Government
UN advisor says AI may have 'massive' impact on voters: 2024 will be the 'deepfake election'
Neil Sahota discussed the potential impact of artificial intelligence on future elections and people's ability to make informed decisions when choosing political candidates Artificial intelligence (AI) generated deepfakes are likely to have a "massive" impact on voters in future elections and there isn't much that can be done right now to stop it, according to an AI advisor for the United Nations (UN). Speaking with Fox News Digital, Neil Sahota said his sources warned the growing use of deepfake advertisements may very well be "the greatest threat to democracy." "A lot of people--and I think those in the media too, are calling the 2024 election'the deepfake election' that is probably going to be marred by tons and tons of deepfakes," Sahota said. "Not much can be done right now to stop any of that." While the UN and various other organizations and corporations are working quickly to roll out software that can detect deepfakes, Sahota noted that common verification tools, such as watermarks, are relatively easy to circumvent in their current iterations.
Russia downs 3 combat drones in latest attempted raid on Moscow
Russian air defence systems have taken down three unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) that tried to attack Moscow, the latest raid on Russia's capital by combat drones that authorities have accused Ukraine of launching. Russia's defence ministry said one drone was jammed electronically and crashed into a building in central Moscow early on Wednesday morning, and two more were shot down by air defence systems outside the capital. Moscow's Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said on the Telegram messaging app that one downed drone had hit a building that was under construction in central Moscow, and another was shot down in a district to the west of the city. The second UAV hit a building under construction in the City," Sobyanin said on Telegram. Russia's defence ministry said that the third drone was shot down in the Khimki district of Moscow.
Russia-Ukraine war: List of key events, day 546
General Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, the deputy commander of Ukrainian forces in the south, said Ukraine's troops had gained a footing in the southeastern village of Robotyne and were organising the evacuation of civilians. Oleksandr Prokudin, the governor of Ukraine's Kherson region, said an elderly woman was killed and a 55-year-old man injured in Russian air attacks. A drone raid was reported in Moscow, forcing a temporary halt to air traffic at Vnukovo, Sheremetyevo and Domodedovo airports. City Mayor Sergei Sobyanin said Russian air defence systems shot down the two drones west of the capital and blamed Ukraine. Russia's Air Force said it scrambled two jets against two drones flying near the Crimean Peninsula, which it annexed in 2014.
Dynamic landslide susceptibility mapping over recent three decades to uncover variations in landslide causes in subtropical urban mountainous areas
Ma, Peifeng, Chen, Li, Yu, Chang, Zhu, Qing, Ding, Yulin
Landslide susceptibility assessment (LSA) is of paramount importance in mitigating landslide risks. Recently, there has been a surge in the utilization of data-driven methods for predicting landslide susceptibility due to the growing availability of aerial and satellite data. Nonetheless, the rapid oscillations within the landslide-inducing environment (LIE), primarily due to significant changes in external triggers such as rainfall, pose difficulties for contemporary data-driven LSA methodologies to accommodate LIEs over diverse timespans. This study presents dynamic landslide susceptibility mapping that simply employs multiple predictive models for annual LSA. In practice, this will inevitably encounter small sample problems due to the limited number of landslide samples in certain years. Another concern arises owing to the majority of the existing LSA approaches train black-box models to fit distinct datasets, yet often failing in generalization and providing comprehensive explanations concerning the interactions between input features and predictions. Accordingly, we proposed to meta-learn representations with fast adaptation ability using a few samples and gradient updates; and apply SHAP for each model interpretation and landslide feature permutation. Additionally, we applied MT-InSAR for LSA result enhancement and validation. The chosen study area is Lantau Island, Hong Kong, where we conducted a comprehensive dynamic LSA spanning from 1992 to 2019. The model interpretation results demonstrate that the primary factors responsible for triggering landslides in Lantau Island are terrain slope and extreme rainfall. The results also indicate that the variation in landslide causes can be primarily attributed to extreme rainfall events, which result from global climate change, and the implementation of the Landslip Prevention and Mitigation Programme (LPMitP) by the Hong Kong government.
