We present a detailed analysis of the class of regression decision tree algorithms which employ a regulized piecewise-linear node-splitting criterion and have regularized linear models at the leaves. From a theoretic standpoint, based on Rademacher complexity framework, we present new high-probability upper bounds for the generalization error for the proposed classes of regularized regression decision tree algorithms, including LASSO-type, and $\ell_{2}$ regularization for linear models at the leaves. Theoretical result are further extended by considering a general type of variable selection procedure. Furthermore, in our work we demonstrate that the class of piecewise-linear regression trees is not only numerically stable but can be made tractable via an algorithmic implementation, presented herein, as well as with the help of modern GPU technology. Empirically, we present results on multiple datasets which highlight the strengths and potential pitfalls, of the proposed tree algorithms compared to baselines which grow trees based on piecewise constant models.

Tree ensembles such as Random Forests have achieved impressive empirical success across a wide variety of applications. To understand how these models make predictions, people routinely turn to feature importance measures calculated from tree ensembles. It has long been known that Mean Decrease Impurity (MDI), one of the most widely used measures of feature importance, incorrectly assigns high importance to noisy features, leading to systematic bias in feature selection. In this paper, we address the feature selection bias of MDI from both theoretical and methodological perspectives. Based on the original definition of MDI by Breiman et al. [3] for a single tree, we derive a tight non-asymptotic bound on the expected bias of MDI importance of noisy features, showing that deep trees have higher (expected) feature selection bias than shallow ones. However, it is not clear how to reduce the bias of MDI using its existing analytical expression. We derive a new analytical expression for MDI, and based on this new expression, we are able to propose a debiased MDI feature importance measure using out-of-bag samples, called MDI-oob. For both the simulated data and a genomic ChIP dataset, MDI-oob achieves state-of-the-art performance in feature selection from Random Forests for both deep and shallow trees.

Decision Tree is a classic formulation of active learning: given $n$ hypotheses with nonnegative weights summing to 1 and a set of tests that each partition the hypotheses, output a decision tree using the provided tests that uniquely identifies each hypothesis and has minimum (weighted) average depth. Previous works showed that the greedy algorithm achieves a $O(\log n)$ approximation ratio for this problem and it is NP-hard beat a $O(\log n)$ approximation, settling the complexity of the problem. However, for Uniform Decision Tree, i.e. Decision Tree with uniform weights, the story is more subtle. The greedy algorithm's $O(\log n)$ approximation ratio is the best known, but the largest approximation ratio known to be NP-hard is $4-\varepsilon$. We prove that the greedy algorithm gives a $O(\frac{\log n}{\log C_{OPT}})$ approximation for Uniform Decision Tree, where $C_{OPT}$ is the cost of the optimal tree and show this is best possible for the greedy algorithm. As a corollary, this resolves a conjecture of Kosaraju, Przytycka, and Borgstrom. Our results also hold for instances of Decision Tree whose weights are not too far from uniform. Leveraging this result, we exhibit a subexponential algorithm that yields an $O(1/\alpha)$ approximation to Uniform Decision Tree in time $2^{O(n^\alpha)}$. As a corollary, achieving any super-constant approximation ratio on Uniform Decision Tree is not NP-hard, assuming the Exponential Time Hypothesis. This work therefore adds approximating Uniform Decision Tree to a small list of natural problems that have subexponential algorithms but no known polynomial time algorithms. Like the greedy algorithm, our subexponential algorithm gives similar guarantees even for slightly nonuniform weights.

Introduced by Breiman (2001), Random Forests (RF) is one of the algorithms of choice in many supervised learning applications. The appeal of these methods comes from their remarkable accuracy in a variety of tasks, the small number (or even the absence) of parameters to tune, their reasonable computational cost at training and prediction time, and their suitability in highdimensional settings. Most commonly used RF algorithms, such as the original random forest procedure (Breiman, 2001), extra-trees (Geurts et al., 2006), or conditional inference forest (Hothorn et al., 2010) are batch algorithms, that require the whole dataset to be available at once. Several online random forests variants have been proposed to overcome this issue and handle data that come sequentially. Utgoff (1989) was the first to extend Quinlan's ID3 batch decision tree algorithm (see Quinlan, 1986) to an online setting. Later on, Domingos and Hulten (2000) introduce Hoeffding Trees that can be easily updated: since observations are available sequentially, a cell is split when (i) enough observations have fallen into this cell, (ii) the best split in the cell is statistically relevant (a generic Hoeffding inequality being used to assess the quality of the best split). Since random forests are known to exhibit better empirical performances than individual decision trees, online random forests have been proposed (see, e.g., Saffari et al., 2009; Denil et al., 2013).

