We propose ODTE, a new ensemble that uses oblique decision trees as base classifiers. Additionally, we introduce STree, the base algorithm for growing oblique decision trees, which leverages support vector machines to define hyperplanes within the decision nodes. We embed a multiclass strategy -- one-vs-one or one-vs-rest -- at the decision nodes, allowing the model to directly handle non-binary classification tasks without the need to cluster instances into two groups, as is common in other approaches from the literature. In each decision node, only the best-performing model SVM -- the one that minimizes an impurity measure for the n-ary classification -- is retained, even if the learned SVM addresses a binary classification subtask. An extensive experimental study involving 49 datasets and various state-of-the-art algorithms for oblique decision tree ensembles has been conducted. Our results show that ODTE ranks consistently above its competitors, achieving significant performance gains when hyperparameters are carefully tuned. Moreover, the oblique decision trees learned through STree are more compact than those produced by other algorithms evaluated in our experiments.

The proportion of elderly people is increasing worldwide, particularly those living alone in Japan. As elderly people get older, their risks of physical disabilities and health issues increase. To automatically discover these issues at a low cost in daily life, sensor-based detection in a smart home is promising. As part of the effort towards early detection of abnormal behaviors, we propose a simulator-based detection systems for six typical anomalies: being semi-bedridden, being housebound, forgetting, wandering, fall while walking and fall while standing. Our detection system can be customized for various room layout, sensor arrangement and resident's characteristics by training detection classifiers using the simulator with the parameters fitted to individual cases. Considering that the six anomalies that our system detects have various occurrence durations, such as being housebound for weeks or lying still for seconds after a fall, the detection classifiers of our system produce anomaly labels depending on each anomaly's occurrence duration, e.g., housebound per day and falls per second. We propose a method that standardizes the processing of sensor data, and uses a simple detection approach. Although the validity depends on the realism of the simulation, numerical evaluations using sensor data that includes a variety of resident behavior patterns over nine years as test data show that (1) the methods for detecting wandering and falls are comparable to previous methods, and (2) the methods for detecting being semi-bedridden, being housebound, and forgetting achieve a sensitivity of over 0.9 with fewer than one false alarm every 50 days.

Seismic data is often sparse and unevenly distributed due to the high costs and logistical challenges associated with deploying physical seismometers, limiting the application of Machine Learning (ML) in earthquake analysis. To address this gap, we introduce PyAWD, a Python library designed to generate high-resolution synthetic datasets simulating spatio-temporal acoustic wave propagation in both two-dimensional and three-dimensional heterogeneous media. By allowing fine control over parameters such as wave speed, external forces, spatial and temporal discretization, and media composition, PyAWD enables the creation of ML-scale datasets that capture the complexity of seismic wave behavior. We illustrate the library's potential with an epicenter retrieval task, showcasing its suitability for designing complex, accurate seismic problems that support advanced ML approaches in the absence or lack of dense real-world data.

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved remarkable success in various research domains. However, its reliance on neural networks results in a lack of transparency, which limits its practical applications. To achieve explainability, decision trees have emerged as a popular and promising alternative to neural networks. Nonetheless, due to their limited expressiveness, traditional decision trees struggle with high-dimensional long-horizon continuous control tasks. In this paper, we proposes SkillTree, a novel framework that reduces complex continuous action spaces into discrete skill spaces. Our hierarchical approach integrates a differentiable decision tree within the high-level policy to generate skill embeddings, which subsequently guide the low-level policy in executing skills. By making skill decisions explainable, we achieve skill-level explainability, enhancing the understanding of the decision-making process in complex tasks. Experimental results demonstrate that our method achieves performance comparable to skill-based neural networks in complex robotic arm control domains. Furthermore, SkillTree offers explanations at the skill level, thereby increasing the transparency of the decision-making process.

Multivariate time series classification is of great importance in practical applications and is a challenging task. However, deep neural network models such as Transformers exhibit high accuracy in multivariate time series classification but lack interpretability and fail to provide insights into the decision-making process. On the other hand, traditional approaches based on decision tree classifiers offer clear decision processes but relatively lower accuracy. Swin Transformer (ST) addresses these issues by leveraging self-attention mechanisms to capture both fine-grained local patterns and global patterns. It can also model multi-scale feature representation learning, thereby providing a more comprehensive representation of time series features. To tackle the aforementioned challenges, we propose ST-Tree with interpretability for multivariate time series classification. Specifically, the ST-Tree model combines ST as the backbone network with an additional neural tree model. This integration allows us to fully leverage the advantages of ST in learning time series context while providing interpretable decision processes through the neural tree. This enables researchers to gain clear insights into the model's decision-making process and extract meaningful interpretations. Through experimental evaluations on 10 UEA datasets, we demonstrate that the ST-Tree model improves accuracy in multivariate time series classification tasks and provides interpretability through visualizing the decision-making process across different datasets.

