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Envisioning National Resources for Artificial Intelligence Research: NSF Workshop Report

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Workshop Goals This workshop aimed to identify initial challenges and opportunities for national resources for AI research (e.g., compute, data, models, etc.) and to facilitate planning for the envisioned National AI Research Resource (NAIRR). Participants included AI and cyberinfrastructure (CI) experts. Significant Findings 1. AI researchers confront unprecedented scale that goes well beyond generative AI 2. National investments in AI research resources have been insufficient 3. The suboptimal usability of current resources is compromising AI investigation topics 4. The cadence and intensity of AI conference publications is unlike other research areas 5. Better practices for managing local resources are needed 6. Access to AI research resources is very uneven for different institutions 7. There is an opportunity for greater alignment between CI and AI efforts 8. AI research needs warrant unique approaches to CI and to national shared resources Critical Needs Participants identified ten prototypical AI workflows in two major areas with an immediate need for large-scale resources.


A Review of Fairness and A Practical Guide to Selecting Context-Appropriate Fairness Metrics in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent regulatory proposals for artificial intelligence emphasize fairness requirements for machine learning models. However, precisely defining the appropriate measure of fairness is challenging due to philosophical, cultural and political contexts. Biases can infiltrate machine learning models in complex ways depending on the model's context, rendering a single common metric of fairness insufficient. This ambiguity highlights the need for criteria to guide the selection of context-aware measures, an issue of increasing importance given the proliferation of ever tighter regulatory requirements. To address this, we developed a flowchart to guide the selection of contextually appropriate fairness measures. Twelve criteria were used to formulate the flowchart. This included consideration of model assessment criteria, model selection criteria, and data bias. We also review fairness literature in the context of machine learning and link it to core regulatory instruments to assist policymakers, AI developers, researchers, and other stakeholders in appropriately addressing fairness concerns and complying with relevant regulatory requirements.


DEFAME: Dynamic Evidence-based FAct-checking with Multimodal Experts

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The proliferation of disinformation presents a growing threat to societal trust and democracy, necessitating robust and scalable Fact-Checking systems. In this work, we present Dynamic Evidence-based FAct-checking with Multimodal Experts (DEFAME), a modular, zero-shot MLLM pipeline for open-domain, text-image claim verification. DEFAME frames the problem of fact-checking as a six-stage process, dynamically deciding about the usage of external tools for the retrieval of textual and visual evidence. In addition to the claim's veracity, DEFAME returns a justification accompanied by a comprehensive, multimodal fact-checking report. While most alternatives either focus on sub-tasks of fact-checking, lack explainability or are limited to text-only inputs, DEFAME solves the problem of fact-checking end-to-end, including claims with images or those that require visual evidence. Evaluation on the popular benchmarks VERITE, AVeriTeC, and MOCHEG shows that DEFAME surpasses all previous methods, establishing it as the new state-of-the-art fact-checking system.


Mitigating Downstream Model Risks via Model Provenance

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Research and industry are rapidly advancing the innovation and adoption of foundation model-based systems, yet the tools for managing these models have not kept pace. Understanding the provenance and lineage of models is critical for researchers, industry, regulators, and public trust. While model cards and system cards were designed to provide transparency, they fall short in key areas: tracing model genealogy, enabling machine readability, offering reliable centralized management systems, and fostering consistent creation incentives. This challenge mirrors issues in software supply chain security, but AI/ML remains at an earlier stage of maturity. Addressing these gaps requires industry-standard tooling that can be adopted by foundation model publishers, open-source model innovators, and major distribution platforms. We propose a machine-readable model specification format to simplify the creation of model records, thereby reducing error-prone human effort, notably when a new model inherits most of its design from a foundation model. Our solution explicitly traces relationships between upstream and downstream models, enhancing transparency and traceability across the model lifecycle. To facilitate the adoption, we introduce the unified model record (UMR) repository , a semantically versioned system that automates the publication of model records to multiple formats (PDF, HTML, LaTeX) and provides a hosted web interface (https://modelrecord.com/). This proof of concept aims to set a new standard for managing foundation models, bridging the gap between innovation and responsible model management.


MST-R: Multi-Stage Tuning for Retrieval Systems and Metric Evaluation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Regulatory documents are rich in nuanced terminology and specialized semantics. FRAG systems: Frozen retrieval-augmented generators utilizing pre-trained (or, frozen) components face consequent challenges with both retriever and answering performance. We present a system that adapts the retriever performance to the target domain using a multi-stage tuning (MST) strategy. Our retrieval approach, called MST-R (a) first fine-tunes encoders used in vector stores using hard negative mining, (b) then uses a hybrid retriever, combining sparse and dense retrievers using reciprocal rank fusion, and then (c) adapts the cross-attention encoder by fine-tuning only the top-k retrieved results. We benchmark the system performance on the dataset released for the RIRAG challenge (as part of the RegNLP workshop at COLING 2025). We achieve significant performance gains obtaining a top rank on the RegNLP challenge leaderboard. We also show that a trivial answering approach games the RePASs metric outscoring all baselines and a pre-trained Llama model. Analyzing this anomaly, we present important takeaways for future research.


