Government
Anduril's New Drone Killer Is Locked on to AI-Powered Warfare
After Palmer Luckey founded Anduril in 2017, he promised it would be a new kind of defense contractor, inspired by hacker ingenuity and Silicon Valley speed. The company's latest product, a jet-powered, AI-controlled combat drone called Roadrunner, is inspired by the grim reality of modern conflict, especially in Ukraine, where large numbers of cheap, agile suicide drones have proven highly deadly over the past year. "The problem we saw emerging was this very low-cost, very high-quantity, increasingly sophisticated and advanced aerial threat," says Christian Brose, chief strategy officer at Anduril. This kind of aerial threat has come to define the conflict in Ukraine, where Ukrainian and Russian forces are locked in an arms race involving large numbers of cheap drones capable of loitering autonomously before attacking a target by delivering an explosive payload. These systems, which include US-made Switchblades on the Ukrainian side, can evade jamming and ground defenses and may need to be shot down by either a fighter jet or a missile that costs many times more to use.
The Ethics of Automating Legal Actors
Valvoda, Josef, Thompson, Alec, Cotterell, Ryan, Teufel, Simone
The introduction of large public legal datasets has brought about a renaissance in legal NLP. Many of these datasets are comprised of legal judgements - the product of judges deciding cases. This fact, together with the way machine learning works, means that several legal NLP models are models of judges. While some have argued for the automation of judges, in this position piece, we argue that automating the role of the judge raises difficult ethical challenges, in particular for common law legal systems. Our argument follows from the social role of the judge in actively shaping the law, rather than merely applying it. Since current NLP models come nowhere close to having the facilities necessary for this task, they should not be used to automate judges. Furthermore, even in the case the models could achieve human-level capabilities, there would still be remaining ethical concerns inherent in the automation of the legal process.
Video Summarization: Towards Entity-Aware Captions
Ayyubi, Hammad A., Liu, Tianqi, Nagrani, Arsha, Lin, Xudong, Zhang, Mingda, Arnab, Anurag, Han, Feng, Zhu, Yukun, Liu, Jialu, Chang, Shih-Fu
Existing popular video captioning benchmarks and models deal with generic captions devoid of specific person, place or organization named entities. In contrast, news videos present a challenging setting where the caption requires such named entities for meaningful summarization. As such, we propose the task of summarizing news video directly to entity-aware captions. We also release a large-scale dataset, VIEWS (VIdeo NEWS), to support research on this task. Further, we propose a method that augments visual information from videos with context retrieved from external world knowledge to generate entity-aware captions. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach on three video captioning models. We also show that our approach generalizes to existing news image captions dataset. With all the extensive experiments and insights, we believe we establish a solid basis for future research on this challenging task.
Data-Driven Autoencoder Numerical Solver with Uncertainty Quantification for Fast Physical Simulations
Bonneville, Christophe, Choi, Youngsoo, Ghosh, Debojyoti, Belof, Jonathan L.
Traditional partial differential equation (PDE) solvers can be computationally expensive, which motivates the development of faster methods, such as reduced-order-models (ROMs). We present GPLaSDI, a hybrid deep-learning and Bayesian ROM. GPLaSDI trains an autoencoder on full-order-model (FOM) data and simultaneously learns simpler equations governing the latent space. These equations are interpolated with Gaussian Processes, allowing for uncertainty quantification and active learning, even with limited access to the FOM solver. Our framework is able to achieve up to 100,000 times speed-up and less than 7% relative error on fluid mechanics problems.
Learning county from pixels: Corn yield prediction with attention-weighted multiple instance learning
Wang, Xiaoyu, Ma, Yuchi, Huang, Qunying, Yang, Zhengwei, Zhang, Zhou
Remote sensing technology has become a promising tool in yield prediction. Most prior work employs satellite imagery for county-level corn yield prediction by spatially aggregating all pixels within a county into a single value, potentially overlooking the detailed information and valuable insights offered by more granular data. To this end, this research examines each county at the pixel level and applies multiple instance learning to leverage detailed information within a county. In addition, our method addresses the "mixed pixel" issue caused by the inconsistent resolution between feature datasets and crop mask, which may introduce noise into the model and therefore hinder accurate yield prediction. Specifically, the attention mechanism is employed to automatically assign weights to different pixels, which can mitigate the influence of mixed pixels. The experimental results show that the developed model outperforms four other machine learning models over the past five years in the U.S. corn belt and demonstrates its best performance in 2022, achieving a coefficient of determination (R2) value of 0.84 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.83. This paper demonstrates the advantages of our approach from both spatial and temporal perspectives. Furthermore, through an in-depth study of the relationship between mixed pixels and attention, it is verified that our approach can capture critical feature information while filtering out noise from mixed pixels.
