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On the use of Probabilistic Forecasting for Network Analysis in Open RAN

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Unlike other single-point Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based prediction techniques, such as Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM), probabilistic forecasting techniques (e.g., DeepAR and Transformer) provide a range of possible outcomes and associated probabilities that enable decision makers to make more informed and robust decisions. At the same time, the architecture of Open RAN has emerged as a revolutionary approach for mobile networks, aiming at openness, interoperability and innovation in the ecosystem of RAN. In this paper, we propose the use of probabilistic forecasting techniques as a radio App (rApp) within the Open RAN architecture. We investigate and compare different probabilistic and single-point forecasting methods and algorithms to estimate the utilization and resource demands of Physical Resource Blocks (PRBs) of cellular base stations. Through our evaluations, we demonstrate the numerical advantages of probabilistic forecasting techniques over traditional single-point forecasting methods and show that they are capable of providing more accurate and reliable estimates. In particular, DeepAR clearly outperforms single-point forecasting techniques such as LSTM and Seasonal-Naive (SN) baselines and other probabilistic forecasting techniques such as Simple-Feed-Forward (SFF) and Transformer neural networks.


On the Impact of PRB Load Uncertainty Forecasting for Sustainable Open RAN

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The transition to sustainable Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN) architectures brings new challenges for resource management, especially in predicting the utilization of Physical Resource Block (PRB)s. In this paper, we propose a novel approach to characterize the PRB load using probabilistic forecasting techniques. First, we provide background information on the O-RAN architecture and components and emphasize the importance of energy/power consumption models for sustainable implementations. The problem statement highlights the need for accurate PRB load prediction to optimize resource allocation and power efficiency. We then investigate probabilistic forecasting techniques, including Simple-Feed-Forward (SFF), DeepAR, and Transformers, and discuss their likelihood model assumptions. The simulation results show that DeepAR estimators predict the PRBs with less uncertainty and effectively capture the temporal dependencies in the dataset compared to SFF- and Transformer-based models, leading to power savings. Different percentile selections can also increase power savings, but at the cost of over-/under provisioning. At the same time, the performance of the Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) is shown to be inferior to the probabilistic estimators with respect to all error metrics. Finally, we outline the importance of probabilistic, prediction-based characterization for sustainable O-RAN implementations and highlight avenues for future research.


Enhancing Cloud-Native Resource Allocation with Probabilistic Forecasting Techniques in O-RAN

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The need for intelligent and efficient resource provisioning for the productive management of resources in real-world scenarios is growing with the evolution of telecommunications towards the 6G era. Technologies such as Open Radio Access Network (O-RAN) can help to build interoperable solutions for the management of complex systems. Probabilistic forecasting, in contrast to deterministic single-point estimators, can offer a different approach to resource allocation by quantifying the uncertainty of the generated predictions. This paper examines the cloud-native aspects of O-RAN together with the radio App (rApp) deployment options. The integration of probabilistic forecasting techniques as a rApp in O-RAN is also emphasized, along with case studies of real-world applications. Through a comparative analysis of forecasting models using the error metric, we show the advantages of Deep Autoregressive Recurrent network (DeepAR) over other deterministic probabilistic estimators. Furthermore, the simplicity of Simple-Feed-Forward (SFF) leads to a fast runtime but does not capture the temporal dependencies of the input data. Finally, we present some aspects related to the practical applicability of cloud-native O-RAN with probabilistic forecasting.


