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A Graduate Level Expert Systems Course

AI Magazine

This article presents an approach to a graduate-level course in expert, knowledge-based, problem-solving systems. The core of the course, and this article, is a set of questions called a profile, that can be used to characterize and compare each system studied.



Thinking Backward for Knowledge Acquisition

AI Magazine

This article examines the direction in which knowledge bases are constructed for diagnosis and decision making. When building an expert system, it is traditional to elicit knowledge from an expert in the direction in which the knowledge is to be applied, namely, from observable evidence toward unobservable hypotheses. However, experts usually find it simpler to reason in the opposite direction-from hypotheses to unobservable evidence-because this direction reflects causal relationships. Therefore, we argue that a knowledge base be constructed following the expert's natural reasoning direction, and then reverse the direction for use. This choice of representation direction facilitates knowledge acquisition in deterministic domains and is essential when a problem involves uncertainty. We illustrate this concept with influence diagrams, a methodology for graphically representing a joint probability distribution. Influence diagrams provide a practical means by which an expert can characterize the qualitative and quantitative relationships among evidence and hypotheses in the apporiate direction. Once constructed, the relationships can easily be reserved into the less intuitive direction in order to perform inference inference and diagnosis. In this way, knowledge acquisition is made cognitively simple; the machine carries the burden of translating the representation.


How Humans Process Uncertain Knowledge: An Introduction

AI Magazine

The questions of how humans process uncertain information is important to the development of knowledge-based systems in term of both knowledge acquisition and knowledge representation. This article reviews three bodies of psychological research that address this question: human perception, human probabilistic and statistical judgement, and human choice behavior. The general conclusion is that human behavior under certainty is often suboptimal and sometimes even fallacious. Suggestions for knowledge engineers in detecting and obviating such errors are discussed. The requirements for a system designed to reduce the effects of human factors in the processing of uncertain knowledge are introduced.


Ecclesiastes: A Report from the Battlefields of the Mind-Body Problem

AI Magazine

One observer's report on the Artificial Intelligence and Human Mind Conference, held 1-3 March at Yale University. The conference was organized and sponsored by Truth ( a journal of modern thought) and The International Institute for Mankind. The conference included Sir John Eccles, the nobel laureate neurobiologist, physicists Henry Margenau and Eugene Wigner, and AI researchers Marvin Minsky, Michael Arbib, Hans Moravec and Doug Lenat.


Coupling Symbolic and Numerical Computing in Knowledge-Based Systems

AI Magazine

Presented is a discussion of several issues raised during the workshop sponsored by the Association for the Advancement of Artificial Intelligence on Coupling Symbolic and Numeric Computing in Expert Systems, which was held on 27 to 29 August 1987 in Seattle, Washington. Issues include the definition of coupled systems, motivations for coupling, coupled system architectures, and key factors in the design of coupled systems.


Knowledge Acquisition in the Development of a Large Expert System

AI Magazine

This article discusses several effective techniques for expert system knowledge acquisition based on the techniques that were successfully used to develop the Central Office Maintenance Printout Analysis and Suggestion System (COMPASS). Knowledge acquisition is not a science, and expert system developers and experts must tailor their methodologies to fit their situation and the people involved. Developers of future expert systems should find a description of proven knowledge-acquisition techniques and an account of the experience of the COMPASS project in applying these techniques to be useful in developing their own knowledge-acquisition procedures.


The Problem of Extracting the Knowledge of Experts from the Perspective of Experimental Psychology

AI Magazine

The first step in the development of an expert system is the extraction and characterization of the knowledge and skills of an expert. This step is widely regarded as the major bottleneck in the system development process. To assist knowledge engineers and others who might be interested in the development of an expert system, I offer (1) a working classification of methods for extracting an expert's knowledge, (2) some ideas about the types of data that the methods yield, and (3) a set of criteria by which the methods can be compared relative to the needs of the system developer. The discussion highlights certain issues, including the contrast between the empirical approach taken by experimental psychologists and the formalism-oriented approach that is generally taken by cognitive scientists.


Knowledge Acquisition in the Development of a Large Expert System

AI Magazine

This article discusses several effective techniques for expert system knowledge acquisition based on the techniques that were successfully used to develop the Central Office Maintenance Printout Analysis and Suggestion System (COMPASS). Knowledge acquisition is not a science, and expert system developers and experts must tailor their methodologies to fit their situation and the people involved. Developers of future expert systems should find a description of proven knowledge-acquisition techniques and an account of the experience of the COMPASS project in applying these techniques to be useful in developing their own knowledge-acquisition procedures.


Checking a Knowledge-Based System for Consistency and Completeness

AI Magazine

We describe a computer program that implements an algorithm to verify the consistency and completeness of knowledge bases built for the Lockheed expert system (LES) shell. The algorithms described here are not specific to this particular shell and can be applied to many rule-based systems. The computer program, which we call CHECK, combines logical principles as well as specific information about the knowledge representation formalism of LES. The program checks both goal-driven and data-driven rules. CHECK identifies inconsistencies in the knowledge base by looking for redundant rules, conflicting rules, subsumed rules, unnecessary IF conditions, and circular rule chains. Checking for completeness is done by looking for unreferenced attribute values, illegal attribute values, dead-end IF conditions, dead-end goals and unreachable conclusions. These conditions can be used to suggest missing rules and gaps in the knowledge base. The program also generates a chart that shows the dependencies among the rules. CHECK can help the knowledge engineer detect many programming errors even before the knowledge base testing phase. It also helps detect gaps in the knowledge base testing phase. It also helps detect gaps in the knowledge base that the knowledge engineer and the expert have overlooked. A wide variety of knowledge bases have been analyzed using CHECK.