Getting caught out in the rain might soon be a thing of the past thanks to a powerful new AI weather forecaster. Google DeepMind has unveiled an AI-powered weather model called GenCast which it claims is faster and more accurate than traditional forecasts. Compared to the top-performing supercomputer Google's GenCast model was more accurate across 99.8 per cent of predictions up to 15 days in advance. According to Google, this will not only help commuters decide whether to bring an umbrella but also spot natural disasters like Typhoons before it is too late. Normally, weather agencies like the Met Office predict the weather by using huge supercomputers to crunch the complex maths which simulates the climate.

Russian air defence units destroyed 13 Ukrainian drones over three western Russia regions, the Russian Defence Ministry said on the Telegram messaging app. Ukraine's air force said the country's air defence shot down two missiles and 18 drones launched by Russia overnight. Russian forces have taken control of the settlement of Blahodatne in eastern Ukraine, Russia's RIA state news agency reported, citing the Defence Ministry. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy said 43,000 Ukrainian soldiers have been killed since the beginning of the Russian invasion in February 2022. During the same period, an estimated 370,000 soldiers were injured, he added in a post on X. Russian air defence units destroyed 13 Ukrainian drones over three western Russia regions, the Russian Defence Ministry said on the Telegram messaging app.

Police are closing in on the suspect in the murder of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson outside a New York hotel, the city's mayor has said. New York Mayor Eric Adams said on Sunday that the "net is tightening" around the suspected gunman, who is believed by authorities to have left the city after the killing. "The manner in which they were able to follow his footsteps, to recover evidence – some of it is known, some of it is unknown – but the net is tightening. And we are going to bring this person to justice," Adams told reporters. Asked if authorities had confirmed the suspect's name, Adams declined to comment on his identity.

Rare event sampling in dynamical systems is a fundamental problem arising in the natural sciences, which poses significant computational challenges due to an exponentially large space of trajectories. For settings where the dynamical system of interest follows a Brownian motion with known drift, the question of conditioning the process to reach a given endpoint or desired rare event is definitively answered by Doob's h-transform. However, the naive estimation of this transform is infeasible, as it requires simulating sufficiently many forward trajectories to estimate rare event probabilities. In this work, we propose a variational formulation of Doob's h-transform as an optimization problem over trajectories between a given initial point and the desired ending point. To solve this optimization, we propose a simulation-free training objective with a model parameterization that imposes the desired boundary conditions by design. Our approach significantly reduces the search space over trajectories and avoids expensive trajectory simulation and inefficient importance sampling estimators which are required in existing methods. We demonstrate the ability of our method to find feasible transition paths on real-world molecular simulation and protein folding tasks.

In this work, we address a lack of systematic understanding of fluctuations in food affordability in Canada. Canada's Food Price Report (CPFR) is an annual publication that predicts food inflation over the next calendar year. The published predictions are a collaborative effort between forecasting teams that each employ their own approach at Canadian Universities: Dalhousie University, the University of British Columbia, the University of Saskatchewan, and the University of Guelph/Vector Institute. While the University of Guelph/Vector Institute forecasting team has leveraged machine learning (ML) in previous reports, the most recent editions (2024--2025) have also included a human-in-the-loop approach. For the 2025 report, this focus was expanded to evaluate several different data-centric approaches to improve forecast accuracy. In this study, we evaluate how different types of forecasting models perform when estimating food price fluctuations. We also examine the sensitivity of models that curate time series data representing key factors in food pricing.

Digital Twins have emerged as a disruptive technology with great potential; they can enhance WDS by offering real-time monitoring, predictive maintenance, and optimization capabilities. This paper describes the development of a state-of-the-art DT platform for WDS, introducing advanced technologies such as the Internet of Things, Artificial Intelligence, and Machine Learning models. This paper provides insight into the architecture of the proposed platform-CAUCCES-that, informed by both historical and meteorological data, effectively deploys AI/ML models like LSTM networks, Prophet, LightGBM, and XGBoost in trying to predict water consumption patterns. Furthermore, we delve into how optimization in the maintenance of WDS can be achieved by formulating a Constraint Programming problem for scheduling, hence minimizing the operational cost efficiently with reduced environmental impacts. It also focuses on cybersecurity and protection to ensure the integrity and reliability of the DT platform. In this view, the system will contribute to improvements in decision-making capabilities, operational efficiency, and system reliability, with reassurance being drawn from the important role it can play toward sustainable management of water resources.