CellularLint: A Systematic Approach to Identify Inconsistent Behavior in Cellular Network Specifications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In recent years, there has been a growing focus on scrutinizing the security of cellular networks, often attributing security vulnerabilities to issues in the underlying protocol design descriptions. These protocol design specifications, typically extensive documents that are thousands of pages long, can harbor inaccuracies, underspecifications, implicit assumptions, and internal inconsistencies. In light of the evolving landscape, we introduce CellularLint--a semi-automatic framework for inconsistency detection within the standards of 4G and 5G, capitalizing on a suite of natural language processing techniques. Our proposed method uses a revamped few-shot learning mechanism on domain-adapted large language models. Pre-trained on a vast corpus of cellular network protocols, this method enables CellularLint to simultaneously detect inconsistencies at various levels of semantics and practical use cases. In doing so, CellularLint significantly advances the automated analysis of protocol specifications in a scalable fashion. In our investigation, we focused on the Non-Access Stratum (NAS) and the security specifications of 4G and 5G networks, ultimately uncovering 157 inconsistencies with 82.67% accuracy. After verification of these inconsistencies on open-source implementations and 17 commercial devices, we confirm that they indeed have a substantial impact on design decisions, potentially leading to concerns related to privacy, integrity, availability, and interoperability.


The 289 Best Prime Day Deals and Biggest Discounts On Our Favorite Gadgets

WIRED

WIRED's coverage of the best Amazon Prime Day deals and biggest discounts is, as they say, built different. For starters, we only include products someone from our team has personally tested and reviewed. That means you will not find flimsy fad gadgets or shoddy dupes among our recommendations. What remains is all solid stuff. You'll often find a link to a longer write-up to a review or buying guide if you want to make a fully informed buying decision. Additionally, we obsessively track prices to make sure everything on the list is a genuinely good price right now. For more on that, consult our helpful guide to shopping like a pro on Prime Day. Today is the last day of Prime Day, so you might not see some of these deals until Amazon's second Prime Day event in October or Black Friday in November. We test products year-round and handpicked these Prime Day deals. Products that are sold out or no longer discounted will be crossed out. We'll update this guide regularly throughout Prime ...


MCU-MixQ: A HW/SW Co-optimized Mixed-precision Neural Network Design Framework for MCUs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

MCU-MixQ: A HW/SW Co-optimized Mixed-precision Neural Network Design Framework for MCUs Junfeng Gong 1, 2, Cheng Liu 1, 2, Long Cheng 3, Huawei Li 1, 2, Xiaowei Li 1, 2 1 SKLP, Institute of Computing Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 2 Dept. of Computer Science, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China 3 School of Control and Computer Engineering, North China Electric Power University, Beijing, China Abstract --Mixed-precision neural network (MPNN) that utilizes just enough data width for the neural network processing is an effective approach to meet the stringent resources constraints including memory and computing of MCUs. Nevertheless, there is still a lack of sub-byte and mixed-precision SIMD operations in MCU-class ISA and the limited computing capability of MCUs remains underutilized, which further aggravates the computing bound encountered in neural network processing. As a result, the benefits of MPNNs cannot be fully unleashed. In this work, we propose to pack multiple low-bitwidth arithmetic operations within a single instruction multiple data (SIMD) instructions in typical MCUs, and then develop an efficient convolution operator by exploring both the data parallelism and computing parallelism in convolution along with the proposed SIMD packing. Finally, we further leverage Neural Architecture Search (NAS) to build a HW/SW co-designed MPNN design framework, namely MCU-MixQ. According to our experiment results, MCU-MixQ achieves 2.1 and 1.4 speedup over CMix-NN and MCUNet respectively under the same resource constraints. I NTRODUCTION The application of Artificial intelligence (AI) has become prevalent in typical Internet of Things (IoT) scenarios such as health monitoring, mechanical equipment fault diagnosis, and industrial automation. These applications commonly rely on microcontrollers (MCUs) known for their ultra-low power consumption and cost as the central processing units.


