Machine learning methods are increasingly used to build computationally inexpensive surrogates for complex physical models. The predictive capability of these surrogates suffers when data are noisy, sparse, or time-dependent. As we are interested in finding a surrogate that provides valid predictions of any potential future model evaluations, we introduce an online learning method empowered by optimizer-driven sampling. The method has two advantages over current approaches. First, it ensures that all turning points on the model response surface are included in the training data. Second, after any new model evaluations, surrogates are tested and "retrained" (updated) if the "score" drops below a validity threshold. Tests on benchmark functions reveal that optimizer-directed sampling generally outperforms traditional sampling methods in terms of accuracy around local extrema, even when the scoring metric favors overall accuracy. We apply our method to simulations of nuclear matter to demonstrate that highly accurate surrogates for the nuclear equation of state can be reliably auto-generated from expensive calculations using a few model evaluations.

Time Series Extrinsic Regression (TSER) involves using a set of training time series to form a predictive model of a continuous response variable that is not directly related to the regressor series. The TSER archive for comparing algorithms was released in 2022 with 19 problems. We increase the size of this archive to 63 problems and reproduce the previous comparison of baseline algorithms. We then extend the comparison to include a wider range of standard regressors and the latest versions of TSER models used in the previous study. We show that none of the previously evaluated regressors can outperform a regression adaptation of a standard classifier, rotation forest. We introduce two new TSER algorithms developed from related work in time series classification. FreshPRINCE is a pipeline estimator consisting of a transform into a wide range of summary features followed by a rotation forest regressor. DrCIF is a tree ensemble that creates features from summary statistics over random intervals. Our study demonstrates that both algorithms, along with InceptionTime, exhibit significantly better performance compared to the other 18 regressors tested. More importantly, these two proposals (DrCIF and FreshPRINCE) models are the only ones that significantly outperform the standard rotation forest regressor.

Group fairness metrics are an established way of assessing the fairness of prediction-based decision-making systems. However, these metrics are still insufficiently linked to philosophical theories, and their moral meaning is often unclear. In this paper, we propose a comprehensive framework for group fairness metrics, which links them to more theories of distributive justice. The different group fairness metrics differ in their choices about how to measure the benefit or harm of a decision for the affected individuals, and what moral claims to benefits are assumed. Our unifying framework reveals the normative choices associated with standard group fairness metrics and allows an interpretation of their moral substance. In addition, this broader view provides a structure for the expansion of standard fairness metrics that we find in the literature. This expansion allows addressing several criticisms of standard group fairness metrics, specifically: (1) they are parity-based, i.e., they demand some form of equality between groups, which may sometimes be detrimental to marginalized groups; (2) they only compare decisions across groups but not the resulting consequences for these groups; and (3) the full breadth of the distributive justice literature is not sufficiently represented.

Pre-trained language models (LMs) are used for knowledge intensive tasks like question answering, but their knowledge gets continuously outdated as the world changes. Prior work has studied targeted updates to LMs, injecting individual facts and evaluating whether the model learns these facts while not changing predictions on other contexts. We take a step forward and study LMs' abilities to make inferences based on injected facts (or propagate those facts): for example, after learning that something is a TV show, does an LM predict that you can watch it? We study this with two cloze-style tasks: an existing dataset of real-world sentences about novel entities (ECBD) as well as a new controlled benchmark with manually designed templates requiring varying levels of inference about injected knowledge. Surprisingly, we find that existing methods for updating knowledge (gradient-based fine-tuning and modifications of this approach) show little propagation of injected knowledge. These methods improve performance on cloze instances only when there is lexical overlap between injected facts and target inferences. Yet, prepending entity definitions in an LM's context improves performance across all settings, suggesting that there is substantial headroom for parameter-updating approaches for knowledge injection.

We consider the coordinated escort problem, where a decentralised team of supporting robots implicitly assist the mission of higher-value principal robots. The defining challenge is how to evaluate the effect of supporting robots' actions on the principal robots' mission. To capture this effect, we define two novel auxiliary reward functions for supporting robots called satisfaction improvement and satisfaction entropy, which computes the improvement in probability of mission success, or the uncertainty thereof. Given these reward functions, we coordinate the entire team of principal and supporting robots using decentralised cross entropy method (Dec-CEM), a new extension of CEM to multi-agent systems based on the product distribution approximation. In a simulated object avoidance scenario, our planning framework demonstrates up to two-fold improvement in task satisfaction against conventional decoupled information gathering.The significance of our results is to introduce a new family of algorithmic problems that will enable important new practical applications of heterogeneous multi-robot systems.

