Decision Trees are used in statistics, data mining and machine learning and they are a supervised learning method which can be applied in both classification and regression. But the Decision Trees can be improved using boosting as it was first described by Schapire in his paper "The Strength of Weak Learnability "[1]. Basically, a boosting algorithm is a learning algorithm that will take advantage of the weak learners in order to generate high-accuracy hypotheses. However, over the years the algorithm has been improved and adapted by various contributors. The fact that the algorithm suffered a series of mutation that lead to algorithms like XGBoost, AdaBoost, Gradient Boost, LightGBM, is proof that the main idea has passed "the test of time".

Using machine learning algorithms for the rapid diagnosis and detection of the COVID-19 pandemic and isolating the patients from crowded environments are very important to controlling the epidemic. This study aims to develop a point-of-care testing (POCT) system that can detect COVID-19 by detecting volatile organic compounds (VOCs) in a patient's exhaled breath using the Gradient Boosted Trees Learner Algorithm. 294 breath samples were collected from 142 patients at Istanbul Medipol Mega Hospital between December 2020 and March 2021. 84 cases out of 142 resulted in negatives, and 58 cases resulted in positives. All these breath samples have been converted into numeric values through five air sensors. 10% of the data have been used for the validation of the model, while 75% of the test data have been used for training an AI model to predict the coronavirus presence. 25% have been used for testing. The SMOTE oversampling method was used to increase the training set size and reduce the imbalance of negative and positive classes in training and test data. Different machine learning algorithms have also been tried to develop the e-nose model. The test results have suggested that the Gradient Boosting algorithm created the best model. The Gradient Boosting model provides 95% recall when predicting COVID-19 positive patients and 96% accuracy when predicting COVID-19 negative patients.

A lot of news sources picked up on Typhoon Rai (also known locally as Typhoon Odette), along with fake news outlets. The study honed in on the issue, to create a model that can identify between legitimate and illegitimate news articles. With this in mind, we chose the following machine learning algorithms in our development: Logistic Regression, Random Forest and Multinomial Naive Bayes. Bag of Words, TF-IDF and Lemmatization were implemented in the Model. Gathering 160 datasets from legitimate and illegitimate sources, the machine learning was trained and tested. By combining all the machine learning techniques, the Combined BOW model was able to reach an accuracy of 91.07%, precision of 88.33%, recall of 94.64%, and F1 score of 91.38% and Combined TF-IDF model was able to reach an accuracy of 91.18%, precision of 86.89%, recall of 94.64%, and F1 score of 90.60%.

Gradient boosted decision trees are some of the most popular algorithms in applied machine learning. They are a flexible and powerful tool that can robustly fit to any tabular dataset in a scalable and computationally efficient way. One of the most critical parameters to tune when fitting these models are the various penalty terms used to distinguish signal from noise in the current model. These penalties are effective in practice, but are lacking in robust theoretical justifications. In this paper we develop and present a novel theoretically justified hypothesis test of split quality for gradient boosted tree ensembles and demonstrate that using this method instead of the common penalty terms leads to a significant reduction in out of sample loss. Additionally, this method provides a theoretically well-justified stopping condition for the tree growing algorithm. We also present several innovative extensions to the method, opening the door for a wide variety of novel tree pruning algorithms.

This work demonstrates how mixed effects random forests enable accurate predictions of depression severity using multimodal physiological and digital activity data collected from an 8-week study involving 31 patients with major depressive disorder. We show that mixed effects random forests outperform standard random forests and personal average baselines when predicting clinical Hamilton Depression Rating Scale scores (HDRS_17). Compared to the latter baseline, accuracy is significantly improved for each patient by an average of 0.199-0.276 in terms of mean absolute error (p<0.05). This is noteworthy as these simple baselines frequently outperform machine learning methods in mental health prediction tasks. We suggest that this improved performance results from the ability of the mixed effects random forest to personalise model parameters to individuals in the dataset. However, we find that these improvements pertain exclusively to scenarios where labelled patient data are available to the model at training time. Investigating methods that improve accuracy when generalising to new patients is left as important future work.