False Information, Bots and Malicious Campaigns: Demystifying Elements of Social Media Manipulations
Akhtar, Mohammad Majid, Masood, Rahat, Ikram, Muhammad, Kanhere, Salil S.
The rapid spread of false information and persistent manipulation attacks on online social networks (OSNs), often for political, ideological, or financial gain, has affected the openness of OSNs. While researchers from various disciplines have investigated different manipulation-triggering elements of OSNs (such as understanding information diffusion on OSNs or detecting automated behavior of accounts), these works have not been consolidated to present a comprehensive overview of the interconnections among these elements. Notably, user psychology, the prevalence of bots, and their tactics in relation to false information detection have been overlooked in previous research. To address this research gap, this paper synthesizes insights from various disciplines to provide a comprehensive analysis of the manipulation landscape. By integrating the primary elements of social media manipulation (SMM), including false information, bots, and malicious campaigns, we extensively examine each SMM element. Through a systematic investigation of prior research, we identify commonalities, highlight existing gaps, and extract valuable insights in the field. Our findings underscore the urgent need for interdisciplinary research to effectively combat social media manipulations, and our systematization can guide future research efforts and assist OSN providers in ensuring the safety and integrity of their platforms.
American Stories: A Large-Scale Structured Text Dataset of Historical U.S. Newspapers
Dell, Melissa, Carlson, Jacob, Bryan, Tom, Silcock, Emily, Arora, Abhishek, Shen, Zejiang, D'Amico-Wong, Luca, Le, Quan, Querubin, Pablo, Heldring, Leander
Existing full text datasets of U.S. public domain newspapers do not recognize the often complex layouts of newspaper scans, and as a result the digitized content scrambles texts from articles, headlines, captions, advertisements, and other layout regions. OCR quality can also be low. This study develops a novel, deep learning pipeline for extracting full article texts from newspaper images and applies it to the nearly 20 million scans in Library of Congress's public domain Chronicling America collection. The pipeline includes layout detection, legibility classification, custom OCR, and association of article texts spanning multiple bounding boxes. To achieve high scalability, it is built with efficient architectures designed for mobile phones. The resulting American Stories dataset provides high quality data that could be used for pre-training a large language model to achieve better understanding of historical English and historical world knowledge. The dataset could also be added to the external database of a retrieval-augmented language model to make historical information - ranging from interpretations of political events to minutiae about the lives of people's ancestors - more widely accessible. Furthermore, structured article texts facilitate using transformer-based methods for popular social science applications like topic classification, detection of reproduced content, and news story clustering. Finally, American Stories provides a massive silver quality dataset for innovating multimodal layout analysis models and other multimodal applications.
Augmenting medical image classifiers with synthetic data from latent diffusion models
Sagers, Luke W., Diao, James A., Melas-Kyriazi, Luke, Groh, Matthew, Rajpurkar, Pranav, Adamson, Adewole S., Rotemberg, Veronica, Daneshjou, Roxana, Manrai, Arjun K.
While hundreds of artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms are now approved or cleared by the US Food and Drugs Administration (FDA), many studies have shown inconsistent generalization or latent bias, particularly for underrepresented populations. Some have proposed that generative AI could reduce the need for real data, but its utility in model development remains unclear. Skin disease serves as a useful case study in synthetic image generation due to the diversity of disease appearance, particularly across the protected attribute of skin tone. Here we show that latent diffusion models can scalably generate images of skin disease and that augmenting model training with these data improves performance in data-limited settings. These performance gains saturate at synthetic-to-real image ratios above 10:1 and are substantially smaller than the gains obtained from adding real images. As part of our analysis, we generate and analyze a new dataset of 458,920 synthetic images produced using several generation strategies. Our results suggest that synthetic data could serve as a force-multiplier for model development, but the collection of diverse real-world data remains the most important step to improve medical AI algorithms.
