Government
Multimodal Analysis Of Google Bard And GPT-Vision: Experiments In Visual Reasoning
Noever, David, Noever, Samantha Elizabeth Miller
Addressing the gap in understanding visual comprehension in Large Language Models (LLMs), we designed a challenge-response study, subjecting Google Bard and GPT-Vision to 64 visual tasks, spanning categories like "Visual Situational Reasoning" and "Next Scene Prediction." Previous models, such as GPT4, leaned heavily on optical character recognition tools like Tesseract, whereas Bard and GPT-Vision, akin to Google Lens and Visual API, employ deep learning techniques for visual text recognition. However, our findings spotlight both vision-language model's limitations: while proficient in solving visual CAPTCHAs that stump ChatGPT alone, it falters in recreating visual elements like ASCII art or analyzing Tic Tac Toe grids, suggesting an over-reliance on educated visual guesses. The prediction problem based on visual inputs appears particularly challenging with no common-sense guesses for next-scene forecasting based on current "next-token" multimodal models. This study provides experimental insights into the current capacities and areas for improvement in multimodal LLMs.
Ensemble learning for blending gridded satellite and gauge-measured precipitation data
Papacharalampous, Georgia, Tyralis, Hristos, Doulamis, Nikolaos, Doulamis, Anastasios
Regression algorithms are regularly used for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products. In this context, satellite precipitation and topography data are the predictor variables, and gauged-measured precipitation data are the dependent variables. Alongside this, it is increasingly recognised in many fields that combinations of algorithms through ensemble learning can lead to substantial predictive performance improvements. Still, a sufficient number of ensemble learners for improving the accuracy of satellite precipitation products and their large-scale comparison are currently missing from the literature. In this study, we work towards filling in this specific gap by proposing 11 new ensemble learners in the field and by extensively comparing them. We apply the ensemble learners to monthly data from the PERSIANN (Precipitation Estimation from Remotely Sensed Information using Artificial Neural Networks) and IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for GPM) gridded datasets that span over a 15-year period and over the entire the contiguous United States (CONUS). We also use gauge-measured precipitation data from the Global Historical Climatology Network monthly database, version 2 (GHCNm). The ensemble learners combine the predictions of six machine learning regression algorithms (base learners), namely the multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), multivariate adaptive polynomial splines (poly-MARS), random forests (RF), gradient boosting machines (GBM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and Bayesian regularized neural networks (BRNN), and each of them is based on a different combiner. The combiners include the equal-weight combiner, the median combiner, two best learners and seven variants of a sophisticated stacking method. The latter stacks a regression algorithm on top of the base learners to combine their independent predictions...
The CoT Collection: Improving Zero-shot and Few-shot Learning of Language Models via Chain-of-Thought Fine-Tuning
Kim, Seungone, Joo, Se June, Kim, Doyoung, Jang, Joel, Ye, Seonghyeon, Shin, Jamin, Seo, Minjoon
Language models (LMs) with less than 100B parameters are known to perform poorly on chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning in contrast to large LMs when solving unseen tasks. In this work, we aim to equip smaller LMs with the step-by-step reasoning capability by instruction tuning with CoT rationales. In order to achieve this goal, we first introduce a new instruction-tuning dataset called the CoT Collection, which augments the existing Flan Collection (including only 9 CoT tasks) with additional 1.84 million rationales across 1,060 tasks. We show that CoT fine-tuning Flan-T5 (3B & 11B) with CoT Collection enables smaller LMs to have better CoT capabilities on unseen tasks. On the BIG-Bench-Hard (BBH) benchmark, we report an average improvement of +4.34% (Flan-T5 3B) and +2.60% (Flan-T5 11B), in terms of zero-shot task accuracy. Furthermore, we show that instruction tuning with CoT Collection allows LMs to possess stronger few-shot learning capabilities on 4 domain-specific tasks, resulting in an improvement of +2.24% (Flan-T5 3B) and +2.37% (Flan-T5 11B), even outperforming ChatGPT utilizing demonstrations until the max length by a +13.98% margin. Our code, the CoT Collection data, and model checkpoints are publicly available.
