Urban mobility is on the cusp of transformation with the emergence of shared, connected, and cooperative automated vehicles. Yet, for them to be accepted by customers, trust in their punctuality is vital. Many pilot initiatives operate without a fixed schedule, thus enhancing the importance of reliable arrival time (AT) predictions. This study presents an AT prediction system for autonomous shuttles, utilizing separate models for dwell and running time predictions, validated on real-world data from five cities. Alongside established methods such as XGBoost, we explore the benefits of integrating spatial data using graph neural networks (GNN). To accurately handle the case of a shuttle bypassing a stop, we propose a hierarchical model combining a random forest classifier and a GNN. The results for the final AT prediction are promising, showing low errors even when predicting several stops ahead. Yet, no single model emerges as universally superior, and we provide insights into the characteristics of pilot sites that influence the model selection process. Finally, we identify dwell time prediction as the key determinant in overall AT prediction accuracy when autonomous shuttles are deployed in low-traffic areas or under regulatory speed limits. This research provides insights into the current state of autonomous public transport prediction models and paves the way for more data-informed decision-making as the field advances.

Decades after their inception, random forests continue to provide state-of-the-art accuracy in a variety of learning problems, outperforming in this respect alternative machine learning algorithms such as decision trees or even neural networks. However, being an ensemble method, the one aspect where random forests tend to severely underperform decision trees is interpretability. In the present work, we propose a post-hoc approach that aims to have the best of both worlds: the accuracy of random forests and the interpretability of decision trees. To this end, we present two forest-pruning methods to find an optimal sub-forest within a given random forest, and then, when applicable, combine the selected trees into one. Our first method relies on constrained exhaustive search, while our second method is based on an adaptation of the LASSO methodology. Extensive experiments over synthetic and real world datasets show that, in the majority of scenarios, at least one of the two methods proposed is more accurate than the original random forest, while just using a small fraction of the trees, aiding result interpretability. Compared to current state-of-the-art forestpruning methods, namely sequential forward selection and (a variation of) sequential backward selection, our methods tend to outperform both of them, whether in terms of accuracy, number of trees employed, or both.

Domain generalization is a popular machine learning technique that enables models to perform well on the unseen target domain, by learning from multiple source domains. Domain generalization is useful in cases where data is limited, difficult, or expensive to collect, such as in object recognition and biomedicine. In this paper, we propose a novel domain generalization algorithm called "meta-forests", which builds upon the basic random forests model by incorporating the meta-learning strategy and maximum mean discrepancy measure. The aim of meta-forests is to enhance the generalization ability of classifiers by reducing the correlation among trees and increasing their strength. More specifically, meta-forests conducts meta-learning optimization during each meta-task, while also utilizing the maximum mean discrepancy as a regularization term to penalize poor generalization performance in the meta-test process. To evaluate the effectiveness of our algorithm, we test it on two publicly object recognition datasets and a glucose monitoring dataset that we have used in a previous study. Our results show that meta-forests outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in terms of generalization performance on both object recognition and glucose monitoring datasets.

Decision trees [3, 4, 8, 31, 34, 40] and systems of decision rules [6, 7, 11, 14, 33, 34, 35, 36] are widely used as classifiers, knowledge representation tools, and algorithms. They are known for their interpretability in data analysis [10, 15, 23, 41]. Investigating the relationship between these two models is an important task in computer science. Converting decision trees into decision rule systems is a well-known and simple process [37, 38, 39]. This paper focuses on the inverse transformation problem, which is not trivial. The research related to this problem encompasses several directions: Two-stage construction of decision trees. This approach involves building decision rules based on input data, followed by the construction of decision trees or decision structures (which are generalizations of decision trees) using the generated rules. The benefits of this two-stage construction method are explained in [1, 2, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 42].

Thyroid cancer, the most prevalent endocrine cancer, has gained significant global attention due to its impact on public health. Extensive research efforts have been dedicated to leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) methods for the early detection of this disease, aiming to reduce its morbidity rates. However, a comprehensive understanding of the structured organization of research applications in this particular field remains elusive. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a systematic review and developed a comprehensive taxonomy of machine learning-based applications in thyroid cancer pathogenesis, diagnosis, and prognosis. Our primary objective was to facilitate the research community's ability to stay abreast of technological advancements and potentially lead the emerging trends in this field. This survey presents a coherent literature review framework for interpreting the advanced techniques used in thyroid cancer research. A total of 758 related studies were identified and scrutinized. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first review that provides an in-depth analysis of the various aspects of AI applications employed in the context of thyroid cancer. Furthermore, we highlight key challenges encountered in this domain and propose future research opportunities for those interested in studying the latest trends or exploring less-investigated aspects of thyroid cancer research. By presenting this comprehensive review and taxonomy, we contribute to the existing knowledge in the field, while providing valuable insights for researchers, clinicians, and stakeholders in advancing the understanding and management of this disease.

