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Causality is all you need

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In the fundamental statistics course, students are taught to remember the well-known saying: "Correlation is not Causation". Till now, statistics (i.e., correlation) have developed various successful frameworks, such as Transformer and Pre-training large-scale models, which have stacked multiple parallel self-attention blocks to imitate a wide range of tasks. However, in the causation community, how to build an integrated causal framework still remains an untouched domain despite its excellent intervention capabilities. In this paper, we propose the Causal Graph Routing (CGR) framework, an integrated causal scheme relying entirely on the intervention mechanisms to reveal the cause-effect forces hidden in data. Specifically, CGR is composed of a stack of causal layers. Each layer includes a set of parallel deconfounding blocks from different causal graphs. We combine these blocks via the concept of the proposed sufficient cause, which allows the model to dynamically select the suitable deconfounding methods in each layer. CGR is implemented as the stacked networks, integrating no confounder, back-door adjustment, front-door adjustment, and probability of sufficient cause. We evaluate this framework on two classical tasks of CV and NLP. Experiments show CGR can surpass the current state-of-the-art methods on both Visual Question Answer and Long Document Classification tasks. In particular, CGR has great potential in building the "causal" pre-training large-scale model that effectively generalizes to diverse tasks. It will improve the machines' comprehension of causal relationships within a broader semantic space.


Unifying Corroborative and Contributive Attributions in Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As businesses, products, and services spring up around large language models, the trustworthiness of these models hinges on the verifiability of their outputs. However, methods for explaining language model outputs largely fall across two distinct fields of study which both use the term "attribution" to refer to entirely separate techniques: citation generation and training data attribution. In many modern applications, such as legal document generation and medical question answering, both types of attributions are important. In this work, we argue for and present a unified framework of large language model attributions. We show how existing methods of different types of attribution fall under the unified framework. We also use the framework to discuss real-world use cases where one or both types of attributions are required. We believe that this unified framework will guide the use case driven development of systems that leverage both types of attribution, as well as the standardization of their evaluation.


Steering Responsible AI: A Case for Algorithmic Pluralism

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

In this paper, I examine questions surrounding AI neutrality through the prism of existing literature and scholarship about mediation and media pluralism. Such traditions, I argue, provide a valuable theoretical framework for how we should approach the (likely) impending era of AI mediation. In particular, I suggest examining further the notion of algorithmic pluralism. Contrasting this notion to the dominant idea of algorithmic transparency, I seek to describe what algorithmic pluralism may be, and present both its opportunities and challenges. Implemented thoughtfully and responsibly, I argue, Algorithmic or AI pluralism has the potential to sustain the diversity, multiplicity, and inclusiveness that are so vital to democracy.


On the Potential and Limitations of Few-Shot In-Context Learning to Generate Metamorphic Specifications for Tax Preparation Software

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Due to the ever-increasing complexity of income tax laws in the United States, the number of US taxpayers filing their taxes using tax preparation software (henceforth, tax software) continues to increase. According to the U.S. Internal Revenue Service (IRS), in FY22, nearly 50% of taxpayers filed their individual income taxes using tax software. Given the legal consequences of incorrectly filing taxes for the taxpayer, ensuring the correctness of tax software is of paramount importance. Metamorphic testing has emerged as a leading solution to test and debug legal-critical tax software due to the absence of correctness requirements and trustworthy datasets. The key idea behind metamorphic testing is to express the properties of a system in terms of the relationship between one input and its slightly metamorphosed twinned input. Extracting metamorphic properties from IRS tax publications is a tedious and time-consuming process. As a response, this paper formulates the task of generating metamorphic specifications as a translation task between properties extracted from tax documents - expressed in natural language - to a contrastive first-order logic form. We perform a systematic analysis on the potential and limitations of in-context learning with Large Language Models(LLMs) for this task, and outline a research agenda towards automating the generation of metamorphic specifications for tax preparation software.


Multi-Task Faces (MTF) Data Set: A Legally and Ethically Compliant Collection of Face Images for Various Classification Tasks

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Human facial data hold tremendous potential to address a variety of classification problems, including face recognition, age estimation, gender identification, emotion analysis, and race classification. However, recent privacy regulations, such as the EU General Data Protection Regulation and others, have restricted the ways in which human images may be collected and used for research. As a result, several previously published data sets containing human faces have been removed from the internet due to inadequate data collection methods that failed to meet privacy regulations. Data sets consisting of synthetic data have been proposed as an alternative, but they fall short of accurately representing the real data distribution. On the other hand, most available data sets are labeled for just a single task, which limits their applicability. To address these issues, we present the Multi-Task Faces (MTF) image data set, a meticulously curated collection of face images designed for various classification tasks, including face recognition, as well as race, gender, and age classification. The MTF data set has been ethically gathered by leveraging publicly available images of celebrities and strictly adhering to copyright regulations. In this paper, we present this data set and provide detailed descriptions of the followed data collection and processing procedures. Furthermore, we evaluate the performance of five deep learning (DL) models on the MTF data set across the aforementioned classification tasks. Additionally, we compare the performance of DL models over the processed MTF data and over raw data crawled from the internet. The reported results constitute a baseline for further research employing these data. The MTF data set can be accessed through the following link (please cite the present paper if you use the data set): https://github.com/RamiHaf/MTF_data_set


