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A New Basis for Spreadsheet Computing: Interval Solver for Microsoft Excel

AI Magazine

There is a fundamental mismatch between the computational basis of spreadsheets and our knowledge of the real world. In spreadsheets, numeric data are represented as exact numbers and their mutual relations as functions, whose values (output) are computed from given argument values (input). However, in the real world, data are often inexact and uncertain in many ways, and the relationships, that is, constraints, between input and output are far more complicated. This article shows that interval constraint solving, an emerging AI-based technology, provides a more versatile and useful foundation for spreadsheets. The new computational basis is 100-percent downward compatible with the traditional spreadsheet paradigm. The idea has been successfully integrated with Microsoft excel as the add-in interval solver that seamlessly upgrades the arithmetic core of excel into interval constraint solving. The product has been downloaded by thousands of end users all over the world and has been used in various applications in business computing, engineering, education, and science. There is an intriguing chance for a major breakthrough of the AI technology on the spreadsheet platform: Tens of millions of excel users are making important decisions based on spreadsheet calculations.


Ramp Activity Expert System for Scheduling and Coordination at an Airport

AI Magazine

In this project, we have developed the ramp activity coordination expert system (races) to solve aircraft-parking problems. races includes a knowledge-based scheduling system that assigns all daily arriving and departing flights to the gates and remote spots with domain-specific knowledge and heuristics acquired from human experts. races processes complex scheduling problems such as dynamic interrelations among the characteristics of remote spots-gates and aircraft with various other constraints, for example, customs and ground-handling factors, at an airport. By user-driven modeling for end users and near-optimal knowledge-driven scheduling acquired from human experts, races can produce parking schedules for about 400 daily flights in approximately 20 seconds; human experts normally take 4 to 5 hours to do the same. Scheduling results in the form of Gantt charts produced by races are also accepted by the domain experts. races is also designed to deal with the partial adjustment of the schedule when unexpected events occur. After daily scheduling is completed, the messages for aircraft change, and delay messages are reflected and updated into the schedule according to the knowledge of the domain experts. By analyzing the knowledge model of the domain expert, the reactive scheduling steps are effectively represented as the rules, and the scenarios of the graphic user interfaces are designed. Because the modification of the aircraft dispositions, such as aircraft changes and cancellations of flights, is reflected in the current schedule, the modification should be sent to races from the mainframe for the reactive scheduling. The adjustments of the schedule are made semiautomatically by races because there are many irregularities in dealing with the partial rescheduling.


Stand-Allocation System (SAS): A Constraint-Based System Developed with Software Components

AI Magazine

In addition, to cope with conflicts caused by changes in actual operations, the airport authority also needs to make real-time problem-solving decisions on stand reassignments. the Hong Kong International Airport The stand-allocation system ( Figure world's busiest international airports in terms 1 is a snapshot of the The Although there were some initial hitches when system is installed and used in the Airport the new airport opened on 6 July 1998, operations Control Center (ACC), which is located in the quickly returned to normal within a control tower. Within a month, operational statistics management, and reactive scheduling capabilities surpassed those of the old airport--80 for stand management. The system supports percent of all flights were on time or within 15 concurrent use by multiple operators in minutes of schedule, all passengers cleared nonstop 24-hour-a-day operations because immigration within 15 minutes, and average HKIA is a 24-hour airport. Typically, a human operator must have several years of experience to acquire enough knowledge about airport operations before he/she can produce a "good" quality stand-assignment plan. Generating an allocation plan manually not only requires a highly experienced individual but is also very time consuming because it requires balancing many objectives against many possible alternatives.


What Does the Future Hold?

AI Magazine

I was asked to give a visionary talk about the future applications of Artificial Intelligence technology; but I should warn you that I'm actually not very good as a visionary. Most of my predictions about what will happen in the industry don't come true even though they ought to. So I'm not going to tell you what the future holds; what I will do is to point out some of the technological trends that are at work. The outline of the talk is as follows: I'll start off by looking at the previous IAAI conferences and reflect on what we've learned from them. Then I'll look at what's changing in the hardware base that sets the context for all the computer applications we do. I think that will lead to interesting new viewpoints. Next I'll sketch what applications might arise from this new viewpoint. Finally, I'll discuss how the development of practical applications ought to interact with the scientific enterprise of trying to understand intelligence, in particular, human intelligence.


