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The Prevalence of Political Discourse in Non-Political Blogs

AAAI Conferences

Though political theorists have emphasized the importance of political discussion in non-political spaces, past study of online political discussion has focused on primarily political websites. Using a random sample from Blogger.com, we find that 25% of all political posts are from blogs that post about politics less than 20% of the time, because the vast majority of blogs post about politics some of the time but infrequently. Far from being taboo topics in those non- political blogs, political posts got slightly more comments than non-political posts in those same blogs, and the comments overwhelmingly engage the political topics of the post, mostly agreeing but frequently disagreeing as well. We argue that non-political spaces devoted primarily to personal diaries, hobbies, and other topics represent a substantial place of online political discussion and should be a site for further study.


Memes Online: Extracted, Subtracted, Injected, and Recollected

AAAI Conferences

Social media is playing an increasingly vital role in information dissemination. But with dissemination being more distributed, content often makes multiple hops, and consequently has opportunity to change. In this paper we focus on content that should be changing the least, namely quoted text. We find changes to be frequent, with their likelihood depending on the authority of the copied source and the type of site that is copying. We uncover patterns in the rate of appearance of new variants, their length, and popularity, and develop a simple model that is able to capture them. These patterns are distinct from ones produced when all copies are made from the same source, suggesting that information is evolving as it is being processed collectively in online social media.


Limits of Electoral Predictions Using Twitter

AAAI Conferences

Using social media for political discourse is becoming common practice, especially around election time. One interesting aspect of this trend is the possibility of pulsing the publicโ€™s opinion about the elections, and that has attracted the interest of many researchers and the press. Allegedly, predicting electoral outcomes from social media data can be feasible and even simple. Positive results have been reported, but without an analysis on what principle enables them. Our work puts to test the purported predictive power of socialmedia metrics against the 2010 US congressional elections. Here, we applied techniques that had reportedly led to positive election predictions in the past, on the Twitter data collected from the 2010 US congressional elections. Unfortunately, we find no correlation between the analysis results and the electoral outcomes, contradicting previous reports. Observing that 80 years of polling research would support our findings, we argue that one should not be accepting predictions about events using social media data as a black box. Instead, scholarly research should be accompanied by a model explaining the predictive power of social media, when there is one.


AAAI News

AI Magazine

This prize is awarded biennially to recognize and encourage outstanding artificial intelligence research advances that are made by using experimental (Max Planck Institute for Biological Nectar, as well as poster presentations methods of computer science. Cybernetics), Karrie Karahalios (University by a select number of exceptional Thrun and Whittaker, whose teams of Illinois), Michael Kearns technical papers, short papers, student won the 2005 DARPA Grand Challenge (University of Pennsylvania), and Kurt abstracts, and doctoral consortium abstracts. A special Joint will feature talks on five award-winning in particular for high-impact IAAI-11/AAAI-11 Invited Talk by deployed AI applications and 14 contributions to the field of artificial David Ferrucci (IBM T. J. Watson Research emerging applications. The week is intelligence through innovation and Center) on "Building Watson: filled with a host of other programs, achievement in autonomous vehicle An Overview of DeepQA for the ...


Optimizing Limousine Service with AI

AI Magazine

A common problem for companies with strong business growth is that it is hard to find enough experienced staff to support expansion needs. This problem is particular pronounced for operations planners and controllers who must be very highly knowledgeable and experienced with the business domain. This article is a case study of how one of the largest travel agencies in Hong Kong alleviated this problem by using AI to support decision-making and problem-solving so that their planners and controllers can work more effectively and efficiently to sustain business growth while maintaining consistent quality of service. AI is used in a mission critical fleet management system (FMS) that supports the scheduling and management of a fleet of luxury limousines for business travelers. The AI problem was modeled as a constraint satisfaction problem (CSP). The use of AI enabled the travel agency to sign up additional hotel partners, handle more orders and expand their fleet with their existing team of planners and controllers. Using modern web 2.0 architecture and proven AI technology, we were able to achieve low-risk implementation and deployment success with concrete and measurable business benefits.


