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Explaining Groups of Instances Counterfactually for XAI: A Use Case, Algorithm and User Study for Group-Counterfactuals

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Counterfactual explanations are an increasingly popular form of post hoc explanation due to their (i) applicability across problem domains, (ii) proposed legal compliance (e.g., with GDPR), and (iii) reliance on the contrastive nature of human explanation. Although counterfactual explanations are normally used to explain individual predictive-instances, we explore a novel use case in which groups of similar instances are explained in a collective fashion using ``group counterfactuals'' (e.g., to highlight a repeating pattern of illness in a group of patients). These group counterfactuals meet a human preference for coherent, broad explanations covering multiple events/instances. A novel, group-counterfactual algorithm is proposed to generate high-coverage explanations that are faithful to the to-be-explained model. This explanation strategy is also evaluated in a large, controlled user study (N=207), using objective (i.e., accuracy) and subjective (i.e., confidence, explanation satisfaction, and trust) psychological measures. The results show that group counterfactuals elicit modest but definite improvements in people's understanding of an AI system. The implications of these findings for counterfactual methods and for XAI are discussed.


Explaining the Performance of Collaborative Filtering Methods With Optimal Data Characteristics

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

The performance of a Collaborative Filtering (CF) method is based on the properties of a User-Item Rating Matrix (URM). And the properties or Rating Data Characteristics (RDC) of a URM are constantly changing. Recent studies significantly explained the variation in the performances of CF methods resulted due to the change in URM using six or more RDC. Here, we found that the significant proportion of variation in the performances of different CF techniques can be accounted to two RDC only. The two RDC are the number of ratings per user or Information per User (IpU) and the number of ratings per item or Information per Item (IpI). And the performances of CF algorithms are quadratic to IpU (or IpI) for a square URM. The findings of this study are based on seven well-established CF methods and three popular public recommender datasets: 1M MovieLens, 25M MovieLens, and Yahoo! Music Rating datasets


CausalEGM: a general causal inference framework by encoding generative modeling

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Although understanding and characterizing causal effects have become essential in observational studies, it is challenging when the confounders are high-dimensional. In this article, we develop a general framework $\textit{CausalEGM}$ for estimating causal effects by encoding generative modeling, which can be applied in both binary and continuous treatment settings. Under the potential outcome framework with unconfoundedness, we establish a bidirectional transformation between the high-dimensional confounders space and a low-dimensional latent space where the density is known (e.g., multivariate normal distribution). Through this, CausalEGM simultaneously decouples the dependencies of confounders on both treatment and outcome and maps the confounders to the low-dimensional latent space. By conditioning on the low-dimensional latent features, CausalEGM can estimate the causal effect for each individual or the average causal effect within a population. Our theoretical analysis shows that the excess risk for CausalEGM can be bounded through empirical process theory. Under an assumption on encoder-decoder networks, the consistency of the estimate can be guaranteed. In a series of experiments, CausalEGM demonstrates superior performance over existing methods for both binary and continuous treatments. Specifically, we find CausalEGM to be substantially more powerful than competing methods in the presence of large sample sizes and high dimensional confounders. The software of CausalEGM is freely available at https://github.com/SUwonglab/CausalEGM.


Gate Recurrent Unit Network based on Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion for State-of-Health Estimation

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

State-of-health (SOH) estimation is a key step in ensuring the safe and reliable operation of batteries. Due to issues such as varying data distribution and sequence length in different cycles, most existing methods require health feature extraction technique, which can be time-consuming and labor-intensive. GRU can well solve this problem due to the simple structure and superior performance, receiving widespread attentions. However, redundant information still exists within the network and impacts the accuracy of SOH estimation. To address this issue, a new GRU network based on Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (GRU-HSIC) is proposed. First, a zero masking network is used to transform all battery data measured with varying lengths every cycle into sequences of the same length, while still retaining information about the original data size in each cycle. Second, the Hilbert-Schmidt Independence Criterion (HSIC) bottleneck, which evolved from Information Bottleneck (IB) theory, is extended to GRU to compress the information from hidden layers. To evaluate the proposed method, we conducted experiments on datasets from the Center for Advanced Life Cycle Engineering (CALCE) of the University of Maryland and NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence. Experimental results demonstrate that our model achieves higher accuracy than other recurrent models.


Understanding Frontline Workers' and Unhoused Individuals' Perspectives on AI Used in Homeless Services

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Recent years have seen growing adoption of AI-based decision-support systems (ADS) in homeless services, yet we know little about stakeholder desires and concerns surrounding their use. In this work, we aim to understand impacted stakeholders' perspectives on a deployed ADS that prioritizes scarce housing resources. We employed AI lifecycle comicboarding, an adapted version of the comicboarding method, to elicit stakeholder feedback and design ideas across various components of an AI system's design. We elicited feedback from county workers who operate the ADS daily, service providers whose work is directly impacted by the ADS, and unhoused individuals in the region. Our participants shared concerns and design suggestions around the AI system's overall objective, specific model design choices, dataset selection, and use in deployment. Our findings demonstrate that stakeholders, even without AI knowledge, can provide specific and critical feedback on an AI system's design and deployment, if empowered to do so.


