This study explores a new methodology for machine learning classification tasks in 2-dimensional visualization space (2-D ML) using Visual knowledge Discovery in lossless General Line Coordinates. It is shown that this is a full machine learning approach that does not require processing n-dimensional data in an abstract n-dimensional space. It enables discovering n-D patterns in 2-D space without loss of n-D information using graph representations of n-D data in 2-D. Specifically, this study shows that it can be done with static and dynamic In-line Based Coordinates in different modifications, which are a category of General Line Coordinates. Based on these inline coordinates, classification and regression methods were developed. The viability of the strategy was shown by two case studies based on benchmark datasets (Wisconsin Breast Cancer and Page Block Classification datasets). The characteristics of page block classification data led to the development of an algorithm for imbalanced high-resolution data with multiple classes, which exploits the decision trees as a model design facilitator producing a model, which is more general than a decision tree. This work accelerates the ongoing consolidation of an emerging field of full 2-D machine learning and its methodology. Within this methodology the end users can discover models and justify them as self-service. Providing interpretable ML models is another benefit of this approach.

To increase the interpretability and prediction accuracy of the Machine Learning (ML) models, visualization of ML models is a key part of the ML process. Decision Trees (DTs) are essential in machine learning (ML) because they are used to understand many black box ML models including Deep Learning models. In this research, two new methods for creation and enhancement with complete visualizing Decision Trees as understandable models are suggested. These methods use two versions of General Line Coordinates (GLC): Bended Coordinates (BC) and Shifted Paired Coordinates (SPC). The Bended Coordinates are a set of line coordinates, where each coordinate is bended in a threshold point of the respective DT node. In SPC, each n-D point is visualized in a set of shifted pairs of 2-D Cartesian coordinates as a directed graph. These new methods expand and complement the capabilities of existing methods to visualize DT models more completely. These capabilities allow us to observe and analyze: (1) relations between attributes, (2) individual cases relative to the DT structure, (3) data flow in the DT, (4) sensitivity of each split threshold in the DT nodes, and (5) density of cases in parts of the n-D space. These features are critical for DT models' performance evaluation and improvement by domain experts and end users as they help to prevent overgeneralization and overfitting of the models. The advantages of this methodology are illustrated in the case studies on benchmark real-world datasets. The paper also demonstrates how to generalize them for decision tree visualizations in different General Line Coordinates.

Multivariate temporal, or time, series classification is, in a way, the temporal generalization of (numeric) classification, as every instance is described by multiple time series instead of multiple values. Symbolic classification is the machine learning strategy to extract explicit knowledge from a data set, and the problem of symbolic classification of multivariate temporal series requires the design, implementation, and test of ad-hoc machine learning algorithms, such as, for example, algorithms for the extraction of temporal versions of decision trees. One of the most well-known algorithms for decision tree extraction from categorical data is Quinlan's ID3, which was later extended to deal with numerical attributes, resulting in an algorithm known as C4.5, and implemented in many open-sources data mining libraries, including the so-called Weka, which features an implementation of C4.5 called J48. ID3 was recently generalized to deal with temporal data in form of timelines, which can be seen as discrete (categorical) versions of multivariate time series, and such a generalization, based on the interval temporal logic HS, is known as Temporal ID3. In this paper we introduce Temporal C4.5, that allows the extraction of temporal decision trees from undiscretized multivariate time series, describe its implementation, called Temporal J48, and discuss the outcome of a set of experiments with the latter on a collection of public data sets, comparing the results with those obtained by other, classical, multivariate time series classification methods.

Owing to their inherently interpretable structure, decision trees are commonly used in applications where interpretability is essential. Recent work has focused on improving various aspects of decision trees, including their predictive power and robustness; however, their instability, albeit well-documented, has been addressed to a lesser extent. In this paper, we take a step towards the stabilization of decision tree models through the lens of real-world health care applications due to the relevance of stability and interpretability in this space. We introduce a new distance metric for decision trees and use it to determine a tree's level of stability. We propose a novel methodology to train stable decision trees and investigate the existence of trade-offs that are inherent to decision tree models - including between stability, predictive power, and interpretability. We demonstrate the value of the proposed methodology through an extensive quantitative and qualitative analysis of six case studies from real-world health care applications, and we show that, on average, with a small 4.6% decrease in predictive power, we gain a significant 38% improvement in the model's stability.

In recent years, numerous screening methods have been published for ultrahigh-dimensional data that contain hundreds of thousands of features; however, most of these features cannot handle data with thousands of classes. Prediction models built to authenticate users based on multichannel biometric data result in this type of problem. In this study, we present a novel method known as random forest-based multiround screening (RFMS) that can be effectively applied under such circumstances. The proposed algorithm divides the feature space into small subsets and executes a series of partial model builds. These partial models are used to implement tournament-based sorting and the selection of features based on their importance. To benchmark RFMS, a synthetic biometric feature space generator known as BiometricBlender is employed. Based on the results, the RFMS is on par with industry-standard feature screening methods while simultaneously possessing many advantages over these methods.

