the barrier to creating more responsible ML models. GAM Changer is available at https://interpret.ml/gam-changer.

In this paper, we propose a gradient boosting algorithm called \textit{adaptive boosting histogram transform} (\textit{ABHT}) for regression to illustrate the local adaptivity of gradient boosting algorithms in histogram transform ensemble learning. From the theoretical perspective, when the target function lies in a locally H\"older continuous space, we show that our ABHT can filter out the regions with different orders of smoothness. Consequently, we are able to prove that the upper bound of the convergence rates of ABHT is strictly smaller than the lower bound of \textit{parallel ensemble histogram transform} (\textit{PEHT}). In the experiments, both synthetic and real-world data experiments empirically validate the theoretical results, which demonstrates the advantageous performance and local adaptivity of our ABHT.