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What’s Worthy of Comment? Content and Comment Volume in Political Blogs

AAAI Conferences

In research on blog data, comments are often ignored, What makes a blog post noteworthy? One measure of the and it is easy to see why: comments are very noisy, full popularity or breadth of interest of a blog post is the extent of nonstandard grammar and spelling, usually unedited, often to which readers of the blog are inspired to leave comments cryptic and uninformative, at least to those outside the on the post. In this paper, we study the relationship between blog's community. A few studies have focused on information the text contents of a blog post and the volume of response in comments. Mishe and Glance (2006) showed the it will receive from blog readers. Modeling this relationship value of comments in characterizing the social repercussions has the potential to reveal the interests of a blog's readership of a post, including popularity and controversy. Their largescale community to its authors, readers, advertisers, and scientists user study correlated popularity and comment activity.


Predicting the Speed, Scale, and Range of Information Diffusion in Twitter

AAAI Conferences

We present results of network analyses of information diffusion on Twitter, via users’ ongoing social interactions as denoted by “@username” mentions. Incorporating survival analysis, we constructed a novel model to capture the three major properties of information diffusion: speed, scale, and range. On the whole, we find that some properties of the tweets themselves predict greater information propagation but that properties of the users, the rate with which a user is mentioned historically in particular, are equal or stronger predictors. Implications for end users and system designers are discussed.


Longevity in Second Life

AAAI Conferences

SL also makes it easy to The past few years have seen a rise in number and popularity meet and interact with new people. of online spaces where individuals can socialize, play, 4. Transaction: Creating content or providing services in SL and learn. All of these spaces face the challenge of retaining can be profitable, with 150M USD in user-to-user transactions the interest of users over time. We study this problem in taking place in the third quarter of 2009 (Linden the context of Second Life (SL).


Modeling Group Dynamics in Virtual Worlds

AAAI Conferences

In this study, we examine human social interactions within virtual worlds and address the question of how group interactions are affected by the game environment. To investigate this problem, we introduced a set of conversational agents into the social environment of Second Life, a massively multi-player online environment that allows users to construct and inhabit their own 3D world. Our agents were created to be sufficiently lifelike to casual observers, so as not to perturb neighboring social interactions. Using our partitioning algorithm, we separated continuous public chat logs from each region into separate conversations which were used to construct a social network of the participants. Unlike many groups formed in communities and workplaces, groups in Second Life can be rapidly-forming (arising from few interactions), persistent (remaining stable over a long period), and are less affected by socio-cultural influences. In this paper, we analyze regional differences in Second Life by measuring characteristics of the network as a whole, determined from the statistics mined from public conversations in the virtual world, rather than focusing on egocentric actors and their attributes.


Co-Participation Networks Using Comment Information

AAAI Conferences

Using comment information available from Digg we define a co-participation network between users. We focus on the analysis of this implicit network, and study the behavioral characteristics of users. We use the comment data and social network derived features to predict the popularity of online content linked at Digg using a classification and regression framework. We also compare network properties of our co-participation network to a previously defined reply-answer network on news forums.


A Comparison of Information Seeking Using Search Engines and Social Networks

AAAI Conferences

The Web has become an important information repository; often it is the first source a person turns to with an informa-tion need. One common way to search the Web is with a search engine. However, it is not always easy for people to find what they are looking for with keyword search, and at times the desired information may not be readily available online. An alternative, facilitated by the rise of social media, is to pose a question to one‟s online social network. In this paper, we explore the pros and cons of using a social net-working tool to fill an information need, as compared with a search engine. We describe a study in which 12 participants searched the Web while simultaneously posing a question on the same topic to their social network, and we compare the results they found by each method.


The Wisdom of Bookies? Sentiment Analysis Versus. the NFL Point Spread

AAAI Conferences

The American Football betting market provides a particularly attractive domain to study the nexus between public sentiment and the wisdom of crowds. In this paper, we present the first substantial study of the relationship between the NFL betting line and public opinion expressed in blogs and microblogs (Twitter). We perform a large-scale study of four distinct text streams: LiveJournal blogs, RSS blog feeds captured by Spinn3r, Twitter, and traditional news media. Our results show interesting disparities between the first and second halves of each season. We present evidence showing usefulness of sentiment on NFL betting. We demonstrate that a strategy betting roughly 30 games per year identified winner roughly 60% of the time from 2006 to 2009, well beyond what is needed to overcome the bookie's typical commission(53%).


Social Dynamics of Digg

AAAI Conferences

Online social media often highlight content that is highly rated by neighbors in a social network. For the news aggregator Digg, we use a stochastic model to distinguish the effect of the increased visibility from the network from how interesting content is to users. We find a wide range of interest, and distinguish stories primarily of interest to users in the network from those of more general interest to the user community. This distinction helps predict a story's eventual popularity from users' early reactions to the story.


Socio-Legal Analysis of Criminal Sentences: A Preliminary Study

AAAI Conferences

This paper discusses a research based on analyzing criminal sentences on criminal trials on organized crime activity in Sicily pronounced from 2000 through 2006. Large criminal sentences related dataset collection activity in Italy is severely constrained for various reasons such as difficulty of data collection at the courthouses, unavailability of data in digital format, and classification criteria used in the public archives. Thus, in general, judicial statistics suffer from lack of reliability and informativeness. The objective of this research is to analyze the text of criminal sentences in a revisable and verifiable way, so that information is extracted on the trial leading to the sentence, the socio-economic environment in which the relevant events occurred, and the differences between the various districts conducting the trials. The purpose is to elaborate a tool of automated analysis of the text of the sentences that is generalizable to other areas of jurisprudence, and, outside of jurisprudence, to other temporal and geographical contexts. The 726 criminal sentences that have been converted into text files have been pronounced at all judicial levels in the four Sicilian districts for mafia-related crimes. This research is relevant because, for the first time in Italy, we aim to empirically describe the juridical response to the phenomenon of organized crime, by using a large and extendable database of criminal sentences that can be analyzed with data mining techniques, rather than deriving general conclusions from a focused small set of sentences.


To Be a Star Is Not Only Metaphoric: From Popularity to Social Linkage

AAAI Conferences

The emergence of online platforms allowing to mix self publishing activities and social networking offers new possibilities for building online reputation and visibility. In this paper we present a method to analyze the online popularity that takes into consideration both the success of the published content and the social network topology. First, we adapt the Kohonen self organizing maps in order to cluster the users of online platforms depending on their audience and authority characteristics. Then, we perform a detailed analysis of the manner nodes are organized in the social network. Finally, we study the relationship between the network local structure around each node and the corresponding user’s popularity. We apply this method to the MySpace music social network. We observe that the most popular artists are centers of star shaped social structures and that it exists a fraction of artists who are involved in community and social activity dynamics independently of their popularity. This method based on a learning algorithm and on network analysis appears to be a robust and intuitive technique for a rich description of the online behavior.