ID3 algorithm, stands for Iterative Dichotomiser 3, is a classification algorithm that follows a greedy approach of building a decision tree by selecting a best attribute that yields maximum Information Gain (IG) or minimum Entropy (H). In this article, we will use the ID3 algorithm to build a decision tree based on a weather data and illustrate how we can use this procedure to make a decision on an action (like whether to play outside) based on the current data using the previously collected data. We will go through the basics of decision tree, ID3 algorithm before applying it to our data. A Supervised Machine Learning Algorithm, used to build classification and regression models in the form of a tree structure. There are many algorithms to build decision trees, here we are going to discuss ID3 algorithm with an example.

ID3 algorithm, stands for Iterative Dichotomiser 3, is a classification algorithm that follows a greedy approach of building a decision tree by selecting a best attribute that yields maximum Information Gain (IG) or minimum Entropy (H). In this article, we will use the ID3 algorithm to build a decision tree based on a weather data and illustrate how we can use this procedure to make a decision on an action (like whether to play outside) based on the current data using the previously collected data. We will go through the basics of decision tree, ID3 algorithm before applying it to our data. A Supervised Machine Learning Algorithm, used to build classification and regression models in the form of a tree structure. There are many algorithms to build decision trees, here we are going to discuss ID3 algorithm with an example.

A myriad of options exist for classification. That said, three popular classification methods-- Decision Trees, k-NN & Naive Bayes--can be tweaked for practically every situation. Naive Bayes and K-NN, are both examples of supervised learning (where the data comes already labeled). Decision trees are easy to use for small amounts of classes. If you're trying to decide between the three, your best option is to take all three for a test drive on your data, and see which produces the best results.

In recent years, there are many attempts to understand popular heuristics. An example of such a heuristic algorithm is the ID3 algorithm for learning decision trees. This algorithm is commonly used in practice, but there are very few theoretical works studying its behavior. In this paper, we analyze the ID3 algorithm, when the target function is a $k$-Junta, a function that depends on $k$ out of $n$ variables of the input. We prove that when $k = \log n$, the ID3 algorithm learns in polynomial time $k$-Juntas, in the smoothed analysis model of Kalai & Teng. That is, we show a learnability result when the observed distribution is a "noisy" variant of the original distribution.

With the explosive growth of e-commerce and the booming of e-payment, detecting online transaction fraud in real time has become increasingly important to Fintech business. To tackle this problem, we introduce the TitAnt, a transaction fraud detection system deployed in Ant Financial, one of the largest Fintech companies in the world. The system is able to predict online real-time transaction fraud in mere milliseconds. We present the problem definition, feature extraction, detection methods, implementation and deployment of the system, as well as empirical effectiveness. Extensive experiments have been conducted on large real-world transaction data to show the effectiveness and the efficiency of the proposed system.

As Machine Learning (ML) becomes pervasive in various real world systems, the need for models to be interpretable or explainable has increased. We focus on interpretability, noting that models often need to be constrained in size for them to be considered understandable, e.g., a decision tree of depth 5 is easier to interpret than one of depth 50. This suggests a trade-off between interpretability and accuracy. We propose a technique to minimize this tradeoff. Our strategy is to first learn a powerful, possibly black-box, probabilistic model on the data, which we refer to as the oracle. We use this to adaptively sample the training dataset to present data to our model of interest to learn from. Determining the sampling strategy is formulated as an optimization problem that, independent of the dimensionality of the data, uses only seven variables. We empirically show that this often significantly increases the accuracy of our model. Our technique is model agnostic - in that, both the interpretable model and the oracle might come from any model family. Results using multiple real world datasets, using Linear Probability Models and Decision Trees as interpretable models, and Gradient Boosted Model and Random Forest as oracles are presented. Additionally, we discuss an interesting example of using a sentence-embedding based text classifier as an oracle to improve the accuracy of a term-frequency based bag-of-words linear classifier.