PACE: A Program Analysis Framework for Continuous Performance Prediction
Software development teams establish elaborate continuous integration pipelines containing automated test cases to accelerate the development process of software. Automated tests help to verify the correctness of code modifications decreasing the response time to changing requirements. However, when the software teams do not track the performance impact of pending modifications, they may need to spend considerable time refactoring existing code. This paper presents PACE, a program analysis framework that provides continuous feedback on the performance impact of pending code updates. We design performance microbenchmarks by mapping the execution time of functional test cases given a code update. We map microbenchmarks to code stylometry features and feed them to predictors for performance predictions. Our experiments achieved significant performance in predicting code performance, outperforming current state-of-the-art by 75% on neural-represented code stylometry features.
Explaining Knock-on Effects of Bias Mitigation
Nizhnichenkov, Svetoslav, Nair, Rahul, Daly, Elizabeth, Mac Namee, Brian
In machine learning systems, bias mitigation approaches aim to make outcomes fairer across privileged and unprivileged groups. Bias mitigation methods work in different ways and have known "waterfall" effects, e.g., mitigating bias at one place may manifest bias elsewhere. In this paper, we aim to characterise impacted cohorts when mitigation interventions are applied. To do so, we treat intervention effects as a classification task and learn an explainable meta-classifier to identify cohorts that have altered outcomes. We examine a range of bias mitigation strategies that work at various stages of the model life cycle. We empirically demonstrate that our meta-classifier is able to uncover impacted cohorts. Further, we show that all tested mitigation strategies negatively impact a non-trivial fraction of cases, i.e., people who receive unfavourable outcomes solely on account of mitigation efforts. This is despite improvement in fairness metrics. We use these results as a basis to argue for more careful audits of static mitigation interventions that go beyond aggregate metrics.
Questioning Biases in Case Judgment Summaries: Legal Datasets or Large Language Models?
Deroy, Aniket, Maity, Subhankar
The evolution of legal datasets and the advent of large language models (LLMs) have significantly transformed the legal field, particularly in the generation of case judgment summaries. However, a critical concern arises regarding the potential biases embedded within these summaries. This study scrutinizes the biases present in case judgment summaries produced by legal datasets and large language models. The research aims to analyze the impact of biases on legal decision making. By interrogating the accuracy, fairness, and implications of biases in these summaries, this study contributes to a better understanding of the role of technology in legal contexts and the implications for justice systems worldwide. In this study, we investigate biases wrt Gender-related keywords, Race-related keywords, Keywords related to crime against women, Country names and religious keywords. The study shows interesting evidences of biases in the outputs generated by the large language models and pre-trained abstractive summarization models. The reasoning behind these biases needs further studies.
Consensus group decision making under model uncertainty with a view towards environmental policy making
Koundouri, Phoebe, Papayiannis, Georgios I., Petracou, Electra V., Yannacopoulos, Athanasios N.
Group decision making is an important field with interesting applications in various disciplines, among which environmental economics. Group decision, often requires that all or the majority of agents in the group agree to a single proposal or opinion, i.e. consensus. This is particularly true in cases where there is no coercion involved in the implementation of the decision made, so that the implementation of the decision depends on the good will, or rather the acceptance of the common decision by all members of the group. To make the discussion more concrete we consider the following generic situation: Assume that a group of agents, G, has to reach a common decision concerning policies regarding a future contingency X. Policies may refer for instance to the cost of abatement measures for protection against X, which clearly require the acceptance of a commonly acceptable estimate for the value of X by every member of the group as well as the acceptance of a commonly acceptably discount factor. Typically, different member of the group will have different valuations for X, therefore report different costs for the adverse effects of X. Moreover, different members of the group will have different discount rates for calculating the present value of the future adverse effect X.
Transfer learning for predicting source terms of principal component transport in chemically reactive flow
Jung, Ki Sung, Echekki, Tarek, Chen, Jacqueline H., Khalil, Mohammad
The objective of this study is to evaluate whether the number of requisite training samples can be reduced with the use of various transfer learning models for predicting, for example, the chemical source terms of the data-driven reduced-order model that represents the homogeneous ignition process of a hydrogen/air mixture. Principal component analysis is applied to reduce the dimensionality of the hydrogen/air mixture in composition space. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are used to tabulate the reaction rates of principal components, and subsequently, a system of ordinary differential equations is solved. As the number of training samples decreases at the target task (i.e.,for T0 > 1000 K and various phi), the reduced-order model fails to predict the ignition evolution of a hydrogen/air mixture. Three transfer learning strategies are then applied to the training of the ANN model with a sparse dataset. The performance of the reduced-order model with a sparse dataset is found to be remarkably enhanced if the training of the ANN model is restricted by a regularization term that controls the degree of knowledge transfer from source to target tasks. To this end, a novel transfer learning method is introduced, parameter control via partial initialization and regularization (PaPIR), whereby the amount of knowledge transferred is systemically adjusted for the initialization and regularization of the ANN model in the target task. It is found that an additional performance gain can be achieved by changing the initialization scheme of the ANN model in the target task when the task similarity between source and target tasks is relatively low.