Reconfigurable Intelligent Surface Aided Vehicular Edge Computing: Joint Phase-shift Optimization and Multi-User Power Allocation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Vehicular edge computing (VEC) is an emerging technology with significant potential in the field of internet of vehicles (IoV), enabling vehicles to perform intensive computational tasks locally or offload them to nearby edge devices. However, the quality of communication links may be severely deteriorated due to obstacles such as buildings, impeding the offloading process. To address this challenge, we introduce the use of Reconfigurable Intelligent Surfaces (RIS), which provide alternative communication pathways to assist vehicular communication. By dynamically adjusting the phase-shift of the RIS, the performance of VEC systems can be substantially improved. In this work, we consider a RIS-assisted VEC system, and design an optimal scheme for local execution power, offloading power, and RIS phase-shift, where random task arrivals and channel variations are taken into account. To address the scheme, we propose an innovative deep reinforcement learning (DRL) framework that combines the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG) algorithm for optimizing RIS phase-shift coefficients and the Multi-Agent Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (MADDPG) algorithm for optimizing the power allocation of vehicle user (VU). Simulation results show that our proposed scheme outperforms the traditional centralized DDPG, Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (TD3) and some typical stochastic schemes.


The 209 Best Prime Day Deals, Tested and Tracked By Our Team

WIRED

WIRED's coverage of the best Amazon Prime Day deals is, as they say, built different. For starters, we only include products someone from our team has personally tested and reviewed. That means you will not find any flimsy fad gadgets or shoddy dupes among our recommendations. What remains is all solid stuff. You'll often find a link to a longer write-up to a review or buying guide if you want to make a fully informed buying decision. Additionally, we obsessively track prices to make sure everything on the list is a genuinely good price right now. For more on that, consult our helpful guide to shopping like a pro on Prime Day. We test products year-round and handpicked these Prime Day deals. Products that are sold out or no longer discounted will be crossed out. We'll update this guide regularly throughout Prime Day by adding fresh deals and removing dead deals. Logitech makes a lot of great, functional keyboards, but the Pop Keys (9/10, WIRED Recommends) not only leverage the ...


Enhancing stop location detection for incomplete urban mobility datasets

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Stop location detection, within human mobility studies, has an impacts in multiple fields including urban planning, transport network design, epidemiological modeling, and socio-economic segregation analysis. However, it remains a challenging task because classical density clustering algorithms often struggle with noisy or incomplete GPS datasets. This study investigates the application of classification algorithms to enhance density-based methods for stop identification. Our approach incorporates multiple features, including individual routine behavior across various time scales and local characteristics of individual GPS points. The dataset comprises privacy-preserving and anonymized GPS points previously labeled as stops by a sequence-oriented, density-dependent algorithm. We simulated data gaps by removing point density from select stops to assess performance under sparse data conditions. The model classifies individual GPS points within trajectories as potential stops or non-stops. Given the highly imbalanced nature of the dataset, we prioritized recall over precision in performance evaluation. Results indicate that this method detects most stops, even in the presence of spatio-temporal gaps and that points classified as false positives often correspond to recurring locations for devices, typically near previous stops. While this research contributes to mobility analysis techniques, significant challenges persist. The lack of ground truth data limits definitive conclusions about the algorithm's accuracy. Further research is needed to validate the method across diverse datasets and to incorporate collective behavior inputs.


Detection of Global Anomalies on Distributed IoT Edges with Device-to-Device Communication

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Anomaly detection is an important function in IoT applications for finding outliers caused by abnormal events. Anomaly detection sometimes comes with high-frequency data sampling which should be carried out at Edge devices rather than Cloud. In this paper, we consider the case that multiple IoT devices are installed in a single remote site and that they collaboratively detect anomalies from the observations with device-to-device communications. For this, we propose a fully distributed collaborative scheme for training distributed anomaly detectors with Wireless Ad Hoc Federated Learning, namely "WAFL-Autoencoder". We introduce the concept of Global Anomaly which sample is not only rare to the local device but rare to all the devices in the target domain. We also propose a distributed threshold-finding algorithm for Global Anomaly detection. With our standard benchmark-based evaluation, we have confirmed that our scheme trained anomaly detectors perfectly across the devices. We have also confirmed that the devices collaboratively found thresholds for Global Anomaly detection with low false positive rates while achieving high true positive rates with few exceptions.