Large Language Models and Explainable Law: a Hybrid Methodology

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The paper advocates for LLMs to enhance the accessibility, usage and explainability of rule-based legal systems, contributing to a democratic and stakeholder-oriented view of legal technology. A methodology is developed to explore the potential use of LLMs for translating the explanations produced by rule-based systems, from high-level programming languages to natural language, allowing all users a fast, clear, and accessible interaction with such technologies. The study continues by building upon these explanations to empower laypeople with the ability to execute complex juridical tasks on their own, using a Chain of Prompts for the autonomous legal comparison of different rule-based inferences, applied to the same factual case.


A novel approach to measuring patent claim scope based on probabilities obtained from (large) language models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This work proposes to measure the scope of a patent claim as the reciprocal of the self-information contained in this claim. A probability of occurrence of the claim is obtained from a language model and this probability is used to compute the self-information. Grounded in information theory, this approach is based on the assumption that an unlikely concept is more informative than a usual concept, insofar as it is more surprising. In turn, the more surprising the information required to defined the claim, the narrower its scope. Five language models are considered, ranging from simplest models (each word or character is assigned an identical probability) to intermediate models (using average word or character frequencies), to a large language model (GPT2). Interestingly, the scope resulting from the simplest language models is proportional to the reciprocal of the number of words or characters involved in the claim, a metric already used in previous works. Application is made to multiple series of patent claims directed to distinct inventions, where each series consists of claims devised to have a gradually decreasing scope. The performance of the language models is assessed with respect to several ad hoc tests. The more sophisticated the model, the better the results. I.e., the GPT2 probability model outperforms models based on word and character frequencies, which themselves outdo the simplest models based on word or character counts. Still, the character count appears to be a more reliable indicator than the word count.


Scams targeting older Americans, most using AI, caused over $1 billion in losses in 2022

FOX News

AI expert Marva Bailer tells Fox News Digital how the open availability of artificial intelligence can have negative impacts and talks potential federal legislation to control it. Older Americans reportedly lost $1.1 billion to fraud in 2022, according to the annual Senate Committee on Aging report released this month, and most of the scams utilized AI technology to clone the voices of people they knew and other AI-generated ploys. During a Thursday committee hearing on AI scams, committee chairman Sen. Bob Casey, D-Pa., published the group's annual fraud book highlighting the top scams last year. It found that from January 2020 to June 2021, the FBI found "individuals reportedly lost $13 million to grandparent and person-in-need scams." Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass, also a member of the committee, said the $1.1 billion figure in total losses is "almost surely an underestimate," since it does not factor in the instances of victims who don't report scams due to embarrassment.


Revolutionizing Forensic Toolmark Analysis: An Objective and Transparent Comparison Algorithm

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Forensic toolmark comparisons are currently performed subjectively by humans, which leads to a lack of consistency and accuracy. There is little evidence that examiners can determine whether pairs of marks were made by the same tool or different tools. There is also little evidence that they can make this classification when marks are made under different conditions, such as different angles of attack or direction of mark generation. We generate original toolmark data in 3D, extract the signal from each toolmarks, and train an algorithm to compare toolmark signals objectively. We find that toolmark signals cluster by tool, and not by angle or direction. That is, the variability within tool, regardless of angle/direction, is smaller than the variability between tools. The known-match and known-non-match densities of the similarities of pairs of marks have a small overlap, even when accounting for dependencies in the data, making them a useful instrument for determining whether a new pair of marks was made by the same tool. We provide a likelihood ratio approach as a formal method for comparing toolmark signals with a measure of uncertainty. This empirically trained, open-source method can be used by forensic examiners to compare toolmarks objectively and thus improve the reliability of toolmark comparisons. This can, in turn, reduce miscarriages of justice in the criminal justice system.


A Security Risk Taxonomy for Large Language Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

As large language models (LLMs) permeate more and more applications, an assessment of their associated security risks becomes increasingly necessary. The potential for exploitation by malicious actors, ranging from disinformation to data breaches and reputation damage, is substantial. This paper addresses a gap in current research by focusing on the security risks posed by LLMs, which extends beyond the widely covered ethical and societal implications. Our work proposes a taxonomy of security risks along the user-model communication pipeline, explicitly focusing on prompt-based attacks on LLMs. We categorize the attacks by target and attack type within a prompt-based interaction scheme. The taxonomy is reinforced with specific attack examples to showcase the real-world impact of these risks. Through this taxonomy, we aim to inform the development of robust and secure LLM applications, enhancing their safety and trustworthiness.