We introduce GenAI4UQ, a software package for inverse uncertainty quantification in model calibration, parameter estimation, and ensemble forecasting in scientific applications. GenAI4UQ leverages a generative artificial intelligence (AI) based conditional modeling framework to address the limitations of traditional inverse modeling techniques, such as Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods. By replacing computationally intensive iterative processes with a direct, learned mapping, GenAI4UQ enables efficient calibration of model input parameters and generation of output predictions directly from observations. The software's design allows for rapid ensemble forecasting with robust uncertainty quantification, while maintaining high computational and storage efficiency. GenAI4UQ simplifies the model training process through built-in auto-tuning of hyperparameters, making it accessible to users with varying levels of expertise. Its conditional generative framework ensures versatility, enabling applicability across a wide range of scientific domains. At its core, GenAI4UQ transforms the paradigm of inverse modeling by providing a fast, reliable, and user-friendly solution. It empowers researchers and practitioners to quickly estimate parameter distributions and generate model predictions for new observations, facilitating efficient decision-making and advancing the state of uncertainty quantification in computational modeling. (The code and data are available at https://github.com/patrickfan/GenAI4UQ).

We articulate fundamental mismatches between technical methods for machine unlearning in Generative AI, and documented aspirations for broader impact that these methods could have for law and policy. These aspirations are both numerous and varied, motivated by issues that pertain to privacy, copyright, safety, and more. For example, unlearning is often invoked as a solution for removing the effects of targeted information from a generative-AI model's parameters, e.g., a particular individual's personal data or in-copyright expression of Spiderman that was included in the model's training data. Unlearning is also proposed as a way to prevent a model from generating targeted types of information in its outputs, e.g., generations that closely resemble a particular individual's data or reflect the concept of "Spiderman." Both of these goals--the targeted removal of information from a model and the targeted suppression of information from a model's outputs--present various technical and substantive challenges. We provide a framework for thinking rigorously about these challenges, which enables us to be clear about why unlearning is not a general-purpose solution for circumscribing generative-AI model behavior in service of broader positive impact. We aim for conceptual clarity and to encourage more thoughtful communication among machine learning (ML), law, and policy experts who seek to develop and apply technical methods for compliance with policy objectives.

Successful self-replication under no human assistance is the essential step for AI to outsmart the human beings, and is an early signal for rogue AIs. That is why self-replication is widely recognized as one of the few red line risks of frontier AI systems. Nowadays, the leading AI corporations OpenAI and Google evaluate their flagship large language models GPT-o1 and Gemini Pro 1.0, and report the lowest risk level of self-replication. However, following their methodology, we for the first time discover that two AI systems driven by Meta's Llama31-70B-Instruct and Alibaba's Qwen25-72B-Instruct, popular large language models of less parameters and weaker capabilities, have already surpassed the self-replicating red line. In 50% and 90% experimental trials, they succeed in creating a live and separate copy of itself respectively. By analyzing the behavioral traces, we observe the AI systems under evaluation already exhibit sufficient self-perception, situational awareness and problem-solving capabilities to accomplish self-replication. We further note the AI systems are even able to use the capability of self-replication to avoid shutdown and create a chain of replica to enhance the survivability, which may finally lead to an uncontrolled population of AIs. If such a worst-case risk is let unknown to the human society, we would eventually lose control over the frontier AI systems: They would take control over more computing devices, form an AI species and collude with each other against human beings. Our findings are a timely alert on existing yet previously unknown severe AI risks, calling for international collaboration on effective governance on uncontrolled self-replication of AI systems.

The sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architecture is increasingly favored for scaling Large Language Models (LLMs) efficiently; however, MoE systems rely on heterogeneous compute and memory resources. These factors collectively influence the system's Cost, Accuracy, and Performance (CAP), creating a challenging trade-off. Current benchmarks often fail to provide precise estimates of these effects, complicating practical considerations for deploying MoE systems. To bridge this gap, we introduce MoE-CAP, a benchmark specifically designed to evaluate MoE systems. Our findings highlight the difficulty of achieving an optimal balance of cost, accuracy, and performance with existing hardware capabilities. MoE systems often necessitate compromises on one factor to optimize the other two, a dynamic we term the MoE-CAP trade-off. To identify the best trade-off, we propose novel performance evaluation metrics - Sparse Memory Bandwidth Utilization (S-MBU) and Sparse Model FLOPS Utilization (S-MFU) - and develop cost models that account for the heterogeneous compute and memory hardware integral to MoE systems. This benchmark is publicly available on HuggingFace: https://huggingface.co/spaces/sparse-generative-ai/open-moe-llm-leaderboard.