We study mechanisms for candidate selection that seek to minimize the social cost, where voters and candidates are associated with points in some underlying metric space. The social cost of a candidate is the sum of its distances to each voter. Some of our work assumes that these points can be modeled on a real line, but other results of ours are more general. A question closely related to candidate selection is that of minimizing the sum of distances for facility location. The difference is that in our setting there is a fixed set of candidates, whereas the large body of work on facility location seems to consider every point in the metric space to be a possible candidate. This gives rise to three types of mechanisms which differ in the granularity of their input space (voting, ranking and location mechanisms). We study the relationships between these three classes of mechanisms. While it may seem that Black's 1948 median algorithm is optimal for candidate selection on the line, this is not the case. We give matching upper and lower bounds for a variety of settings. In particular, when candidates and voters are on the line, our universally truthful spike mechanism gives a [tight] approximation of two. When assessing candidate selection mechanisms, we seek several desirable properties: (a) efficiency (minimizing the social cost) (b) truthfulness (dominant strategy incentive compatibility) and (c) simplicity (a smaller input space). We quantify the effect that truthfulness and simplicity impose on the efficiency.

We study the problem of computing possible and necessary winners for partially specified weighted and unweighted tournaments. This problem arises naturally in elections with incompletely specified votes, partially completed sports competitions, and more generally in any scenario where the outcome of some pairwise comparisons is not yet fully known. We specifically consider a number of well-known solution concepts---including the uncovered set, Borda, ranked pairs, and maximin---and show that for most of them, possible and necessary winners can be identified in polynomial time. These positive algorithmic results stand in sharp contrast to earlier results concerning possible and necessary winners given partially specified preference profiles.

In this work, a novel solution to the speaker identification problem is proposed through minimization of statistical divergences between the probability distribution (g). of feature vectors from the test utterance and the probability distributions of the feature vector corresponding to the speaker classes. This approach is made more robust to the presence of outliers, through the use of suitably modified versions of the standard divergence measures. The relevant solutions to the minimum distance methods are referred to as the minimum rescaled modified distance estimators (MRMDEs). Three measures were considered - the likelihood disparity, the Hellinger distance and Pearson's chi-square distance. The proposed approach is motivated by the observation that, in the case of the likelihood disparity, when the empirical distribution function is used to estimate g, it becomes equivalent to maximum likelihood classification with Gaussian Mixture Models (GMMs) for speaker classes, a highly effective approach used, for example, by Reynolds [22] based on Mel Frequency Cepstral Coefficients (MFCCs) as features. Significant improvement in classification accuracy is observed under this approach on the benchmark speech corpus NTIMIT and a new bilingual speech corpus NISIS, with MFCC features, both in isolation and in combination with delta MFCC features. Moreover, the ubiquitous principal component transformation, by itself and in conjunction with the principle of classifier combination, is found to further enhance the performance.

Introduction Influenza is a leading cause of death in the United States (US), where up to 50,000 are killed each year by influenza- ‐like illnesses (ILI) [1]. Therefore, monitoring, early detection, and prediction of influenza outbreaks are crucial to public health. Disease detection and surveillance systems provide epidemiologic intelligence that allows health officials to deploy preventive measures and help clinic and hospital administrators make optimal staffing and stocking decisions [2]. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) monitors ILI in the US by gathering information from physicians' reports about patients with ILI seeking medical attention [3]. CDC's ILI data provides useful estimates of influenza activity; however, its availability has a known time lag of one to two weeks. This time lag is far from optimal since public health decisions need to be made based on information that is two weeks old. Systems capable of providing real- ‐time estimates of influenza activity are, thus, critical. Many attempts have been made to design methods capable of providing real- ‐time estimates of ILI activity in the US by leveraging Internet- ‐based data sources that could potentially measure ILI in an indirect manner [4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11].

Topic models are popular for modeling discrete data (e.g., texts, images, videos, links), and provide an efficient way to discover hidden structures/semantics in massive data. One of the core problems in this field is the posterior inference for individual data instances. This problem is particularly important in streaming environments, but is often intractable. In this paper, we investigate the use of the Frank-Wolfe algorithm (FW) for recovering sparse solutions to posterior inference. From detailed elucidation of both theoretical and practical aspects, FW exhibits many interesting properties which are beneficial to topic modeling. We then employ FW to design fast methods, including ML-FW, for learning latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) at large scales. Extensive experiments show that to reach the same predictiveness level, ML-FW can perform tens to thousand times faster than existing state-of-the-art methods for learning LDA from massive/streaming data.