NLP datasets are richer than just input-output pairs; rather, they carry causal relations between the input and output variables. In this work, we take sentiment classification as an example and look into the causal relations between the review (X) and sentiment (Y). As psychology studies show that language can affect emotion, different psychological processes are evoked when a person first makes a rating and then self-rationalizes their feeling in a review (where the sentiment causes the review, i.e., Y -> X), versus first describes their experience, and weighs the pros and cons to give a final rating (where the review causes the sentiment, i.e., X -> Y ). Furthermore, it is also a completely different psychological process if an annotator infers the original rating of the user by theory of mind (ToM) (where the review causes the rating, i.e., X -ToM-> Y ). In this paper, we verbalize these three causal mechanisms of human psychological processes of sentiment classification into three different causal prompts, and study (1) how differently they perform, and (2) what nature of sentiment classification data leads to agreement or diversity in the model responses elicited by the prompts. We suggest future work raise awareness of different causal structures in NLP tasks. Our code and data are at https://github.com/cogito233/psych-causal-prompt

Stance detection is the identification of an author's beliefs about a subject from a document. Researchers widely rely on sentiment analysis to accomplish this. However, recent research has show that sentiment analysis is only loosely correlated with stance, if at all. This paper advances methods in text analysis by precisely defining the task of stance detection, providing a generalized framework for the task, and then presenting three distinct approaches for performing stance detection: supervised classification, zero-shot classification with NLI classifiers, and in-context learning. In doing so, I demonstrate how zero-shot and few-shot language classifiers can replace human labelers for a variety of tasks and discuss how their application and limitations differ from supervised classifiers. Finally, I demonstrate an application of zero-shot stance detection by replicating Block Jr et al. (2022).

Online inference is becoming a key service product for many businesses, deployed in cloud platforms to meet customer demands. Despite their revenue-generation capability, these services need to operate under tight Quality-of-Service (QoS) and cost budget constraints. This paper introduces KAIROS, a novel runtime framework that maximizes the query throughput while meeting QoS target and a cost budget. KAIROS designs and implements novel techniques to build a pool of heterogeneous compute hardware without online exploration overhead, and distribute inference queries optimally at runtime. Our evaluation using industry-grade deep learning (DL) models shows that KAIROS yields up to 2X the throughput of an optimal homogeneous solution, and outperforms state-of-the-art schemes by up to 70%, despite advantageous implementations of the competing schemes to ignore their exploration overhead.

Variational quantum circuits (VQCs) [1] are candidates for achieving practical quantum advantages in the noisy intermediate-scale quantum (NISQ) era [2], when scalable error-corrected quantum computers are not yet available. VQCs utilize classical control to optimize a quantum circuit to solve computation problems, including optimization [3], eigen-system problem [4-10], partial-differential equations [11], quantum simulation [12-14] and machine learning [15-23]. As a general approach of designing quantum circuits, it has also found applications in the approximation [24], preparation [25, 26], classification [27-31] and tomography [32] of quantum states. Initial works on VQCs concern discrete-variable (DV) finite-dimensional systems of qubits, which are natural for computation; while continous-variable (CV) systems of bosonic qumodes are less explored. Yet, many important quantum systems are modelled by qumodes. For example, quantum communication and networking [33-37] rely on photons--the only flying quantum information carrier. In this regard, quantum transduction and entanglement distillation are shown to be enhanced by CV VQCs [38]; Photonic quantum computers [39, 40] are also relying on bosonic encoding such as the cat code and Gottesman-Kitaev-Preskill (GKP) code [41], which has shown great promise [42, 43]. The engineering of such code states are greatly boosted by CV VQCs [44-47]; Finally, distributed entangled sensor networks ubiquitously rely on CV VQCs to achieve quantum advantages in sensing [48-51] and data classification [52, 53]. Different from traditional algorithms, the runtime of VQCs is characterized by the time necessary to train the variational parameters to optimize a cost function.

Adversarial attacks have gained traction in order to identify potential vulnerabilities in neural ranking models (NRMs), but current attack methods often introduce grammatical errors, nonsensical expressions, or incoherent text fragments, which can be easily detected. Additionally, current methods rely heavily on the use of a well-imitated surrogate NRM to guarantee the attack effect, which makes them difficult to use in practice. To address these issues, we propose a framework called Imperceptible DocumEnt Manipulation (IDEM) to produce adversarial documents that are less noticeable to both algorithms and humans. IDEM instructs a well-established generative language model, such as BART, to generate connection sentences without introducing easy-to-detect errors, and employs a separate position-wise merging strategy to balance relevance and coherence of the perturbed text. Experimental results on the popular MS MARCO benchmark demonstrate that IDEM can outperform strong baselines while preserving fluency and correctness of the target documents as evidenced by automatic and human evaluations. Furthermore, the separation of adversarial text generation from the surrogate NRM makes IDEM more robust and less affected by the quality of the surrogate NRM.