Toward a Computational Model of Transfer

AI Magazine

TLP and the field as a whole made great strides in each of these dimensions. Indeed, the program has helped TL become a recognized subdiscipline of machine learning. Other articles in this special issue detail the work accomplished in TLP; this article focuses on a broad framing of the research conducted and an assessment of its progress, limitations, and challenges, from an admittedly personal but DARPAinfluenced perspective. Traditionally every DARPA program has focused its research by requiring a precise measure of progress. The DARPA TLP decided to measure transfer by comparing the learning of tasks A and B versus the learning of B alone. In figure 1 the curve labeled B represents a traditional learning curve of the performance on target task B as a function of the number of training instances.


NPCEditor: Creating Virtual Human Dialogue Using Information Retrieval Techniques

AI Magazine

See Leuski et al. (2006) and to the same question -- for example, "What Leuski and Traum (2008) for more details. is your name?" -- depending on who the interactor The final parameter is the classification threshold is looking at. NPCEditor's user interface allows the on the KL-divergence value: only answers that designer to define arbitrary annotation classes or score above the threshold value are returned from categories and specify which of these annotation the classifier. The threshold is determined by tuning categories should be used in classification.


Decentralized Control of Cooperative Systems: Categorization and Complexity Analysis

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Decentralized control of cooperative systems captures the operation of a group of decision makers that share a single global objective. The difficulty in solving optimally such problems arises when the agents lack full observability of the global state of the system when they operate. The general problem has been shown to be NEXP-complete. In this paper, we identify classes of decentralized control problems whose complexity ranges between NEXP and P. In particular, we study problems characterized by independent transitions, independent observations, and goal-oriented objective functions. Two algorithms are shown to solve optimally useful classes of goal-oriented decentralized processes in polynomial time. This paper also studies information sharing among the decision-makers, which can improve their performance. We distinguish between three ways in which agents can exchange information: indirect communication, direct communication and sharing state features that are not controlled by the agents. Our analysis shows that for every class of problems we consider, introducing direct or indirect communication does not change the worst-case complexity. The results provide a better understanding of the complexity of decentralized control problems that arise in practice and facilitate the development of planning algorithms for these problems.


Taming Numbers and Durations in the Model Checking Integrated Planning System

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The Model Checking Integrated Planning System (MIPS) is a temporal least commitment heuristic search planner based on a flexible object-oriented workbench architecture. Its design clearly separates explicit and symbolic directed exploration algorithms from the set of on-line and off-line computed estimates and associated data structures. MIPS has shown distinguished performance in the last two international planning competitions. In the last event the description language was extended from pure propositional planning to include numerical state variables, action durations, and plan quality objective functions. Plans were no longer sequences of actions but time-stamped schedules. As a participant of the fully automated track of the competition, MIPS has proven to be a general system; in each track and every benchmark domain it efficiently computed plans of remarkable quality. This article introduces and analyzes the most important algorithmic novelties that were necessary to tackle the new layers of expressiveness in the benchmark problems and to achieve a high level of performance. The extensions include critical path analysis of sequentially generated plans to generate corresponding optimal parallel plans. The linear time algorithm to compute the parallel plan bypasses known NP hardness results for partial ordering by scheduling plans with respect to the set of actions and the imposed precedence relations. The efficiency of this algorithm also allows us to improve the exploration guidance: for each encountered planning state the corresponding approximate sequential plan is scheduled. One major strength of MIPS is its static analysis phase that grounds and simplifies parameterized predicates, functions and operators, that infers knowledge to minimize the state description length, and that detects domain object symmetries. The latter aspect is analyzed in detail. MIPS has been developed to serve as a complete and optimal state space planner, with admissible estimates, exploration engines and branching cuts. In the competition version, however, certain performance compromises had to be made, including floating point arithmetic, weighted heuristic search exploration according to an inadmissible estimate and parameterized optimization.


Proceedings of the 2011 New York Workshop on Computer, Earth and Space Science

arXiv.org Machine Learning

The purpose of the New York Workshop on Computer, Earth and Space Sciences is to bring together the New York area's finest Astronomers, Statisticians, Computer Scientists, Space and Earth Scientists to explore potential synergies between their respective fields. The 2011 edition (CESS2011) was a great success, and we would like to thank all of the presenters and participants for attending. This year was also special as it included authors from the upcoming book titled "Advances in Machine Learning and Data Mining for Astronomy". Over two days, the latest advanced techniques used to analyze the vast amounts of information now available for the understanding of our universe and our planet were presented. These proceedings attempt to provide a small window into what the current state of research is in this vast interdisciplinary field and we'd like to thank the speakers who spent the time to contribute to this volume.