Genome-wide association studies have proven to be essential for understanding the genetic basis of disease. However, many complex traits---personality traits, facial features, disease subtyping---are inherently high-dimensional, impeding simple approaches to association mapping. We developed a nonparametric Bayesian reduced rank regression model for multi-SNP, multi-trait association mapping that does not require the rank of the linear subspace to be specified. We show in simulations and real data that our model shares strength over SNPs and over correlated traits, improving statistical power to identify genetic associations with an interpretable, SNP-supervised low-dimensional linear projection of the high-dimensional phenotype. On the HapMap phase 3 gene expression QTL study data, we identify pleiotropic expression QTLs that classical univariate tests are underpowered to find and that two step approaches cannot recover. Our Python software, BERRRI, is publicly available at GitHub: https://github.com/ashlee1031/BERRRI.

Approximate inference in high-dimensional, discrete probabilistic models is a central problem in computational statistics and machine learning. This paper describes discrete particle variational inference (DPVI), a new approach that combines key strengths of Monte Carlo, variational and search-based techniques. DPVI is based on a novel family of particle-based variational approximations that can be fit using simple, fast, deterministic search techniques. Like Monte Carlo, DPVI can handle multiple modes, and yields exact results in a well-defined limit. Like unstructured mean-field, DPVI is based on optimizing a lower bound on the partition function; when this quantity is not of intrinsic interest, it facilitates convergence assessment and debugging. Like both Monte Carlo and combinatorial search, DPVI can take advantage of factorization, sequential structure, and custom search operators. This paper defines DPVI particle-based approximation family and partition function lower bounds, along with the sequential DPVI and local DPVI algorithm templates for optimizing them. DPVI is illustrated and evaluated via experiments on lattice Markov Random Fields, nonparametric Bayesian mixtures and block-models, and parametric as well as non-parametric hidden Markov models. Results include applications to real-world spike-sorting and relational modeling problems, and show that DPVI can offer appealing time/accuracy trade-offs as compared to multiple alternatives.

There is a widespread need for statistical methods that can analyze high-dimensional datasets with- out imposing restrictive or opaque modeling assumptions. This paper describes a domain-general data analysis method called CrossCat. CrossCat infers multiple non-overlapping views of the data, each consisting of a subset of the variables, and uses a separate nonparametric mixture to model each view. CrossCat is based on approximately Bayesian inference in a hierarchical, nonparamet- ric model for data tables. This model consists of a Dirichlet process mixture over the columns of a data table in which each mixture component is itself an independent Dirichlet process mixture over the rows; the inner mixture components are simple parametric models whose form depends on the types of data in the table. CrossCat combines strengths of mixture modeling and Bayesian net- work structure learning. Like mixture modeling, CrossCat can model a broad class of distributions by positing latent variables, and produces representations that can be efficiently conditioned and sampled from for prediction. Like Bayesian networks, CrossCat represents the dependencies and independencies between variables, and thus remains accurate when there are multiple statistical signals. Inference is done via a scalable Gibbs sampling scheme; this paper shows that it works well in practice. This paper also includes empirical results on heterogeneous tabular data of up to 10 million cells, such as hospital cost and quality measures, voting records, unemployment rates, gene expression measurements, and images of handwritten digits. CrossCat infers structure that is consistent with accepted findings and common-sense knowledge in multiple domains and yields predictive accuracy competitive with generative, discriminative, and model-free alternatives.

As the name of the course suggests, this lecture note introduces readers to a neural network based approach to natural language understanding/processing. In order to make it as self-contained as possible, I spend much time on describing basics of machine learning and neural networks, only after which how they are used for natural languages is introduced. On the language front, I almost solely focus on language modelling and machine translation, two of which I personally find most fascinating and most fundamental to natural language understanding. After about a month of lectures and about 40 pages of writing this lecture note, I found this fascinating note [47] by Yoav Goldberg on neural network models for natural language processing. This note deals with wider topics on natural language processing with distributed representations in more details, and I highly recommend you to read it (hopefully along with this lecture note.)

Expectation maximization (EM) has recently been shown to be an efficient algorithm for learning finite-state controllers (FSCs) in large decentralized POMDPs (Dec-POMDPs). However, current methods use fixed-size FSCs and often converge to maxima that are far from optimal. This paper considers a variable-size FSC to represent the local policy of each agent. These variable-size FSCs are constructed using a stick-breaking prior, leading to a new framework called \emph{decentralized stick-breaking policy representation} (Dec-SBPR). This approach learns the controller parameters with a variational Bayesian algorithm without having to assume that the Dec-POMDP model is available. The performance of Dec-SBPR is demonstrated on several benchmark problems, showing that the algorithm scales to large problems while outperforming other state-of-the-art methods.