A systematic review of norm emergence in multi-agent systems

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Multi-agent systems (MAS) have gained relevance in the field of artificial intelligence by offering tools for modelling complex environments where autonomous agents interact to achieve common or individual goals. In these systems, norms emerge as a fundamental component to regulate the behaviour of agents, promoting cooperation, coordination and conflict resolution. This article presents a systematic review, following the PRISMA method, on the emergence of norms in MAS, exploring the main mechanisms and factors that influence this process. Sociological, structural, emotional and cognitive aspects that facilitate the creation, propagation and reinforcement of norms are addressed. The findings highlight the crucial role of social network topology, as well as the importance of emotions and shared values in the adoption and maintenance of norms. Furthermore, opportunities are identified for future research that more explicitly integrates emotional and ethical dynamics in the design of adaptive normative systems. This work provides a comprehensive overview of the current state of research on norm emergence in MAS, serving as a basis for advancing the development of more efficient and flexible systems in artificial and real-world contexts.


Pre-Deployment Information Sharing: A Zoning Taxonomy for Precursory Capabilities

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

There is a growing consensus that information is the "lifeblood of good governance" (Kolt et al., 2024) and that information sharing should be one of the "natural initial target[s]" of AI governance (Bommasani et al., 2024). Up-to-date and reliable information about AI systems' capabilities and how capabilities will develop in the future can help developers, governments, and researchers advance safety evaluations (Frontier Model Forum, 2024), develop best practices (UK DSIT, 2023), and respond effectively to the new risks posed by frontier AI (Kolt et al., 2024). Information sharing also supports regulatory visibility (Anderljung et al., 2023) and can thus enable better-informed AI governance (O'Brien et al., 2024). Further, access to knowledge about AI systems' potential risks allows AI systems claims to be scrutinized more effectively (Brundage et al., 2020). By contrast, information asymmetries could lead regulators to miscalibrated over-regulation--or under-regulation--of AI (Ball & Kokotajlo, 2024) and could contribute to the "pacing problem," a situation in which government oversight consistently lags behind technology development (Marchant et al., 2011). In short, there is a strong case for information sharing being one "key to making AI go well" (Ball & Kokotajlo, 2024). The Frontier AI Safety Commitments ("FAISC") are an important step towards more comprehensive information sharing by AI developers.


What constitutes a Deep Fake? The blurry line between legitimate processing and manipulation under the EU AI Act

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

When does a digital image resemble reality? The relevance of this question increases as the generation of synthetic images -- so called deep fakes -- becomes increasingly popular. Deep fakes have gained much attention for a number of reasons -- among others, due to their potential to disrupt the political climate. In order to mitigate these threats, the EU AI Act implements specific transparency regulations for generating synthetic content or manipulating existing content. However, the distinction between real and synthetic images is -- even from a computer vision perspective -- far from trivial. We argue that the current definition of deep fakes in the AI act and the corresponding obligations are not sufficiently specified to tackle the challenges posed by deep fakes. By analyzing the life cycle of a digital photo from the camera sensor to the digital editing features, we find that: (1.) Deep fakes are ill-defined in the EU AI Act. The definition leaves too much scope for what a deep fake is. (2.) It is unclear how editing functions like Google's ``best take'' feature can be considered as an exception to transparency obligations. (3.) The exception for substantially edited images raises questions about what constitutes substantial editing of content and whether or not this editing must be perceptible by a natural person. Our results demonstrate that complying with the current AI Act transparency obligations is difficult for providers and deployers. As a consequence of the unclear provisions, there is a risk that exceptions may be either too broad or too limited. We intend our analysis to foster the discussion on what constitutes a deep fake and to raise awareness about the pitfalls in the current AI Act transparency obligations.


Gumbel Counterfactual Generation From Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Understanding and manipulating the causal generation mechanisms in language models is essential for controlling their behavior. Previous work has primarily relied on techniques such as representation surgery -- e.g., model ablations or manipulation of linear subspaces tied to specific concepts -- to \emph{intervene} on these models. To understand the impact of interventions precisely, it is useful to examine counterfactuals -- e.g., how a given sentence would have appeared had it been generated by the model following a specific intervention. We highlight that counterfactual reasoning is conceptually distinct from interventions, as articulated in Pearl's causal hierarchy. Based on this observation, we propose a framework for generating true string counterfactuals by reformulating language models as a structural equation model using the Gumbel-max trick, which we called Gumbel counterfactual generation. This reformulation allows us to model the joint distribution over original strings and their counterfactuals resulting from the same instantiation of the sampling noise. We develop an algorithm based on hindsight Gumbel sampling that allows us to infer the latent noise variables and generate counterfactuals of observed strings. Our experiments demonstrate that the approach produces meaningful counterfactuals while at the same time showing that commonly used intervention techniques have considerable undesired side effects.


Evidential time-to-event prediction with calibrated uncertainty quantification

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Time-to-event analysis provides insights into clinical prognosis and treatment recommendations. However, this task is more challenging than standard regression problems due to the presence of censored observations. Additionally, the lack of confidence assessment, model robustness, and prediction calibration raises concerns about the reliability of predictions. To address these challenges, we propose an evidential regression model specifically designed for time-to-event prediction. The proposed model quantifies both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties using Gaussian Random Fuzzy Numbers and belief functions, providing clinicians with uncertainty-aware survival time predictions. The model is trained by minimizing a generalized negative log-likelihood function accounting for data censoring. Experimental evaluations using simulated datasets with different data distributions and censoring conditions, as well as real-world datasets across diverse clinical applications, demonstrate that our model delivers both accurate and reliable performance, outperforming state-of-the-art methods. These results highlight the potential of our approach for enhancing clinical decision-making in survival analysis.