Editorial Introduction to this Special Issue of AI Magazine: The Eleventh Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference (IAAI-99)

AI Magazine

The Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence Conference was held 18-22 July 1999 in Orlando, Florida. Ramasamy Uthurusamy was the Program Chair and Barbara Hayes-Roth was the Program Co-Chair. Although all the IAAI-99 papers and talks were certainly interesting and important, we present in this special issue of AI Magazine only a select subset because of page and other limitations. We include two invited talks and four applications as a snapshot of IAAI-99.


AIS-BN: An Adaptive Importance Sampling Algorithm for Evidential Reasoning in Large Bayesian Networks

Journal of Artificial Intelligence Research

Stochastic sampling algorithms, while an attractive alternative to exact algorithms in very large Bayesian network models, have been observed to perform poorly in evidential reasoning with extremely unlikely evidence. To address this problem, we propose an adaptive importance sampling algorithm, AIS-BN, that shows promising convergence rates even under extreme conditions and seems to outperform the existing sampling algorithms consistently. Three sources of this performance improvement are (1) two heuristics for initialization of the importance function that are based on the theoretical properties of importance sampling in finite-dimensional integrals and the structural advantages of Bayesian networks, (2) a smooth learning method for the importance function, and (3) a dynamic weighting function for combining samples from different stages of the algorithm. We tested the performance of the AIS-BN algorithm along with two state of the art general purpose sampling algorithms, likelihood weighting (Fung & Chang, 1989; Shachter & Peot, 1989) and self-importance sampling (Shachter & Peot, 1989). We used in our tests three large real Bayesian network models available to the scientific community: the CPCS network (Pradhan et al., 1994), the PathFinder network (Heckerman, Horvitz, & Nathwani, 1990), and the ANDES network (Conati, Gertner, VanLehn, & Druzdzel, 1997), with evidence as unlikely as 10^-41. While the AIS-BN algorithm always performed better than the other two algorithms, in the majority of the test cases it achieved orders of magnitude improvement in precision of the results. Improvement in speed given a desired precision is even more dramatic, although we are unable to report numerical results here, as the other algorithms almost never achieved the precision reached even by the first few iterations of the AIS-BN algorithm.


Using Reactive and Adaptive Behaviors to Play Soccer

AI Magazine

This work deals with designing simple behaviors to allow quadruped robots to play soccer. In addition to vision problems such as changing lighting conditions and color confusion, legged robots must cope with "bouncing images" because of successive legs hitting the ground. Because it is not always possible to simulate the problems encountered in real situations, the behavior strategy should anticipate them. Experiments were carried out at the 1999 RoboCup in Stockholm using the Sony quadruped robots (Fujita 2000).


The AAAI 1999 Mobile Robot Competitions and Exhibitions

AI Magazine

The Eighth Annual Mobile Robot Competition and Exhibition was held as part of the Sixteenth National Conference on Artificial Intelligence in Orlando, Florida, 18 to 22 July. The goals of these robot events are to foster the sharing of research and technology, allow research groups to showcase their achievements, encourage students to enter robotics and AI fields at both the undergraduate and graduate level, and increase awareness of the field. The 1999 events included two robot contests; a new, long-term robot challenge; an exhibition; and a National Botball Championship for high school teams sponsored by the KISS Institute. Each of these events is described in detail in this article.


Agent Assistants for Team Analysis

AI Magazine

With the growing importance of multiagent team-work, tools that can help humans analyze, evaluate, and understand team behaviors are also becoming increasingly important. ISAAC'S novelty stems from a key design constraint that arises in team analysis: Multiple types of models of team behavior are necessary to analyze different granularities of team events, including agent actions, interactions, and global performance. Additionally, ISAAC uses multiple presentation techniques that can aid human understanding of the analyses. This article presents ISAAC'S general conceptual framework and its application in the RoboCup soccer domain, where ISAAC was awarded the RoboCup Scientific Challenge Award.