Laser-plasma physics has developed rapidly over the past few decades as high-power lasers have become both increasingly powerful and more widely available. Early experimental and numerical research in this field was restricted to single-shot experiments with limited parameter exploration. However, recent technological improvements make it possible to gather an increasing amount of data, both in experiments and simulations. This has sparked interest in using advanced techniques from mathematics, statistics and computer science to deal with, and benefit from, big data. At the same time, sophisticated modeling techniques also provide new ways for researchers to effectively deal with situations in which still only sparse amounts of data are available. This paper aims to present an overview of relevant machine learning methods with focus on applicability to laser-plasma physics, including its important sub-fields of laser-plasma acceleration and inertial confinement fusion.

Currently, the United States healthcare system has a "cruel tendency to delay or deny high-quality care to those who are most in need of it but can least afford its high cost," (Shmerling) resulting in rampant disparities in health outcomes throughout the nation. The news of today is riddled with stories of people receiving poor care due to systematic biases present in the modern healthcare system and the effect of the increasingly unaffordable cost of life-saving medication. In order to better understand the degree to which this inequality exists, we investigated which socioeconomic indicators model health outcomes best.

Problem definition: Access to accurate predictions of patients' outcomes can enhance medical staff's decision-making, which ultimately benefits all stakeholders in the hospitals. A large hospital network in the US has been collaborating with academics and consultants to predict short-term and long-term outcomes for all inpatients across their seven hospitals. Methodology/results: We develop machine learning models that predict the probabilities of next 24-hr/48-hr discharge and intensive care unit transfers, end-of-stay mortality and discharge dispositions. All models achieve high out-of-sample AUC (75.7%-92.5%) and are well calibrated. In addition, combining 48-hr discharge predictions with doctors' predictions simultaneously enables more patient discharges (10%-28.7%) and fewer 7-day/30-day readmissions ($p$-value $<0.001$). We implement an automated pipeline that extracts data and updates predictions every morning, as well as user-friendly software and a color-coded alert system to communicate these patient-level predictions (alongside explanations) to clinical teams. Managerial implications: Since we have been gradually deploying the tool, and training medical staff, over 200 doctors, nurses, and case managers across seven hospitals use it in their daily patient review process. We observe a significant reduction in the average length of stay (0.67 days per patient) following its adoption and anticipate substantial financial benefits (between \$55 and \$72 million annually) for the healthcare system.

The agnostic setting is the hardest generalization of the PAC model since it is akin to learning with adversarial noise. In this paper, we give a poly$(n,t,{\frac{1}{\varepsilon}})$ quantum algorithm for learning size $t$ decision trees with uniform marginal over instances, in the agnostic setting, without membership queries. Our algorithm is the first algorithm (classical or quantum) for learning decision trees in polynomial time without membership queries. We show how to construct a quantum agnostic weak learner by designing a quantum version of the classical Goldreich-Levin algorithm that works with strongly biased function oracles. We show how to quantize the agnostic boosting algorithm by Kalai and Kanade (NIPS 2009) to obtain the first efficient quantum agnostic boosting algorithm. Our quantum boosting algorithm has a polynomial improvement in the dependence of the bias of the weak learner over all adaptive quantum boosting algorithms while retaining the standard speedup in the VC dimension over classical boosting algorithms. We then use our quantum boosting algorithm to boost the weak quantum learner we obtained in the previous step to obtain a quantum agnostic learner for decision trees. Using the above framework, we also give quantum decision tree learning algorithms for both the realizable setting and random classification noise model, again without membership queries.

Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) has achieved remarkable success in a wide variety of applications. The split finding algorithm, which determines the tree construction process, is one of the most crucial components of GBDT. However, the split finding algorithm has long been criticized for its bias towards features with a large number of potential splits. This bias introduces severe interpretability and overfitting issues in GBDT. To this end, we provide a fine-grained analysis of bias in GBDT and demonstrate that the bias originates from 1) the systematic bias in the gain estimation of each split and 2) the bias in the split finding algorithm resulting from the use of the same data to evaluate the split improvement and determine the best split. Based on the analysis, we propose unbiased gain, a new unbiased measurement of gain importance using out-of-bag samples. Moreover, we incorporate the unbiased property into the split finding algorithm and develop UnbiasedGBM to solve the overfitting issue of GBDT. We assess the performance of UnbiasedGBM and unbiased gain in a large-scale empirical study comprising 60 datasets and show that: 1) UnbiasedGBM exhibits better performance than popular GBDT implementations such as LightGBM, XGBoost, and Catboost on average on the 60 datasets and 2) unbiased gain achieves better average performance in feature selection than popular feature importance methods. The codes are available at https://github.com/ZheyuAqaZhang/UnbiasedGBM.