A Theory of Intelligences: Concepts, Models, Implications
Intelligence is a human construct to represent the ability to achieve goals. Given this wide berth, intelligence has been defined countless times, studied in a variety of ways and quantified using numerous measures. Understanding intelligence ultimately requires theory and quantification, both of which are elusive. My main objectives are to identify some of the central elements in and surrounding intelligence, discuss some of its challenges and propose a theory based on first principles. I focus on intelligence as defined by and for humans, frequently in comparison to machines, with the intention of setting the stage for more general characterizations in life, collectives, human designs such as AI and in non-designed physical and chemical systems. I discuss key features of intelligence, including path efficiency and goal accuracy, intelligence as a Black Box, environmental influences, flexibility to deal with surprisal, the regress of intelligence, the relativistic nature of intelligence and difficulty, and temporal changes in intelligence including its evolution. I present a framework for a first principles Theory of IntelligenceS (TIS), based on the quantifiable macro-scale system features of difficulty, surprisal and goal resolution accuracy. The proposed partitioning of uncertainty/solving and accuracy/understanding is particularly novel since it predicts that paths to a goal not only function to accurately achieve goals, but as experimentations leading to higher probabilities for future attainable goals and increased breadth to enter new goal spaces. TIS can therefore explain endeavors that do not necessarily affect Darwinian fitness, such as leisure, politics, games and art. I conclude with several conceptual advances of TIS including a compact mathematical form of surprisal and difficulty, the theoretical basis of TIS, and open questions.
Open-set Face Recognition with Neural Ensemble, Maximal Entropy Loss and Feature Augmentation
Vareto, Rafael Henrique, Günther, Manuel, Schwartz, William Robson
Open-set face recognition refers to a scenario in which biometric systems have incomplete knowledge of all existing subjects. Therefore, they are expected to prevent face samples of unregistered subjects from being identified as previously enrolled identities. This watchlist context adds an arduous requirement that calls for the dismissal of irrelevant faces by focusing mainly on subjects of interest. As a response, this work introduces a novel method that associates an ensemble of compact neural networks with a margin-based cost function that explores additional samples. Supplementary negative samples can be obtained from external databases or synthetically built at the representation level in training time with a new mix-up feature augmentation approach. Deep neural networks pre-trained on large face datasets serve as the preliminary feature extraction module. We carry out experiments on well-known LFW and IJB-C datasets where results show that the approach is able to boost closed and open-set identification rates.
On-Manifold Projected Gradient Descent
Mahler, Aaron, Berry, Tyrus, Stephens, Tom, Antil, Harbir, Merritt, Michael, Schreiber, Jeanie, Kevrekidis, Ioannis
This work provides a computable, direct, and mathematically rigorous approximation to the differential geometry of class manifolds for high-dimensional data, along with nonlinear projections from input space onto these class manifolds. The tools are applied to the setting of neural network image classifiers, where we generate novel, on-manifold data samples, and implement a projected gradient descent algorithm for on-manifold adversarial training. The susceptibility of neural networks (NNs) to adversarial attack highlights the brittle nature of NN decision boundaries in input space. Introducing adversarial examples during training has been shown to reduce the susceptibility of NNs to adversarial attack; however, it has also been shown to reduce the accuracy of the classifier if the examples are not valid examples for that class. Realistic "on-manifold" examples have been previously generated from class manifolds in the latent of an autoencoder. Our work explores these phenomena in a geometric and computational setting that is much closer to the raw, high-dimensional input space than can be provided by VAE or other black box dimensionality reductions. We employ conformally invariant diffusion maps (CIDM) to approximate class manifolds in diffusion coordinates, and develop the Nystr\"{o}m projection to project novel points onto class manifolds in this setting. On top of the manifold approximation, we leverage the spectral exterior calculus (SEC) to determine geometric quantities such as tangent vectors of the manifold. We use these tools to obtain adversarial examples that reside on a class manifold, yet fool a classifier. These misclassifications then become explainable in terms of human-understandable manipulations within the data, by expressing the on-manifold adversary in the semantic basis on the manifold.