The challenges in applications of solar energy lies in its intermittency and dependency on meteorological parameters such as; solar radiation, ambient temperature, rainfall, wind-speed etc., and many other physical parameters like dust accumulation etc. Hence, it is important to estimate the amount of solar photovoltaic (PV) power generation for a specific geographical location. Machine learning (ML) models have gained importance and are widely used for prediction of solar power plant performance. In this paper, the impact of weather parameters on solar PV power generation is estimated by several Ensemble ML (EML) models like Bagging, Boosting, Stacking, and Voting for the first time. The performance of chosen ML algorithms is validated by field dataset of a 10kWp solar PV power plant in Eastern India region. Furthermore, a complete test-bed framework has been designed for data mining as well as to select appropriate learning models. It also supports feature selection and reduction for dataset to reduce space and time complexity of the learning models. The results demonstrate greater prediction accuracy of around 96% for Stacking and Voting EML models. The proposed work is a generalized one and can be very useful for predicting the performance of large-scale solar PV power plants also.

Recent years have witnessed significant success in Gradient Boosting Decision Trees (GBDT) for a wide range of machine learning applications. Generally, a consensus about GBDT's training algorithms is gradients and statistics are computed based on high-precision floating points. In this paper, we investigate an essentially important question which has been largely ignored by the previous literature: how many bits are needed for representing gradients in training GBDT? To solve this mystery, we propose to quantize all the high-precision gradients in a very simple yet effective way in the GBDT's training algorithm. Surprisingly, both our theoretical analysis and empirical studies show that the necessary precisions of gradients without hurting any performance can be quite low, e.g., 2 or 3 bits. With low-precision gradients, most arithmetic operations in GBDT training can be replaced by integer operations of 8, 16, or 32 bits. Promisingly, these findings may pave the way for much more efficient training of GBDT from several aspects: (1) speeding up the computation of gradient statistics in histograms; (2) compressing the communication cost of high-precision statistical information during distributed training; (3) the inspiration of utilization and development of hardware architectures which well support low-precision computation for GBDT training. Benchmarked on CPUs, GPUs, and distributed clusters, we observe up to 2$\times$ speedup of our simple quantization strategy compared with SOTA GBDT systems on extensive datasets, demonstrating the effectiveness and potential of the low-precision training of GBDT. The code will be released to the official repository of LightGBM.

This study explores an interesting pattern emerging from research that combines artificial intelligence with sound symbolism. In these studies, supervised machine learning algorithms are trained to classify samples based on the sounds of referent names. Machine learning algorithms are efficient learners of sound symbolism, but they tend to bias one category over the other. The pattern is this: when a category arguably represents greater threat, the algorithms tend to overpredict to that category. A hypothesis, framed by error management theory, is presented that proposes that this may be evidence of an adaptation to preference cautious behaviour. This hypothesis is tested by constructing extreme gradient boosted (XGBoost) models using the sounds that make up the names of Chinese, Japanese and Korean Pokemon and observing classification error distribution.

Over the past few years, the use of machine learning models has emerged as a generic and powerful means for prediction purposes. At the same time, there is a growing demand for interpretability of prediction models. To determine which features of a dataset are important to predict a target variable $Y$, a Feature Importance (FI) method can be used. By quantifying how important each feature is for predicting $Y$, irrelevant features can be identified and removed, which could increase the speed and accuracy of a model, and moreover, important features can be discovered, which could lead to valuable insights. A major problem with evaluating FI methods, is that the ground truth FI is often unknown. As a consequence, existing FI methods do not give the exact correct FI values. This is one of the many reasons why it can be hard to properly interpret the results of an FI method. Motivated by this, we introduce a new global approach named the Berkelmans-Pries FI method, which is based on a combination of Shapley values and the Berkelmans-Pries dependency function. We prove that our method has many useful properties, and accurately predicts the correct FI values for several cases where the ground truth FI can be derived in an exact manner. We experimentally show for a large collection of FI methods (468) that existing methods do not have the same useful properties. This shows that the Berkelmans-Pries FI method is a highly valuable tool for analyzing datasets with complex interdependencies.

XGBoost, LightGBM, or CatBoost are libraries that share (by default) the same kind of underlying model: decision trees. These decision trees are combined iteratively, using Gradient Boosting. I.e. the addition of new nodes to the current tree is done so that a non-linear objective, usually the squared error, is optimized. To handle the non-linearity, the objective is linearized using its Gradient and Hessian. As a reminder, the prediction process is relatively simple: given a row of data, each decision tree of the ensemble is browsed.