Government
Diffusion Model-based Probabilistic Downscaling for 180-year East Asian Climate Reconstruction
Ling, Fenghua, Lu, Zeyu, Luo, Jing-Jia, Bai, Lei, Behera, Swadhin K., Jin, Dachao, Pan, Baoxiang, Jiang, Huidong, Yamagata, Toshio
As our planet is entering into the "global boiling" era, understanding regional climate change becomes imperative. Effective downscaling methods that provide localized insights are crucial for this target. Traditional approaches, including computationally-demanding regional dynamical models or statistical downscaling frameworks, are often susceptible to the influence of downscaling uncertainty. Here, we address these limitations by introducing a diffusion probabilistic downscaling model (DPDM) into the meteorological field. This model can efficiently transform data from 1{\deg} to 0.1{\deg} resolution. Compared with deterministic downscaling schemes, it not only has more accurate local details, but also can generate a large number of ensemble members based on probability distribution sampling to evaluate the uncertainty of downscaling. Additionally, we apply the model to generate a 180-year dataset of monthly surface variables in East Asia, offering a more detailed perspective for understanding local scale climate change over the past centuries.
IndiVec: An Exploration of Leveraging Large Language Models for Media Bias Detection with Fine-Grained Bias Indicators
Lin, Luyang, Wang, Lingzhi, Zhao, Xiaoyan, Li, Jing, Wong, Kam-Fai
This study focuses on media bias detection, crucial in today's era of influential social media platforms shaping individual attitudes and opinions. In contrast to prior work that primarily relies on training specific models tailored to particular datasets, resulting in limited adaptability and subpar performance on out-of-domain data, we introduce a general bias detection framework, IndiVec, built upon large language models. IndiVec begins by constructing a fine-grained media bias database, leveraging the robust instruction-following capabilities of large language models and vector database techniques. When confronted with new input for bias detection, our framework automatically selects the most relevant indicator from the vector database and employs majority voting to determine the input's bias label. IndiVec excels compared to previous methods due to its adaptability (demonstrating consistent performance across diverse datasets from various sources) and explainability (providing explicit top-k indicators to interpret bias predictions). Experimental results on four political bias datasets highlight IndiVec's significant superiority over baselines. Furthermore, additional experiments and analysis provide profound insights into the framework's effectiveness.
Discovering interpretable elastoplasticity models via the neural polynomial method enabled symbolic regressions
Bahmani, Bahador, Suh, Hyoung Suk, Sun, WaiChing
Conventional neural network elastoplasticity models are often perceived as lacking interpretability. This paper introduces a two-step machine learning approach that returns mathematical models interpretable by human experts. In particular, we introduce a surrogate model where yield surfaces are expressed in terms of a set of single-variable feature mappings obtained from supervised learning. A post-processing step is then used to re-interpret the set of single-variable neural network mapping functions into mathematical form through symbolic regression. This divide-and-conquer approach provides several important advantages. First, it enables us to overcome the scaling issue of symbolic regression algorithms. From a practical perspective, it enhances the portability of learned models for partial differential equation solvers written in different programming languages. Finally, it enables us to have a concrete understanding of the attributes of the materials, such as convexity and symmetries of models, through automated derivations and reasoning. Numerical examples have been provided, along with an open-source code to enable third-party validation.
The Political Preferences of LLMs
We report here a comprehensive analysis about the political preferences embedded in Large Language Models (LLMs). Namely, we administer 11 political orientation tests, designed to identify the political preferences of the test taker, to 24 state-of-the-art conversational LLMs, both close and open source. The results indicate that when probed with questions/statements with political connotations most conversational LLMs tend to generate responses that are diagnosed by most political test instruments as manifesting preferences for left-of-center viewpoints. We note that this is not the case for base (i.e. foundation) models upon which LLMs optimized for conversation with humans are built. However, base models' suboptimal performance at coherently answering questions suggests caution when interpreting their classification by political orientation tests. Though not conclusive, our results provide preliminary evidence for the intriguing hypothesis that the embedding of political preferences into LLMs might be happening mostly post-pretraining. Namely, during the supervised fine-tuning (SFT) and/or Reinforcement Learning (RL) stages of the conversational LLMs training pipeline. We provide further support for this hypothesis by showing that LLMs are easily steerable into target locations of the political spectrum via SFT requiring only modest compute and custom data, illustrating the ability of SFT to imprint political preferences onto LLMs. As LLMs have started to displace more traditional information sources such as search engines or Wikipedia, the implications of political biases embedded in LLMs has important societal ramifications.
COA-GPT: Generative Pre-trained Transformers for Accelerated Course of Action Development in Military Operations
Goecks, Vinicius G., Waytowich, Nicholas
The development of Courses of Action (COAs) in military operations is traditionally a time-consuming and intricate process. Addressing this challenge, this study introduces COA-GPT, a novel algorithm employing Large Language Models (LLMs) for rapid and efficient generation of valid COAs. COA-GPT incorporates military doctrine and domain expertise to LLMs through in-context learning, allowing commanders to input mission information - in both text and image formats - and receive strategically aligned COAs for review and approval. Uniquely, COA-GPT not only accelerates COA development, producing initial COAs within seconds, but also facilitates real-time refinement based on commander feedback. This work evaluates COA-GPT in a military-relevant scenario within a militarized version of the StarCraft II game, comparing its performance against state-of-the-art reinforcement learning algorithms. Our results demonstrate COA-GPT's superiority in generating strategically sound COAs more swiftly, with added benefits of enhanced adaptability and alignment with commander intentions. COA-GPT's capability to rapidly adapt and update COAs during missions presents a transformative potential for military planning, particularly in addressing planning discrepancies and capitalizing on emergent windows of opportunities.
