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Doubly Robust Inference on Causal Derivative Effects for Continuous Treatments

arXiv.org Machine Learning

Statistical methods for causal inference with continuous treatments mainly focus on estimating the mean potential outcome function, commonly known as the dose-response curve. However, it is often not the dose-response curve but its derivative function that signals the treatment effect. In this paper, we investigate nonparametric inference on the derivative of the dose-response curve with and without the positivity condition. Under the positivity and other regularity conditions, we propose a doubly robust (DR) inference method for estimating the derivative of the dose-response curve using kernel smoothing. When the positivity condition is violated, we demonstrate the inconsistency of conventional inverse probability weighting (IPW) and DR estimators, and introduce novel bias-corrected IPW and DR estimators. In all settings, our DR estimator achieves asymptotic normality at the standard nonparametric rate of convergence. Additionally, our approach reveals an interesting connection to nonparametric support and level set estimation problems. Finally, we demonstrate the applicability of our proposed estimators through simulations and a case study of evaluating a job training program.


PoAct: Policy and Action Dual-Control Agent for Generalized Applications

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Based on their superior comprehension and reasoning capabilities, Large Language Model (LLM) driven agent frameworks have achieved significant success in numerous complex reasoning tasks. ReAct-like agents can solve various intricate problems step-by-step through progressive planning and tool calls, iteratively optimizing new steps based on environmental feedback. However, as the planning capabilities of LLMs improve, the actions invoked by tool calls in ReAct-like frameworks often misalign with complex planning and challenging data organization. Code Action addresses these issues while also introducing the challenges of a more complex action space and more difficult action organization. To leverage Code Action and tackle the challenges of its complexity, this paper proposes Policy and Action Dual-Control Agent (PoAct) for generalized applications. The aim is to achieve higher-quality code actions and more accurate reasoning paths by dynamically switching reasoning policies and modifying the action space. Experimental results on the Agent Benchmark for both legal and generic scenarios demonstrate the superior reasoning capabilities and reduced token consumption of our approach in complex tasks. On the LegalAgentBench, our method shows a 20 percent improvement over the baseline while requiring fewer tokens. We conducted experiments and analyses on the GPT-4o and GLM-4 series models, demonstrating the significant potential and scalability of our approach to solve complex problems.


Patent Novelty Assessment Accelerating Innovation and Patent Prosecution

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the rapidly evolving landscape of technological innovation, safeguarding intellectual property rights through patents is crucial for fostering progress and stimulating research and development investments. This report introduces a ground-breaking Patent Novelty Assessment and Claim Generation System, meticulously crafted to dissect the inventive aspects of intellectual property and simplify access to extensive patent claim data. Addressing a crucial gap in academic institutions, our system provides college students and researchers with an intuitive platform to navigate and grasp the intricacies of patent claims, particularly tailored for the nuances of Chinese patents. Unlike conventional analysis systems, our initiative harnesses a proprietary Chinese API to ensure unparalleled precision and relevance. The primary challenge lies in the complexity of accessing and comprehending diverse patent claims, inhibiting effective innovation upon existing ideas. Our solution aims to overcome these barriers by offering a bespoke approach that seamlessly retrieves comprehensive claim information, finely tuned to the specifics of the Chinese patent landscape. By equipping users with efficient access to comprehensive patent claim information, our transformative platform seeks to ignite informed exploration and innovation in the ever-evolving domain of intellectual property. Its envisioned impact transcends individual colleges, nurturing an environment conducive to research and development while deepening the understanding of patented concepts within the academic community.


What Is a Counterfactual Cause in Action Theories?

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Since the proposal by Halpern and Pearl, reasoning about actual causality has gained increasing attention in artificial intelligence, ranging from domains such as model-checking and verification to reasoning about actions and knowledge. More recently, Batusov and Soutchanski proposed a notion of actual achievement cause in the situation calculus, amongst others, they can determine the cause of quantified effects in a given action history. While intuitively appealing, this notion of cause is not defined in a counterfactual perspective. In this paper, we propose a notion of cause based on counterfactual analysis. In the context of action history, we show that our notion of cause generalizes naturally to a notion of achievement cause. We analyze the relationship between our notion of the achievement cause and the achievement cause by Batusov and Soutchanski. Finally, we relate our account of cause to Halpern and Pearl's account of actual causality. Particularly, we note some nuances in applying a counterfactual viewpoint to disjunctive goals, a common thorn to definitions of actual causes.


Procedural Fairness and Its Relationship with Distributive Fairness in Machine Learning

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Fairness in machine learning (ML) has garnered significant attention in recent years. While existing research has predominantly focused on the distributive fairness of ML models, there has been limited exploration of procedural fairness. This paper proposes a novel method to achieve procedural fairness during the model training phase. The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through experiments conducted on one synthetic and six real-world datasets. Additionally, this work studies the relationship between procedural fairness and distributive fairness in ML models. On one hand, the impact of dataset bias and the procedural fairness of ML model on its distributive fairness is examined. The results highlight a significant influence of both dataset bias and procedural fairness on distributive fairness. On the other hand, the distinctions between optimizing procedural and distributive fairness metrics are analyzed. Experimental results demonstrate that optimizing procedural fairness metrics mitigates biases introduced or amplified by the decision-making process, thereby ensuring fairness in the decision-making process itself, as well as improving distributive fairness. In contrast, optimizing distributive fairness metrics encourages the ML model's decision-making process to favor disadvantaged groups, counterbalancing the inherent preferences for advantaged groups present in the dataset and ultimately achieving distributive fairness.