Towards Unified AI Drug Discovery with Multiple Knowledge Modalities
Luo, Yizhen, Liu, Xing Yi, Yang, Kai, Huang, Kui, Hong, Massimo, Zhang, Jiahuan, Wu, Yushuai, Nie, Zaiqing
In recent years, AI models that mine intrinsic patterns from molecular structures and protein sequences have shown promise in accelerating drug discovery. However, these methods partly lag behind real-world pharmaceutical approaches of human experts that additionally grasp structured knowledge from knowledge bases and unstructured knowledge from biomedical literature. To bridge this gap, we propose KEDD, a unified, end-to-end, and multimodal deep learning framework that optimally incorporates both structured and unstructured knowledge for vast AI drug discovery tasks. The framework first extracts underlying characteristics from heterogeneous inputs, and then applies multimodal fusion for accurate prediction. To mitigate the problem of missing modalities, we leverage multi-head sparse attention and a modality masking mechanism to extract relevant information robustly. Benefiting from integrated knowledge, our framework achieves a deeper understanding of molecule entities, brings significant improvements over state-of-the-art methods on a wide range of tasks and benchmarks, and reveals its promising potential in assisting real-world drug discovery.
Physical Adversarial Attacks for Surveillance: A Survey
Nguyen, Kien, Fernando, Tharindu, Fookes, Clinton, Sridharan, Sridha
Modern automated surveillance techniques are heavily reliant on deep learning methods. Despite the superior performance, these learning systems are inherently vulnerable to adversarial attacks - maliciously crafted inputs that are designed to mislead, or trick, models into making incorrect predictions. An adversary can physically change their appearance by wearing adversarial t-shirts, glasses, or hats or by specific behavior, to potentially avoid various forms of detection, tracking and recognition of surveillance systems; and obtain unauthorized access to secure properties and assets. This poses a severe threat to the security and safety of modern surveillance systems. This paper reviews recent attempts and findings in learning and designing physical adversarial attacks for surveillance applications. In particular, we propose a framework to analyze physical adversarial attacks and provide a comprehensive survey of physical adversarial attacks on four key surveillance tasks: detection, identification, tracking, and action recognition under this framework. Furthermore, we review and analyze strategies to defend against the physical adversarial attacks and the methods for evaluating the strengths of the defense. The insights in this paper present an important step in building resilience within surveillance systems to physical adversarial attacks.
Digital Twins in Wind Energy: Emerging Technologies and Industry-Informed Future Directions
Stadtman, Florian, Rasheed, Adil, Kvamsdal, Trond, Johannessen, Kjetil Andrรฉ, San, Omer, Kรถlle, Konstanze, Tande, John Olav Giรฆver, Barstad, Idar, Benhamou, Alexis, Brathaug, Thomas, Christiansen, Tore, Firle, Anouk-Letizia, Fjeldly, Alexander, Frรธyd, Lars, Gleim, Alexander, Hรธiberget, Alexander, Meissner, Catherine, Nygรฅrd, Guttorm, Olsen, Jรธrgen, Paulshus, Hรฅvard, Rasmussen, Tore, Rishoff, Elling, Scibilia, Francesco, Skogรฅs, John Olav
This article presents a comprehensive overview of the digital twin technology and its capability levels, with a specific focus on its applications in the wind energy industry. It consolidates the definitions of digital twin and its capability levels on a scale from 0-5; 0-standalone, 1-descriptive, 2-diagnostic, 3-predictive, 4-prescriptive, 5-autonomous. It then, from an industrial perspective, identifies the current state of the art and research needs in the wind energy sector. The article proposes approaches to the identified challenges from the perspective of research institutes and offers a set of recommendations for diverse stakeholders to facilitate the acceptance of the technology. The contribution of this article lies in its synthesis of the current state of knowledge and its identification of future research needs and challenges from an industry perspective, ultimately providing a roadmap for future research and development in the field of digital twin and its applications in the wind energy industry.