Benchmarking Spiking Neural Network Learning Methods with Varying Locality
Lin, Jiaqi, Lu, Sen, Bal, Malyaban, Sengupta, Abhronil
Spiking Neural Networks (SNNs), providing more realistic neuronal dynamics, have shown to achieve performance comparable to Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) in several machine learning tasks. Information is processed as spikes within SNNs in an event-based mechanism that significantly reduces energy consumption. However, training SNNs is challenging due to the non-differentiable nature of the spiking mechanism. Traditional approaches, such as Backpropagation Through Time (BPTT), have shown effectiveness but comes with additional computational and memory costs and are biologically implausible. In contrast, recent works propose alternative learning methods with varying degrees of locality, demonstrating success in classification tasks. In this work, we show that these methods share similarities during the training process, while they present a trade-off between biological plausibility and performance. Further, this research examines the implicitly recurrent nature of SNNs and investigates the influence of addition of explicit recurrence to SNNs. We experimentally prove that the addition of explicit recurrent weights enhances the robustness of SNNs. We also investigate the performance of local learning methods under gradient and non-gradient based adversarial attacks.
Let's Negotiate! A Survey of Negotiation Dialogue Systems
Zhan, Haolan, Wang, Yufei, Feng, Tao, Hua, Yuncheng, Sharma, Suraj, Li, Zhuang, Qu, Lizhen, Azad, Zhaleh Semnani, Zukerman, Ingrid, Haffari, Gholamreza
Negotiation is a crucial ability in human communication. Recently, there has been a resurgent research interest in negotiation dialogue systems, whose goal is to create intelligent agents that can assist people in resolving conflicts or reaching agreements. Although there have been many explorations into negotiation dialogue systems, a systematic review of this task has not been performed to date. We aim to fill this gap by investigating recent studies in the field of negotiation dialogue systems, and covering benchmarks, evaluations and methodologies within the literature. We also discuss potential future directions, including multi-modal, multi-party and cross-cultural negotiation scenarios. Our goal is to provide the community with a systematic overview of negotiation dialogue systems and to inspire future research.
Trustworthy Distributed AI Systems: Robustness, Privacy, and Governance
Emerging Distributed AI systems are revolutionizing big data computing and data processing capabilities with growing economic and societal impact. However, recent studies have identified new attack surfaces and risks caused by security, privacy, and fairness issues in AI systems. In this paper, we review representative techniques, algorithms, and theoretical foundations for trustworthy distributed AI through robustness guarantee, privacy protection, and fairness awareness in distributed learning. We first provide a brief overview of alternative architectures for distributed learning, discuss inherent vulnerabilities for security, privacy, and fairness of AI algorithms in distributed learning, and analyze why these problems are present in distributed learning regardless of specific architectures. Then we provide a unique taxonomy of countermeasures for trustworthy distributed AI, covering (1) robustness to evasion attacks and irregular queries at inference, and robustness to poisoning attacks, Byzantine attacks, and irregular data distribution during training; (2) privacy protection during distributed learning and model inference at deployment; and (3) AI fairness and governance with respect to both data and models. We conclude with a discussion on open challenges and future research directions toward trustworthy distributed AI, such as the need for trustworthy AI policy guidelines, the AI responsibility-utility co-design, and incentives and compliance.
Reading Between the Tweets: Deciphering Ideological Stances of Interconnected Mixed-Ideology Communities
He, Zihao, Rao, Ashwin, Guo, Siyi, Mokhberian, Negar, Lerman, Kristina
Recent advances in NLP have improved our ability to understand the nuanced worldviews of online communities. Existing research focused on probing ideological stances treats liberals and conservatives as separate groups. However, this fails to account for the nuanced views of the organically formed online communities and the connections between them. In this paper, we study discussions of the 2020 U.S. election on Twitter to identify complex interacting communities. Capitalizing on this interconnectedness, we introduce a novel approach that harnesses message passing when finetuning language models (LMs) to probe the nuanced ideologies of these communities. By comparing the responses generated by LMs and real-world survey results, our method shows higher alignment than existing baselines, highlighting the potential of using LMs in revealing complex ideologies within and across interconnected mixed-ideology communities.
Assessing Patient Eligibility for Inspire Therapy through Machine Learning and Deep Learning Models
Chowdhury, Mohsena, Vyas, Tejas, Alapati, Rahul, Bur, Andrés M, Wang, Guanghui
Inspire therapy is an FDA-approved internal neurostimulation treatment for obstructive sleep apnea. However, not all patients respond to this therapy, posing a challenge even for experienced otolaryngologists to determine candidacy. This paper makes the first attempt to leverage both machine learning and deep learning techniques in discerning patient responsiveness to Inspire therapy using medical data and videos captured through Drug-Induced Sleep Endoscopy (DISE), an essential procedure for Inspire therapy. To achieve this, we gathered and annotated three datasets from 127 patients. Two of these datasets comprise endoscopic videos focused on the Base of the Tongue and Velopharynx. The third dataset composes the patient's clinical information. By utilizing these datasets, we benchmarked and compared the performance of six deep learning models and five classical machine learning algorithms. The results demonstrate the potential of employing machine learning and deep learning techniques to determine a patient's eligibility for Inspire therapy, paving the way for future advancements in this field.