Manifold alignment is a type of data fusion technique that creates a shared low-dimensional representation of data collected from multiple domains, enabling cross-domain learning and improved performance in downstream tasks. This paper presents an approach to manifold alignment using random forests as a foundation for semi-supervised alignment algorithms, leveraging the model's inherent strengths. We focus on enhancing two recently developed alignment graph-based by integrating class labels through geometry-preserving proximities derived from random forests. These proximities serve as a supervised initialization for constructing cross-domain relationships that maintain local neighborhood structures, thereby facilitating alignment. Our approach addresses a common limitation in manifold alignment, where existing methods often fail to generate embeddings that capture sufficient information for downstream classification. By contrast, we find that alignment models that use random forest proximities or class-label information achieve improved accuracy on downstream classification tasks, outperforming single-domain baselines. Experiments across multiple datasets show that our method typically enhances cross-domain feature integration and predictive performance, suggesting that random forest proximities offer a practical solution for tasks requiring multimodal data alignment.

Screening questionnaires are used in medicine as a diagnostic aid. Creating them is a long and expensive process, which could potentially be improved through analysis of social media posts related to symptoms and behaviors prior to diagnosis. Here we show a preliminary investigation into the feasibility of generating screening questionnaires for a given medical condition from social media postings. The method first identifies a cohort of relevant users through their posts in dedicated patient groups and a control group of users who reported similar symptoms but did not report being diagnosed with the condition of interest. Posts made prior to diagnosis are used to generate decision rules to differentiate between the different groups, by clustering symptoms mentioned by these users and training a decision tree to differentiate between the two groups. We validate the generated rules by correlating them with scores given by medical doctors to matching hypothetical cases. We demonstrate the proposed method by creating questionnaires for three conditions (endometriosis, lupus, and gout) using the data of several hundreds of users from Reddit. These questionnaires were then validated by medical doctors. The average Pearson's correlation between the latter's scores and the decision rules were 0.58 (endometriosis), 0.40 (lupus) and 0.27 (gout). Our results suggest that the process of questionnaire generation can be, at least partly, automated. These questionnaires are advantageous in that they are based on real-world experience but are currently lacking in their ability to capture the context, duration, and timing of symptoms.

Inferring causal relationships in the decision-making processes of machine learning algorithms is a crucial step toward achieving explainable Artificial Intelligence (AI). In this research, we introduce a novel causality measure and a distance metric derived from Lempel-Ziv (LZ) complexity. We explore how the proposed causality measure can be used in decision trees by enabling splits based on features that most strongly \textit{cause} the outcome. We further evaluate the effectiveness of the causality-based decision tree and the distance-based decision tree in comparison to a traditional decision tree using Gini impurity. While the proposed methods demonstrate comparable classification performance overall, the causality-based decision tree significantly outperforms both the distance-based decision tree and the Gini-based decision tree on datasets generated from causal models. This result indicates that the proposed approach can capture insights beyond those of classical decision trees, especially in causally structured data. Based on the features used in the LZ causal measure based decision tree, we introduce a causal strength for each features in the dataset so as to infer the predominant causal variables for the occurrence of the outcome.

Current implementations of Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) are based on axis-aligned decision rules that recursively partition the feature space using a single feature at a time. Several authors have demonstrated that oblique trees, whose decision rules are based on linear combinations of features, can sometimes yield better predictions than axis-aligned trees and exhibit excellent theoretical properties. We develop an oblique version of BART that leverages a data-adaptive decision rule prior that recursively partitions the feature space along random hyperplanes. Using several synthetic and real-world benchmark datasets, we systematically compared our oblique BART implementation to axis-aligned BART and other tree ensemble methods, finding that oblique BART was competitive with -- and sometimes much better than -- those methods.

Traditional decision tree algorithms are explainable but struggle with non-linear, high-dimensional data, limiting its applicability in complex decision-making. Neural networks excel at capturing complex patterns but sacrifice explainability in the process. In this work, we present GPTree, a novel framework combining explainability of decision trees with the advanced reasoning capabilities of LLMs. GPTree eliminates the need for feature engineering and prompt chaining, requiring only a task-specific prompt and leveraging a tree-based structure to dynamically split samples. We also introduce an expert-in-the-loop feedback mechanism to further enhance performance by enabling human intervention to refine and rebuild decision paths, emphasizing the harmony between human expertise and machine intelligence. Our decision tree achieved a 7.8% precision rate for identifying "unicorn" startups at the inception stage of a startup, surpassing gpt-4o with few-shot learning as well as the best human decision-makers (3.1% to 5.6%).