Tribe or Not? Critical Inspection of Group Differences Using TribalGram

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

With the rise of big data, artificial intelligence (AI), and data mining techniques, group analysis has increasingly become a powerful tool in many applications, ranging from policy-making, direct marketing, education, to healthcare. For example, an important analysis strategy is group profiling, which extracts and describes the characteristics of groups of people [40]; it has been commonly used for customized recommendations to overcome sparse and missing personal data [25]. The same strategy is also used for mining social media, educational, and healthcare data to understand the shared characteristics of online communities or student/patient cohorts [15, 51, 100]. While it may help to support public and private services or product creations that are better tailored to different communities, group profiles resulted from mathematical inference are typically not valid for every individual regarded as a member in the group (this is known as non-distributive group profiles) [40]. The shared group characteristics extracted from data can have social ramifications such as stereotyping, stigmatization, or lead to pernicious consequences in decision making because individuals might be judged by group characteristics they do not posses [24, 56, 58].


Investigating Failures to Generalize for Coreference Resolution Models

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Coreference resolution models are often evaluated on multiple datasets. Datasets vary, however, in how coreference is realized -- i.e., how the theoretical concept of coreference is operationalized in the dataset -- due to factors such as the choice of corpora and annotation guidelines. We investigate the extent to which errors of current coreference resolution models are associated with existing differences in operationalization across datasets (OntoNotes, PreCo, and Winogrande). Specifically, we distinguish between and break down model performance into categories corresponding to several types of coreference, including coreferring generic mentions, compound modifiers, and copula predicates, among others. This break down helps us investigate how state-of-the-art models might vary in their ability to generalize across different coreference types. In our experiments, for example, models trained on OntoNotes perform poorly on generic mentions and copula predicates in PreCo. Our findings help calibrate expectations of current coreference resolution models; and, future work can explicitly account for those types of coreference that are empirically associated with poor generalization when developing models.


DiGeo: Discriminative Geometry-Aware Learning for Generalized Few-Shot Object Detection

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

Generalized few-shot object detection aims to achieve precise detection on both base classes with abundant annotations and novel classes with limited training data. Existing approaches enhance few-shot generalization with the sacrifice of base-class performance, or maintain high precision in base-class detection with limited improvement in novel-class adaptation. In this paper, we point out the reason is insufficient Discriminative feature learning for all of the classes. As such, we propose a new training framework, DiGeo, to learn Geometry-aware features of inter-class separation and intra-class compactness. To guide the separation of feature clusters, we derive an offline simplex equiangular tight frame (ETF) classifier whose weights serve as class centers and are maximally and equally separated. To tighten the cluster for each class, we include adaptive class-specific margins into the classification loss and encourage the features close to the class centers. Experimental studies on two few-shot benchmark datasets (VOC, COCO) and one long-tail dataset (LVIS) demonstrate that, with a single model, our method can effectively improve generalization on novel classes without hurting the detection of base classes.


Anomaly Search Over Many Sequences With Switching Costs

arXiv.org Artificial Intelligence

This paper considers the quickest search problem to identify anomalies among large numbers of data streams. These streams can model, for example, disjoint regions monitored by a mobile robot. A particular challenge is a version of the problem in which the experimenter must suffer a cost each time the data stream being sampled changes, such as the time the robot must spend moving between regions. In this paper, we propose an algorithm which accounts for switching costs by varying a confidence threshold that governs when the algorithm switches to a new data stream. Our main contributions are easily computable approximations for both the optimal value of this threshold and the optimal value of the parameter that determines when a stream must be re-sampled. Further, we empirically show (i) a uniform improvement for switching costs of interest and (ii) roughly equivalent performance for small switching costs when comparing to the closest available algorithm.


Gen. Mark Milley 'not sure yet' if Russian fighter jet's collision with US drone was 'intentional'

FOX News

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin said during a briefing on Wednesday that the collision of a Russian jet with a U.S. drone follows a "pattern" of unsafe and risky behavior from Russia. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Mark Milley said during a briefing on Wednesday that America doesn't seek "armed conflict" with Russia after the collision of a Russian jet and a U.S. drone On Tuesday, a Russian Su-27 fighter plane collided with a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone while traveling over the Black Sea, a U.S. defense official told Fox News. The collision occurred in international airspace while over international waters, with the jet in question being one of two Su-27s flying in tandem. The drone's propeller was damaged, forcing it to be ditched in the Black Sea west of Crimea, the defense official said. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin described the incident as a continuation of risky behavior from Russia during Tuesday's press briefing.