DPZero: Dimension-Independent and Differentially Private Zeroth-Order Optimization
Zhang, Liang, Thekumparampil, Kiran Koshy, Oh, Sewoong, He, Niao
The widespread practice of fine-tuning pretrained large language models (LLMs) on domain-specific data faces two major challenges in memory and privacy. First, as the size of LLMs continue to grow, encompassing billions of parameters, the memory demands of gradient-based training methods via backpropagation become prohibitively high. Second, given the tendency of LLMs to memorize and disclose sensitive training data, the privacy of fine-tuning data must be respected. To this end, we explore the potential of zeroth-order methods in differentially private optimization for fine-tuning LLMs. Zeroth-order methods, which rely solely on forward passes, substantially reduce memory consumption during training. However, directly combining them with standard differential privacy mechanism poses dimension-dependent complexity. To bridge the gap, we introduce DPZero, a novel differentially private zeroth-order algorithm with nearly dimension-independent rates. Our theoretical analysis reveals that its complexity hinges primarily on the problem's intrinsic dimension and exhibits only a logarithmic dependence on the ambient dimension. This renders DPZero a highly practical option for real-world LLMs deployments.
Adaptive maximization of social welfare
Cesa-Bianchi, Nicolo, Colomboni, Roberto, Kasy, Maximilian
We consider the problem of repeatedly choosing policies to maximize social welfare. Welfare is a weighted sum of private utility and public revenue. Earlier outcomes inform later policies. Utility is not observed, but indirectly inferred. Response functions are learned through experimentation. We derive a lower bound on regret, and a matching adversarial upper bound for a variant of the Exp3 algorithm. Cumulative regret grows at a rate of $T^{2/3}$. This implies that (i) welfare maximization is harder than the multi-armed bandit problem (with a rate of $T^{1/2}$ for finite policy sets), and (ii) our algorithm achieves the optimal rate. For the stochastic setting, if social welfare is concave, we can achieve a rate of $T^{1/2}$ (for continuous policy sets), using a dyadic search algorithm. We analyze an extension to nonlinear income taxation, and sketch an extension to commodity taxation. We compare our setting to monopoly pricing (which is easier), and price setting for bilateral trade (which is harder).
ARM: Refining Multivariate Forecasting with Adaptive Temporal-Contextual Learning
Lu, Jiecheng, Han, Xu, Yang, Shihao
Long-term time series forecasting (LTSF) is important for various domains but is confronted by challenges in handling the complex temporal-contextual relationships. As multivariate input models underperforming some recent univariate counterparts, we posit that the issue lies in the inefficiency of existing multivariate LTSF Transformers to model series-wise relationships: the characteristic differences between series are often captured incorrectly. To address this, we introduce ARM: a multivariate temporal-contextual adaptive learning method, which is an enhanced architecture specifically designed for multivariate LTSF modelling. ARM employs Adaptive Univariate Effect Learning (AUEL), Random Dropping (RD) training strategy, and Multi-kernel Local Smoothing (MKLS), to better handle individual series temporal patterns and correctly learn inter-series dependencies. ARM demonstrates superior performance on multiple benchmarks without significantly increasing computational costs compared to vanilla Transformer, thereby advancing the state-of-the-art in LTSF. ARM is also generally applicable to other LTSF architecture beyond vanilla Transformer.
How stores are spying on you using creepy facial recognition technology without your consent
CyberGuy shows Apple users how to send Audio Messages on iOS 17. Have you ever wondered if the stores where you shop are watching you? With something more advanced and creepy. Something that can recognize your face and identify who you are, where you live, what you like and what you buy. Something that can track your every move and use your data for their own benefit.