Real-life machine learning problems exhibit distributional shifts in the data from one time to another or from on place to another. This behavior is beyond the scope of the traditional empirical risk minimization paradigm, which assumes i.i.d. distribution of data over time and across locations. The emerging field of out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization addresses this reality with new theory and algorithms which incorporate environmental, or era-wise information into the algorithms. So far, most research has been focused on linear models and/or neural networks. In this research we develop two new splitting criteria for decision trees, which allow us to apply ideas from OOD generalization research to decision tree models, including random forest and gradient-boosting decision trees. The new splitting criteria use era-wise information associated with each data point to allow tree-based models to find split points that are optimal across all disjoint eras in the data, instead of optimal over the entire data set pooled together, which is the default setting. In this paper we describe the problem setup in the context of financial markets. We describe the new splitting criteria in detail and develop unique experiments to showcase the benefits of these new criteria, which improve metrics in our experiments out-of-sample. The new criteria are incorporated into the a state-of-the-art gradient boosted decision tree model in the Scikit-Learn code base, which is made freely available.

In this work, we present a quantum circuit for a binary classification prediction algorithm using a random forest model. The quantum prediction algorithm is presented in our previous works. We construct a circuit and implement it using qiskit tools (python module for quantum programming). One of our goals is reducing the number of basic quantum gates (elementary gates). The set of basic quantum gates which we use in this work consists of single-qubit gates and a controlled NOT gate. The number of CNOT gates in our circuit is estimated by $O(2^{n+2h+1})$ , when trivial circuit decomposition techniques give $O(4^{|X|+n+h+2})$ CNOT gates, where $n$ is the number of trees in a random forest model, $h$ is a tree height and $|X|$ is the length of attributes of an input object $X$. The prediction process returns an index of the corresponding class for the input $X$.

In pool-based active learning, the learner is given an unlabeled data set and aims to efficiently learn the unknown hypothesis by querying the labels of the data points. This can be formulated as the classical Optimal Decision Tree (ODT) problem: Given a set of tests, a set of hypotheses, and an outcome for each pair of test and hypothesis, our objective is to find a low-cost testing procedure (i.e., decision tree) that identifies the true hypothesis. This optimization problem has been extensively studied under the assumption that each test generates a deterministic outcome. However, in numerous applications, for example, clinical trials, the outcomes may be uncertain, which renders the ideas from the deterministic setting invalid. In this work, we study a fundamental variant of the ODT problem in which some test outcomes are noisy, even in the more general case where the noise is persistent, i.e., repeating a test gives the same noisy output. Our approximation algorithms provide guarantees that are nearly best possible and hold for the general case of a large number of noisy outcomes per test or per hypothesis where the performance degrades continuously with this number. We numerically evaluated our algorithms for identifying toxic chemicals and learning linear classifiers, and observed that our algorithms have costs very close to the information-theoretic minimum.

Warning: This paper contains examples of the language that some people may find offensive. Detecting and reducing hateful, abusive, offensive comments is a critical and challenging task on social media. Moreover, few studies aim to mitigate the intensity of hate speech. While studies have shown that context-level semantics are crucial for detecting hateful comments, most of this research focuses on English due to the ample datasets available. In contrast, low-resource languages, like Indian languages, remain under-researched because of limited datasets. Contrary to hate speech detection, hate intensity reduction remains unexplored in high-resource and low-resource languages. In this paper, we propose a novel end-to-end model, HCDIR, for Hate Context Detection, and Hate Intensity Reduction in social media posts. First, we fine-tuned several pre-trained language models to detect hateful comments to ascertain the best-performing hateful comments detection model. Then, we identified the contextual hateful words. Identification of such hateful words is justified through the state-of-the-art explainable learning model, i.e., Integrated Gradient (IG). Lastly, the Masked Language Modeling (MLM) model has been employed to capture domain-specific nuances to reduce hate intensity. We masked the 50\% hateful words of the comments identified as hateful and predicted the alternative words for these masked terms to generate convincing sentences. An optimal replacement for the original hate comments from the feasible sentences is preferred. Extensive experiments have been conducted on several recent datasets using automatic metric-based evaluation (BERTScore) and thorough human evaluation. To enhance the faithfulness in human evaluation, we arranged a group of three human annotators with varied expertise.

Human respiratory rate and its pattern convey essential information about the physical and psychological states of the subject. Abnormal breathing can indicate fatal health issues leading to further diagnosis and treatment. Wireless light-wave sensing (LWS) using incoherent infrared light shows promise in safe, discreet, efficient, and non-invasive human breathing monitoring without raising privacy concerns. The respiration monitoring system needs to be trained on different types of breathing patterns to identify breathing anomalies.The system must also validate the collected data as a breathing waveform, discarding any faulty data caused by external interruption, user movement, or system malfunction. To address these needs, this study simulated normal and different types of abnormal respiration using a robot that mimics human breathing patterns. Then, time-series respiration data were collected using infrared light-wave sensing technology. Three machine learning algorithms, decision tree, random forest and XGBoost, were applied to detect breathing anomalies and faulty data. Model performances were evaluated through cross-validation, assessing classification accuracy, precision and recall scores. The random forest model achieved the highest classification accuracy of 96.75% with data collected at a 0.5m distance. In general, ensemble models like random forest and XGBoost performed better than a single model in classifying the data collected at multiple distances from the light-wave sensing setup.