Technology as uncharted territory: Contextual integrity and the notion of AI as new ethical ground

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent research illustrates how AI can be developed and deployed in a manner detached from the concrete social context of application. By abstracting from the contexts of AI application, practitioners also disengage from the distinct normative structures that govern them. Building upon Helen Nissenbaum's framework of contextual integrity, I illustrate how disregard for contextual norms can threaten the integrity of a context with often decisive ethical implications. I argue that efforts to promote responsible and ethical AI can inadvertently contribute to and seemingly legitimize this disregard for established contextual norms. Echoing a persistent undercurrent in technology ethics of understanding emerging technologies as uncharted moral territory, certain approaches to AI ethics can promote a notion of AI as a novel and distinct realm for ethical deliberation, norm setting, and virtue cultivation. This narrative of AI as new ethical ground, however, can come at the expense of practitioners, policymakers and ethicists engaging with already established norms and virtues that were gradually cultivated to promote successful and responsible practice within concrete social contexts. In response, I question the current narrow prioritization in AI ethics of moral innovation over moral preservation. Engaging also with emerging foundation models, I advocate for a moderately conservative approach to the ethics of AI that prioritizes the responsible and considered integration of AI within established social contexts and their respective normative structures.


UK can be 'AI sweet spot': Starmer's tech minister on regulation, Musk, and free speech

The Guardian

With the NHS still struggling, a prisons crisis still teetering and Britain's borrowing costs soaring, there are few easy jobs going in Keir Starmer's cabinet at present. But even in such difficult times, the task of convincing Silicon Valley's finest to help make Britain a leader in the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution – all while one leading tech boss uses the Labour government as a regular punching bag and others ostentatiously move closer to Donald Trump – is among the most challenging. This is the mission that has fallen to Peter Kyle, the science and technology secretary, who has become an important figure in Starmer's cabinet. If balancing the concerns over online free speech, AI's impact on the climate crisis and the threat it poses to wiping out humanity are not enough, the economic headwinds Britain is now experiencing makes the launch this week of the government's AI action plan even more important. And Kyle is worried Britain could miss the boat.


Fine-tuning Large Language Models for Improving Factuality in Legal Question Answering

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Hallucination, or the generation of incorrect or fabricated information, remains a critical challenge in large language models (LLMs), particularly in high-stake domains such as legal question answering (QA). In order to mitigate the hallucination rate in legal QA, we first introduce a benchmark called LegalHalBench and three automatic metrics to evaluate the common hallucinations when LLMs answer legal questions. We then propose a hallucination mitigation method that integrates behavior cloning and a novel Hard Sample-aware Iterative Direct Preference Optimization (HIPO). We conduct extensive real-data experiments to validate the effectiveness of our approach. Our results demonstrate remarkable improvements in various metrics, including the newly proposed Non-Hallucinated Statute Rate, Statute Relevance Rate, Legal Claim Truthfulness, as well as traditional metrics such as METEOR, BERTScore, ROUGE-L, and win rates.


Dual use issues in the field of Natural Language Generation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This report documents the results of a recent survey in the SIGGEN community, focusing on Dual Use issues in Natural Language Generation (NLG). SIGGEN is the Special Interest Group (SIG) of the Association for Computational Linguistics (ACL) for researchers working on NLG. The survey was prompted by the ACL executive board, which asked all SIGs to provide an overview of dual use issues within their respective subfields. The survey was sent out in October 2024 and the results were processed in January 2025. With 23 respondents, the survey is presumably not representative of all SIGGEN members, but at least this document offers a helpful resource for future discussions. This report is open to feedback from the SIGGEN community. Let me know if you have any questions or comments!


Exploring Pose-Based Anomaly Detection for Retail Security: A Real-World Shoplifting Dataset and Benchmark

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Shoplifting poses a significant challenge for retailers, resulting in billions of dollars in annual losses. Traditional security measures often fall short, highlighting the need for intelligent solutions capable of detecting shoplifting behaviors in real time. This paper frames shoplifting detection as an anomaly detection problem, focusing on the identification of deviations from typical shopping patterns. We introduce PoseLift, a privacy-preserving dataset specifically designed for shoplifting detection, addressing challenges such as data scarcity, privacy concerns, and model biases. PoseLift is built in collaboration with a retail store and contains anonymized human pose data from real-world scenarios. By preserving essential behavioral information while anonymizing identities, PoseLift balances privacy and utility. We benchmark state-of-the-art pose-based anomaly detection models on this dataset, evaluating performance using a comprehensive set of metrics. Our results demonstrate that pose-based approaches achieve high detection accuracy while effectively addressing privacy and bias concerns inherent in traditional methods. As one of the first datasets capturing real-world shoplifting behaviors, PoseLift offers researchers a valuable tool to advance computer vision ethically and will be publicly available to foster innovation and collaboration. The dataset is available at https://github.com/TeCSAR-UNCC/PoseLift.